[Selected Financial Highlights](index=3&type=section&id=Selected%20Financial%20Highlights) This section overviews Assured Guaranty's Q2 and H1 2025 financial performance, highlighting GAAP net income growth and key balance sheet metrics Q2 and H1 2025 vs 2024 GAAP Performance | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Income (attributable to AGL)** | $103M | $78M | $279M | $187M | | **Net Income per Diluted Share** | $2.08 | $1.41 | $5.54 | $3.31 | | **GAAP ROE (annualized for Qtr)** | 7.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | Q2 and H1 2025 vs 2024 Non-GAAP Performance | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Adjusted Operating Income** | $50M | $80M | $212M | $193M | | **Adjusted Operating Income per Diluted Share** | $1.01 | $1.44 | $4.21 | $3.41 | | **Adjusted Operating ROE (annualized for Qtr)** | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | Key Balance Sheet and Exposure Metrics | Metric | June 30, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Shareholders' Equity per Share** | $117.10 | $108.80 | | **Adjusted Book Value (ABV) per Share** | $176.95 | $170.12 | | **Financial Guaranty Net Par Outstanding** | $272.8B | $261.6B | | **Claims-Paying Resources** | $10.35B | $10.21B | - New business production in the Insurance Segment showed mixed results in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, with Gross Written Premiums (GWP) decreasing to **$85 million** from **$132 million**, and the Present Value of New Business Production (PVP) falling to **$64 million** from **$155 million**, while Gross Par Written increased to **$10.4 billion** from **$9.4 billion**[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)](index=5&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations%20(unaudited)) This section presents the company's detailed income statement for Q2 and H1 2025, showing significant revenue and net income growth from foreign exchange and fair value gains Consolidated Statement of Operations Summary | Line Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Revenues** | $281M | $202M | $626M | $447M | | **Total Expenses** | $151M | $113M | $320M | $238M | | **Net Income (loss) attributable to AGL** | $103M | $78M | $279M | $187M | | **Diluted Earnings Per Share** | $2.08 | $1.41 | $5.54 | $3.31 | - A significant driver of the revenue increase in H1 2025 was a **$116 million** foreign exchange gain, compared to a **$12 million** loss in H1 2024, with fair value gains on credit derivatives also increasing to **$105 million** in H1 2025 versus **$16 million** in H1 2024[14](index=14&type=chunk) [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)](index=6&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets%20(unaudited)) This section snapshots Assured Guaranty's financial position as of June 30, 2025, showing increased total assets and shareholders' equity from net income and reduced comprehensive loss Consolidated Balance Sheet Summary | Line Item | June 30, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Investments** | $8,569M | $8,663M | | **Total Assets** | $12,095M | $11,901M | | **Total Liabilities** | $6,366M | $6,348M | | **Total Shareholders' Equity attributable to AGL** | $5,633M | $5,495M | - The company's book value improved, with retained earnings decreasing slightly but a significant reduction in accumulated other comprehensive loss from **($385) million** to **($227) million**, contributing to the overall increase in shareholders' equity[16](index=16&type=chunk) [GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations](index=7&type=section&id=Selected%20Financial%20Highlights%20GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Reconciliations) This chapter details reconciliations of GAAP measures to non-GAAP Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Operating Shareholders' Equity, and Adjusted Book Value, removing non-economic fluctuations - To reconcile Net Income to Adjusted Operating Income for Q2 2025, the largest adjustment was the removal of a **$71 million** pre-tax foreign exchange gain on remeasurement of premiums receivable and loss reserves[18](index=18&type=chunk) Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value (ABV) | Line Item | June 30, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL** | $5,633M | $5,495M | | **Adjusted operating shareholders' equity** | $5,778M | $5,795M | | **Adjusted Book Value (ABV)** | $8,513M | $8,592M | - The primary additions to calculate ABV from adjusted operating shareholders' equity are the net deferred premium revenue on financial guaranty contracts (**$3,409 million**) and adjustments for deferred acquisition costs and future revenue[24](index=24&type=chunk) [Income Components](index=10&type=section&id=Income%20Components) This section breaks down income by segment and division for Q2 and H1 2025, highlighting the Insurance segment as the primary operating income contributor Income Breakdown by Segment (Q2 2025) | Segment/Division | Total (Net Income Contribution) | | :--- | :--- | | **Insurance** | $76M | | **Asset Management** | $4M | | **Corporate** | $(29)M | | **Other** | $(1)M | | **Reconciling Items** | $53M | | **Consolidated Total** | $103M | - For the six months ended June 30, 2025, the Insurance segment generated **$244 million** and the Asset Management segment generated **$16 million** towards the consolidated net income of **$279 million**, before corporate expenses and other items[30](index=30&type=chunk) [Investment Portfolio](index=14&type=section&id=Investment%20Portfolio) This section details Assured Guaranty's investment portfolio composition, performance, and income, showing a conservatively managed portfolio primarily in investment-grade securities [Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash](index=14&type=section&id=Fixed-Maturity%20Securities,%20Short-Term%20Investments%20and%20Cash) This sub-chapter details the company's fixed-maturity securities, short-term investments, and cash, showing a portfolio primarily in investment-grade corporate and public securities Fixed-Maturity Securities (Available-for-Sale) by Rating | Rating | Fair Value | % of Portfolio | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | AAA/Aaa | $832M | 12.8% | | AA/Aa | $2,074M | 31.9% | | A/A | $1,591M | 24.5% | | BBB | $1,091M | 16.8% | | BIG | $544M | 8.4% | | Not rated | $328M | 5.0% | | **Total** | **$6,498M** | **100.0%** | - The total portfolio of fixed-maturity securities, short-term investments, and cash had a fair value of **$7.738 billion** with an average after-tax book yield of **3.81%** and a duration of **4.1 years**[37](index=37&type=chunk)[39](index=39&type=chunk) [Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs](index=15&type=section&id=Investment%20Portfolio,%20Cash%20and%20CIVs) This part shows the allocation of the investment portfolio, cash, and CIVs across subsidiaries, with most assets held within insurance-related entities - As of June 30, 2025, insurance-related subsidiaries held **$8.07 billion** of the total **$8.87 billion** investment portfolio and cash, while holding companies held **$779 million**[42](index=42&type=chunk) - The company's alternative investments (excluding its ownership interest in Sound Point) have demonstrated strong performance, with an inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) of **13%**[44](index=44&type=chunk) [Income from Investment Portfolio and CIVs](index=17&type=section&id=Income%20from%20Investment%20Portfolio%20and%20CIVs) This sub-chapter details income from the investment portfolio by segment and type, with the Insurance segment being the primary generator of net investment income Income from Investments by Source (Q2 2025) | Source | Insurance Segment | Corporate | Total | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Investment Income** | $89M | $3M | $89M | | **Equity in Earnings of Investees** | $2M | $3M | $3M | - For the six months ended June 30, 2025, total net investment income was **$176 million**, and equity in earnings of investees was **$56 million**, a significant increase from **$29 million** in the prior year period, largely driven by the performance of Sound Point and other funds[51](index=51&type=chunk) [Insurance Segment](index=20&type=section&id=Insurance%20Segment) This core section comprehensively reviews the Insurance segment's performance, claims-paying resources, new business production, and detailed insured portfolio composition and credit quality [Insurance Segment Results](index=21&type=section&id=Insurance%20Segment%20Results) This sub-chapter presents the Insurance segment's operating results, showing a decrease in adjusted operating income for Q2 2025 due to higher expenses Insurance Segment Operating Results | Line Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Segment Revenues** | $199M | $189M | $438M | $418M | | **Total Segment Expenses** | $105M | $70M | $169M | $155M | | **Segment Adjusted Operating Income** | $76M | $116M | $244M | $265M | [Claims-Paying Resources](index=22&type=section&id=Claims-Paying%20Resources) This section details the components of the company's claims-paying resources, which increased slightly to $10.35 billion as of June 30, 2025, underscoring robust capital Components of Claims-Paying Resources (As of June 30, 2025) | Component | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Qualified Statutory Capital** | $5,758M | | **Unearned Premium Reserve & Net Deferred Ceding Commission** | $3,003M | | **Present Value of Installment Premium** | $1,137M | | **CCS** | $400M | | **Other Reserves** | $52M | | **Total Claims-Paying Resources** | **$10,350M** | [New Business Production](index=23&type=section&id=New%20Business%20Production) This part details new business activity, reconciling GWP to PVP and showing quarterly trends, with Q2 2025 PVP at $64 million on $10.4 billion gross par written New Business Production Summary | Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total GWP** | $85M | $132M | $120M | $193M | | **Total PVP** | $64M | $155M | $103M | $218M | | **Gross Par Written** | $10,396M | $9,423M | $15,398M | $13,166M | - Quarterly PVP has been volatile, with Q2 2025 (**$64 million**) showing a recovery from Q1 2025 (**$39 million**) but remaining significantly below the levels of Q2 2024 (**$155 million**)[68](index=68&type=chunk) [Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Future Revenues](index=26&type=section&id=Estimated%20Net%20Exposure%20Amortization%20and%20Estimated%20Future%20Financial%20Guaranty%20Net%20Premium%20and%20Credit%20Derivative%20Revenues) This page projects future amortization of insured net debt service and recognition of premium and credit derivative revenues from the in-force portfolio - The company has a total of **$3.67 billion** in deferred premium revenue from financial guaranty insurance and **$104 million** in future credit derivative revenues expected to be earned over the life of the in-force portfolio[74](index=74&type=chunk) [Loss Measures and Reserves](index=27&type=section&id=Loss%20Measures%20and%20Reserves) This section details the company's loss experience, including the roll-forward of expected losses and projected expensing schedule, noting an increase in net expected loss - The roll-forward of net expected loss to be paid shows an increase from **$106 million** at the end of 2024 to **$186 million** as of June 30, 2025, driven by **$95 million** in net economic loss development in Public Finance, partially offset by a **$74 million** benefit in Structured Finance[78](index=78&type=chunk) - The total present value of net expected loss to be expensed over future periods is **$260 million**[86](index=86&type=chunk) [Financial Guaranty Profile](index=30&type=section&id=Financial%20Guaranty%20Profile) This extensive section details the insured portfolio as of June 30, 2025, including breakdowns by asset type, credit rating, geography, and specific below-investment-grade exposures Net Par Outstanding by Asset Type | Asset Type | June 30, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total U.S. Public Finance** | $208.7B | $201.2B | | **Total Non-U.S. Public Finance** | $53.1B | $49.2B | | **Total Structured Finance** | $10.9B | $11.2B | | **Total Net Par Outstanding** | **$272.8B** | **$261.6B** | - The insured portfolio remains predominantly investment grade, with **96.2%** of net par outstanding rated BBB or higher based on internal ratings, and below-investment-grade (BIG) exposure representing **3.8%** of the total[90](index=90&type=chunk) - Geographically, the portfolio is concentrated in the U.S. (**79.5%**), with the United Kingdom being the largest non-U.S. exposure at **16.3%** of the total net par outstanding[94](index=94&type=chunk) [Asset Management Segment](index=45&type=section&id=Asset%20Management%20Segment) This section covers the Asset Management segment's financial results, showing significant growth in adjusted operating income for H1 2025 driven by higher revenues and equity in earnings [Asset Management Results](index=46&type=section&id=Asset%20Management%20Results) This sub-chapter presents the Asset Management segment's operating results, showing significant adjusted operating income growth for H1 2025 due to strong investment performance Asset Management Segment Operating Results | Line Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Segment Revenues** | $15M | $7M | $21M | $8M | | **Equity in Earnings (losses)** | $(1)M | $(3)M | $12M | $(2)M | | **Segment Adjusted Operating Income** | $4M | $0M | $16M | $1M | [Corporate Division](index=47&type=section&id=Corporate%20Division) This section details the Corporate division's results, primarily holding company activities and expenses, consistently reporting an operating loss that improved in H1 2025 [Corporate Division Results](index=48&type=section&id=Corporate%20Results) This sub-chapter shows the Corporate division's revenues and expenses, reporting an improved adjusted operating loss for Q2 and H1 2025 due to lower expenses Corporate Division Operating Results | Line Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Expenses** | $39M | $44M | $79M | $91M | | **Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)** | $(29)M | $(35)M | $(49)M | $(72)M | [Other](index=49&type=section&id=Other) This section details the financial impact of consolidating FG VIEs and CIVs, along with intersegment eliminations, which typically have a minor net impact on adjusted operating income [Other Results](index=50&type=section&id=Other%20Results) This sub-chapter breaks down the 'Other' category, showing a minor adjusted operating loss for Q2 2025 and a positive contribution for H1 2025 - The "Other" category, which reflects the consolidation of FG VIEs, CIVs, and intersegment eliminations, resulted in an adjusted operating loss of **($1) million** for the three months ended June 30, 2025[135](index=135&type=chunk) [Summary](index=52&type=section&id=Summary) This final section provides high-level summary tables of financial and statistical data and non-GAAP reconciliations from 2021 through H1 2025, offering historical context [Summary of Financial and Statistical Data](index=53&type=section&id=Summary%20of%20Financial%20and%20Statistical%20Data) This sub-chapter presents a historical summary of key GAAP and statutory financial data from 2021 through H1 2025, enabling trend analysis of core metrics - The company's financial guaranty net par outstanding has steadily grown from **$236.4 billion** at year-end 2021 to **$272.8 billion** as of June 30, 2025[140](index=140&type=chunk) - Total claims-paying resources have remained relatively stable, standing at **$10.35 billion** at June 30, 2025, compared to **$11.22 billion** at year-end 2021[140](index=140&type=chunk) [Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations](index=55&type=section&id=Summary%20of%20GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Reconciliations) This sub-chapter provides historical reconciliations for key non-GAAP measures like PVP, Adjusted Operating Income, and ABV from 2021 through H1 2025 Historical Adjusted Book Value (ABV) per Share | Date | ABV per Share | | :--- | :--- | | **June 30, 2025** | $176.95 | | **Dec 31, 2024** | $170.12 | | **Dec 31, 2023** | $155.92 | | **Dec 31, 2022** | $141.98 | | **Dec 31, 2021** | $130.67 | [Glossary](index=57&type=section&id=Glossary) This section provides definitions for key terms and concepts used throughout the financial supplement, including financial guaranty insurance terminology and performance indicators [Non-GAAP Financial Measures](index=60&type=section&id=Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures) This section explains the non-GAAP financial measures used by the company, detailing their rationale and specific adjustments from comparable GAAP measures

Core Insights - The Royce Small-Cap Trust is a closed-end diversified management investment company focused on long-term capital growth by investing primarily in small-cap and micro-cap companies [10][8] - As of June 30, 2025, the Fund's net asset value (NAV) is $16.74, while the market price (MKT) is $15.05, indicating a potential discount for investors [1] - The Fund's average annual total return for the one-year period is 10.37% for NAV and 13.43% for MKT, showing strong performance relative to the market [1] Performance Metrics - The Fund's average annual total return as of June 30, 2025, includes: - One-Month: NAV 4.56%, MKT 3.31% - Year to Date: NAV 2.57%, MKT -0.84% - Three-Year: NAV 13.54%, MKT 11.33% - Five-Year: NAV 12.18%, MKT 12.78% - Ten-Year: NAV 9.46%, MKT 9.82% [1] - The Fund's net assets total $2.00 billion, with an average market capitalization of $3.06 billion [4] Portfolio Composition - The top ten positions in the Fund account for the following percentages of net assets: - IES Holdings: 1.8% - Assured Guaranty: 1.5% - SEI Investments: 1.4% - Other notable positions include PAR Technology, E-L Financial, and APi Group, each contributing between 1.0% and 1.3% [7][9] - The Fund's sector allocation is as follows: - Industrials: 24.4% - Financials: 23.3% - Information Technology: 14.5% - Health Care: 9.9% - Consumer Discretionary: 9.6% [10] Investment Strategy - The Fund aims to invest at least 65% of its assets in equity securities of small- and micro-cap companies, which may involve higher risks compared to larger-cap investments [10][3] - The Fund's investment adviser has over 50 years of experience in small- and micro-cap investments, indicating a strong expertise in this niche market [8]

Financial Highlights - As of March 31, 2025, Assured Guaranty's net par outstanding was $2636 billion[8] - The company's total investment portfolio and cash amounted to $88 billion[8] - Claims-paying resources totaled $103 billion as of March 31, 2025[8, 10] New Business Activity (Q1 2025) - Assured Guaranty insured $5 billion of aggregate par[49] - The company generated $39 million of aggregate PVP[51] - The average premium rate (PVP to gross par written) was 078%[51] U S Public Finance (Q1 2025) - U S public finance insured $4 billion of total par[55] - U S public finance PVP was $25 million[55] - Assured Guaranty insured 64% of par of all primary insured deals[55] Alternative Investments - As of March 31, 2025, the value of alternative investments was $892 million[73] - The inception-to-date return on alternative investments was 13%[73] Insured Portfolio - BIG (Below Investment Grade) exposure is $95 billion, representing 36% of the total net par outstanding[91, 95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted operating income per share for Q1 2025 was $3.18, a 62% increase from $1.96 in Q1 2024 [6][19] - Adjusted operating shareholders' equity reached $117.4 and adjusted book value was $172.79 per share [6][23] - Total investment income from alternative investments was $59 million, the highest quarterly level to date [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New business production in Q1 2025 was $39 million of PVP, with U.S. Public Finance contributing approximately 65% [6][12] - Assured Guaranty captured 64% of the primary market insured par sold in U.S. Municipal bond insurance [13] - Insured par sold increased by 23% to $4.7 billion compared to Q1 2024 [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average underlying credit quality of municipal transactions was rated single A, indicating higher credit quality [14] - Secondary market bond insurance activity increased significantly, producing $376 million of insured par, surpassing all of 2024 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase fee-based earnings through its 30% ownership interest in SoundPoint [9] - There is a focus on modernizing processes and technology for secondary market business to build a consistent transaction pipeline [15][18] - The company is expanding its product offerings and presence in Continental Europe, as evidenced by a transaction in France [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The current volatile market environment is expected to drive increased demand for the company's guarantees [10] - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand for financing in the municipal market despite economic uncertainties [44] - The company anticipates that stronger credits will continue to enter the market, reflecting ongoing demand [45] Other Important Information - A pretax gain of $103 million was recognized from litigation with Lehman Brothers International [8][19] - The company repurchased 1.3 million shares for $120 million at an average price of $89.72 per share [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: What likelihood is placed on a haircut to the debt for Thames Water? - Management indicated that reserves are assessed based on various scenarios and probabilities, with a focus on being senior creditors [26][32] Question: How do tariffs potentially impact credits wrapped by the company? - Management noted that the situation is fluid and emphasized a wait-and-see approach, highlighting increased municipal issuance as a positive sign [34][35] Question: Does the higher-rated credit issuance in Q1 change the outlook for normalized PVP to par? - Management stated that the current market volatility led to higher-rated issuances, but it does not change the overall outlook for the year [41][42] Question: What is the competitive environment in the secondary market? - Management confirmed that there is one other competitor in the secondary market, but they focus on a smaller segment compared to Assured Guaranty [46] Question: What contributed to the stronger performance in the asset management segment? - Management explained that earnings in the asset management business are often back-end loaded, reflecting strong performance from SoundPoint in the previous quarter [49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted operating income per share for Q1 2025 was $3.18, a 62% increase from $1.96 in Q1 2024 [6][20] - Adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share reached over $117, and adjusted book value per share exceeded $172 [25] - Total first quarter investment income from alternative investments was $59 million, the highest quarterly level to date [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New business production in Q1 2025 was $39 million of PVP, with U.S. Public Finance contributing approximately 65% [6][7] - Assured Guaranty captured 64% of the primary market insured par sold and 58% of the insured transaction count in U.S. Municipal bond insurance [14] - Insured par sold increased by 23% to $4.7 billion compared to Q1 2024 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average underlying credit quality of municipal transactions was rated single A, indicating higher credit quality and lower risk [15] - Secondary market bond insurance activity increased significantly, producing $376 million of insured par, surpassing all of 2024 [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase fee-based earnings through its 30% ownership in SoundPoint, which contributed $13 million to income in Q1 2025 [9][10] - The strategic focus includes expanding product applications and entering new territories, as evidenced by a recent transaction in France [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The current volatile market environment is expected to drive increased demand for the company's guarantees as investors seek reliable cash flow [11] - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business model and the potential for growth in both primary and secondary markets [11][45] Other Important Information - A pretax gain of $103 million was recognized from litigation with Lehman Brothers International, significantly impacting adjusted operating income [8][20] - The company repurchased 1.3 million shares for $120 million, reflecting strong capital management [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Likelihood of a haircut to Thames Water debt - Management indicated that reserves are assessed based on various scenarios and probabilities, with a focus on strong creditor positions [28][34] Question: Impact of tariffs on credits - Management noted the fluid situation regarding tariffs and emphasized a wait-and-see approach, highlighting increased municipal issuance as a positive sign [35][36] Question: Outlook on normalized PVP to par - Management stated that the first quarter's higher-rated credit issuance does not change the outlook for the year, with expectations for continued strong demand [41][45] Question: Competition in the secondary market - There is one other competitor in the secondary market, but the company focuses on a larger segment of the market [47] Question: Performance of the asset management segment - The asset management segment's earnings are typically back-end loaded, with strong performance expected in the first quarter due to prior quarter activities [50]

PART I Financial Information [Financial Statements](index=5&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Financial%20Statements) Q1 2025 net income surged to $176 million, driven by fair value gains and FX, with total assets at $11.94 billion and positive operating cash flow Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Highlights (As of March 31, 2025 vs. December 31, 2024) | Metric | March 31, 2025 ($M) | December 31, 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Investments** | 8,670 | 8,663 | | **Total Assets** | 11,938 | 11,901 | | **Total Liabilities** | 6,281 | 6,348 | | **Total Shareholders' Equity** | 5,657 | 5,553 | Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations Highlights (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Revenues** | 345 | 245 | | Net Earned Premiums | 91 | 119 | | Fair Value Gains on Credit Derivatives | 104 | 10 | | Foreign Exchange Gains (Losses) | 37 | (12) | | **Total Expenses** | 169 | 125 | | Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses | 40 | (1) | | **Net Income Attributable to AGL** | 176 | 109 | | **Diluted EPS** | $3.44 | $1.89 | Condensed Consolidated Cash Flow Summary (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Cash from Operating Activities** | 87 | (74) | | **Net Cash from Investing Activities** | 134 | 253 | | **Net Cash from Financing Activities** | (170) | (327) | | Repurchases of Common Shares | (120) | (129) | | Dividends Paid | (19) | (19) | - During Q1 2025, the company repurchased **1.34 million** common shares for **$120 million** and paid dividends of **$18 million** (**$0.34 per share**)[20](index=20&type=chunk) [Business and Basis of Presentation](index=11&type=section&id=1.%20Business%20and%20Basis%20of%20Presentation) Assured Guaranty operates in Insurance and Asset Management, providing credit protection and managing investments through Sound Point - The company provides credit protection products to public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets in the U.S. and internationally through its insurance subsidiaries[31](index=31&type=chunk)[32](index=32&type=chunk) - The company participates in the asset management business via its **~30% ownership** in Sound Point and has committed to invest **$1 billion** in Sound Point managed funds and vehicles[33](index=33&type=chunk)[34](index=34&type=chunk) [Segment Information](index=12&type=section&id=2.%20Segment%20Information) Q1 2025 saw Insurance segment adjusted operating income rise to $168 million and Asset Management to $12 million, with reduced corporate losses Segment Adjusted Operating Income (Loss) (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Segment | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Insurance** | 168 | 149 | | **Asset Management** | 12 | 1 | | **Corporate Division** | (20) | (37) | | **Other** | 2 | 0 | | **Total Adjusted Operating Income** | 180 | 150 | - The Chief Operating Decision Maker (CODM) primarily uses adjusted operating income to assess performance and allocate resources for each segment[43](index=43&type=chunk)[44](index=44&type=chunk) [Outstanding Exposure](index=16&type=section&id=3.%20Outstanding%20Exposure) Net par outstanding increased to $263.6 billion, with 96.4% investment grade and below-investment-grade exposure decreasing to $9.5 billion Financial Guaranty Portfolio - Net Par Outstanding | Category | March 31, 2025 ($M) | Dec 31, 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Public Finance | 252,531 | 250,375 | | Structured Finance | 11,060 | 11,177 | | **Total Net Par** | **263,591** | **261,552** | - The portfolio is heavily weighted towards investment-grade credits, with **96.4%** of net par outstanding rated BBB or higher as of March 31, 2025[81](index=81&type=chunk) Components of BIG Net Par Outstanding | Category | March 31, 2025 ($M) | Dec 31, 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | BIG 1 | 7,079 | 8,102 | | BIG 2 | 1,099 | 706 | | BIG 3 | 1,364 | 1,374 | | **Total BIG** | **9,542** | **10,182** | [Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered)](index=22&type=section&id=4.%20Expected%20Loss%20to%20be%20Paid%20(Recovered)) Net expected loss to be paid increased to $150 million, driven by public finance losses but offset by structured finance recoveries from LBIE litigation Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) Roll Forward - Q1 2025 | (in millions) | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Beginning Balance (Dec 31, 2024)** | **$106** | | Total Economic Loss Development (Benefit) | ($15) | | Net (Paid) Recovered Losses | $59 | | **Ending Balance (Mar 31, 2025)** | **$150** | - Economic loss development for public finance in Q1 2025 was primarily due to higher expected losses for Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) and U.K. regulated utilities exposures[120](index=120&type=chunk) - The economic benefit in structured finance was mainly driven by recoveries from the resolution of the LBIE litigation[116](index=116&type=chunk) - As of March 31, 2025, the company's only unresolved defaulting Puerto Rico exposure was PREPA, with net par outstanding of **$532 million**[124](index=124&type=chunk) [Contracts Accounted for as Insurance](index=32&type=section&id=5.%20Contracts%20Accounted%20for%20as%20Insurance) Net earned premiums decreased to $91 million in Q1 2025 due to fewer accelerations, while loss and LAE expense rose to $40 million Net Earned Premiums (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Category | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Scheduled Net Earned Premiums | 76 | 71 | | Accelerations from Refundings | 5 | 39 | | Accretion of Discount | 9 | 7 | | Specialty Net Earned Premiums | 1 | 2 | | **Total Net Earned Premiums** | **91** | **119** | Loss and LAE (Benefit) by Sector (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Sector | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Public Finance | 42 | (2) | | Structured Finance | (2) | 1 | | **Total Loss and LAE (Benefit)** | **40** | **(1)** | [Contracts Accounted for as Credit Derivatives](index=38&type=section&id=6.%20Contracts%20Accounted%20for%20as%20Credit%20Derivatives) Credit derivative net par was $3.76 billion, with Q1 2025 fair value gains of $104 million driven by a $103 million LBIE litigation resolution gain - In Q1 2025, the company recognized a realized gain of **$103 million** from the full satisfaction of the judgment in the LBIE litigation[204](index=204&type=chunk) Fair Value Gains (Losses) on Credit Derivatives (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Category | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Realized Gains (Losses) & Settlements | 105 | (1) | | Net Unrealized Gains (Losses) | (1) | 11 | | **Total Fair Value Gains (Losses)** | **104** | **10** | [Investments](index=40&type=section&id=7.%20Investments) The investment portfolio remained stable at $8.67 billion, generating $87 million in net investment income and $53 million in equity earnings from investees Investment Portfolio Carrying Value | Category | March 31, 2025 ($M) | Dec 31, 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale | 6,415 | 6,369 | | Fixed-maturity securities, trading | 137 | 147 | | Short-term investments | 1,158 | 1,221 | | Other invested assets | 960 | 926 | | **Total** | **8,670** | **8,663** | Income from Investments (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Category | Q1 2025 ($M) | Q1 2024 ($M) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Investment Income | 87 | 84 | | Equity in Earnings of Investees | 53 | 24 | | Fair Value Gains on Trading Securities | 1 | 26 | - As of March 31, 2025, the company had **$608 million** in unfunded commitments to alternative investments as part of its **$1.5 billion** total commitment[214](index=214&type=chunk) [Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles](index=45&type=section&id=8.%20Financial%20Guaranty%20Variable%20Interest%20Entities%20and%20Consolidated%20Investment%20Vehicles) The company consolidates 23 structured finance FG VIEs and one CIV, with their assets held separately and not available to general creditors - The company consolidates **23** structured finance FG VIEs, all of which are RMBS, for which it has elected the fair value option for all assets and liabilities[251](index=251&type=chunk) - As of March 31, 2025, one CIV was consolidated with assets of **$119 million**, consisting of investments with Sound Point affiliated entities[259](index=259&type=chunk) - The assets of consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs are held in separate legal entities and are not available to creditors of Assured Guaranty, and vice versa[248](index=248&type=chunk)[258](index=258&type=chunk) [Fair Value Measurement](index=48&type=section&id=9.%20Fair%20Value%20Measurement) As of March 31, 2025, $8.11 billion in assets and $197 million in liabilities were at fair value, with $1.42 billion of assets and all liabilities classified as Level 3 Fair Value Hierarchy (As of March 31, 2025) | (in millions) | Level 1 | Level 2 | Level 3 | Total | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Assets at Fair Value** | $1,222 | $5,467 | $1,421 | $8,110 | | **Liabilities at Fair Value** | $0 | $0 | $197 | $197 | - Level 3 assets are primarily composed of fixed-maturity securities (**$1,142M**), FG VIEs' assets (**$145M**), and assets of CIVs (**$118M**)[296](index=296&type=chunk) - Level 3 liabilities consist of FG VIEs' liabilities (**$163M**) and other liabilities including credit derivatives (**$34M**)[296](index=296&type=chunk) [Income Taxes](index=59&type=section&id=10.%20Income%20Taxes) The Q1 2025 effective tax rate was 18.9%, influenced by jurisdictional income distribution and the OECD Pillar Two minimum tax rule - The effective tax rate was **18.9%** for Q1 2025, compared to **21.4%** for Q1 2024[327](index=327&type=chunk) - The company is subject to the OECD Pillar Two income inclusion rule, requiring a minimum effective tax rate of **15%** in all jurisdictions of operation[323](index=323&type=chunk) - Bermuda enacted a **15%** corporate income tax effective for accounting periods starting on or after January 1, 2025[324](index=324&type=chunk) [Contingencies](index=60&type=section&id=11.%20Contingencies) The company is involved in ordinary course legal proceedings, including PREPA litigation, with no expected material adverse financial impact - Management believes the outcome of current litigation will not have a material adverse effect on the company's financial position[329](index=329&type=chunk) - The company is actively involved in legal actions concerning its insured exposure to PREPA in Puerto Rico[330](index=330&type=chunk) [Shareholders' Equity](index=61&type=section&id=12.%20Shareholders'%20Equity) The company repurchased 1.34 million shares for $120 million in Q1 2025, with $181 million remaining under authorization as of May 8, 2025 Share Repurchases | Period | Number of Shares | Total Payments ($M) | Average Price Paid | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Q1 2025** | 1,335,228 | 120 | $89.72 | | **Apr 1 - May 8, 2025** | 603,103 | 51 | $84.43 | - As of May 8, 2025, the remaining share repurchase authorization was approximately **$181 million**[338](index=338&type=chunk) [Earnings Per Share](index=63&type=section&id=13.%20Earnings%20Per%20Share) Basic EPS for Q1 2025 increased significantly to $3.49, with diluted EPS at $3.44, driven by higher net income Earnings Per Share (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Basic EPS** | $3.49 | $1.94 | | **Diluted EPS** | $3.44 | $1.89 | | Diluted Shares (millions) | 50.7 | 57.1 | [Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=64&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Management's%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations) Management discusses Q1 2025 performance drivers and outlines key strategies for insurance, asset management, and capital management - Net income attributable to AGL for Q1 2025 was **$176 million**, up from **$109 million** in Q1 2024[401](index=401&type=chunk) - The increase in net income was primarily driven by a **$103 million** gain on credit derivatives from the LBIE litigation resolution and **$37 million** in foreign exchange gains[402](index=402&type=chunk)[380](index=380&type=chunk) - Key business strategies are focused on four areas: insurance growth, asset management, alternative investments, and capital management[365](index=365&type=chunk) - Management notes that new U.S. tariff strategies have heightened volatility and raised the risk of recession, which could increase defaults in the insured portfolio but also create new business opportunities from wider credit spreads[357](index=357&type=chunk) [Overview](index=65&type=section&id=Overview) The overview details segment operations, performance drivers, and strategic focus areas including insurance, asset management, and capital management - The company's key business strategies are centered on four areas: (i) insurance; (ii) asset management, (iii) alternative investments; and (iv) capital management[365](index=365&type=chunk) - Management notes that a new U.S. "reciprocal tariff" strategy announced in April 2025 has heightened market volatility and recession risk, which may increase defaults among insured obligors but could also widen credit spreads, creating new business opportunities[357](index=357&type=chunk) - The company has repurchased approximately **78%** of its shares outstanding since the program began in 2013, for a total of **$5.5 billion** through May 8, 2025[387](index=387&type=chunk) Key Financial Metrics (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Income (attributable to AGL)** | $176M | $109M | | **Adjusted Operating Income** | $162M | $113M | | **Gross Written Premiums (GWP)** | $35M | $61M | | **PVP** | $39M | $63M | [Results of Operations](index=76&type=section&id=Results%20of%20Operations) Q1 2025 net income rose to $176 million, driven by credit derivative gains and FX, partially offset by higher loss expenses and lower earned premiums - The primary drivers of increased net income were a **$104M** fair value gain on credit derivatives and a **$37M** foreign exchange gain, partially offset by a **$40M** loss expense[401](index=401&type=chunk)[402](index=402&type=chunk) - Insurance segment adjusted operating income increased to **$168 million** in Q1 2025 from **$149 million** in Q1 2024, driven by credit derivative revenues from the LBIE litigation resolution[423](index=423&type=chunk)[431](index=431&type=chunk) - Asset Management segment adjusted operating income grew to **$12 million** in Q1 2025 from **$1 million** in Q1 2024, primarily due to higher equity in earnings from Sound Point[476](index=476&type=chunk) Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Operating Income (Q1 2025) | (in millions) | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Net Income Attributable to AGL** | **$176** | | Less: Realized (gains) losses on investments | ($16) | | Less: Non-credit unrealized gains on credit derivatives | ($2) | | Less: Fair value gains on CCS | $2 | | Less: Foreign exchange gains on remeasurement | $33 | | Less: Tax effect on adjustments | ($3) | | **Adjusted Operating Income** | **$162** | [Insured Portfolio](index=94&type=section&id=Insured%20Portfolio) The insured portfolio's net par outstanding reached $263.6 billion, predominantly public finance, with $637 million exposure to Puerto Rico Net Par Outstanding by Sector (As of March 31, 2025) | Sector | Net Par ($M) | | :--- | :--- | | **Total Public Finance** | **252,531** | | U.S. Public Finance | 202,417 | | Non-U.S. Public Finance | 50,114 | | **Total Structured Finance** | **11,060** | | **Total Net Par Outstanding** | **263,591** | - Total insured net par exposure to Puerto Rico was **$637 million** as of March 31, 2025[534](index=534&type=chunk) - The only remaining unresolved defaulting Puerto Rico exposure is PREPA, with **$532 million** in net par outstanding[535](index=535&type=chunk) [Liquidity and Capital Resources](index=96&type=section&id=Liquidity%20and%20Capital%20Resources) Holding company liquidity relies on subsidiary distributions, with Q1 2025 operating cash flow at $87 million, supported by an $8.67 billion investment portfolio - The liquidity of AGL and its U.S. Holding Companies is largely dependent on dividends and other distributions from their operating subsidiaries[540](index=540&type=chunk) - For 2025, the maximum amount available for AG to distribute as ordinary dividends is approximately **$287 million**, while AG Re has the capacity to pay dividends of approximately **$222 million**[569](index=569&type=chunk)[570](index=570&type=chunk) - The total investment portfolio carrying value was **$8.67 billion** as of March 31, 2025[578](index=578&type=chunk) - Net cash flow from operating activities was an inflow of **$87 million** in Q1 2025, compared to an outflow of **$74 million** in Q1 2024, primarily due to the **$97 million** receipt from the LBIE litigation resolution[600](index=600&type=chunk)[603](index=603&type=chunk) [Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk](index=107&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Quantitative%20and%20Qualitative%20Disclosures%20About%20Market%20Risk) No material changes to the company's market risk exposures have occurred since December 31, 2024 - There were no material changes to the company's market risk exposures since December 31, 2024[608](index=608&type=chunk) [Controls and Procedures](index=107&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Controls%20and%20Procedures) Management concluded disclosure controls were effective as of March 31, 2025, with no material changes to internal controls - The President and Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of March 31, 2025[610](index=610&type=chunk) - No changes in internal control over financial reporting occurred during Q1 2025 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the company's internal controls[611](index=611&type=chunk) PART II Other Information [Legal Proceedings](index=108&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) The company is subject to various legal proceedings, including those related to Puerto Rico, as detailed in financial statement notes - The company is subject to legal proceedings and claims, with further details provided in Notes 4 and 11 of the financial statements, particularly concerning Puerto Rico[612](index=612&type=chunk) [Risk Factors](index=108&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) No material changes to the risk factors disclosed in the 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K have occurred - No material changes to the risk factors disclosed in the 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K have occurred[613](index=613&type=chunk) [Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=108&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) The company repurchased 1.34 million shares for $120 million in Q1 2025, with $181 million remaining for future repurchases Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities (Q1 2025) | Period | Total Shares Purchased | Average Price Paid Per Share | Shares Purchased as Part of Program | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Jan 2025 | 427,425 | $91.02 | 427,425 | | Feb 2025 | 741,194 | $91.35 | 428,486 | | Mar 2025 | 479,444 | $86.44 | 479,317 | | **Total** | **1,648,063** | **$89.83** | **1,335,228** | - As of May 8, 2025, the remaining authorization for share repurchases was approximately **$181 million**[617](index=617&type=chunk) [Other Matters](index=108&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Matters) No directors or officers adopted, terminated, or modified Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements during Q1 2025 - No directors or officers adopted, terminated, or modified a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan during Q1 2025[616](index=616&type=chunk) [Exhibits](index=109&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section lists exhibits filed with the Form 10-Q, including certifications, subsidiary lists, and Inline XBRL financial data - The exhibits filed with the report include CEO and CFO certifications (Sections 302 and 906), a list of subsidiaries, and financial statements in Inline XBRL format[618](index=618&type=chunk)

Group 1 - Assured Guaranty reported quarterly earnings of $3.18 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.15 per share, and showing a significant increase from $1.96 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 0.95% [1] - The company posted revenues of $239 million for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 17.59% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $229 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Assured Guaranty shares have declined approximately 2.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 4.3% [3] Group 2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.58 on revenues of $186.4 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $8.15 on revenues of $847.1 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Insurance - Multi line is in the top 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8] - Assured Guaranty has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting that the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6]

[Selected Financial Highlights](index=3&type=section&id=Selected%20Financial%20Highlights) Q1 2025 financial and operating performance, including GAAP and non-GAAP profitability and balance sheet highlights, are presented [Financial and Operating Performance](index=3&type=section&id=Financial%20and%20Operating%20Performance) For the first quarter of 2025, Assured Guaranty reported significant year-over-year growth in profitability, with GAAP net income rising to $176 million ($3.44 per diluted share) from $109 million ($1.89 per diluted share). Non-GAAP adjusted operating income also increased to $162 million from $113 million. Key balance sheet metrics like shareholders' equity per share and adjusted book value (ABV) per share saw modest growth from year-end 2024. However, new business production, measured by Gross Written Premiums (GWP) and Present Value of New Business Production (PVP), declined compared to the prior-year quarter Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024 GAAP Highlights | GAAP Highlight | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net income attributable to AGL | $176 million | $109 million | | Net income per diluted share | $3.44 | $1.89 | | GAAP return on equity (ROE) | 12.7% | 7.7% | Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024 Non-GAAP Highlights | Non-GAAP Highlight | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted operating income | $162 million | $113 million | | Adjusted operating income per diluted share | $3.18 | $1.96 | | Adjusted operating ROE | 11.2% | 7.6% | Key Balance Sheet and Exposure Metrics | Metric | March 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Shareholders' equity per share | $112.80 | $108.80 | | Adjusted book value (ABV) per share | $172.79 | $170.12 | | Financial guaranty net par outstanding | $263.6 billion | $261.6 billion | | Claims-paying resources | $10.3 billion | $10.2 billion | - Gross written premiums (GWP) decreased to **$35 million** in Q1 2025 from **$61 million** in Q1 2024, and the Present Value of New Business Production (PVP) also declined to **$39 million** from **$63 million** over the same period[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=5&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) The company's condensed consolidated statements of operations and balance sheets for Q1 2025 and year-end 2024 are provided [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations](index=5&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations) Total revenues for Q1 2025 increased to $345 million from $245 million year-over-year, primarily driven by a significant increase in fair value gains on credit derivatives ($104 million vs. $10 million) and a positive swing in foreign exchange gains. This revenue growth, despite a decrease in net earned premiums, led to a higher net income attributable to AGL of $176 million, up from $109 million in Q1 2024 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited) | (in millions) | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net earned premiums | $91 | $119 | | Net investment income | $87 | $84 | | Fair value gains on credit derivatives | $104 | $10 | | **Total revenues** | **$345** | **$245** | | Loss and LAE (benefit) | $40 | $(1) | | **Total expenses** | **$169** | **$125** | | **Net income attributable to AGL** | **$176** | **$109** | | **Diluted EPS** | **$3.44** | **$1.89** | [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=6&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) As of March 31, 2025, Assured Guaranty's balance sheet remained stable compared to year-end 2024. Total assets were $11.94 billion, with total investments at $8.67 billion. Total shareholders' equity attributable to AGL increased slightly to $5.59 billion from $5.50 billion at the end of 2024, primarily due to retained earnings growth Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited) | (in millions) | March 31, 2025 | December 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total investments | $8,670 | $8,663 | | **Total assets** | **$11,938** | **$11,901** | | Unearned premium reserve | $3,671 | $3,719 | | Long-term debt | $1,700 | $1,699 | | **Total liabilities** | **$6,281** | **$6,348** | | **Total shareholders' equity attributable to AGL** | **$5,590** | **$5,495** | [GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations](index=7&type=section&id=GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Reconciliations) Reconciliations of GAAP financial measures to non-GAAP adjusted operating income and adjusted book value (ABV) are detailed [Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliation](index=7&type=section&id=Adjusted%20Operating%20Income%20Reconciliation) Adjusted operating income for Q1 2025 was $162 million, derived from a GAAP net income of $176 million. The primary adjustments included adding back $16 million in realized investment losses and subtracting $33 million in foreign exchange gains on remeasurement of reserves Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Operating Income (Q1 2025) | (in millions) | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Net income attributable to AGL | $176 | | Less: Realized gains on investments | $(16) | | Less: Non-credit unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives | $(2) | | Less: Fair value gains on CCS | $2 | | Less: Foreign exchange gains on remeasurement | $33 | | Less: Tax effect on adjustments | $(3) | | **Adjusted operating income** | **$162** | [Adjusted Book Value (ABV) Reconciliation](index=9&type=section&id=Adjusted%20Book%20Value%20(ABV)%20Reconciliation) As of March 31, 2025, Adjusted Book Value (ABV) was $8.56 billion, or $172.79 per share. This is reconciled from GAAP shareholders' equity of $5.59 billion by adjusting for unrealized gains/losses on investments and derivatives, and adding back the value of the in-force book of business, specifically the net deferred premium revenue in excess of expected losses ($3.42 billion) Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to ABV (March 31, 2025) | (in millions) | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL | $5,590 | | Adjustments for unrealized gains/losses (net of tax) | $228 | | **Adjusted operating shareholders' equity** | **$5,818** | | Less: Deferred acquisition costs | $181 | | Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue | $199 | | Plus: Net deferred premium revenue in excess of expected loss | $3,415 | | Plus: Taxes on adjustments | $(689) | | **Adjusted Book Value (ABV)** | **$8,562** | [Income Components](index=10&type=section&id=Income%20Components) Income is broken down by segment, highlighting contributions from Insurance, Asset Management, and Corporate divisions [Income Components by Segment](index=10&type=section&id=Income%20Components%20by%20Segment) The breakdown of income for Q1 2025 shows the Insurance segment as the primary profit driver, contributing $168 million to adjusted operating income. The Asset Management segment generated $12 million, while the Corporate division recorded a loss of $20 million. The Insurance segment's revenue of $239 million was primarily from net earned premiums and net investment income Components of Income for Q1 2025 (in millions) | Segment | Total Revenues | Total Expenses | Equity in Earnings | Adjusted Operating Income (pre-tax) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Insurance | $239 | $64 | $30 | $205 | | Asset Management | $6 | $4 | $13 | $15 | | Corporate | $4 | $40 | $16 | $(20) | [Investment Portfolio](index=12&type=section&id=Investment%20Portfolio) The investment portfolio, including fixed-maturity securities, cash, and alternative investments by asset type and rating, is presented [Fixed-Maturity Securities, Short-Term Investments and Cash](index=12&type=section&id=Fixed-Maturity%20Securities,%20Short-Term%20Investments%20and%20Cash) As of March 31, 2025, the company's available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities portfolio had a fair value of $6.42 billion. The portfolio is predominantly high-quality, with 86.0% rated A or higher (including U.S. government securities). The largest allocations are to corporate securities (38.6%) and obligations of states and political subdivisions (29.9%). The portfolio's duration was 3.8 years Fixed-Maturity AFS Portfolio Composition (March 31, 2025) | Asset Type | Fair Value (millions) | % of Portfolio | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Corporate securities | $2,477 | 38.6% | | Obligations of states and political subdivisions | $1,924 | 29.9% | | RMBS | $569 | 8.9% | | CLOs | $542 | 8.4% | | Other | $903 | 14.2% | | **Total** | **$6,415** | **100.0%** | Fixed-Maturity AFS Portfolio by Rating (March 31, 2025) | Rating | Fair Value (millions) | % of Portfolio | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | U.S. government and agencies | $72 | 1.1% | | AAA/Aaa | $801 | 12.5% | | AA/Aa | $2,181 | 34.0% | | A/A | $1,501 | 23.4% | | BBB | $1,071 | 16.7% | | BIG | $538 | 8.4% | | Not rated | $251 | 3.9% | | **Total** | **$6,415** | **100.0%** | [Investment Portfolio, Cash and CIVs](index=13&type=section&id=Investment%20Portfolio,%20Cash%20and%20CIVs) The total investment portfolio and cash stood at $8.85 billion as of March 31, 2025. The vast majority of these assets ($7.94 billion) are held by insurance-related subsidiaries, with holding companies holding $907 million. Alternative investments, excluding the interest in Sound Point, have generated an inception-to-date annualized IRR of 13% - Alternative investments (excluding Sound Point) had an inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return (IRR) of **13%**[40](index=40&type=chunk) Investment Portfolio by Entity Type (March 31, 2025) | (in millions) | Insurance Subsidiaries | Holding Companies | Other | AGL Consolidated | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Fixed-maturity securities | $6,534 | $18 | $— | $6,552 | | Short-term investments and cash | $952 | $339 | $44 | $1,335 | | Other invested assets | $449 | $550 | $(39) | $960 | | **Total** | **$7,935** | **$907** | **$5** | **$8,847** | [Insurance Segment](index=16&type=section&id=Insurance%20Segment) The Insurance segment's results, claims-paying resources, new business production, and financial guaranty profile are detailed here [Insurance Segment Results](index=17&type=section&id=Insurance%20Segment%20Results) The Insurance segment's adjusted operating income increased to $168 million in Q1 2025 from $149 million in Q1 2024. This improvement was driven by a combination of higher net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues (up to $134 million from $122 million) and a loss benefit of $23 million compared to a $4 million loss expense in the prior year Insurance Segment Results (in millions) | | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues | $134 | $122 | | Net investment income | $86 | $83 | | Total segment revenues | $239 | $229 | | Loss expense (benefit) | $(23) | $4 | | Total segment expenses | $64 | $85 | | Equity in earnings of investees | $30 | $40 | | **Segment adjusted operating income** | **$168** | **$149** | [Claims-Paying Resources](index=18&type=section&id=Claims-Paying%20Resources) As of March 31, 2025, the company's total claims-paying resources were robust at $10.27 billion, a slight increase from year-end 2024. Key components include $5.78 billion in qualified statutory capital and $2.96 billion in unearned premium reserves. Leverage ratios remained stable, with the net exposure to qualified statutory capital ratio at 46:1 Claims-Paying Resources (March 31, 2025) | (in millions) | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Qualified statutory capital | $5,779 | | Unearned premium reserve | $2,961 | | Loss and LAE reserves | $46 | | Present value of installment premium | $1,080 | | Committed capital securities (CCS) | $400 | | **Total claims-paying resources** | **$10,266** | [New Business Production](index=19&type=section&id=New%20Business%20Production) New business production declined in Q1 2025 compared to the prior-year quarter. Gross Written Premiums (GWP) fell to $35 million from $61 million, and the non-GAAP measure Present Value of New Business Production (PVP) decreased to $39 million from $63 million. Despite the lower premium volume, Gross Par Written increased to $5.0 billion from $3.7 billion, driven by U.S. public finance New Business Production (in millions) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Gross Written Premiums (GWP) | $35 | $61 | | Present Value of New Business Production (PVP) | $39 | $63 | | Gross par written | $5,002 | $3,743 | - The decline in PVP was seen across all categories, with U.S. Public Finance PVP falling to **$25 million** from **$43 million** year-over-year[62](index=62&type=chunk) [Financial Guaranty Profile](index=26&type=section&id=Financial%20Guaranty%20Profile) As of March 31, 2025, the total financial guaranty net par outstanding was $263.6 billion. The portfolio is heavily weighted towards public finance ($252.5 billion, or 95.8% of total) and is geographically concentrated in the United States (80.0%). The credit quality remains high, with 96.4% of the portfolio rated investment grade - Total net par outstanding was **$263.6 billion**, with U.S. public finance accounting for **$202.4 billion**[80](index=80&type=chunk) - The portfolio is predominantly investment grade, with **96.4%** rated BBB or higher. Below-investment-grade (BIG) exposures represent **3.6%** of the total[81](index=81&type=chunk) - Geographically, **80.0%** of the exposure is in the U.S., followed by the U.K. at **15.9%**[84](index=84&type=chunk) [Puerto Rico Profile](index=31&type=section&id=Puerto%20Rico%20Profile) As of March 31, 2025, the company's primary remaining defaulted exposure in Puerto Rico is to PREPA, with a total net par outstanding of $532 million. The company also has $92 million in non-defaulting exposure to other Puerto Rico entities Puerto Rico Net Par Outstanding (March 31, 2025) | Issuer | Net Par Outstanding (millions) | | :--- | :--- | | PREPA (Defaulted) | $532 | | Resolved Exposure | $13 | | Non-Defaulting Exposure | $92 | [Below Investment Grade Exposures](index=33&type=section&id=Below%20Investment%20Grade%20Exposures) Total below-investment-grade (BIG) net par outstanding decreased to $9.54 billion as of March 31, 2025, from $10.18 billion at year-end 2024. The largest concentration of BIG exposure is in non-U.S. public finance regulated utilities ($4.9 billion), primarily related to Southern Water and Thames Water in the U.K - Total BIG net par outstanding was **$9,542 million**, down from **$10,182 million** at the end of 2024[98](index=98&type=chunk) - The largest BIG exposures by revenue source are Southern Water Services Limited (**$2.7 billion** net par) and Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc (**$2.2 billion** net par)[105](index=105&type=chunk) [Asset Management Segment](index=41&type=section&id=Asset%20Management%20Segment) The Asset Management segment's financial performance, focusing on adjusted operating income and revenue drivers, is outlined [Asset Management Results](index=42&type=section&id=Asset%20Management%20Results) The Asset Management segment reported a significant increase in profitability, with adjusted operating income rising to $12 million in Q1 2025 from just $1 million in Q1 2024. The growth was primarily driven by a $12 million increase in equity in earnings of investees Asset Management Segment Results (in millions) | | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Segment revenues | $6 | $1 | | Segment expenses | $4 | $— | | Equity in earnings of investees | $13 | $1 | | **Segment adjusted operating income** | **$12** | **$1** | [Corporate Division](index=43&type=section&id=Corporate%20Division) The Corporate division's financial results, detailing revenues, expenses, and adjusted operating income (loss), are presented [Corporate Division Results](index=44&type=section&id=Corporate%20Division%20Results) The Corporate division's adjusted operating loss narrowed to $20 million in Q1 2025 from a loss of $37 million in Q1 2024. The improvement was mainly due to the recognition of $16 million in equity in earnings of investees, which was not present in the prior-year period, while interest and operating expenses remained relatively stable Corporate Division Results (in millions) | | Q1 2025 | Q1 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenues | $4 | $5 | | Total expenses | $40 | $47 | | Equity in earnings of investees | $16 | $— | | **Adjusted operating income (loss)** | **$(20)** | **$(37)** | [Summary](index=47&type=section&id=Summary) A multi-year summary of key financial and statistical data, including historical GAAP and non-GAAP reconciliations, is offered [Summary of Financial and Statistical Data](index=48&type=section&id=Summary%20of%20Financial%20and%20Statistical%20Data) This section provides a multi-year summary of key financial and statistical data. As of March 31, 2025, total assets were $11.9 billion and shareholders' equity was $5.6 billion. Financial guaranty net par outstanding has grown steadily from $236 billion in 2021 to $264 billion. Total claims-paying resources have remained robust, standing at $10.3 billion Historical Key Metrics (End of Period) | (in billions) | Mar 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Assets | $11.9 | $11.9 | $12.5 | $16.8 | | Shareholders' Equity (AGL) | $5.6 | $5.5 | $5.7 | $5.1 | | Net Par Outstanding | $263.6 | $261.6 | $249.2 | $233.3 | | Total Claims-Paying Resources | $10.3 | $10.2 | $10.7 | $10.8 | [Summary of GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations](index=50&type=section&id=Summary%20of%20GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Reconciliations) This summary presents historical reconciliations of key non-GAAP metrics. Adjusted operating income has consistently been a significant contributor to earnings, totaling $389 million in 2024 and $648 million in 2023. Adjusted Book Value (ABV) per share has shown consistent growth, increasing from $130.67 at year-end 2021 to $172.79 as of March 31, 2025, highlighting the value of the company's in-force business Historical Adjusted Operating Income (in millions) | | Q1 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $176 | $376 | $739 | $124 | | **Adjusted operating income (loss)** | **$162** | **$389** | **$648** | **$267** | Historical Adjusted Book Value (ABV) Per Share | | Mar 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Shareholders' equity per share | $112.80 | $108.80 | $101.63 | $85.80 | | **ABV per share** | **$172.79** | **$170.12** | **$155.92** | **$141.98** |

Company Performance - Hamilton Insurance reported quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share, but down from $1.38 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 1,075% [1] - The company posted revenues of $768.78 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 31.08%, compared to $658.65 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Hamilton Insurance has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Outlook - The immediate price movement of Hamilton Insurance's stock will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.01 on revenues of $617.28 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.66 on revenues of $2.48 billion [7] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Insurance - Multi line industry, to which Hamilton Insurance belongs, is currently ranked in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Financial Performance - Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. for Q4 2024 was $18 million, a decrease of 95.2% from $376 million in Q4 2023[6]. - Adjusted operating income for Q4 2024 was $66 million, down 80.5% from $338 million in Q4 2023[6]. - The company reported a diluted earnings per share of $0.35 for Q4 2024, a significant decrease from $6.40 in Q4 2023[6]. - Total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $872 million, down from $1,373 million in 2023, a decrease of 36.6%[15]. - The company reported a basic earnings per share of $0.36 for Q4 2024, down from $6.54 in Q4 2023, a decline of 94.5%[15]. - The company reported a total of $98 million in net income for Q4 2024, compared to $339 million in Q4 2023[30]. - Net income attributable to AGL for 2024 was $376 million, a decrease of 49% compared to $739 million in 2023[153]. Revenue and Premiums - Gross written premiums (GWP) increased to $186 million in Q4 2024, up 37% from $136 million in Q4 2023[6]. - Net earned premiums increased to $103 million in Q4 2024 from $83 million in Q4 2023, representing a 24% growth[15]. - Net earned premiums for the insurance segment increased to $104 million in Q4 2024, compared to $83 million in Q4 2023, reflecting a growth of 25.3%[30]. - Net earned premiums rose to $406 million in 2024, compared to $344 million in 2023, reflecting an increase of 18%[33][36]. - Total Gross Written Premium (GWP) for Q4 2024 was $186 million, an increase from $136 million in Q4 2023, representing a growth of 37%[67]. - The company reported total GWP of $357 million for 2023, with an increase to $440 million anticipated for 2024[76]. Assets and Equity - Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. decreased to $5,495 million as of December 31, 2024, from $5,713 million a year earlier[11]. - Total assets decreased to $11,901 million as of December 31, 2024, from $12,539 million as of December 31, 2023, a decline of 5.1%[17]. - Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL decreased to $5,495 million as of December 31, 2024, from $5,713 million as of December 31, 2023, a decrease of 3.8%[17]. - Shareholders' equity attributable to AGL per share increased to $108.80 in 2024 from $101.63 in 2023[153]. - Adjusted operating shareholders' equity was $5,795 million in 2024, down from $5,990 million in 2023, a decrease of about 3.25%[160]. Investment Income - Net investment income remained stable at $93 million for Q4 2024, consistent with the previous quarter[27]. - Net investment income decreased slightly to $340 million in 2024 from $365 million in 2023, a decline of approximately 7%[33][36]. - Total net investment income for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $340 million, a decrease of 8.3% from $365 million in 2023[56]. - The company reported a total of $15 million in net investment income from funds in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from a loss of $2 million in the same quarter of 2023[53][55]. Claims and Reserves - Claims-paying resources were reported at $10,211 million as of December 31, 2024, down from $10,665 million a year prior[11]. - The loss and LAE reserve decreased to $268 million as of December 31, 2024, from $376 million as of December 31, 2023, a decline of 28.8%[17]. - The total claims-paying resources decreased to $10,211 million in 2024 from $10,665 million in 2023[153]. Tax and Expenses - The effective tax rate on net income for Q4 2024 was 26.6%, compared to an effective tax rate of (87.9)% in Q4 2023[6]. - Total expenses for Q4 2024 were $106 million, a slight increase from $81 million in Q4 2023[30]. - Total expenses for 2024 were $446 million, down from $733 million in 2023, indicating a reduction of 39%[33][36]. - Interest expenses for the Corporate Division remained stable at $101 million in 2024, compared to $99 million in 2023, reflecting a slight increase of about 2.02%[144]. Market and Business Outlook - The company plans to continue expanding its market presence and exploring new business opportunities in both U.S. and non-U.S. public finance sectors[67]. - The company expects installment premiums to contribute $294 million to total PVP in 2023, decreasing to $262 million in 2024[76]. - The company anticipates a total of $1,304 million in net expected loss to be paid from 2025 to 2029[84]. Financial Metrics and Ratios - The adjusted operating return on equity (ROE) for Q4 2024 was 4.5%, down from 23.1% in Q4 2023[6]. - The capital ratio improved to 73:1 in 2024 from 66:1 in 2023, indicating stronger capital adequacy[62]. - The unrealized loss on the investment portfolio was $(397) million in 2024, compared to $(361) million in 2023, indicating a worsening of approximately 9.97%[160]. Corporate Division Performance - Total revenues for the Corporate Division for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $17 million, down from $275 million in 2023, indicating a decline of approximately 93.82%[144]. - Adjusted operating income (loss) for the Corporate Division was $(135) million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $45 million in 2023, marking a significant decline[144]. - Total revenues for Other Results in the three months ended December 31, 2024, were $10 million, compared to $33 million in the same period of 2023, a decrease of approximately 69.7%[148].