Evaluating Reversal Potential in Niche Alternative ETFs Alternative ETFs sit at an unusual intersection of public-market accessibility and hedge-fund-style investment techniques. They package managed futures, merger arbitrage, and option-based income strategies into exchange-traded products, yet they remain thinly traded and relatively niche compared to mainstream equity or bond ETFs. This combination makes them intriguing: they offer exposure to alternative risk premia, and their limited liquidity raises p ...

To ensure this doesn’t happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser.If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh. ...

Core Viewpoint - The tech sector, despite a year-to-date decline of nearly 1.8% in the Nasdaq-100 Index, remains a vital investment area, with strong fundamentals and growth potential, particularly in disruptive technologies like AI and robotics [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq-100 Index has experienced a five-year gain of over 82%, indicating a robust long-term performance despite recent fluctuations [1]. - The tech sector has shown strong returns of 23.33% over the last year and a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 14% [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Bank of America Research emphasizes the importance of maintaining exposure to disruptive themes such as AI and robotics, which are accessible through ETFs like QQQ and QQQM [1]. - The tech sector's forecasted earnings growth rate for 2026 is the highest among all sectors, justifying the high valuations of some leading ETFs [1]. Group 3: Semiconductor Sector Insights - The Invesco ETFs, while not dedicated chip ETFs, include a variety of semiconductor stocks, which are in high demand due to the growth of AI and the need for advanced computing [1]. - Analyst Vivek Arya notes that the transition from training to inference in AI is increasing demand for leading-edge chips, while supply remains tight in areas like memory and optics [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF (CSD) has notable disadvantages that lead to a recommendation of "Hold" despite its recent impressive performance [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The individual investor and writer, Vasily Zyryanov, employs various techniques to identify underpriced equities with strong upside potential and overappreciated companies with inflated valuations [1] - Zyryanov focuses on the energy sector, including oil & gas supermajors, mid-cap, and small-cap exploration & production companies, as well as oilfield services firms [1] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of assessing Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital for deeper insights beyond simple profit and sales analysis [1] Group 2: Market Perspective - While favoring underappreciated and misunderstood equities, Zyryanov acknowledges that some growth stocks may deserve their premium valuations [1] - The primary goal for investors is to investigate whether the market's current opinion on a stock is accurate [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance and mechanics of covered call ETFs, particularly focusing on QYLD and its relationship with the Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) [1][2][6] - It highlights the income generation aspect of covered call ETFs while also addressing the potential downside risks when the underlying index does not perform well over extended periods [4][14] Performance Comparison - Over the past 12 months, QQQ has returned approximately 12%, while QYLD has yielded about 6%, which includes the impact of "principal drag" due to the strategy of writing covered calls [1][2] - QYLD offers a yield of more than 11%, which has helped offset its price decline, demonstrating the trade-off between immediate income and long-term capital appreciation [2][3] Market Context - The article emphasizes that covered call ETFs are popular but often do not enhance returns or significantly reduce major loss risks, typically capturing 80% to 95% of both the upside and downside of the underlying index [6][14] - The bond market has provided evidence of the risks associated with equity covered call ETFs, particularly through the analysis of TLT and TLTW, showcasing the importance of hedging strategies [7][11] Hedging Strategies - To mitigate risks associated with covered call ETFs, the article suggests pairing them with inverse ETFs, such as TBF, to offset price risks while still generating income [7][8] - A tactical management approach is recommended, allowing for dynamic allocation between the covered call ETF and the inverse ETF based on market conditions [8][9] Conclusion - The article concludes that while covered call ETFs can be beneficial in challenging market environments, active management and hedging strategies are essential for optimizing performance and managing risks [14]

I last reviewed the Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF ( XSMO ) on July 15, 2025, when I rated it a "buy" on account of its outstanding GARP features and relatively high quality. Since that article was published, XSMO has gained 17.41%, outpacingThe Sunday Investor is focused exclusively on U.S. Equity ETFs. He has a strong analytical background, has received a Certificate of Advanced Investment Advice from the Canadian Securities Institute, and has completed all the educational requirements for the Chartere ...

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF (NASDAQ: KBWY) aims to provide above-average income yield by investing in smaller real estate investment trusts (REITs) and weighting them by yield to generate significant dividend income for investors [1][6]. Group 1: ETF Overview - The Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF currently holds more than 30 REITs, with its five largest holdings being Innovative Industrial Properties (5.77% allocation, $1.3 billion market cap, 16.4% dividend yield), Community Healthcare Trust (5.59% allocation, $486.6 million market cap, 11.2% dividend yield), Global Net Lease (4.40% allocation, $2.1 billion market cap, 7.9% dividend yield), Gladstone Commercial (4.40% allocation, $665.7 million market cap, 9.8% dividend yield), and Alexandria Real Estate Equities (4.01% allocation, $9.2 billion market cap, 8.8% dividend yield) [5]. - The REITs in this ETF have yields more than double the sector's average of around 4%, and the fund has provided a lucrative income stream with distributions yielding over 9% in the last 12 months [6]. Group 2: Performance Analysis - Despite the high income yield, the total return of the fund has been disappointing, with a total return of -0.4% over the past year and an average annual total return of 4% since inception in December 2010, underperforming both the S&P 500 and the overall REIT sector [7]. Group 3: Market Sensitivity - REITs, particularly higher-yielding ones, are highly sensitive to interest rates. Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs, making it more expensive for REITs to refinance debt and fund expansion initiatives [8]. - Smaller REITs face even higher borrowing costs due to typically lower credit ratings, and higher rates make lower-risk fixed-income investments more attractive, leading to a decrease in the value of higher-risk income investments like commercial real estate [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco SmallCap Momentum ETF (XSMO) has demonstrated strong performance, returning 17.06% over the past year and 52.65% over five years, significantly outperforming its benchmarks, indicating the effectiveness of momentum strategies in small-cap investing [1]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - XSMO returned 17.06% over the past year, surpassing the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) at 16.19% and the SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF (SPSM) at 13.02% [1]. - Over five years, XSMO achieved a gain of 52.65%, compared to SPSM's 34.46%, highlighting the persistence of momentum factor performance [1]. Group 2: Portfolio Composition - XSMO holds a significant concentration in Industrials at 29.2%, Financials at 16%, and Consumer Discretionary at 15.6%, which are sectors that typically perform well during economic expansions [1]. - The fund applies a momentum screen to the S&P SmallCap 600 universe, focusing on approximately 120 stocks with strong price and earnings trends [1]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - XSMO is designed as a tactical small-cap growth allocation for investors who believe that recent winners will continue to outperform [1]. - The fund's annual expense ratio is 0.36%, which is reasonable for a factor-based strategy, and it has $2.2 billion in assets, indicating strong institutional interest and liquidity [1]. Group 4: Risks and Considerations - The momentum strategy can lead to increased volatility, with potential for swift reversals in performance [1]. - The fund's near-30% weighting in Industrials presents a sector concentration risk compared to broader small-cap indexes [1].

The bond market’s consensus view that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice more this year is at odds with US economic resilience, say portfolio managers at Invesco and Carmignac, who are betting against Treasuries https://t.co/KyJbK7mLth ...

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF (SPMO) has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 over the past three years while maintaining similar or lower downside risk during market downturns [2][7]. Performance Analysis - SPMO has beaten the S&P 500 year after year, demonstrating its effectiveness as a momentum-based investment strategy [2]. - The ETF has shown resilience during market corrections, with a drawdown of 19.12% in April 2025 compared to 20.52% for the S&P 500, and a loss of 28% during the COVID crash versus nearly 32% for the S&P 500 [8]. Investment Strategy - SPMO focuses on the 100 highest-momentum stocks within the S&P 500, allowing investors to capitalize on market winners [4][5]. - The ETF reconstitutes and rebalances semi-annually, which helps capture shifting market leadership without excessive turnover [6]. Market Trends - The ETF has adapted to changing market dynamics, moving from the "Magnificent 7" stocks to software stocks, and now towards targeted data center hardware and defensive names [5].