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Autodesk: Expanded Market Size And Better Risk Profile (NASDAQ:ADSK)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-08 02:16
Core Insights - Autodesk (ADSK) has a clearer path to meet its long-term guidance as its transaction model is proving effective [1] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment approach focuses on identifying businesses with potential for scaling and unlocking significant terminal value [1] - Emphasis is placed on understanding core business economics, including competitive moat, unit economics, reinvestment runway, and management quality [1] - The goal is to translate these factors into long-term free cash flow generation and shareholder value creation [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The analysis is centered on sectors that exhibit strong secular tailwinds, indicating a favorable market environment for growth [1] - The investment strategy is driven by fundamental research, aiming to highlight what truly drives long-term equity value [1] Group 3: Author's Background - The author has 10 years of experience in investment banking and is currently managing personal funds sourced from friends and family [1] - The motivation for sharing insights on Seeking Alpha is to provide valuable investment analysis and receive feedback from the investment community [1]
Autodesk: Long-Term CAD Leadership Supported By Product And Platform Depth (NASDAQ:ADSK)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-06 13:50
Company Overview - Khaveen Investments is a global investment advisory firm serving high-net-worth individuals, corporations, associations, and institutions [1] - The firm is a registered investment adviser with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) [1] - It offers comprehensive services including market and security research, business valuation, and wealth management [1] Investment Strategy - The flagship Macroquantamental Hedge Fund maintains a diversified portfolio with exposure to hundreds of investments across various asset classes, geographies, sectors, and industries [1] - The investment approach integrates top-down and bottom-up analysis, blending three core strategies: global macro, fundamental, and quantitative [1] Core Expertise - The firm's core expertise lies in disruptive technologies that are reshaping modern industries [1] - Key focus areas include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G, Autonomous and Electric Vehicles, FinTech, Augmented and Virtual Reality, and the Internet of Things (IoT) [1]
Autodesk: Long-Term CAD Leadership Supported By Product And Platform Depth
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-06 13:50
Company Overview - Khaveen Investments is a global investment advisory firm serving high-net-worth individuals, corporations, associations, and institutions [1] - The firm is a registered investment adviser with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) [1] - It offers comprehensive services including market and security research, business valuation, and wealth management [1] Investment Strategy - The flagship Macroquantamental Hedge Fund maintains a diversified portfolio with exposure to hundreds of investments across various asset classes, geographies, sectors, and industries [1] - The investment approach integrates top-down and bottom-up analysis, blending three core strategies: global macro, fundamental, and quantitative [1] Core Expertise - The firm's core expertise lies in disruptive technologies that are reshaping modern industries [1] - Key focus areas include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G, Autonomous and Electric Vehicles, FinTech, Augmented and Virtual Reality, and the Internet of Things (IoT) [1]
DV vs. ADSK: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 17:40
Core Viewpoint - Investors are evaluating DoubleVerify Holdings (DV) and Autodesk (ADSK) to determine which stock presents a better value opportunity for investment [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Estimates - DoubleVerify Holdings currently has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a more favorable earnings estimate revision trend compared to Autodesk, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The stronger earnings estimate revision activity for DV suggests an improving analyst outlook, making it a more attractive option for investors [3] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - DV has a forward P/E ratio of 12.23, significantly lower than Autodesk's forward P/E of 29.34, indicating that DV may be undervalued relative to ADSK [5] - The PEG ratio for DV is 0.58, while ADSK's PEG ratio is 1.72, suggesting that DV offers better value when considering expected earnings growth [5] - DV's P/B ratio stands at 1.75, compared to ADSK's P/B of 21.95, further highlighting DV's relative undervaluation [6] Group 3: Value Grades - Based on various valuation metrics, DV holds a Value grade of B, while ADSK has a Value grade of D, indicating that DV is currently the superior value option [6]
Figma vs. Autodesk: Which Design SaaS Stock is a Safer Bet?
ZACKS· 2025-12-29 16:06
Core Insights - Figma and Autodesk are both design software providers but operate in different markets, with Figma focusing on collaborative digital product design and Autodesk on engineering and industrial design software [1] - Both companies are integrating AI into their platforms to enhance value creation, with Figma aiming to boost creative productivity and user adoption, while Autodesk focuses on engineering optimization and risk reduction [1] Figma Overview - Figma is heavily investing in AI features to enhance its product suite, including the integration of Gemini 3 Pro and Nano Banana Pro for AI image generation and editing [3] - The collaboration with OpenAI allows users to generate FigJam diagrams from ChatGPT conversations, enhancing user experience [4] - Figma's acquisition of Weavy enables users to access leading AI models and editing tools on a single platform, making it competitive in the image editing market [5] - As of September 30, 2025, Figma had 12,910 paid customers with over $10,000 in annual recurring revenues (ARR) and 1,262 customers with over $100,000 in ARR, achieving a net dollar retention rate of 131% for high-spending customers [6] - Despite growth, Figma's non-GAAP operating profit decreased by 28.9% year-over-year to $34.02 million, with the operating profit margin dropping from 24% to 12% due to cost pressures from new AI features [7] Autodesk Overview - Autodesk leverages decades of proprietary data to train its AI models, integrating generative design and predictive analytics to enhance productivity [9] - The company reports significant adoption of AI tools across its platforms, with over 2.6 million constraints delivered by its AI-based Sketch AutoConstrain feature [10] - Autodesk is positioned to benefit from AI monetization and subscription revenues, although it faces high costs related to cloud infrastructure and talent acquisition [11] - Research and development costs remain high as Autodesk seeks to maintain its competitive edge, alongside increasing sales and marketing expenditures [12] - Autodesk's fiscal 2026 earnings are projected to grow by 20.5% year-over-year, with recent estimates revised upward [13] Comparative Analysis - In the last three months, Figma shares have declined by 25.7%, while Autodesk shares have decreased by 5.4% [14] - Autodesk's larger scale and market capitalization provide it with a better position to absorb cost pressures and monetize investments, making it a comparatively safer investment during the current AI growth phase [15] - Figma trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 12.51X, which is higher than Autodesk's 8.12X [16]
Autodesk: Looking Back At The Past 3 Years (NASDAQ:ADSK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-18 13:50
Core Insights - The article reflects on the predictions made for Autodesk (ADSK) in 2022 and evaluates their outcomes over the past three years [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Autodesk is positioned as a long-term investment opportunity, focusing on strong cash flows and growth in passive income streams [1] - The company is heavily investing in research and development (R&D) to enhance its product offerings and maintain competitive advantage [1] Group 2: Analyst Perspective - The author has a beneficial long position in Autodesk shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The insights provided are based on the author's personal opinions and experiences in the engineering field, particularly in sectors like automotive, IT infrastructure, and medical devices [1]
Autodesk: Looking Back At The Past 3 Years
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-18 13:50
Core Insights - The article reflects on the predictions made for Autodesk (ADSK) in 2022 and evaluates their outcomes over the past three years [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Autodesk is positioned as a long-term investment opportunity, focusing on strong cash flows and growth in passive income streams [1]. - The company emphasizes significant investment in research and development (R&D) to drive innovation and product advancement [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The author has a background in electromechanical engineering with experience in automotive, IT infrastructure, and medical device industries, providing a technical perspective on Autodesk's products [1]. - The insights shared aim to offer readers a unique advantage in understanding current engineering trends and potential investment opportunities [1].
Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK): A Strategic Investment Opportunity
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-11 02:00
Core Insights - Autodesk, Inc. is a leader in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, serving industries such as architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media, with competitors including Adobe and Dassault Systèmes [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 30 days, ADSK has experienced a slight decline of 0.53%, with a further decrease of 0.38% in the 10-day trend, suggesting a potential strategic entry point for investors [2][6] - The stock has a projected price increase of 24.36%, indicating strong growth potential supported by Autodesk's market position and strategic initiatives [3][6] Financial Health - Autodesk has a robust financial standing, evidenced by a Piotroski Score of 8, reflecting solid fundamentals and efficient operations, which is reassuring for investors [4][6] - The target price for ADSK is set at $373.4, indicating significant potential for increase from current levels, reflecting analysts' confidence in the company's growth strategies [5]
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Presents at Barclays 23rd Annual Global Technology Conference Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-10 21:12
Group 1 - The Barclays Tech Conference features a session with Autodesk, highlighting the presence of key executives Mike Haley and Simon Mays-Smith [1] - The format of the session includes a fireside chat for the first 20 to 25 minutes, followed by an interactive Q&A segment [1] - The conference aims to facilitate discussions around software and technology, showcasing insights from industry leaders [2]
Autodesk (NasdaqGS:ADSK) FY Conference Transcript
2025-12-10 19:27
Summary of Autodesk FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Autodesk (NasdaqGS:ADSK) - **Event**: FY Conference on December 10, 2025 Key Points Industry Performance - Autodesk's business is performing well in absolute terms and compared to competitors [8][9][10] - The company is years ahead of competitors in AI development [12] Financial Guidance and Models - Guidance for fiscal 2029 goals will be influenced by macroeconomic factors and sales/marketing optimization [8] - Transition to a new transaction model will create incremental headwinds for margins, making the path to fiscal 2029 non-linear [9] - The switch to annual billing has provided a tailwind for billings and free cash flow growth in fiscal 2025 and 2026, but growth will normalize in fiscal 2027 [10] AI and Technology Development - Autodesk Research, a 300-person organization, focuses on staying 5 to 10 years ahead in technology, including AI and robotics [17][20] - The AI lab was established in 2018, focusing on geometry and structures relevant to Autodesk's customers [20] - The cycle time between research and product development has significantly decreased, now taking 3 to 6 months [21][24] Generative AI Impact on Architecture - Generative AI will radically change architecture through: 1. **Outcome-based design**: AI helps in conceptual design by simulating project goals early [35] 2. **Improved communication**: AI facilitates better interaction between architects and engineers [39] 3. **Automation of repetitive tasks**: AI can automate 70%-80% of design work, freeing up time for creative tasks [40][45] Economic Considerations - The seat-based model will remain relevant due to a mismatch between available work and workforce [49] - Expansion into adjacent verticals will increase the addressable ecosystem [51] - AI will enhance productivity, potentially leading to fewer seats but greater value for Autodesk [46][52] Construction Cloud Growth - Autodesk Construction Cloud (ACC) is gaining market share due to strategic acquisitions and re-platforming efforts [88][90] - The integration of design and construction workflows is a key strategy for growth [92] AI in Construction - AI tools like Construction IQ help manage vast amounts of data on construction sites, predicting issues and improving efficiency [101][103] - AI can provide early simulations to avoid costly problems later in the construction process [106] Revenue and Margin Outlook - The transition to the new transaction model will have a cumulative impact on margins, with the most significant effects expected in fiscal 2027 [161][162] - Billings and revenue growth are expected to align more closely post-transition [178] Future Innovations - Autodesk aims to create a vibrant ecosystem of AI tools for architects and engineers, enhancing efficiency and product quality [200] Investment Focus - Continued investment in platform development, data systems, and AI capabilities is crucial for future growth [141][145][155] Additional Insights - The company emphasizes the importance of centralization in AI investments to avoid inefficiencies [26] - Autodesk is preparing for a shift towards consumption-based pricing models as AI capabilities expand [52][62] This summary captures the essential insights from the Autodesk FY Conference, highlighting the company's strategic direction, technological advancements, and market positioning.