CMOC(SH:603993) 市值风云·2026-02-05 10:08Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's performance in 2025 is expected to reach a historical high, marking four consecutive years of record-breaking results, driven by increased production, rising prices, and decreased operational costs [4][8]. Financial Performance - The forecast for 2025 indicates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 billion to 20.8 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.8% to 53.71%. The non-recurring net profit is projected to be 20.4 billion to 21.2 billion, an increase of 55.50% to 61.60% [4]. - As of February 3, 2026, the market capitalization of Luoyang Molybdenum approached 500 billion, with a static valuation of 25 times earnings [6]. Production and Sales - In the first three quarters of 2025, the production of copper reached 543,376 tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.14%, while cobalt production was 88,000 tons, up 3.84% [11][12]. - The company exceeded its production guidance for all major products, including copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, niobium, and phosphate fertilizers [8][9]. Price Dynamics - The price of copper saw a significant increase, with LME copper prices rising by 39.3% to 42.34%, continuing to rise into 2026 [13][15]. - Key drivers for the price increase include tight copper supply due to the reduction of several large copper mines, regional supply-demand imbalances from the U.S. copper 232 investigation, and increased demand from the renewable energy sector [15]. Cost Management - Despite a 2.36% year-on-year decline in revenue, the non-recurring net profit grew by 98%, primarily due to a 13.2% reduction in operating costs compared to the previous year [16]. - The decrease in revenue was largely attributed to a decline in low-margin mineral trading income, while higher-margin mining income increased by 25.6% [17]. Revenue Growth by Product - Revenue from copper and cobalt increased by 29.1%, tungsten and molybdenum revenue grew by 4.7%, and niobium and phosphate revenue rose by 25.1% [19]. Strategic Acquisitions - Luoyang Molybdenum has expanded its gold resource reserves through acquisitions, including the purchase of the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador for 580 million CAD (approximately 3 billion RMB) and a deal for 100% equity in several gold mines in Brazil for 1.015 billion USD, which includes significant gold resources [22][23].