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Xylem shares slide after cautious 2026 outlook (XYL:NYSE)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-10 15:47
Core Viewpoint - Xylem Inc. (XYL) shares experienced a significant decline of up to 10% following the company's 2026 revenue guidance, which did not meet Wall Street expectations [3]. Company Summary - Xylem forecasts its 2026 revenue to be approximately $9.1 billion to $9.2 billion, indicating a shortfall compared to market expectations [3].
Xylem(XYL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-10 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share for both Q4 and the full year 2025, with Q4 revenue growing by 4% despite a challenging comparison of 7% growth in the same period last year [8][9] - Full-year revenue growth was solid at 5%, with EBITDA margin expanding by 160 basis points to 22.2% [9][12] - The company achieved a record quarterly EPS of $1.42, a 20% increase over the prior year, and maintained a strong balance sheet with net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 0.2x [9][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Measurement and Control Solutions (MCS), orders were up 22%, driven by smart metering demand, with revenue increasing by 10% [10][11] - Water Infrastructure saw orders down 1% in the quarter, with revenue flat due to strong demand in the U.S. offset by a nearly 30% decline in China [10][11] - Applied Water reported a 5% increase in orders and a 3% revenue growth, primarily driven by strength in U.S. commercial buildings [11] - Water Solutions and Services (WSS) experienced a 7% increase in orders and a 4% revenue growth, supported by strength in capital and services [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The backlog finished at $4.6 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio near 1 for both the quarter and the full year [8] - The company anticipates resilient demand in its largest end markets, with strong backlog conversion expected in 2026 [7][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is entering phase II of its transformation, focusing on strengthening its growth engine through sales force effectiveness, product management, and innovation [6][7] - Phase III will involve investing in long-term competitiveness, expanding breakthrough innovation, and deepening exposure to attractive future water markets [7] - The company is committed to simplifying its product offerings and focusing on higher-quality earnings, which may create short-term top-line headwinds [7][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in resilient demand and strong backlog conversion, despite acknowledging challenges in project timing and market conditions, particularly in China [12][51] - The company expects to see sequential revenue improvement throughout 2026 as project kickoffs accelerate in the latter half of the year [12][13] - Management highlighted the importance of water as a foundational element for economic growth and the company's unique position in providing solutions across the water value chain [18][19] Other Important Information - The company is committed to maintaining a low double-digit free cash flow margin in its long-term financial framework [16] - The anticipated divestiture of the international metering business is expected to close at the end of Q1 2026, with a small EPS impact of $0.02-$0.03 [72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide a two-year progress report on margin improvement and portfolio optimization? - Management noted significant progress in operational model transformation and integration of Evoqua, achieving synergies 18 months early and improving employee engagement ratings [26][28] Question: Can you elaborate on the 80/20 walk-away revenues? - Management explained that the 80/20 initiative is becoming integral to operations, focusing on resource allocation and simplifying the business, which may lead to a 2% headwind in revenue for 2026 [31][32] Question: When will the 80/20 initiative start benefiting the company? - Management indicated that 2026 is seen as an inflection point, with expectations of building a growth engine and improving sales force effectiveness [39] Question: What are the plans for share buybacks or M&A? - Management stated that priorities include investing in core business and M&A, with a target of around $1 billion a year for capital deployment towards M&A [40][41] Question: Can you provide context on the backlog and project hesitancy? - Management acknowledged that project timing and local competition in China have impacted backlog and revenue guidance, but expressed confidence in the commercial funnel [48][51] Question: What is the outlook for smart meters and project delays? - Management remains confident in MCS achieving high single-digit growth long-term, attributing near-term challenges to project timing and backlog normalization [56][58]
Xylem(XYL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-10 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share for both Q4 and the full year 2025, with revenue growth of 4% in Q4 and 5% for the full year [8][9] - Full-year EBITDA margin expanded by 160 basis points to 22.2%, with quarterly EBITDA margin at 23.2%, up 220 basis points year-over-year [9] - The company achieved a record quarterly EPS of $1.42, representing a 20% increase over the prior year [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Measurement and Control Solutions (MCS) saw orders up 22% in Q4, driven by smart metering demand, with revenue up 10% [10] - Water Infrastructure orders were down 1% in Q4, with revenue flat due to strong U.S. demand offset by a nearly 30% decline in China [10] - Applied Water orders increased by 5%, with revenues up 3%, primarily driven by strength in U.S. commercial buildings [11] - Water Solutions and Services (WSS) experienced a 7% increase in orders and 4% revenue growth, supported by strength in capital and services [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The backlog finished at $4.6 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio near 1 for both the quarter and the full year [8] - The company noted resilient demand in its largest end markets, with strong backlog conversion expected [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is in phase two of its transformation, focusing on strengthening its growth engine through sales force effectiveness, product management, and innovation [6] - The strategy includes purposeful walkaways from lower-quality revenue to drive higher-quality earnings, which may create short-term top-line headwinds [7] - The company aims to build on its core franchises and expand breakthrough innovation while deepening exposure to attractive future water markets [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in resilient demand and strong commercial positioning despite broader market conditions and volatility [17] - The company anticipates a challenging first quarter in 2026, with expectations for sequential revenue improvement throughout the year [12][13] - Management highlighted the importance of water as a foundational element for economic growth and the need for innovative solutions in the water sector [18][19] Other Important Information - The company is committed to a long-term financial framework with a low double-digit free cash flow margin [16] - The divestiture of the international metering business is expected to close at the end of Q1 2026, with a small EPS impact of $0.02-$0.03 [72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide a two-year progress report on margin improvement and portfolio optimization? - Management highlighted significant progress in operational model transformation and employee engagement, with a focus on leveraging simplicity for growth [26][30] Question: Why is the 80/20 walk-away revenue accelerating into the second year? - Management explained that the 80/20 approach is becoming integral to operations, focusing on resource allocation and optimizing overhead to support long-term growth [32][33] Question: When will the 80/20 strategy shift from a headwind to a tailwind? - Management indicated that 2026 is seen as an inflection point, with efforts to improve sales force effectiveness and customer engagement [38] Question: What are the plans for share buybacks versus M&A? - Management stated that priorities include investing in core business and M&A, with share buybacks being opportunistic [40][41] Question: What is the status of the backlog and project timing? - Management noted that project timing has been variable, impacting backlog and revenue guidance for 2026, but expressed confidence in the commercial funnel [48][49] Question: What steps are being taken regarding the softness in the China market? - Management acknowledged challenges in China, focusing on higher-quality opportunities and restructuring operations to align with market conditions [50][51] Question: Can you elaborate on the smart meters market and project delays? - Management remains confident in MCS's long-term growth, attributing near-term challenges to project timing and backlog normalization [56][58]
Xylem(XYL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-10 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share for both Q4 and the full year 2025, with revenue growth of 4% in Q4 and 5% for the full year [8][9] - Full-year EBITDA margin expanded by 160 basis points to 22.2%, with quarterly EBITDA margin at 23.2%, up 220 basis points year-over-year [9] - The company achieved a record quarterly EPS of $1.42, representing a 20% increase over the prior year [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Measurement and Control Solutions (MCS) saw orders up 22% in Q4, driven by smart metering demand, with revenue up 10% [10] - Water Infrastructure orders were down 1% in Q4, with revenue flat due to strong demand in the U.S. offset by a nearly 30% decline in China [10] - Applied Water orders increased by 5%, with revenues up 3%, primarily driven by strength in U.S. commercial buildings [11] - Water Solutions and Services (WSS) reported a 7% increase in orders and 4% revenue growth, with an EBITDA margin of 23.9%, up 110 basis points year-over-year [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The backlog finished at $4.6 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio near 1 for both the quarter and the full year [8] - The company anticipates resilient demand in its largest end markets, despite short-term headwinds from strategic walkaways from lower-quality revenue [6][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is entering phase two of its transformation, focusing on strengthening its growth engine through sales force effectiveness, product management, and innovation [5][6] - Phase three will involve investing in long-term competitiveness and expanding into attractive future water markets [6] - The company is committed to simplifying its product offerings and enhancing customer focus, which may create short-term top-line headwinds but aims to drive higher-quality earnings [6][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in resilient demand and strong backlog conversion, expecting to build on commercial and operational momentum in 2026 [6][17] - The company is monitoring broader market conditions, including tariffs, but maintains a positive outlook for the year [17] - Management highlighted the importance of water as a foundational element for economic growth and the need for innovative solutions in the water sector [18][19] Other Important Information - The company plans to close the divestiture of its international metering business by the end of Q1 2026, with an EPS impact of $0.02-$0.03 [72] - The company is targeting around $1 billion a year for capital deployment towards M&A, focusing on small to medium bolt-on acquisitions [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide a two-year progress report on margin improvement and portfolio optimization? - Management acknowledged significant progress in operational model transformation and integration of Evoqua, with early delivery of synergies [26][28] Question: Why is the 80/20 walk-away revenue increasing into the second year? - Management explained that the 80/20 approach is becoming integral to operations, focusing on resource allocation and optimizing overhead to support long-term growth [32][33] Question: When will the 80/20 actions transition from a headwind to a tailwind? - Management indicated that 2026 is an inflection point, with expectations for improved sales force effectiveness and customer focus [40] Question: What is the outlook for the backlog and project hesitancy? - Management noted that the backlog is healthy but acknowledged project delays due to various factors, including inflation and project scope changes [50][68] Question: What are the expectations for smart meters and project delays? - Management remains confident in MCS achieving high single-digit growth long-term, attributing near-term challenges to project timing and backlog normalization [58] Question: What is the impact of divestitures on EPS? - The divestiture of the international metering business is expected to have a small EPS impact of $0.02-$0.03 for the year [72]
Xylem (XYL) Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-10 14:06
分组1 - Xylem reported quarterly earnings of $1.42 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, and showing an increase from $1.18 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +0.35% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.4 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.86%, and up from $2.26 billion year-over-year [2] - Xylem has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters, indicating consistent performance [2] 分组2 - The stock has gained approximately 2.9% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.15 on revenues of $2.15 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.52 on revenues of $9.33 billion [7] - The Waste Removal Services industry, to which Xylem belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact stock performance [8]
Xylem(XYL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-10 14:00
2025 Fourth Quarter Results and Earnings February 10, 2026 Forward-looking and other statements in this presentation regarding our environmental and other sustainability efforts, plans and goals are not an indication that these statements are necessarily material to investors, to our business, operating results, financial condition, outlook, or strategy, to our impacts on sustainability matters or other parties, or are required to be disclosed in our filings with the SEC or other regulatory authorities, and ...
Xylem(XYL) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-02-10 12:02
Revenue and Earnings - Fourth-quarter revenue reached $2.4 billion, up 6% year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 20% to $1.42[3] - Full-year revenue for 2025 was $9.0 billion, reflecting a 6% increase, with adjusted earnings per share of $5.08, up 19%[3] - The company initiated 2026 full-year revenue guidance of $9.1 to $9.2 billion, representing a 2% to 4% organic growth[3] - Orders for the fourth quarter totaled $2.4 billion, up 9% on a reported basis and 7% organically[3] - Xylem Inc. reported total revenue of $9,035 million for 2025, representing a 6% increase compared to $8,562 million in 2024[30] - For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, Xylem Inc. reported revenue of $2,397 million, a 6% increase from $2,256 million in the same quarter of 2024[30] - Year-to-date total revenue for 2025 reached $9,035 million, compared to $8,562 million in 2024, reflecting a 5.5% growth[32] - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was $2,397 million, a 6.3% increase from $2,256 million in Q4 2024[32] Profitability Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter was 23.2%, an increase of 220 basis points year-over-year, driven by productivity savings and strong price realization[4] - Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 22.9% to 23.3%, an increase of 70 to 110 basis points from 2025[6] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $557 million, maintaining an adjusted EBITDA margin of 23.2%[35] - The company reported a net income margin of 10.6% for the full year 2025, up from 10.4% in 2024[35] - Operating income for Q4 2025 was $456 million, up from $377 million in Q4 2024, resulting in an operating margin of 19.0% compared to 16.7%[32] Net Income and Dividends - Net income attributable to Xylem for the fourth quarter was $335 million, or $1.37 per share, with a net income margin of 14.0%[2] - Net income for 2025 reached $950 million, an increase of 6.7% from $890 million in 2024 and a significant rise from $609 million in 2023[16] - The Board of Directors declared a first-quarter dividend of $0.43 per share, an increase of 8%[5] - Dividends paid in 2025 amounted to $391 million, an increase from $350 million in 2024 and $299 million in 2023, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders[16] Cash Flow and Investments - Operating cash flow for 2025 was $1,241 million, slightly down from $1,263 million in 2024 but up from $837 million in 2023[16] - Free cash flow for 2025 was calculated as $910 million, derived from operating cash flow minus capital expenditures[24] - Capital expenditures in 2025 totaled $331 million, compared to $321 million in 2024 and $271 million in 2023, indicating ongoing investment in growth[16] - The company reported a net cash decrease from financing activities of $501 million in 2025, compared to $615 million in 2024[16] - Xylem's cash and cash equivalents at the end of 2025 were $1,479 million, up from $1,121 million in 2024, indicating improved liquidity[16] Segment Performance - Measurement and Control Solutions segment saw a revenue increase of 11%, reaching $2,086 million in 2025, up from $1,871 million in 2024[30] - The Applied Water segment experienced a revenue growth of 3%, totaling $1,849 million in 2025 compared to $1,793 million in 2024[30] - The company’s Water Solutions and Services segment reported a revenue increase of 5%, reaching $2,464 million in 2025, up from $2,343 million in 2024[30] Strategic Focus and Growth - The company emphasizes organic revenue growth, excluding impacts from foreign currency and acquisitions, to provide a clearer view of performance[19] - The company plans to continue focusing on strategic acquisitions and investments to drive future growth and enhance operational capabilities[18] - The company achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 99% for the year ended December 31, 2025, indicating strong order growth[28] - The company’s adjusted revenue growth, excluding acquisitions and divestitures, was 5% for 2025 compared to the previous year[30] Special Charges and Costs - Restructuring and realignment costs for Q4 2025 were $46 million, compared to $36 million in Q4 2024[33] - The company incurred special charges of $2 million related to acquisition and integration costs in Q4 2025, down from $15 million in Q4 2024[33] - The gain from the sale of businesses was $16 million in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of $40 million in Q4 2024[32] - Interest expense decreased to $6 million in Q4 2025 from $9 million in Q4 2024[32]
Badger Meter, Inc. (NYSE:BMI) Sees Optimistic Price Target Despite Earnings Miss
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-29 23:05
Core Viewpoint - Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) is a prominent player in the flow measurement and control products sector, particularly for water utilities, and is recognized for its innovative smart water solutions and advanced metering infrastructure projects [1] Financial Performance - BMI reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.14 for Q4 2025, which was 0.9% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate but an improvement from $1.04 in the previous year [3] - The company's quarterly net sales increased by 7.6% to $220.7 million, driven by a rise in utility water sales, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $230.8 million [3] - For the full year of 2025, BMI achieved sales of $916.7 million, marking an 11% increase from the previous year, with EPS rising approximately 13% to $4.79 compared to $4.23 in 2024 [4][6] - Despite missing earnings expectations, BMI delivered record sales, margin expansion, and cash flow for 2025 [5] Market Outlook - Scott Graham from Seaport Global set a price target of $220 for BMI, indicating a potential upside of 55.46% from its current trading price of $141.52 [2][6] - The current stock price of BMI is $141.62, reflecting a decrease of approximately 3.22%, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.17 billion [5]
Why Xylem (XYL) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 18:10
Core Insights - Xylem (XYL) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates in the upcoming quarterly report [1] Earnings Performance - Xylem has a strong history of surpassing earnings estimates, averaging a 10.51% beat over the last two quarters [2] - In the last reported quarter, Xylem achieved earnings of $1.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.24 per share by 10.48% [3] - For the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.26 per share against an expected $1.14 per share, resulting in a surprise of 10.53% [3] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Xylem have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [6] - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +0.88%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [9] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [9] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]
WEF Davos: CFI, Bharti show interest in setting up data centres in Karnataka
The Economic Times· 2026-01-21 15:31
Investment and Expansion Plans - Minister for Large and Medium Industries M B Patil engaged in high-level discussions with global company executives regarding investment and expansion plans during the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting in Davos [1][9] - CFI Technologies announced readiness to inaugurate a data centre in Bengaluru and expressed interest in expanding into tier-2 cities [2][9] - Bharti Enterprises has invested approximately Rs 13,000 crore in Karnataka and discussed plans for an additional data centre in the state [2][9] Sector-Specific Investments - Philip Morris International is interested in investing in Karnataka for the manufacturing of next-generation smoke-free products, identifying the state as its second-largest global procurement location [3][9] - Carlsberg Group confirmed a Rs 350-crore investment for bottling capacity and indicated plans for further expansion in Karnataka [4][9] - Bharat Forge Limited sought information on further investment opportunities aligned with Karnataka's industrial and manufacturing ecosystem [9] Research and Development Initiatives - Imperial College London is considering establishing a research and development centre in KWIN City and aims to expand research activities in collaboration with local higher education institutions [5][9] - The university currently operates an innovation hub in Bengaluru and collaborates with the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) [5][9] Renewable Energy and Technology Discussions - Discussions were held with ReNew Power regarding renewable energy generation and storage opportunities [6][9] - Xylem Inc engaged in talks about smart wastewater treatment and tertiary treated water plants for industrial areas [6][9] - Octopus Energy discussed vehicle-to-grid technology and digital solutions for grid management [6][9] Digital Infrastructure and Talent Pool - PayPal emphasized Karnataka's significance to its global operations, highlighting Bengaluru's talent pool and discussing AI-driven innovation and startup ecosystem collaboration [7][9] - Sify Technologies announced a new data centre facility in Karnataka set for imminent inauguration and explored opportunities for data centre development in tier-2 cities [7][9] Government Commitment - The Karnataka government reaffirmed its commitment to policy continuity, regulatory certainty, and full facilitation to ensure the timely execution of investments discussed at WEF [8][9]