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中国汽车-2025 年 11 月激光雷达芯片市场份额如何洗牌-China Autos & Shared Mobility-How did LiDARAD chip market share reshuffle in 11M25
2026-01-19 02:29
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: China Autos & Shared Mobility [1] - **Market Dynamics**: The LiDAR and AD chip markets are experiencing significant shifts in market share among key players [1] LiDAR Market Insights - **Market Share Trends**: - Huawei's market share decreased to 39% in November 2025, down 1.6 percentage points month-over-month but up 9.8 percentage points year-over-year [2] - Hesai maintained a market share of 31%, down 1.3 percentage points month-over-month but up 1.0 percentage point year-over-year [2] - Robosense's market share remained stable with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points month-over-month [2] - Seyond showed improved sales momentum with a 1.9 percentage point increase month-over-month [2] - **Volume Sales Composition**: Main LiDAR accounts for approximately 60% of volume sales, with blind-spot LiDAR making up the remainder [2] AD Chip Market Insights - **Market Share Leaders**: - NVIDIA continues to dominate the AD chip market with a 52% volume share, an increase of 12 percentage points year-over-year [3] - Tesla China's market share fell by 11 percentage points year-over-year due to weaker domestic sales [3] - Horizon's market share increased by 1 percentage point year-over-year, reaching 9-10% [3] - **Localization Efforts**: China's initiative to localize auto chips has not yet resulted in significant changes in the AD chip market [3] Adoption of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) - **L2++ Adoption Growth**: Sales penetration for L2++ systems reached 34% in November 2025, reflecting a 4 percentage point increase month-over-month and a 20 percentage point increase year-over-year [12] - **Future Projections**: The risk to current sales penetration estimates for L2++ is skewed to the upside, indicating potential for higher adoption rates than previously forecasted [12] Technology Hardware Growth - **Content Growth**: Despite overall volume growth, the increase in content per vehicle is driving additional growth for technology hardware, specifically LiDAR and AD chips [12] - **Competitive Landscape**: Huawei leads in LiDAR sales due to broader model coverage, while Hesai remains a strong player among standalone LiDAR manufacturers [12] Conclusion - The LiDAR and AD chip markets in China are undergoing significant changes, with key players adjusting their strategies in response to competition and market demands. The growth in ADAS adoption suggests a positive outlook for technology hardware in the automotive sector [1][12]
中国电动汽车_本土市场降温迹象明显
2025-11-16 15:36
Summary of China Auto/EV Global Markets Research Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China auto market**, particularly the **electric vehicle (EV)** segment, highlighting recent trends in wholesales and retails, as well as market dynamics affecting demand and competition. Key Points Market Performance - **Wholesales**: The China auto market delivered **3.0 million** wholesales unit shipments in October 2025, representing a **7.5% year-on-year (y-y)** increase and a **3.6% month-on-month (m-m)** increase [1][6] - **Retails**: Retail unit shipments were **2.2 million units**, showing a **0.9% y-y** decline and a **0.1% m-m** decline [1][6] - **EV Sales**: Monthly retail sales for passenger vehicle (PV) EVs reached **1.28 million units**, marking a **7.0% y-y** increase but a **1.4% m-m** decrease [1][6] Demand Trends - The report indicates that local demand in the China auto market has started to cool down, attributed to the **National Holiday week** and tightening policy trends initiated from **late September 2025** [1][6] - The **EV penetration rate** remains stable at **56.5%**, consistent with the previous month [1][6] Future Outlook - The demand situation for **Q1 2026** is expected to be challenging, particularly due to the upcoming **50% cut to EV purchase tax exemption** and the effects of the national trading-in/scrapping policy [1][8] - OEMs are anticipated to push for sales targets in the last two months of 2025, leading to solid deliveries despite a potentially lackluster orders situation [1][2] Competitive Landscape - Market share winners identified include **Geely**, **Leapmotor**, and **Huawei-related brands** in the mass market, while **Xiaomi** is noted in the premium segment [2] - New entrants like **NIO** and **XPENG** are expected to continue gaining traction with upcoming model launches [2][19] Export Performance - The China auto industry exported **571,000 units** of PVs in October 2025, reflecting a **22.7% y-y** increase and a **2.0% m-m** increase [3][31] - Cumulative exports for the first ten months of 2025 reached **4.7 million units**, a **15.7% y-y** increase, with EV exports showing a significant **87% y-y** growth [3][31] Individual Company Performance - **BYD**: Retail sales dropped to **296,000 units** in October 2025, a **31.4% y-y** decline, with a market share decrease to **23.1%** [15] - **Geely**: Achieved **164,000 unit** EV retail sales (+54.7% y-y) with an improved market share of **12.8%** [16] - **NIO**: Recorded **40,000 unit** retail sales (+90.5% y-y), with expectations for improved quarterly financials [18] - **XPENG**: Delivered **37,000 unit** retail sales (+82.2% y-y), with a strong pipeline for future models [19] Risks and Challenges - The report highlights potential risks including intensified market competition, slower-than-expected overseas expansion, and the impact of geopolitical uncertainties on global expansion efforts for Chinese OEMs [4][8] Conclusion - The China auto market is experiencing a cooling demand phase, with significant competition among OEMs. While some companies are gaining market share, the overall outlook remains cautious due to policy changes and market dynamics. The export performance of EVs is a positive sign amidst local market challenges [1][4][8]