Apple(US:AAPL) TrendForce集邦·2026-02-14 02:08Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the AI wave is driving a super cycle, leading to a significant increase in the value of the memory industry, which is expected to reach $551.6 billion by 2026, more than double the value of the foundry industry at $218.7 billion [2] - The memory industry's growth is attributed to supply constraints and soaring prices, which are expected to continue impacting the market [2] Group 2 - The article forecasts that by 2026, over 60% of global shipments of optical transceivers will be 800G or higher, driven by Google's new high-speed interconnect architecture to meet AI's massive computing demands [5] - The global smartphone production is projected to decline by 10% in 2026, with total production expected to drop to approximately 1.135 billion units due to rising memory prices, which may further weaken terminal demand [8][9] - Sharp's Kameyama K2 factory is set to halt operations in August, which may impact Apple's supply of IT panels and electronic paper, as the factory has been a key supplier for Apple [11] - The HBM4 validation is expected to be completed by the second quarter of 2026, with major suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron anticipated to form a supply structure for NVIDIA's HBM4 needs [12]