If you like to see more ideas, please subscribe to the premium service "Value in Corporate Events" here and try the free trial. In this service we cover major earnings events, M&A, IPOs and other significant corporate events with actionable ideas. Furthermore, we provide coverage of situations and names on request!A little over a year ago, I concluded that it was time to get upbeat on shares of Nucor ( NUE ) , with shares being depressed by earnings declines, as investors underappreciated its management, ca ...

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE) is currently trading at $166.17, close to its one-year high of $168.04, indicating potential for further price increases based on historical patterns [1]. Group 1: Historical Performance - Over the past five years, NUE has traded within 2% of its 52-week high on four occasions while the Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) was in the 20th percentile or lower, a condition that is met again today with an SVI of 28%, in the 4th percentile of its annual range [2]. - Following similar setups, NUE has shown a 75% probability of being higher one month later, with an average gain of 7.1%. A similar increase from the current price would elevate shares to $177.96, marking the highest level since February 2024 [3]. Group 2: Support Levels - In the event of a short-term pullback, there is underlying support at the 30-day moving average, which could provide a safety net for the stock price [3].

Nucor (NUE) reached a significant support level, and could be a good pick for investors from a technical perspective. Recently, NUE broke through the 20-day moving average, which suggests a short-term bullish trend.The 20-day simple moving average is a well-liked trading tool because it provides a look back at a stock's price over a 20-day period. Additionally, short-term traders find this SMA very beneficial, as it smooths out short-term price trends and shows more trend reversal signals than longer-term m ...

Core Insights - Nucor's stock has decreased by 1.78% to $157.83, underperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.79% but has appreciated by 8.15% over the past month, slightly underperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 8.18% [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Nucor is set to announce its earnings on January 26, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.07 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 69.67%. Revenue is projected at $7.79 billion, up 10.07% from the prior-year quarter [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $8.11 per share and revenue at $32.6 billion, indicating changes of -8.88% and +6.06% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Nucor are important as they often indicate changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable business outlook [3] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 2.84% in the past month, and Nucor currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Nucor is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.82, which is higher than the industry average of 13.88, suggesting a premium valuation [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.24, compared to the Steel - Producers industry's average PEG ratio of 0.77, indicating a higher valuation relative to expected earnings growth [7] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 147, placing it in the bottom 41% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation is facing challenges in its fourth-quarter earnings guidance, which is below analyst expectations, but remains optimistic about recovery in 2026 due to improving order backlogs [2][4][6] Financial Performance - Nucor's projected earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter is between $1.65 and $1.75, which is below the consensus estimate of $2.18 [2][6] - The company's current stock price is $160.69, reflecting a decrease of 0.97% or $1.57 [5] - Nucor's market capitalization is approximately $36.78 billion [5] Operational Segments - The anticipated decline in earnings is attributed to seasonal pressures and fewer shipping days, affecting all three operating segments: steel mills, steel products, and raw materials [3] - In the steel mills segment, earnings are expected to decrease due to lower volumes and margin compression, particularly in sheet products [3] - The steel products segment faces challenges with lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although improved average pricing may provide some relief [3] Shareholder Actions - Nucor has continued its share repurchase program, buying back approximately 0.7 million shares in the fourth quarter at an average price of $145.23, bringing total repurchases for the year to about 5.4 million shares [4][6] Market Outlook - Despite current challenges, Nucor remains optimistic about a recovery in 2026, driven by improving order backlogs [4][6]

Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) has projected fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) for the period ending December 31, 2025, in the range of $1.65 to $1.75, indicating a decline from $2.63 in the third quarter of 2025 but an improvement over $1.22 in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][7] Earnings Outlook - The anticipated decline in earnings is attributed to seasonal factors and fewer shipping days, with the steel mills segment expected to see moderated earnings due to lower shipment volumes and margin pressure, especially in sheet products [2][7] - The steel products segment is forecasted to experience reduced profitability due to lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although this is partially offset by improved realized pricing [3] - The raw materials segment is expected to underperform due to two planned outages at Nucor's direct reduced iron facilities [3] Shareholder Returns - Despite the earnings decline, Nucor has prioritized shareholder returns, repurchasing approximately 0.7 million shares at an average price of about $145.23 during the quarter, totaling around 5.4 million shares repurchased year-to-date at an average cost of roughly $128.66 per share [4][7] - Including dividends, Nucor has returned about $1.2 billion to shareholders year-to-date in 2025 [4][7] Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic for 2026, citing significantly higher order backlogs compared to the previous year, particularly in construction-related end markets such as energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing [5] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in market conditions, supported by favorable monetary, tax, and trade policies [5] - Nucor is scheduled to report fourth-quarter results after market close on January 26, 2026 [5] Stock Performance - Shares of NUE have increased by 27.3% over the past six months, compared to a 33.6% rise in the industry [6]

Core Viewpoint - Steelmakers Nucor and Steel Dynamics have indicated that their fourth-quarter earnings will significantly fall below Wall Street's expectations [1] Company Summary - Nucor and Steel Dynamics are both major players in the steel manufacturing industry [1] - The warning about earnings suggests potential challenges in the market environment affecting these companies [1] Industry Summary - The steel industry is facing pressures that may lead to lower-than-expected financial performance for key companies [1] - The earnings forecast indicates a broader trend that could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics within the steel sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation anticipates a decrease in fourth quarter earnings for 2025, projecting earnings per diluted share between $1.65 and $1.75, down from $2.63 in the third quarter of 2025 and $1.22 in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][2] Fourth Quarter of 2025 Commentary - Earnings are expected to decline across all operating segments compared to the third quarter of 2025 due to seasonal effects and fewer shipping days [2] - The steel mills segment is projected to see lower earnings due to reduced volumes and margin compression, particularly in sheet products [2] - The steel products segment is expected to experience a decline in earnings driven by lower volumes and increased average costs per ton, although partially offset by higher average realized pricing [2] - The raw materials segment is anticipated to have lower earnings primarily due to two scheduled outages at DRI facilities [2] Capital Returns - Nucor repurchased approximately 0.7 million shares at an average price of $145.23 per share during the fourth quarter, totaling about 5.4 million shares year-to-date at an average price of $128.66 per share [3] - The company has returned approximately $1.2 billion to stockholders through share repurchases and dividend payments year-to-date [3] 2026 Outlook - Nucor is optimistic about 2026, citing significantly higher backlogs compared to the previous year, particularly in construction market segments such as energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing [4] - The company expects that favorable monetary, tax, and trade policies will contribute to gradual improvements in business conditions [4] Earnings Release and Conference Call - Nucor plans to release its fourth quarter earnings after market close on January 26, 2026, followed by a conference call on January 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time [5]

New capacity is coming online in the domestic steel market.Nucor (NUE 0.88%) stock has recently surged, helping shares of North America's largest steelmaker far outpace the S&P 500's (^GSPC 1.07%) return thus far in 2025. Nucor stock has jumped 15% since it reported strong third-quarter results, bringing its year-to-date return to 42.8% (versus the S&P 500's 17% gain).Steel is a cyclical sector, and several catalysts could propel Nucor stock even higher through the cycle. However, there are also factors tha ...

Core Insights - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is a significant player in the steel and metal industry, involved in the production and recycling of steel and metal products, operating in both the U.S. and international markets [1] - Jefferies upgraded CMC's stock from Hold to Buy on December 10, 2025, reflecting a more optimistic outlook, with the stock price at $66.19 at the time of the upgrade [2][6] - CMC is expected to see an 87.5% surge in earnings for fiscal 2026, indicating resilience despite challenges such as tariffs and supply-chain issues [3][6] Market Performance - CMC's current stock price is $66.19, with a slight decrease of 0.57, or approximately -0.85%, and has fluctuated between a low of $65.88 and a high of $66.69 today [4] - Over the past year, CMC's stock has ranged from a high of $68.35 to a low of $37.92, showcasing its market volatility [4] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $7.35 billion, highlighting its significant presence in the industry [5][6] Investor Sentiment - There has been an 8.3% increase in broker ratings for CMC, indicating growing confidence in the company's performance [2] - The trading volume today is 556,594 shares on the NYSE, reflecting strong investor interest [5]