债市早报 资金面边际收敛；多重利空影响下，债市明显走弱 【内容摘要】7 月 10 日，资金面边际收敛，主要回购利率均小幅上行；多重利空影响下，债 市明显走弱；转债市场跟随权益市场有所上行，转债市场个券多数上涨；各期限美债收益率普 遍上行，主要欧洲经济体 10 年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【上交所面向投资端机构召开科创板"1+6"政策宣介会】据证券时报，近日，上海证券交易 所面向资本市场投资端组织召开科创板改革"1+6"政策专题宣介会，包括公募基金、证券公 司、保险资管、银行理财子等在内的三十余家市场机构代表近百人参会。下一步，上交所将全 方位多层次加强与市场主体的沟通交流和政策宣贯，凝聚市场共识，继续推动科创板各项改革 措施走深走实，加快构建更有利于支持创新发展的资本市场生态，为培育新质生产力、推动高 质量发展提供强有力的支持。 【国家发改委：以"两重""两新"资金为抓手，加大新型城镇化重点领域投入】近日，国家 发展改革委城市和小城镇改革发展中心表示，锚定到 2035 年基本实现新型城镇化目标，要顺 应规律、把握趋势，紧抓城镇化动力仍然较强的关键时期，高质量推进新型城镇化四大行动， ...

Group 1: Domestic News - Shanghai Stock Exchange held a policy briefing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aiming to enhance communication with market participants and promote reforms to support innovation and high-quality development [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized increasing investment in key areas of new urbanization, targeting to achieve basic new urbanization goals by 2035 [2] Group 2: International News - Federal Reserve Governor Waller suggested considering a rate cut in July, stating that the current federal funds rate is overly restrictive and may need to be lowered if inflation continues to decline [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - On July 10, the bond market weakened significantly due to multiple negative factors, with the 10-year government bond yield rising by 1.45 basis points to 1.6595% [8] - The convertible bond market saw most individual bonds rise, with 338 out of 469 convertible bonds increasing in value [17] Group 4: Commodity Prices - International crude oil prices fell, with WTI crude down 2.19% to $66.88 per barrel, while natural gas prices rose by 4.96% to $3.365 per million British thermal units [4] Group 5: Financial Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 900 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net fund injection of 328 billion yuan for the day [5]

Group 1 - Jiangfeng Electronics plans to raise no more than 1.95 billion yuan for the production of 12,300 ultra-pure metal sputtering targets for integrated circuits and other projects [1] - Northern Rare Earth has adjusted the trading price of rare earth concentrates to 19,109 yuan per ton for Q3 2025, reflecting a 1.5% increase from the previous price [2] - Baogang Co. also plans to adjust the trading price of rare earth concentrates to 19,109 yuan per ton for Q3 2025, indicating a 1.5% increase [3] Group 2 - Shijia Photon intends to acquire 82.3810% equity of Fokexima through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, aiming to enhance its production capabilities and reduce costs [4] - Yiling Pharmaceutical's application for the registration of Banxia Baizhu Tianma granules has been accepted, marking its first classic prescription product [5] - Liangpinpuzi's controlling shareholder is planning a change of control, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [6] Group 3 - Qin'an Co. plans to acquire 99% equity of Yigao Optoelectronics through share issuance and cash payment, with stock resuming trading [7] - Goldwind Technology's shareholder, Harmony Health, intends to reduce its stake by up to 1% within three months [8] Group 4 - Tianbao Infrastructure expects a net profit of 90 million to 130 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 1581.80% to 2329.27% [10] - Guosheng Jinkong anticipates a net profit of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year growth of 236.85% to 394.05% [10] - China Shipbuilding expects a net profit of 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Changcheng Military Industry is expected to report a net loss of between 25 million to 29.5 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a non-net profit loss of 35 million to 41 million yuan [1][8] - The anticipated losses are attributed to a lack of product orders from a subsidiary, leading to a significant decline in revenue and profit, as well as an increase in R&D expenses, which are projected to grow by approximately 19% [1][8] - The company reported R&D expenses exceeding 76 million yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in R&D investment over the past five years [4][8] Group 2 - Recently, Changcheng Military Industry has gained attention in the A-share market, achieving 8 trading limit-ups in 10 trading days from June 18 to July 1, with a cumulative increase of 131.76%, significantly outperforming the defense industry index and the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Analysts suggest that the "9.3 military parade" has been a major driving factor for the recent surge in military stocks, indicating a potential dual boost in fundamentals and industry valuations for the military sector [3] - Investment strategies recommended include focusing on AI-enabled intelligent combat systems, low-cost precision-guided munitions, and companies with high military trade ratios [3]

★ 宏观动态 ★ 中国和马来西亚互免签证协定即将生效 据央视新闻，《中华人民共和国政府和马来西亚政府关于互免持公务普通护照和普通护照人员签证的协定》将 于2025年7月17日生效。根据协定，持有效的中国公务普通护照、普通护照和马来西亚普通护照人员，以休闲 旅游、探亲访友、商务活动、交流访问、私人事务、医疗、国际运输（机组人员）为目的，在缔约另一方入 境、出境或者过境，停留不超过30日，且每180日累计停留不超过90日，可免办签证。如需在缔约另一方境内 单次停留逾30日或者在缔约另一方境内定居，或从事工作、学习、新闻报道等须经缔约另一方主管部门事先批 准的活动，应当在入境缔约另一方前申请相应签证。 嫦娥七号明年前后将发射 据央视新闻，月球背面样品返回一年来，我国科学家围绕这些样品已经取得丰硕的科学研究成果，彰显了我国 行星科学研究的综合实力，也为下一阶段开展月球的形成和演化研究工作奠定了基础。据介绍，2026年前后， 我国将发射嫦娥七号月球探测器，同样会在月球南极—艾特肯盆地开展环境与资源勘查，特别是要寻找水冰等 物质，为将来月球基地的建设打下基础。 商务部回应冯德莱恩涉华言论 欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩近日发表演 ...

Group 1 - Aishuo Co., Ltd. expects a net loss of 170 million to 280 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 410 million to 520 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [1] - Changcheng Military Industry anticipates a net loss of 25 million to 29.5 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 35 million to 41 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [1] - Changyuan Donggu expects a net profit of 155 million to 180 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.65% to 88.88% [1] Group 2 - Beifang Navigation forecasts a net profit of 105 million to 120 million yuan for the first half of 2025, turning around from a loss of 74.2168 million yuan in the same period last year [3] - Xizi Clean Energy expects a net profit of 130 million to 180 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 47.40% to 62.01% compared to the same period last year [4] - Tianbao Infrastructure anticipates a net profit of 90 million to 130 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1581.80% to 2329.27% [4] Group 3 - Taiping Bird expects a net profit of approximately 77.7 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of about 55% compared to the same period last year [6] - Xibu Chuangye forecasts a net profit of approximately 295 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an increase of 88.99% compared to the same period last year [8] - Zhengbang Technology expects a net profit of 190 million to 210 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 249.03% to 264.72% [9] Group 4 - Songzhi Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 140 million to 170 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.58% to 86.49% [10] - Hailide expects a net profit of 280 million to 310 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.65% to 63.47% [12] - Chenhua Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 48.8176 million to 56.6284 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25% to 45% [13] Group 5 - Yuanlin Co., Ltd. expects a net loss of 68 million to 92 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 70 million to 95 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [14] - Chuanhua Zhili anticipates a net profit of 500 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 72.78% to 90.06% [15] - Longyuan Technology expects a net profit of 26 million to 31 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 116.61% to 158.26% [17] Group 6 - Jiangshan Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 300 million to 360 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 75.65% to 110.78% [32] - Ganli Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 600 million to 640 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 100.73% to 114.12% [33] - Zhongyan Chemical's subsidiary signed a 6.809 billion yuan mining rights transfer contract [35]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the military equipment restructuring concept has seen a decline of 3.20%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Changcheng Military Industry, Hunan Tianyan, and Huqiang Technology experiencing significant drops [1][2]. - The military equipment restructuring concept sector experienced a net outflow of 429 million yuan in capital today, with seven stocks seeing net outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2]. - The stock with the highest net outflow is Changcheng Military Industry, which saw a net outflow of 147 million yuan, followed by Hunan Tianyan and Zhongguang Optical with net outflows of 111 million yuan and 49.57 million yuan, respectively [2]. Group 2 - The top decliners in the military equipment restructuring concept include Changcheng Military Industry with a decline of 6.23%, Hunan Tianyan with a decline of 5.57%, and Huqiang Technology with a decline of 4.34% [2]. - The trading turnover rate for Changcheng Military Industry was 11.07%, while Hunan Tianyan had a turnover rate of 19.94% [2]. - Other companies in the outflow list include Chang'an Automobile, which saw a slight decline of 0.16% with a net outflow of 46.81 million yuan, and Construction Industry with a decline of 2.04% and a net outflow of 25.62 million yuan [2].

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of -25 million to -29.5 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a projected loss [1][2] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is anticipated to be between -35 million and -41 million yuan [1][2] - The previous year's performance showed a net profit attributable to shareholders of -39.6261 million yuan and a total profit of -40.119 million yuan [1][2] Group 2 - The expected loss is primarily due to a subsidiary's failure to secure product orders, leading to a significant decline in revenue and profit [2] - The company has increased its R&D investment, with R&D expenses rising approximately 19% year-on-year [2] - The profit per share is projected to be -0.055 yuan [2]

证券代码：601606 证券简称：长城军工 公告编号：2025-030 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 安徽长城军工股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预告 ● 业绩预告的具体适用情形：净利润为负值。 ● 主要财务数据情况：公司预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的 净利润为-2,500 万元到-2,950 万元；2025 年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润为-3,500 万元到-4,100 万元。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日。 （二）业绩预告情况 公司预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-2,500 万元到 -2,950 万元；归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为-3,500 万元到 -4,100 万元，预计将出现亏损。 本次业绩预告是公司财务部门基于自身专业判断进行的初步核算，未经注册 会计师审计。目前公司尚未发现对本次业绩预告准确性构成重大影响的不确 ...

New Stock Listings - The new stock "同宇新材" (code: 301630) is listed at an issue price of 84 on July 10, 2025[1] - "中程退" (code: 300208) and "退市锦港" (code: 600190) have 6 trading days remaining until their last trading day[1] - "恒立退" (code: 000622) has 3 trading days remaining until its last trading day[1] Delisting and Trading Alerts - "退市九有" (code: 600462) has 2 trading days remaining until its last trading day[1] - "工智退" (code: 000584) will have its last trading day on July 10, 2025[1] - "美迪西" (code: 688202) is listed with no specific trading alerts mentioned[1] Market Volatility - "北方长龙" (code: 301357) has been flagged for severe abnormal fluctuations[1] - "浙江东日" (code: 600113) and "诺德股份" (code: 600110) have also been noted for abnormal trading activities[1] - "长春一东" (code: 600148) is included in the list of stocks with trading alerts[1]