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William Blair's Dorsheimer: Tesla's stock is more aligned with robotaxis & FSD than new models
Youtube· 2025-10-08 16:10
Core Insights - Tesla has introduced cheaper versions of its Model Y and Model 3 to potentially boost sales and deliveries after the expiration of the federal EV tax credit at the end of September [1][2] - The new models are seen as a demand filler, but the core auto business is still facing significant headwinds, which may limit their impact on stock performance [3][4] Pricing and Market Dynamics - The cheaper models are priced around $39,000 to $37,000, which is a reduction compared to the previous tax credit of $7,500, but may not be sufficient to stimulate demand [6][8] - A 19% drop in unit deliveries is expected for the next quarter, following a record delivery of 497,000 units last quarter [8] Margin and Profitability - The introduction of cheaper models is likely to be dilutive to margins, as the auto segment is currently valued less despite generating the most revenue [5][6] - The energy business, while only 15% of revenue, contributes to 25% of profitability, indicating a potential area for growth amidst challenges in the auto sector [10][11] Competitive Landscape - Tesla's strategy appears to pivot towards capital efficiency and autonomy, with less focus on introducing new models to compete in the traditional auto market [4][5] - The company is navigating a tougher environment, as indicated by recent comments from competitors like BMW, Mercedes, and Porsche regarding their own guidance [12]
This ‘Meme Stock ETF’ Is Back. It Could Be a Warning Sign for the Market’s Rally.
Barrons· 2025-10-08 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of meme stocks, particularly through the relaunch of Roundhill Investments' ETF, highlights the ongoing influence of retail investors in the market, with Opendoor Technologies as a key holding in this new fund [1][6]. Group 1: Retail Investor Influence - Retail investors now account for nearly 21% of total trading volume, a decrease from a peak of 25% during the meme stock craze in 2020-2021, but still more than double the levels seen in 2010 [2][6]. - The CEO of Roundhill Investments noted that retail investors have become a permanent force in the market, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2]. Group 2: Opendoor Technologies - Opendoor's stock has increased approximately 480% this year, driven in part by retail traders on social media who advocated for leadership changes within the company [3][6]. - The company is positioned as a top holding in the newly relaunched meme stock ETF, which suggests a strong retail interest in its stock [1][6]. Group 3: New Meme Stock ETF - The new meme stock ETF includes high-tech companies like Plug Power and Rigetti Computing, both of which have seen significant stock price increases, with Rigetti surging nearly 6,000% over the last 12 months [5][7]. - The ETF aims to capitalize on retail enthusiasm and may serve as a hedge against short selling, reflecting a strategic approach to the current market environment [4][6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Historical Context - The launch of another meme stock ETF may signal exuberance in the broader stock market, reminiscent of previous market peaks before downturns [11]. - Historical patterns suggest that the presence of meme stocks can be indicative of market sentiment, as seen with the previous Roundhill ETF that included both meme stocks and companies with strong fundamentals [9].
Tesla unveils more ‘affordable' Model Y and 3
Youtube· 2025-10-08 15:53
Tesla just dropped more affordable versions of its Model 3 and Model Y. $37,000 for the 3,4,000 for the Y standard. But here's the catch.Those prices are still higher than better equipped models were a week ago when the $7,500 tax credit applied. Might be why investors aren't impressed. Analysts, meanwhile, are mixed.Some see it as a win for consumers and a step toward higher delivery volumes. Others call it not much of a product catalyst, noting the price cuts are modest. CEO Elon Musk had promised a $25,0 ...
Tesla Analyst Says New Model Y, Model 3 Variants Fail To Excite: 'Less Unique'
Benzinga· 2025-10-08 14:58
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's new Model Y and Model 3 variants may not meet initial demand expectations due to pricing and feature limitations, according to Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney, who maintains a Neutral rating with a $425 price target [1][2]. Summary by Sections New Model Variants - The new Standard variants of Model 3 and Model Y have had features such as panoramic roofs, ambient lighting, and second-row screen displays removed to reduce costs, while also offering a lower starting price [2]. - The starting prices for the new Standard variants are $36,990 for Model 3 and $39,990 for Model Y [5]. Market Positioning - Delaney noted that the differentiation in price and features for the Standard trims is less than previously anticipated, indicating that the new models are not as unique as investors had expected [3][5]. - Tesla had initially planned to introduce a model that would cost 50% less than the Model 3 and Model Y, but instead, consumers are receiving variants of existing models [4]. Competitive Landscape - The analyst highlighted that Tesla's Model Y L, launched in China, could be more significant for growth than the new Standard variants, as it targets the three-row SUV market in the U.S. [5]. - There are key risks for Tesla, including increased competition in the electric vehicle market, potential price cuts, and operational risks related to vertical integration [6]. Stock Performance - Tesla's stock was trading at $433.21, within a 52-week range of $212.11 to $488.54, and has increased by 14.2% year-to-date in 2025 [7].
The Zacks Analyst Blog Tesla, UnitedHealth, Shopify and Waterstone Financial
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 14:01
Core Insights - The article highlights recent research reports on major stocks including Tesla, UnitedHealth, Shopify, and Waterstone Financial, emphasizing their performance and market conditions [2][5][8][11][14]. Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) - Tesla's shares have outperformed the Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry over the past year, with a gain of 85.4% compared to the industry's 72.9% [5]. - The company is facing challenges with declining EV sales, recording its first annual decline in deliveries in 2024, which has continued into 2025 [5][6]. - Operating margins are shrinking, and expenses are rising, with Musk indicating that upcoming quarters may be difficult [6]. - The Energy Generation & Storage unit remains a strength, and the expansion of the Supercharger network is ongoing [6]. - Tesla has launched a robotaxi service, which has received mixed reactions, but the company sees potential for significant cost and scalability advantages [7]. UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) - UnitedHealth's shares have underperformed the Zacks Medical - HMOs industry over the past year, declining by 37% compared to the industry's 31.3% [8]. - The company is experiencing cost pressures, higher medical utilization, and a significant debt burden, which threaten margin stability [8]. - The Medical Care Ratio (MCR) is expected to increase to 89.4% in 2025, and the earnings outlook for 2025 has been trimmed [8]. - Despite challenges, UnitedHealth benefits from balanced growth across its segments, driven by rising healthcare demand and disciplined execution [9][10]. Shopify Inc. (SHOP) - Shopify's shares have outperformed the Zacks Internet - Services industry over the past year, with a gain of 99.2% compared to the industry's 51% [11]. - The company is expanding its merchant base through new tools and AI-driven solutions, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency [11][12]. - Shopify's international growth, particularly in Europe, is a key catalyst for its prospects [12]. - However, the company faces gross margin pressure due to increased hosting costs and a new paid trial program, which may impact operating profit [13]. Waterstone Financial, Inc. (WSBF) - Waterstone Financial's shares have outperformed the Zacks Financial - Savings and Loan industry over the past year, with a gain of 14.9% compared to the industry's 10.9% [14]. - The company demonstrated earnings resilience with a 35.2% year-over-year net income growth in Q2 2025, despite challenges in mortgage banking [14]. - Improved return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) indicate enhanced profitability driven by cost discipline [14]. - The Community Banking segment showed robust income growth, although mortgage banking remains a drag due to declining originations and rising non-accruals [15][16].
Are Tesla's "Affordable" Models Truly Cheap and Can They Fuel Demand?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 13:46
Core Insights - Tesla has launched new "affordable" models of the Model 3 and Model Y, priced at $36,990 and $39,990 respectively, aiming to revive demand amid increasing competition and the loss of U.S. EV tax incentives [1][4][10] - The new models are stripped of several comfort and tech features to achieve lower price points, yet they still offer solid performance with a range above 300 miles on a 69-kWh battery [2][3][10] - The introduction of these models reflects Tesla's strategy to make its vehicles more accessible, although it signals a departure from the previously promised $25,000 EV project [5][7] Pricing and Features - The new Model 3 Standard and Model Y Standard are the cheapest Tesla options to date, costing approximately $5,000-$5,500 less than the previous "Premium" versions [1][10] - Key features removed include Autosteer, rear passenger touchscreen, seat heating, and LED light bar in the Model Y, with manual side mirrors and fewer speakers now standard [2][10] Market Context - Tesla's sales growth is slowing, facing tougher competition from cheaper models produced by rivals in China and Europe [4][8] - Competitors like BYD and Toyota are launching significantly cheaper EVs, with BYD's Seagull priced under $10,000 and Toyota's bZ3X around $15,000, highlighting the need for Tesla to address its affordability gap [11][12] Competitive Landscape - Ford is also entering the affordable EV market with plans for a midsize electric pickup starting at around $30,000, indicating increasing competition in the U.S. for budget-friendly electric vehicles [13] - The introduction of cheaper Tesla models may impact sales of higher-margin vehicles, and without a true low-cost EV, Tesla risks losing its mass-market dominance [7][8]
Tesla went back to basics with its latest big announcement
Business Insider· 2025-10-08 13:01
Core Insights - Tesla has introduced more affordable versions of its popular electric vehicles (EVs), the Model 3 and Model Y, amid a slowdown in the EV market and the end of the EV tax credit [3][4][8] - The price reductions for the Model Y Standard and Model 3 Standard are $39,990 and $36,990 respectively, representing decreases of 11.1% and 12.9% compared to their premium versions [4][5] - The new models will have fewer features compared to their premium counterparts, including the removal of the Autosteer feature and AM/FM radio [5][6] - The market reaction to the announcement was negative, with Tesla's stock dropping nearly 4.5% on the day of the launch, indicating disappointment among analysts and investors [8][10] Pricing and Features - Model Y Standard is priced at $39,990, while Model Y Premium is at $44,990, with a price difference of $5,000 [4] - Model 3 Standard is priced at $36,990, and Model 3 Premium is at $42,490, with a price difference of $5,500 [4] - The price cuts do not fully compensate for the previous $7,500 tax credit that EV buyers received until the end of September [4] Market Context - The introduction of these budget-friendly models comes as the EV industry faces a general slowdown and the expiration of tax incentives [3][8] - The expectation for a more significant announcement was not met, as the launch was perceived as lacking excitement, with only a brief video shared on social media [9][10]
Tesla Stock Could Be Headed to $600, Says Pro. That Might Be Too Conservative
247Wallst· 2025-10-08 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is a polarizing stock, attracting either strong bullish support or significant bearish sentiment [1] Group 1 - The company is characterized by a divided investor sentiment, with some investors being extremely optimistic while others are highly skeptical [1]
Tesla Unveils Cheaper Versions of the Model 3 and Model Y EVs
Youtube· 2025-10-08 12:51
Another story we're keeping our eye on is Tesla. The company had teased a big product announcement. We got it.The shares fell. A lower uh basically a revamp of some of their models to basically well lower the price just a bit. Max Chaffkin joins us right now is the host of Musk Inc. and he joins us right now.So let's just cut to the chase here. You're basically taking the Model Y, the Model 3, basically cutting the price. Yeah.Making a little bit cheaper. I say this was a small announcement kind of posing a ...
Gold Hits Record $4,000 as Wall Street Panics Over US Shutdown and Global Turmoil
International Business Times· 2025-10-08 11:26
Core Insights - Gold has reached a historic milestone, surpassing $4,000 per ounce for the first time, reflecting its status as a safe haven amid market volatility [1][2][9] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown and global political unrest have driven investors away from riskier assets, leading to a significant influx into gold [2][5][8] Market Reactions - Major U.S. stock indices experienced declines, with the S&P 500 down 0.4%, Dow Jones down 0.2%, and Nasdaq down 0.7%, marking the end of a seven-day winning streak [2] - The uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown has led to a reassessment of risk appetite among investors, pushing them towards safe-haven assets like gold [5][9] Economic Context - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its seventh day, causing delays in crucial economic data and increasing fears of prolonged economic uncertainty [4][5] - Analysts warn that an extended shutdown could negatively impact consumer confidence and economic growth, further driving demand for gold [5] Technology Sector Dynamics - The recent excitement around AI stocks has cooled, with major tech companies like Oracle and Tesla experiencing declines in their stock prices, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [6][7] - The pullback in tech stocks suggests a transition from speculative investments to a focus on tangible assets like gold, as market optimism wanes [7] Global Political Climate - Instability in countries like France and Japan has added to global market jitters, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a hedge against chaos [8] - The combination of political turmoil, weaker economic growth, and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts is creating a favorable environment for gold trading [9]