Core Insights - The Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF (KBWD) is a smart beta ETF launched on December 2, 2010, providing broad exposure to the Financials sector [1] - KBWD aims to match the performance of the KBW Nasdaq Financial Sector Dividend Yield Index, which includes 24 to 40 publicly listed financial companies in the US [5][6] - The ETF has an annual operating expense of 2.02% and a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 12.28% [7] Fund Overview - Managed by Invesco, KBWD has assets exceeding $430.92 million, categorizing it as an average-sized ETF in the Financials sector [5] - The fund's portfolio is entirely allocated to the Financials sector, with top holdings including Orchid Island Capital Inc (4.77%), Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc, and Dynex Capital Inc [8][9] Performance Metrics - As of September 10, 2025, KBWD has returned approximately 5.07% year-to-date and 5.82% over the past year, with a trading range between $12.37 and $15.76 in the last 52 weeks [11] - The fund has a beta of 1.15 and a standard deviation of 20.69% over the trailing three-year period, indicating medium risk [11] Alternatives - Other ETFs in the Financials sector include Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) with $12.89 billion in assets and Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) with $54.53 billion [13] - VFH has an expense ratio of 0.09% and XLF has 0.08%, presenting lower-cost options for investors [13]

Mortgage Market Overview - Mortgage rates are currently at the lowest levels of 2025, with the average 30-year mortgage rate at 6.58% as of August 21, 2025, unchanged from the previous week and down from 6.91% at the start of 2025 [1][9] - The decline in mortgage rates reflects market optimism for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year, along with changing inflation and bond market dynamics [4] mREITs Performance and Outlook - mREITs such as Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI), Annaly Capital Management (NLY), and Orchid Island Capital (ORC) are expected to benefit from lower mortgage rates, which are lifting mortgage originations and driving stronger refinancing activity [5][9] - With improving purchase originations and refinancing activities, mREITs are likely to see book value improvement as Agency market spreads tighten, enhancing net interest spread and financial performance [7][9] Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) - Apollo Commercial has a portfolio of $8.6 billion in loans, primarily secured by properties in the U.S. and European gateway cities, with 96% of its lending consisting of floating-rate loans [10] - Despite a 23.9% year-over-year decline in net interest income (NII) in the first half of 2025, NII is expected to rise due to declining mortgage rates, with a current dividend yield of 9.9% and a payout ratio of 96% [11] Annaly Capital Management (NLY) - Annaly manages an $89.5 billion portfolio, with a focus on residential credit, mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), and Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which helps reduce volatility and interest rate sensitivity [14][15] - NLY's NII increased to $493.2 million in the first half of 2025 from $47.1 million a year ago, supported by improving purchase originations and refinancing, with a current dividend yield of 13.6% and a payout ratio of 99% [16][17] Orchid Island Capital (ORC) - Orchid focuses on Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and has seen its NII rise to $42.9 million in the first half of 2025, compared to net interest expenses of $3.2 million in the same period last year [22] - The company currently offers a dividend yield of 20.4% and has increased its dividend twice in the past five years, with earnings estimates indicating significant year-over-year growth of 450% and 39.7% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [23]

Core Insights - The Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF (KBWD) is a passively managed ETF launched on December 2, 2010, aimed at providing long-term investors with exposure to the Financials sector [1][3] - The ETF has amassed over $424.82 million in assets, making it an average-sized fund in the Financials - Broad segment [3] - The fund seeks to match the performance of the KBW Nasdaq Financial Sector Dividend Yield Index, which includes 24 to 40 publicly listed financial companies in the US [4] Cost and Performance - The annual operating expenses for KBWD are 2.02%, which is considered high compared to other ETFs, but it offers a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 12.5% [5] - The ETF has gained approximately 3.66% year-to-date and 7.64% over the past year, with a trading range between $12.37 and $15.76 in the last 52 weeks [8] Sector Exposure and Holdings - KBWD has a 100% allocation in the Financials sector, providing diversified exposure while minimizing single stock risk [6] - The top holdings include Orchid Island Capital Inc (4.67%), Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc, and Armour Residential Reit Inc, with the top 10 holdings accounting for about 36.48% of total assets [7] Alternatives - Other ETFs in the Financials space include Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) with $12.69 billion in assets and Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) with $52.35 billion, both having significantly lower expense ratios of 0.09% and 0.08% respectively [10]

Core Viewpoint - Armour Residential REIT (ARR) experienced a quarter that was largely as expected, with a slight decline in book value and weaker-than-anticipated earnings, primarily due to market fluctuations early in the quarter, although some recovery in June mitigated the impact [1][23]. Book Value and Earnings Performance - ARR reported a minor decrease in book value (BV) of 1.1% during Q2 2025, which was in line with expectations, but it underperformed compared to stronger peers in the agency mREIT sector [11][23]. - The on-balance sheet investment portfolio valuation gain was $16.5 million, closely matching the projected $20.0 million, leading to a BV underperformance of $0.04 per common share [3][23]. - Core earnings/EAD for Q2 2025 were reported at $67.9 million, which was a modest underperformance compared to the estimated $74.0 million, resulting in a variance of $0.071 per share [11][19]. Interest Income and Operational Expenses - Net interest income decreased from $36.3 million in Q1 2025 to $33.1 million in Q2 2025, a decline of $3.2 million, which was below the projected $37.5 million [7][23]. - Operational expenses increased from $13.1 million in Q1 2025 to $14.3 million in Q2 2025, which also contributed to the core earnings underperformance [8][23]. Hedging and Derivative Performance - ARR increased its hedging coverage ratio from 84% to 93% during Q2 2025, which was slightly above the projected range of 85%-90% [4][16]. - The company experienced a derivative valuation loss of $157 million, which was more severe than the anticipated loss of $150 million, contributing to a BV underperformance of $0.09 per common share [4][23]. Sector Comparison and Future Outlook - ARR's performance was weaker compared to peers like AGNC, DX, and NLY, which reported better results in terms of BV and core earnings [23]. - The company is currently rated as a HOLD, with expectations for stabilization in core earnings/EAD in Q3 2025 before any potential rating downgrades [13][24].

Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is experiencing a decline in its book value per share (BVPS), reflecting challenges in its underlying portfolios [1][2] Financial Performance - AGNC's tangible net book value per share fell by 7% year-over-year to $7.81 in Q2 2025, primarily due to market volatility and increased debt servicing costs [2][8] - The economic return on tangible common equity for AGNC was negative 1% in Q2 2025, influenced by unrealized losses from mortgage-backed securities (MBS) [3][8] - AGNC's peers, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) and Orchid Island Capital (ORC), are also facing declines in their book values, with ABR's BVPS at $18.45 and Orchid Island's at $7.21 as of June 30, 2025 [4][5] Market Conditions - The performance of mREITs like AGNC is closely linked to macroeconomic trends, including interest rate fluctuations and the yield curve, which have negatively impacted investment returns [2] - The widening of mortgage spreads relative to U.S. Treasuries has significantly contributed to the decline in AGNC's book value [3] Valuation Metrics - AGNC shares have increased by 11.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 6.9% [6] - The forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio for AGNC is 1.24X, higher than the industry average of 0.97X [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AGNC's earnings indicates year-over-year declines of 15.4% for 2025 and 0.9% for 2026, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past week [13] - Current earnings estimates for AGNC are $1.59 for 2025 and $1.57 for 2026, reflecting a significant decrease from the previous year's earnings [15]

VERO BEACH, Fla., July 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bimini Capital Management, Inc. (OTCQB: BMNM), ("Bimini Capital," "Bimini," or the "Company"), today announced results of operations for the three- month period ended June 30, 2025. Second Quarter 2025 Highlights Management Commentary Commenting on the second quarter results, Robert E. Cauley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "When we announced our first quarter results, the second quarter of 2025 was off to a very rough start. Markets were in t ...

Core Viewpoint - Investors often focus on high dividend yields without considering the long-term sustainability of those yields, leading to potential misvaluations in stocks like AGNC Investment Corp, ARMOUR Residential, and Orchid Island Capital [1][2] Company Analysis - AGNC Investment Corp trades at a significant premium to its tangible book value, attracting investors primarily due to its high yield, which is not a thorough research approach [2][18] - The earnings of AGNC appear strong due to existing hedges from low interest rates, but these hedges are expiring, leading to an increase in the cost of funds [3][8] - Even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, AGNC's cost of funds is expected to rise because most of its funding costs are locked in through swaps [4][5] - AGNC's hedge portfolio includes a substantial amount of interest rate swaps, with $47.8 billion in long positions, which are crucial for managing interest expenses [7][8] - The yield on AGNC's assets is increasing, but the cost of funds is rising faster, resulting in a declining net interest spread and lower coverage ratio for dividends compared to two years ago [11][14] Comparative Analysis - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are seen as less favorable compared to AGNC, with similar risks but poorer decision-making and performance [14][19] - Preferred shares and baby bonds in the sector are viewed as more stable investment options, offering yields of 9% to 10% without the volatility associated with common shares [16][17] Market Sentiment - AGNC's current price reflects a large premium over its tangible book value, which is unusual and may indicate potential future declines in share price and dividends [18] - ARMOUR Residential and Orchid Island Capital are trading close to their book values, which is considered expensive given their historical performance and frequent losses [19]

Core Insights - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) estimates a net loss of 29 cents per share for Q2 2025, primarily due to losses on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and derivative instruments [1][9] - The estimated book value per share is $7.21, reflecting a 15.9% year-over-year decline, with a negative total return on equity of 4.7% as of June 30, 2025 [2][9] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Orchid's RMBS portfolio value is estimated at $6.9 million, indicating a challenging quarter due to net realized and unrealized losses [3][9] - Over the past three months, ORC shares have increased by 18.6%, outperforming the industry growth of 14% [7] Competitive Landscape - AGNC Investment focuses on leveraged investments in Agency RMBS, with a portfolio value of $70.5 billion as of March 31, 2025, and a tangible net book value of $8.25 per share [5] - Annaly Capital Management primarily invests in Agency mortgage-backed securities, holding $75 billion in Agency MBS as of March 31, 2025, with a book value per share of $19.02 [6] Valuation Metrics - Orchid trades at a forward price-to-tangible (P/TB) ratio of 1.03X, which is above the industry average of 1X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 suggests significant year-over-year increases of 394.4% and 24.5%, respectively [13]

Group 1 - Bimini Capital Management, Inc. will release its second quarter 2025 results on July 31, 2025, after market close [1] - An earnings conference call is scheduled for August 1, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET, with registration available online [2] - Bimini Capital primarily invests in residential mortgage-related securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae [3] Group 2 - Bimini Advisors Holdings, LLC serves as the external manager for Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a publicly-traded REIT [4] - Bimini Advisors earns management fees and expense reimbursements for managing Orchid's investment portfolio [4] - Royal Palm Capital, LLC, another subsidiary, is managed with a similar investment strategy to that of Orchid [5]

Group 1 - Orchid Island (ORC) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a stock decline of 24.7% over the past four weeks due to excessive selling pressure [1] - The stock is currently in oversold territory, indicated by an RSI reading of 26.89, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself and a rebound could occur [5] - Wall Street analysts have raised earnings estimates for ORC by 11% over the last 30 days, indicating a potential for price appreciation in the near term [7] Group 2 - ORC holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [8]