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Guidewire Software Is Soaring, But I'm Not Biting
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-04 10:53
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to increase significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience in analyzing companies, particularly in the tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3] - Seeking FCF is associated with Michael Wiggins De Oliveira, indicating a collaborative approach in investment strategies [3]
Guidewire Software (GWRE) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-03 23:01
Core Insights - Guidewire Software (GWRE) reported revenue of $293.51 million for the quarter ended April 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 22% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $285.72 million by 2.73% [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $0.88, significantly higher than the $0.26 reported a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of 91.30% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.46 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Annual recurring revenue reached $960 million, surpassing the average estimate of $944.40 million by four analysts [4] - Subscription and support revenue was reported at $181.82 million, exceeding the average estimate of $178.14 million by five analysts, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 31.8% [4] - License revenue amounted to $57.23 million, slightly above the average estimate of $55.33 million, with a year-over-year change of 1.8% [4] - Services revenue was reported at $54.45 million, exceeding the average estimate of $52 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 17.1% [4] - Gross profit from subscription and support was $124.41 million, above the average estimate of $120.51 million [4] - Gross profit from services was $1.95 million, below the average estimate of $3.92 million [4] - Gross profit from license revenue was $56.34 million, exceeding the average estimate of $54.87 million [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Guidewire Software's shares returned +2.3%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite saw a +4.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Guidewire Software (GWRE) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-03 22:26
Core Viewpoint - Guidewire Software reported strong quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.46 per share, and showing a substantial increase from $0.26 per share a year ago [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $293.51 million for the quarter ended April 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.73% and up from $240.68 million year-over-year [3]. - Guidewire Software has consistently outperformed consensus estimates, surpassing EPS estimates three out of the last four quarters and revenue estimates four times in the same period [2][3]. Stock Performance - Since the beginning of the year, Guidewire Software shares have increased by approximately 27.7%, in contrast to the S&P 500's gain of 0.9% [4]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [7]. Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.59, with projected revenues of $331.29 million, while the estimate for the current fiscal year is $1.97 on revenues of $1.17 billion [8]. - The outlook for the Internet - Software industry is favorable, ranking in the top 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential for outperformance [9].
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-06-03 22:07
Financial Performance - Total revenue for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $293.5 million, a 22% increase from $240.7 million in the same period of 2024[18]. - Subscription and support revenue reached $181.8 million, up 32% from $138.0 million year-over-year[18]. - Net income for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $46.0 million, compared to a net loss of $5.5 million in the same period of 2024[20]. - Gross profit for the nine months ended April 30, 2025, was $520.2 million, compared to $396.9 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a 31% increase[18]. - Comprehensive income for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $52.8 million, compared to a loss of $7.6 million in the same period of 2024[20]. - Net income for the nine months ended April 30, 2025, was $17.853 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $22.862 million in the same period of 2024[26]. - Cash flows from operating activities provided $56.036 million, compared to only $1.971 million in the prior year[26]. - Total revenue for the nine months ended April 30, 2025, reached $845.9 million, a 23% increase compared to $689.0 million for the same period in 2024[46]. - For the three months ended April 30, 2025, the company reported a net income of $45.991 million, compared to a net loss of $5.478 million for the same period in 2024[77]. - Basic earnings per share for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $0.55, while for the same period in 2024, it was a loss of $0.07 per share[77]. Revenue Breakdown - Subscription revenue increased to $166.5 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, up 38% from $120.4 million in the prior year[45]. - Total revenue from the United States for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $191.7 million, up from $163.4 million in the same period of 2024[45]. - Total revenue from the Americas for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $225.8 million, compared to $190.5 million in the prior year, reflecting a growth of 18%[45]. - Services revenue increased by $8.0 million (17%) to $54.5 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to $46.5 million in the same period of 2024[161]. - Subscription revenue for the nine months ended April 30, 2025, increased by $137.8 million (40%) to $480.9 million compared to $343.2 million in the same period of 2024[156]. - Support revenue decreased by $2.2 million (12%) to $15.4 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to $17.5 million in the same period of 2024[157]. - Term license revenue increased by $2.1 million (4%) during the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to the same period a year ago[159]. Expenses and Costs - Operating expenses for the three months ended April 30, 2025, were $178.2 million, an increase from $158.9 million in the same period of 2024[18]. - Total cost of revenue increased by $12.4 million (13%) to $110.8 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024[165]. - Subscription and support cost increased by $6.2 million (12%) to $57.4 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, primarily due to cloud infrastructure expenses[165]. - Research and development expenses increased by $18.0 million (9%) during the nine months ended April 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to personnel costs rising by $15.3 million[184]. - Sales and marketing expenses rose by $20.4 million (14%) during the nine months ended April 30, 2025, driven by personnel costs increasing by $15.4 million[188]. - General and administrative expenses increased by $10.5 million (9%) during the nine months ended April 30, 2025, mainly due to professional services costs rising by $3.9 million[192]. Assets and Liabilities - Total current assets increased to $1.3 billion as of April 30, 2025, from $1.3 billion as of July 31, 2024[16]. - Long-term investments rose significantly to $323.3 million from $125.9 million year-over-year[16]. - Total liabilities decreased to $1.1 billion as of April 30, 2025, from $883.6 million as of July 31, 2024[16]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period totaled $511.512 million, down from $549.184 million at the beginning of the period[27]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $1.24 billion as of April 30, 2025, an increase from $1.13 billion on July 31, 2024[213]. - Working capital improved to $907.1 million as of April 30, 2025, compared to $457.9 million on July 31, 2024[213]. Strategic Investments and Acquisitions - The company made strategic investments, acquiring businesses for a net cash outflow of $26.724 million[26]. - The Company completed the acquisition of Quantee for approximately $27.9 million, with $21.4 million attributed to goodwill[69][72]. - The carrying amount of goodwill increased from $372.2 million as of July 31, 2024, to $393.6 million as of April 30, 2025[73]. Stock and Financing - The company issued $690 million in 1.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 in October 2024, with a fair value of $760.0 million as of April 30, 2025[61][62]. - The company had a total principal amount of $690 million in 2029 Convertible Senior Notes as of April 30, 2025, with an effective interest rate of 1.8%[79]. - The company recognized total interest expense of $3.494 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to $1.684 million for the same period in 2024[79]. - The Company retired $220.9 million aggregate principal amount of the 2025 Convertible Senior Notes in cash for $354.0 million during the nine months ended April 30, 2025[102]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that subscription arrangements will constitute a significant majority of annual new sales going forward, indicating a strategic shift towards cloud-based offerings[124]. - The company continues to invest in product development and cloud operations to enhance existing products and introduce new solutions, which is critical for maintaining competitive advantage[125]. - The company anticipates that subscriptions will continue to represent a significant majority of new arrangements, impacting future revenue growth due to the ratable recognition of subscription revenue[155]. - The company expects research and development expenses to increase in absolute dollars but decrease as a percentage of revenue as hiring slows[185]. - The company anticipates sales and marketing expenses to continue increasing in absolute dollars but decrease as a percentage of revenue due to slowed hiring[189]. - General and administrative expenses are expected to rise in absolute dollars due to inflation and strategic investments but decrease as a percentage of revenue as hiring slows[194].
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-03 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a total revenue of $294 million, reflecting a 22% year-over-year growth and exceeding the high end of the outlook [24] - Subscription and support revenue reached $182 million, showing a 32% year-over-year growth [24] - The annual recurring revenue (ARR) finished at $960 million, allowing the company to raise its full-year outlook to exceed $1 billion [10][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed 17 cloud deals in Q3, including 14 for InsuranceSuite applications and 3 for InsuranceNow, indicating strong sales activity [9] - The company secured its first Guidewire Industry Intelligence sale, which is expected to be a significant revenue source [13] - Services revenue finished at $54 million, benefiting from strong bookings and higher utilization rates [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced significant international momentum, with cloud expansions in Canada and wins in APAC and EMEA [11] - The company noted strong demand for its cloud offerings, particularly in the high-end market with Tier one and Tier two insurers [9][23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving growth through its Guidewire Cloud Platform, which is seen as critical for insurers to modernize their operations [8] - The company is committed to the Japanese market, planning a $60 million investment over the next five years to enhance local operations [17][40] - The acquisition of Quanti is expected to enhance the company's pricing and rating technology, providing more agility to insurance companies [20][92] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining upper teens growth for fully ramped ARR, emphasizing the importance of Q4 for closing large deals [36] - The company highlighted the agility it provides to insurers, which is crucial for addressing the widening coverage gap in the industry [60] - Management noted that the company is well-positioned to continue its cloud transformation and support innovation in the insurance industry [21] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with over $1.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with operating cash flow at $32 million [28] - The company raised its ARR outlook for fiscal year 2025 to between $1.012 billion and $1.022 billion, reflecting a growth of 17% to 18% year-over-year [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the fully ramped ARR outlook for this year? - Management indicated strong momentum and confidence in maintaining upper teens growth for fully ramped ARR, with Q4 being critical for large commitments [35][36] Question: What is the secret to winning cloud deals in the Japanese market? - Management emphasized commitment to the Japanese market and the importance of delivering successful outcomes for customers [40][41] Question: Was there any pull forward from Q4 due to Q3 outperformance? - Management clarified that there was no significant pull forward, attributing Q3 success to strong execution across all tiers [48][52] Question: How is the company leveraging AI in its operations? - Management discussed broad applications of generative AI across the product suite, particularly in claims workflows and developer productivity [75] Question: What is the incremental functionality from the Quanti acquisition? - The acquisition is expected to enhance pricing and rating technology applicable to all customers, providing more flexibility and agility [92]
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-03 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $294 million, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, exceeding the high end of expectations [21] - Subscription and support revenue reached $182 million, reflecting a 32% year-over-year growth [21] - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) finished at $960 million, allowing the company to raise its full-year outlook [20][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed 17 cloud deals in Q3, including 14 for InsuranceSuite applications and 3 for InsuranceNow, indicating strong sales activity [7] - The company secured its first Guidewire Industry Intelligence sale, a predictive model embedded in ClaimCenter, marking progress in data and analytics offerings [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced significant international momentum, with cloud expansions in Canada and wins in APAC and EMEA [9] - The company announced a $60 million investment in Japan over the next five years to enhance local operations and partnerships [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue driving growth through its Guidewire Cloud Platform, which is recognized for its flexibility and agility [6] - The acquisition of Quanti is expected to enhance the company's pricing and rating technology, contributing to its long-term product strategy [18][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining upper teens growth for fully ramped ARR, emphasizing the importance of Q4 for closing large deals [34][35] - The company is committed to the Japanese market, focusing on long-term relationships and investments to support local insurers [38][39] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with over $1.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with operating cash flow at $32 million [26] - The company raised its ARR outlook for fiscal year 2025 to between $1.012 billion and $1.022 billion, reflecting a growth of 17% to 18% year-over-year [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the fully ramped ARR outlook for this year? - Management indicated strong momentum and confidence in maintaining upper teens growth for fully ramped ARR, with Q4 being critical for large commitments [34][35] Question: What is helping the company win cloud deals in Japan? - The company highlighted its long-term commitment to the Japanese market and the importance of delivering a robust platform tailored to local needs [36][39] Question: Was there any pull forward from Q4 due to Q3 outperformance? - Management clarified that the strong Q3 performance was due to high close rates and execution, with no significant pull forward from Q4 [44][50] Question: How is the company addressing the widening coverage gap in the insurance industry? - The company emphasized agility in product structuring and pricing, enabling insurers to respond quickly to market needs and close coverage gaps [58][60] Question: What is the incremental functionality from the Quanti acquisition? - The acquisition is expected to enhance pricing and rating capabilities, providing flexibility for insurers to adjust rates and strategies in real-time [91][92]
Guidewire Software Likely To Report Higher Q3 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
Benzinga· 2025-06-03 16:13
Group 1 - Guidewire Software, Inc. is set to release its third-quarter earnings results on June 3, with analysts expecting earnings of 47 cents per share, an increase from 26 cents per share in the same period last year [1] - The projected quarterly revenue for Guidewire Software is $286.39 million, compared to $240.68 million a year earlier [1] - On May 11, Guidewire announced a strategic cloud migration in partnership with Mitsui Direct to enhance claims innovation and digital growth [2] Group 2 - DA Davidson analyst downgraded Guidewire's stock from Buy to Neutral with a price target of $226 on May 22, 2025 [5] - JP Morgan analyst maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $228 to $231 on March 7, 2025 [5] - Goldman Sachs analyst maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target from $210 to $240 on February 10, 2025 [5]
Guidewire Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What Investors Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-02 14:01
Core Insights - Guidewire Software, Inc (GWRE) is expected to report third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with management projecting revenues between $283 million and $289 million, and a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $285.7 million, reflecting an 18.7% year-over-year increase [1][3] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 46 cents, unchanged over the past 60 days, compared to 26 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1][3] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - GWRE anticipates subscription and support revenues of $178 million and services revenues of $52 million, with modest sequential growth in subscription revenues due to three fewer calendar days in the quarter [5][7] - Non-GAAP operating income is projected to be between $36 million and $42 million, with subscription gross margin expected to be 68-69% [7][8] Market Performance and Growth Drivers - GWRE has experienced a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 40.2% on average, and its shares have increased by 96.1% over the past year, outperforming the Internet-Software industry's growth of 35% [3][4] - The company's performance is likely supported by strong demand for cloud-based solutions and a robust deal volume, particularly among Tier 1 insurers, as well as increasing international momentum in regions like Asia Pacific and Europe [3][4][6] Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and Margins - For Q3 fiscal 2025, ARR is expected to be between $942 million and $947 million, with an estimate of $944.6 million [8] - The non-GAAP gross margin for subscription and support is anticipated to be 68.7%, with operating income estimated at $39 million, representing an 87.8% year-over-year increase [9] Challenges and Considerations - The company faces challenges from increasing investments in product enhancements and potential impacts from global macroeconomic conditions and inflation, which may affect license revenues due to the migration of on-premise customers to the cloud [9][10]
Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Guidewire Software (GWRE) Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Guidewire Software (GWRE) is expected to report significant growth in earnings and revenues for the upcoming quarter, with analysts projecting earnings of $0.46 per share and revenues of $285.72 million, reflecting year-over-year increases of 76.9% and 18.7% respectively [1] Earnings Projections - Analysts predict quarterly earnings of $0.46 per share, marking a 76.9% increase from the same period last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' projections [1] Revenue Estimates - Total revenues are forecasted to be $285.72 million, representing an 18.7% year-over-year increase [1] - 'Revenue- Subscription and support' is expected to reach $178.14 million, a 29.1% increase from the prior year [4] - 'Subscription Revenue' is projected at $162.74 million, indicating a 35.1% increase from the previous year [4] - 'Revenues- License' is estimated to be $55.33 million, reflecting a slight decrease of 1.6% from the prior year [4] Service and Support Revenue - 'Revenues- Services' is projected to be $52.00 million, showing an 11.8% year-over-year increase [5] - 'Support Revenue' is expected to decline to $15.41 million, a decrease of 12.2% from the previous year [5] - 'Term License Revenue' is estimated at $54.48 million, indicating a 1% decrease year-over-year [5] Annual Recurring Revenue - The consensus estimate for 'Annual recurring revenue' stands at $944.40 million, up from $828 million a year ago [6] Gross Profit Estimates - 'Gross profit- Subscription and support' is expected to be $120.51 million, compared to $86.79 million reported in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Gross profit- License' is projected to reach $54.87 million, slightly down from $55.37 million reported in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Guidewire Software shares have increased by 1.9% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has risen by 6.7% [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [7]
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 01:03
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) finished at $918 million, reflecting strong sequential additions with a net new ARR of $45 million [24][25] - Total revenue was $289 million, up 20% year over year, exceeding the high end of the outlook [26] - Subscription and support revenue reached $178 million, showing a 35% year over year growth [26] - Gross profit was $189 million, representing a 25% year over year growth, with an overall gross margin of 65% [27] - Operating profit for the quarter was $54 million, ahead of expectations due to higher gross profit and lower operating expenses [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Closed twelve cloud deals in Q2, including four full insurance suite deals and six cloud migrations [13][15] - Services revenue finished at $48 million, aligning with expectations, while services gross margin improved to 6% from negative 11% a year ago [26][27] - The company welcomed five new customers, including one in Brazil and one in Belgium, indicating geographical expansion [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales activity was concentrated in North America and Europe, with about a third of deals in Europe [16] - The company noted strong growth in cloud deployments, with 26,000 Guidewire-focused practitioners across 38 system integrators [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transition 100% of its on-prem customer base to its cloud platform, emphasizing the importance of modern systems for agility and competitiveness in the insurance industry [12][51] - The Guidewire Marketplace now has over 500 applications, indicating a robust ecosystem for cloud applications [20] - The company is focused on maintaining a high-functioning insurance market, especially in light of recent catastrophic events [10][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the property and casualty insurance industry despite recent catastrophes [17] - The company raised its ARR outlook for fiscal year 2025 to between $1 billion and $1.01 billion, reflecting a growth of 16% to 17% year over year [34] - Management highlighted the importance of generative AI and machine learning in enhancing productivity and efficiency within the insurance sector [73][76] Other Important Information - The company retired an additional $100 million of its 2025 convertible notes, limiting share dilution risk [30][33] - Operating cash flow ended the quarter at $86 million, ahead of expectations due to strong collections [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much adaptability and interoperability comes into play in conversations with carriers? - Management noted that modern platforms bring agility to operations, enabling better management of indemnity and expense ratios [50][51] Question: How do you balance margin outperformance with reinvestment opportunities? - Management emphasized a focus on growth while maintaining margin expansion, with plans for increased hiring in targeted investment areas [56][58] Question: How do you view the situation with state-backed property insurers? - Management stated that these insurers operate similarly to traditional insurance companies and expressed excitement about serving this segment [137][140] Question: What is the outlook for services gross margins? - Management indicated that while they expect some improvement in services margins, the primary focus remains on ensuring successful software implementations [92][94] Question: How is the cloud conversation evolving across geographical footprints? - Management observed a step-up in cloud deals globally, with successful implementations across various regions [111][113]