In today's market, it looks like the most important factor for tech stocks is whether they are cool. Traditional information technology stocks, which are not the loudest players in the AI race, are suffering from a devastatingI write about stocks I’m personally interested in adding to my portfolio. I’m not a professional advisor, but I study business and economics and analyze markets full-time. My writing is meant for both complete beginners — I avoid unnecessary complexity — and advanced readers, as I alwa ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI application sector is currently facing skepticism, with discussions around the rapid development of models outpacing practical applications, leading to concerns about a potential market bubble [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - MongoDB reported a total revenue of $591.4 million for Q2 of fiscal year 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 24%, exceeding market expectations by nearly $40 million [10]. - The core Atlas cloud database revenue surged by 29% year-over-year, accounting for 74% of total revenue, indicating a successful transition to cloud services [11]. - The company achieved a non-GAAP operating income of $86.8 million, with a profit margin of 14.7%, reflecting a significant improvement in profitability [11]. - Free cash flow reached $69.9 million, marking a 15% increase year-over-year, and the company maintained a cash reserve of $2.3 billion for future investments [11]. Customer Growth and Engagement - MongoDB added 2,800 new paying customers in Q2, bringing the total to over 59,900, with a 96% overall renewal rate [12]. - The number of large customers (with an annual contract value over $100,000) increased by 28% year-over-year, indicating strong customer retention and engagement [12]. AI Functionality and Revenue Generation - The AI features of MongoDB have transitioned from being an optional add-on to a core requirement, contributing 15% to Atlas's total revenue [13]. - The vector search functionality has been utilized by over 2,500 AI customers, leading to significant improvements in business outcomes for clients [13]. Future Growth Potential - MongoDB's guidance for Q3 revenue is projected between $587 million and $592 million, with an adjusted EPS forecast significantly above analyst expectations [14][15]. - The company has identified potential growth areas in underperforming regions and customer segments, particularly in the Asia-Pacific market [16]. Competitive Landscape - MongoDB faces increasing competition from cloud providers like Amazon and Microsoft, which offer lower-priced alternatives, necessitating a reinforcement of its unique value proposition [17]. - The emergence of cross-industry competitors like Snowflake poses additional challenges, highlighting the need for MongoDB to strengthen its market position [17]. Valuation Insights - MongoDB's current valuation is below the industry average, suggesting room for price correction as the market recognizes its growth potential [18]. - The reasonable market capitalization range for MongoDB is estimated between $20 billion and $28 billion, based on projected revenue and free cash flow [18][19].