Ameresco (NYSE:AMRC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 03, 2025 04:30 PM ET Speaker6Thank you for standing by. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Ameresco Third Quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any backward noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your ...

We recently published Jim Cramer Talked About These 14 Stocks & Discussed AI And Layoffs. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer recently discussed. Like he did with Nucor, Cramer used Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) as another example of a firm pivoting itself to benefit from the boom in AI data center construction. He discussed former CEO Jim Umpleby and Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)’s different businesses: Caterpillar (CAT)'s "Levered" To The Data Center, Says Jim Cramer Copyright: jar ...

Monte Independent Investment Research: Michael Del Monte is a buy-side equity analyst with over 5 years of industry experience. Prior to working in the investment management industry, Michael spent over a decade in professional services working across industries that include O&G, OFS, Midstream, Industrials, Information Technology, EPC Services, and consumer discretionary.Investment recommendations are built upon the entirety of the investment ecosystem rather than considering a company independently.Analys ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of a holistic approach to investment recommendations, considering the entire investment ecosystem rather than evaluating companies in isolation [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - Michael Del Monte is a buy-side equity analyst with over 5 years of experience in the investment management industry [1]. - Prior to his current role, he spent over a decade in professional services across various industries, including Oil & Gas, Oilfield Services, Midstream, Industrials, Information Technology, EPC Services, and Consumer Discretionary [1]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Investment recommendations are based on a comprehensive understanding of the investment ecosystem, highlighting the interconnectedness of various sectors and companies [1].

Financial Performance and Key Metrics - Nucor generated EBITDA of approximately $1.3 billion and earned $2.63 per share in Q3 2025, exceeding guidance due to stronger shipments and favorable corporate adjustments [5][17] - Year-to-date adjusted net earnings are approximately $1.4 billion or $5.98 per share, with Q3 earnings exceeding the midpoint of guidance by about $0.50 [17][18] - The steel mill segment generated $793 million of pre-tax earnings, a decrease of 6% from the prior quarter, while steel products segment pre-tax earnings were $319 million, down from $392 million [18][20] Business Line Performance - The bar mill group achieved record rebar shipments in Q3, driven by demand in non-residential construction and infrastructure markets [11][19] - Sheet shipments nearly matched record volumes from the previous quarter, with a 13% year-over-year increase in sheet backlog tons [19] - The steel products segment saw external shipments increase by 4% quarter-over-quarter, despite a decline in operating profit due to product mix and higher substrate pricing [20] Market Data and Key Metrics - Finished steel imports decreased nearly 11% year-to-date through August, supported by federal actions and tariffs [14][15] - Demand for long products remains strong, particularly in infrastructure spending, with bridge and tunnel contract awards up nearly 20% year-over-year [24] - The Dodge Construction Network forecasts a 30% increase in data center construction in 2025, indicating strong growth potential in this sector [12] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - Nucor is focused on prudent capital management, balancing long-term growth with shareholder returns, and has returned nearly $1 billion to shareholders year-to-date [7][23] - The company is in the final phase of a multi-year capital investment campaign, with several major projects nearing completion [8][10] - Nucor aims to optimize its portfolio to provide comprehensive solutions, enhancing its competitive position in the steel industry [10][14] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to create value amid evolving market conditions, with expectations for stable domestic steel demand in 2026 [26] - The company anticipates lower consolidated earnings in Q4 due to seasonal effects and scheduled outages, but remains optimistic about long-term growth drivers [25][26] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong investment-grade credit profile, with a total debt-to-capital ratio of approximately 24% [22] Other Important Information - Nucor's long-term credit ratings were upgraded to A3 by Moody's, making it the only major North American steel producer with such ratings [7] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet while investing in growth opportunities [22][23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Nucor's shipment growth and market share - Management noted that Nucor's shipments are growing faster than the industry, with a focus on restructuring and positioning in the plate group and long products [29][31] Question: Data center products and growth - Management confirmed that Nucor supplies a wide range of products for data centers, including insulated metal panels and joists, benefiting from increased demand in this sector [33][34] Question: Warehouse market growth and share - Management indicated that while the warehousing market is flat, data centers are expected to see double-digit growth, with Nucor well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [40][45] Question: Pricing and market conditions - Management discussed the impact of recent pricing movements and the expectation of lower realized pricing in Q4, while anticipating a recovery in Q1 [50][51] Question: Acquisition opportunities - Management outlined a strategy focused on growing core capabilities and expanding into adjacent markets, with an emphasis on high-margin, low-capital intensity opportunities [54][57] Question: Seattle mill decision - Management clarified that the Seattle mill will continue operating, but the decision was made not to replace it with a micromill, as other facilities can adequately supply the region [60][64] Question: Shareholder returns and capital allocation - Management acknowledged that the third quarter buybacks were the smallest since 2020, emphasizing a balanced approach to capital allocation while maintaining strong liquidity [66][67]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Nucor generated EBITDA of approximately $1.3 billion and earned $2.63 of EPS in Q3 2025, exceeding guidance due to stronger shipments from steel mills and favorable corporate adjustments [4][15] - Net earnings for Q3 were $607 million, in line with Q2's adjusted EPS of $2.60 and above last year's Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.49 [15] - Year-to-date adjusted net earnings reached approximately $1.4 billion or $5.98 per share, with returns to shareholders totaling nearly $1 billion, representing 72% of net earnings [5][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The steel mill segment generated $793 million of pre-tax earnings, a decrease of 6% from the prior quarter, with improved results in bar and structural steel but lower profitability in sheet and plate [16] - Steel products segment pre-tax earnings were $319 million, down from $392 million in Q2, but external shipments increased 4% quarter-over-quarter [18] - The raw materials segment realized pre-tax earnings of approximately $43 million, compared to $57 million in the prior quarter, primarily due to lower pricing [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for long products remains strong, with bar products backlog at the end of Q3 being 35% higher year-over-year [17] - The Dodge Construction Network forecasts a 30% increase in data center construction in 2025, indicating strong growth potential in this sector [11] - Finished steel imports decreased nearly 11% year-to-date through August, supported by federal actions [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Nucor is focused on prudent capital management, balancing long-term growth with shareholder returns, and has reinvested $807 million into growth projects nearing completion [5][6] - The company is in the final phase of a multi-year capital investment campaign, with four major projects expected to be completed by the end of the year [6] - Nucor aims to optimize its full portfolio to provide comprehensive solutions, enhancing its competitive position in the steel industry [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects lower consolidated earnings in Q4 due to seasonal effects and scheduled outages, with a decline in realized pricing primarily in the sheet segment [24] - The company anticipates stable domestic steel demand in 2026, with confidence in capturing a healthy share of that demand [24] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term growth potential in data centers and infrastructure spending, despite some softness in residential construction and agricultural machinery [22][92] Other Important Information - Nucor's long-term credit ratings were upgraded to A3 by Moody's, making it the only major North American steel producer with this distinction [5] - The company has returned approximately $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks year-to-date [20] - Nucor is not planning to build any more greenfield facilities in the near term, focusing instead on adjacent spaces and megatrends in the U.S. economy [52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Nucor's shipments are growing faster than the industry; what specific products are gaining share? - Management highlighted the importance of safety and the restructuring of the plate group, which is ramping up faster than anticipated, contributing to market share growth [26][27] Question: Are there specific products particularly exposed to data centers? - Nucor supplies a wide range of products for data centers, including insulated metal panels, joists, and decking, with significant growth in joist and deck shipments [31] Question: How should we think about square foot growth in warehouses versus data centers? - Management noted that while warehousing is expected to remain flat, data centers are projected to grow at double-digit rates over the next several years [36][43] Question: What contributed to the increase in conversion costs? - Conversion costs were affected by slab costs and planned outages, but year-over-year costs are down 5% [44] Question: Can you elaborate on the decision regarding the Seattle mill? - The Seattle mill will continue operating, but Nucor will not replace it with a micromill, as they can supply from other mills [58][60] Question: What is the status of the West Virginia sheet investment? - The West Virginia sheet mill is about 75% complete, with capital spending at a similar level, and is expected to be a significant asset for Nucor [70][71]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]

Financial Performance - Q3 2025 EBITDA was approximately $1.3 billion[10] compared to $1.5 billion[10] - Net earnings for Q3 2025 were $607 million[10] compared to $845 million[10] - Earnings per diluted share for Q3 2025 were $2.63[10] compared to $3.46[10] - Capital expenditure deployed in Q3 2025 was $807 million[10], with a revised full-year estimate of approximately $3.3 billion[10] Operational Highlights - Steel mills achieved record rebar shipments in Q3 2025[10] - Steel products experienced higher quarter-over-quarter shipments in Q3 2025[10] - Stable quarter-over-quarter external shipments of approximately 6.8 million total tons in Q3 and Q2[10] - Strong mill backlogs of approximately 3.5 million tons at the end of Q3, which is 30% higher year-over-year[10] Trade and Imports - Imports are down approximately 11% year-to-date through August compared to 2024[10] - July-August 2025 imports are down approximately 20% compared to July-August 2024[27] - Sheet imports are down 35% year-to-date, with 3.7 million tons in 2025 compared to 5.6 million tons in 2024[27] Capital Allocation - Nucor repurchased $100 million worth of shares, representing approximately 0.7 million shares[10] - Quarterly dividend payout was $127 million, marking the 209th consecutive quarterly payment[10] - Returns to shareholders represent 72% of year-to-date net earnings[10]

Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) reported earnings of $2.63 per share for Q3 2025, significantly up from $1.05 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.15 [1][7] - The company achieved net sales of $8,521 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of approximately 14.5%, also exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8,162.8 million [1][7] Operating Performance - Total sales tons to outside customers for steel mills in Q3 were 4,976,000 tons, an 8% increase year over year, although this figure fell short of the estimate of 5,095,000 tons [2] - Overall operating rates at Nucor's steel mills reached 85% in Q3 2025, unchanged sequentially but up from 75% in Q3 2024 [2] Segment Performance - The Steel Mills segment reported earnings of $793 million, a decline from the previous quarter due to lower shipment volumes and margin compression [3] - The Steel Products segment earned $319 million, lower sequentially due to increased costs and stable realized prices [3] - The Raw Materials segment generated $43 million, down from the prior quarter, impacted by lower pricing for direct reduced iron (DRI) and scrap processing operations [3] Financial Position - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $2,221 million at the end of the quarter, a decrease of approximately 47.9% year over year [4] - Long-term debt increased to $6,686 million, up 17.6% [4] - Nucor repurchased around 0.7 million shares of its common stock during the quarter [4][7] Future Outlook - The company expects Q4 2025 earnings to decline compared to Q3, with the Steel Mills segment anticipated to face reduced volumes and lower average selling prices [5] - The Steel Products segment is projected to experience lower earnings primarily due to decreased volumes, while the Raw Materials segment may be negatively affected by weaker realized pricing and planned maintenance outages at DRI facilities [5] Stock Performance - Nucor's shares have decreased by 2.1% over the past year, contrasting with an 8.6% rise in the industry [6]

Earnings Reports - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $20.83 billion [2] - Waste Management Inc. (WM) posted weaker-than-expected results for Q3, leading to a 3.4% decline in shares to $206.50 [2] - Visa Inc. (V) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings of $2.97 per share on revenue of $10.61 billion [2] - Nucor Corp. (NUE) reported Q3 earnings of $2.63 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.25 per share, with revenue of $8.52 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.15 billion [2] - PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $8.23 billion [2] Stock Performance - UPS shares rose 0.7% to $89.80 in after-hours trading [2] - WM shares fell 3.4% to $206.50 in after-hours trading [2] - Visa shares increased by 0.3% to $348.80 in after-hours trading [2] - Nucor shares slipped 0.6% to $143.24 in after-hours trading [2] - PayPal shares gained 1.3% to $71.15 in after-hours trading [2]