中金:“淡季不淡”,香港房价加速回升;核心商写空置率环比下行

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate market is showing significant growth, with a notable increase in both primary and secondary residential property transactions, indicating a recovery trend in the sector [4][6][7]. Group 1: Primary Residential Market - In January, the transaction value of primary residential properties more than doubled year-on-year, reaching HKD 19.2 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 148% [4][6]. - The number of primary residential transactions in January was 1,539, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 103% [6][7]. - Key developers such as Henderson Land, New World Development, and Cheung Kong achieved sales growth exceeding 100%, with the total sales of six major developers increasing by 173% [4][7]. Group 2: Secondary Residential Market - The secondary residential market also saw a significant increase, with transaction values rising by over 50% year-on-year, totaling HKD 29 billion in January [4][8]. - The average price index for large residential estates increased by 2.5% month-on-month and 7.3% year-on-year, marking the largest monthly increase in three years [4][8]. Group 3: Financial Environment - The mortgage loan environment remains supportive, with new mortgage approvals in December increasing by 22% year-on-year, and the average mortgage rate decreasing to 3.25% [5][11]. - The overall mortgage-to-value ratio has improved to 60.1%, indicating a stable financial backdrop for property transactions [5][11]. Group 4: Commercial Real Estate - The vacancy rates for commercial properties, including private offices and retail spaces, have shown improvement, with a decrease in vacancy rates by 0.3 percentage points for offices and 1.2 percentage points for retail properties [5][12]. - Retail sales continued to recover, with a year-on-year increase of 6.6% in December, driven by a rise in tourist numbers and economic recovery [5][12][13]. Group 5: Land Transactions - In January, a residential land parcel in Kowloon was successfully bid by a consortium led by Sino Land, with a transaction price of HKD 1.61 billion [10][30]. - The land area was approximately 3,800 square meters, with a planned gross floor area of 20,682 to 34,470 square meters [10][30].

中金:“淡季不淡”,香港房价加速回升;核心商写空置率环比下行 - Reportify