Company Overview - Cleveland-Cliffs stock experienced a nearly 10% increase this week after a downgrade led to a previous drop, indicating investor interest in the stock despite recent valuation concerns [1][2] - The current stock price is $14.01, with a market capitalization of $8.0 billion [3] Stock Performance - The stock has risen over 50% in the last six months, reflecting strong market performance prior to the downgrade [2] - The stock's 52-week range is between $5.63 and $16.70, showing significant volatility [4] Industry Context - The steel industry is benefiting from increased demand in infrastructure, construction, and automotive sectors, which is driving up prices and profit margins for domestic producers [4] - Anticipation of economic recovery, potential interest rate reductions, and robust government infrastructure investment are contributing to positive sentiment in the steel sector [4] Peer Comparison - Nucor, a domestic peer, has also seen its stock rise nearly 7% since the beginning of the year, indicating a broader trend in the steel industry [5] - The upcoming earnings season will be crucial to determine if the demand is benefiting all domestic steelmakers or if the gains are specific to certain companies [5]

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation will host a live conference call to discuss its fourth quarter earnings for the year ended December 31, 2025, on January 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Nucor and its affiliates are engaged in the manufacturing of steel and steel products, with operations in the United States, Canada, and Mexico [2]. - The range of products includes carbon and alloy steel in various forms such as bars, beams, sheets, and plates, as well as hollow structural section tubing and other steel-related products [2]. - Nucor is recognized as North America's largest recycler, also involved in brokering ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, and hot briquetted iron [2]. Group 2: Conference Call Details - The conference call will be hosted by Leon Topalian, Nucor's Chair, President, and CEO, and will include a review of the company's fourth quarter results followed by a Q&A session [1]. - Participants can access the live event through specified web links, and an archived version will be available for those unable to attend live [3].

Core Viewpoint - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is positioned strongly in the steel and metal industry, with upcoming quarterly earnings expected to show continued growth in both earnings per share and revenue [1][2][6] Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming quarter is projected at $1.55, an increase from $1.54 in the same quarter last year, which was a significant rise from 78 cents per share the year before [2][6] - Revenue is expected to reach $2.05 billion, up from $1.91 billion a year earlier, indicating steady growth in sales [2][6] Dividend and Stock Performance - CMC declared a quarterly dividend of 18 cents per share, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [3][6] - The stock price increased by 1.3%, closing at $72.69, following the dividend announcement [3][6] Analyst Ratings and Valuation - Wells Fargo analyst Timna Tanners maintained an Overweight rating on CMC and raised the price target from $68 to $79, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [3] - The company has a P/E ratio of 98.42, suggesting high expectations for future growth, while the price-to-sales ratio is 1.06 and the enterprise value to sales ratio is 1.10, indicating a fair valuation relative to sales [4] Financial Health - CMC's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.32, indicating a low level of debt compared to equity, which reflects a solid financial position [5] - The current ratio of 2.78 demonstrates a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets, highlighting the company's solid liquidity position [5]

If you like to see more ideas, please subscribe to the premium service "Value in Corporate Events" here and try the free trial. In this service we cover major earnings events, M&A, IPOs and other significant corporate events with actionable ideas. Furthermore, we provide coverage of situations and names on request!A little over a year ago, I concluded that it was time to get upbeat on shares of Nucor ( NUE ) , with shares being depressed by earnings declines, as investors underappreciated its management, ca ...

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE) is currently trading at $166.17, close to its one-year high of $168.04, indicating potential for further price increases based on historical patterns [1]. Group 1: Historical Performance - Over the past five years, NUE has traded within 2% of its 52-week high on four occasions while the Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) was in the 20th percentile or lower, a condition that is met again today with an SVI of 28%, in the 4th percentile of its annual range [2]. - Following similar setups, NUE has shown a 75% probability of being higher one month later, with an average gain of 7.1%. A similar increase from the current price would elevate shares to $177.96, marking the highest level since February 2024 [3]. Group 2: Support Levels - In the event of a short-term pullback, there is underlying support at the 30-day moving average, which could provide a safety net for the stock price [3].

Core Viewpoint - Nucor (NUE) has reached a significant support level and shows potential for investors from a technical perspective, with a recent break above the 20-day moving average indicating a short-term bullish trend [1]. Technical Analysis - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is a popular trading tool that reflects a stock's price over a 20-day period, smoothing out short-term price trends and providing trend reversal signals [2]. - A stock price above the 20-day SMA indicates a positive trend, while a price below suggests a downward trend [2]. Recent Performance - NUE has moved 6.9% higher over the last four weeks, indicating potential for another rally [4]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting a neutral outlook [4]. Earnings Estimates - Positive earnings estimate revisions support the bullish case for NUE, with no estimates decreasing in the past two months and five estimates increasing, leading to a rise in the consensus estimate [4]. Investment Consideration - Given the important technical indicator and positive earnings estimate revisions, NUE should be considered for the watchlist by investors [5].

Core Insights - Nucor's stock has decreased by 1.78% to $157.83, underperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.79% but has appreciated by 8.15% over the past month, slightly underperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 8.18% [1] Financial Performance Expectations - Nucor is set to announce its earnings on January 26, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.07 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 69.67%. Revenue is projected at $7.79 billion, up 10.07% from the prior-year quarter [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $8.11 per share and revenue at $32.6 billion, indicating changes of -8.88% and +6.06% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Nucor are important as they often indicate changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable business outlook [3] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 2.84% in the past month, and Nucor currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Nucor is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 19.82, which is higher than the industry average of 13.88, suggesting a premium valuation [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.24, compared to the Steel - Producers industry's average PEG ratio of 0.77, indicating a higher valuation relative to expected earnings growth [7] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 147, placing it in the bottom 41% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation is facing challenges in its fourth-quarter earnings guidance, which is below analyst expectations, but remains optimistic about recovery in 2026 due to improving order backlogs [2][4][6] Financial Performance - Nucor's projected earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter is between $1.65 and $1.75, which is below the consensus estimate of $2.18 [2][6] - The company's current stock price is $160.69, reflecting a decrease of 0.97% or $1.57 [5] - Nucor's market capitalization is approximately $36.78 billion [5] Operational Segments - The anticipated decline in earnings is attributed to seasonal pressures and fewer shipping days, affecting all three operating segments: steel mills, steel products, and raw materials [3] - In the steel mills segment, earnings are expected to decrease due to lower volumes and margin compression, particularly in sheet products [3] - The steel products segment faces challenges with lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although improved average pricing may provide some relief [3] Shareholder Actions - Nucor has continued its share repurchase program, buying back approximately 0.7 million shares in the fourth quarter at an average price of $145.23, bringing total repurchases for the year to about 5.4 million shares [4][6] Market Outlook - Despite current challenges, Nucor remains optimistic about a recovery in 2026, driven by improving order backlogs [4][6]

Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) has projected fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) for the period ending December 31, 2025, in the range of $1.65 to $1.75, indicating a decline from $2.63 in the third quarter of 2025 but an improvement over $1.22 in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][7] Earnings Outlook - The anticipated decline in earnings is attributed to seasonal factors and fewer shipping days, with the steel mills segment expected to see moderated earnings due to lower shipment volumes and margin pressure, especially in sheet products [2][7] - The steel products segment is forecasted to experience reduced profitability due to lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although this is partially offset by improved realized pricing [3] - The raw materials segment is expected to underperform due to two planned outages at Nucor's direct reduced iron facilities [3] Shareholder Returns - Despite the earnings decline, Nucor has prioritized shareholder returns, repurchasing approximately 0.7 million shares at an average price of about $145.23 during the quarter, totaling around 5.4 million shares repurchased year-to-date at an average cost of roughly $128.66 per share [4][7] - Including dividends, Nucor has returned about $1.2 billion to shareholders year-to-date in 2025 [4][7] Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic for 2026, citing significantly higher order backlogs compared to the previous year, particularly in construction-related end markets such as energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing [5] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in market conditions, supported by favorable monetary, tax, and trade policies [5] - Nucor is scheduled to report fourth-quarter results after market close on January 26, 2026 [5] Stock Performance - Shares of NUE have increased by 27.3% over the past six months, compared to a 33.6% rise in the industry [6]

Core Viewpoint - Steelmakers Nucor and Steel Dynamics have indicated that their fourth-quarter earnings will significantly fall below Wall Street's expectations [1] Company Summary - Nucor and Steel Dynamics are both major players in the steel manufacturing industry [1] - The warning about earnings suggests potential challenges in the market environment affecting these companies [1] Industry Summary - The steel industry is facing pressures that may lead to lower-than-expected financial performance for key companies [1] - The earnings forecast indicates a broader trend that could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics within the steel sector [1]