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CNA Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry at 1.22X: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-07-01 16:41
Core Insights - CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) shares are trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.22X, lower than the industry average of 1.57X, the Finance sector's 4.23X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 8.3X [1] - The market capitalization of CNA is $12.59 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.4 million shares over the last three months [1] Valuation and Price Performance - CNA Financial shares closed at $46.53, representing an 11% discount from its 52-week high of $52.36, indicating potential for growth [3] - The average price target for CNA is $49 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 5.38% from the last closing price [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CNA Financial's 2025 revenues is $13.43 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 5.4% [4] - The consensus estimate for 2026 earnings per share and revenues indicates increases of 11.7% and 3.5%, respectively, from the 2025 estimates [4] Analyst Sentiment - Mixed analyst sentiment is observed, with two analysts lowering estimates for 2025 while one raised estimates for 2026 over the past 60 days; the 2025 earnings estimate has decreased by 6%, while the 2026 estimate has increased by 1.3% [5] Financial Performance - CNA Financial has a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 11.9%, outperforming the industry average of 7.8% [13] - The company has experienced a 2.3% share price gain over the past year, compared to the industry growth of 19.2%, the Finance sector's 19.9%, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 11.7% [9] Business Strategy and Capital Management - CNA drives premium growth through strong retention, favorable renewal premium changes, and new business gains [8] - The company maintains a solid balance sheet with capital above target levels, exiting the first quarter with statutory capital and surplus of $11 billion [15] - CNA has a history of rewarding shareholders through regular dividend hikes, with a 10-year CAGR of 6.3% and a current dividend yield of 3.6%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.2% [17] Future Outlook - Favorable growth estimates, higher return on capital, and attractive valuation position CNA for long-term value creation [18] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from solid retention, favorable renewal premium changes, and new business growth across its segments [18]
The Allstate Corporation: A Mispriced Turnaround Insurance Stock (Short-Term Buy Rating)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-22 08:34
Group 1 - The Allstate Corporation has successfully completed a multi-year turnaround through effective cost-cutting and business efficiency measures [1] - The years 2022 and 2023 were particularly challenging for the company [1] Group 2 - The company is recognized as one of the largest property and casualty insurance firms in the United States [1]
Allstate Reports $73M After-Tax Catastrophe Losses in February 2025
ZACKS· 2025-03-21 17:55
Group 1: Catastrophe Losses - The Allstate Corporation reported catastrophe losses for February 2025 amounting to $92 million, or $73 million after-tax, bringing the year-to-date total to $1.17 billion, or $922 million after-tax when combined with January's losses [1] - Catastrophe losses negatively impact underwriting profits and the combined ratio, leading to potential strain on margins for property and casualty (P&C) insurers [2] - In 2024, total catastrophe losses reached $5 billion, while P&C insurance premiums earned increased by 11.2% year over year [3] Group 2: Policy Updates - Allstate's auto policies in force increased to 24.89 million in February 2025, a 0.2% increase from January, but a 0.9% decline from February 2024 [4] - Homeowners policies in force rose to 7.5 million, reflecting a 0.2% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth [4] - Personal lines policies in force slightly increased to 4.873 million, marking a 0.1% month-over-month increase and a 0.4% year-over-year increase [5] - Commercial lines policies in force decreased to 196,000, a 3.9% decline from January and a 29% decrease from February 2024 [6] - Overall, Allstate had 37.5 million policies in force at the end of February 2025, a 0.2% increase from the prior month but a 0.3% decrease from the same period last year [7] Group 3: Share Price Performance - Allstate's shares have increased by 27.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 24.8% [8] Group 4: Competitor Analysis - Competitors in the P&C insurance space include The Hanover Insurance Group, Old Republic International Corporation, and Horace Mann Educators Corporation, with varying Zacks Ranks indicating their investment potential [9] - Hanover Insurance has shown strong earnings performance, with a 21.74% average surprise over the last four quarters and a projected 7.7% improvement in 2025 earnings [10] - Old Republic has consistently outperformed estimates, with a 37.25% average surprise and a projected 5% improvement in 2025 earnings [11] - Horace Mann's earnings have surpassed estimates in two of the last four quarters, with a projected 21.7% improvement in 2025 earnings [12] - In the past year, shares of Hanover Insurance, Old Republic, and Horace Mann have gained 33.2%, 26.5%, and 16%, respectively [13]
TRV Stock Trades Near 52-Week High: Buy or Wait for a Pullback?
ZACKS· 2025-03-18 16:45
Core Viewpoint - Shares of The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) have shown strong performance, closing at $265.13, near its 52-week high, with a year-to-date gain of 10% [1]. Company Overview - TRV is a leading provider of auto and homeowners' insurance, as well as commercial U.S. property-casualty insurance, with a market capitalization of $60 billion [2]. - The average trading volume over the last three months was 1.3 million shares [2]. Stock Performance - TRV shares are trading significantly above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a bullish trend [4]. - The price-to-book value of TRV is 2.16X, which is higher than the industry average of 1.61X, suggesting that TRV shares are trading at a premium [5]. Financial Metrics - The return on equity (ROE) for TRV over the trailing 12 months was 19.1%, significantly higher than the industry's 8.3% [8]. - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was 10.9%, compared to the industry average of 6.4%, indicating efficient fund utilization [10]. Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $16.91, reflecting a decrease of 21.6%, despite a revenue increase of 7.4% to $49.9 billion [12]. - For 2026, the earnings estimate is $22.68, suggesting a 34.1% increase on revenues of $52.9 billion, which is a 6.1% rise [12]. Growth Factors - Factors favoring TRV's growth include solid retention rates, better pricing, increased new business, and positive renewal premium changes [13]. - The company has a conservative balance sheet, maintaining a debt-to-capital ratio between 15% and 25% and increasing its book value over the past decade [15]. Investment Income - Higher returns from the non-fixed income portfolio have driven investment income, with an estimated fixed-income net investment income (NII) of $3 billion in 2025 [14]. Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has decreased by 6.4% in the past 30 days, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased by 1.8% [11]. Dividend Information - Travelers has increased dividends for the last 20 years, with a dividend yield of 1.8%, which is attractive compared to the industry average of 0.3% [18]. Target Price - The average price target for TRV, based on short-term estimates from 22 analysts, is $271.09 per share, indicating a potential upside of 3.9% from the last closing price [16]. Conclusion - Travelers' strong market presence in auto, homeowners' insurance, and commercial property-casualty insurance positions it well for future growth, supported by a solid capital position and effective execution of growth strategies [17].
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Management present at Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-04 17:14
Group 1 - The conference call features Allstate's management team, including CFO Jess Merten, discussing the company's strategy and recent results [1][2] - Allstate aims to provide an overview of its strategy and performance to highlight its attractiveness as an investment opportunity [2][3] - The presentation will include forward-looking statements and reference non-GAAP measures, with additional information available on the company's investor website [2]
Raymond James 2025 Institutional Investors Conference
2025-03-04 15:00
Financial Performance - Allstate's total revenue increased by 12.3% to $64.1 billion[7] - Net income reached $4.6 billion for the full year[7] - The adjusted net income return on equity was 26.8% in 2024[7] - Net investment income increased by 24.8% to $3.092 billion[8] Property-Liability Insurance - Property-Liability insurance premiums increased by 11.2% to $53.866 billion[8] - The Property-Liability combined ratio was 94.3, a decrease of 10.2 percentage points[10] - Auto insurance underwriting income was $1.81 billion[10] - Homeowners insurance underwriting income was $1.319 billion[10] Transformative Growth - The adjusted expense ratio decreased from 27.9 in 2019 to 23.1 in 2024[9] - Personal lines new issued applications increased from 5.5 million to 9.7 million through exclusive agent, independent agent and direct distribution[9] - Personal lines policies in force increased from 33.5 million to 37.3 million[9] Capital Management - $24.5 billion has been returned to shareholders since 2015, including $17.4 billion in share repurchases and $7.1 billion in dividends[21] - The company authorized a $1.5 billion share repurchase program[21] - The quarterly common shareholder dividend increased by 8.7%[21]
Allstate Sweetens the Deal With a Dividend Hike: Should You Bite?
ZACKS· 2025-02-27 16:40
Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation has increased its quarterly dividend by 8.7% to $1 per share, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns [1][2][3] - Allstate's current dividend yield stands at 2.12%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.26%, indicating confidence in its cash flow and future prospects [2] - The company has a history of consistent dividend growth, having raised its dividend five times in the past five years, which signals strong financial health [3] Dividend and Share Repurchase - The increased dividend will be paid on April 1, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 10, 2025 [2] - Allstate has also announced a total of $29.3 million in dividends for preferred stock for the period from January 15 to April 14, 2025, payable on April 15 [5] - A new $1.5 billion share repurchase program has been approved, effective through September 30, 2026, following the expiration of a previous $5 billion buyback authorization [6] Strategic Focus and Growth Drivers - Allstate is focusing on its core strengths by divesting underperforming segments, including the sale of its Employer Voluntary Benefits and Group Health businesses for $2 billion and $1.25 billion, respectively [8] - The company aims to improve efficiency and profitability through cost-cutting measures and reinvestment in technology and product innovation [9] - Premium growth has been robust, with net premiums earned increasing by 13.9% in 2021, 8.7% in 2022, 10.4% in 2023, and 11.3% in 2024, showcasing the effectiveness of its growth strategy [10] Earnings Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Allstate's adjusted earnings in 2025 is $18.74 per share, reflecting a 2.3% year-over-year growth, with further growth of 15% expected in 2026 [11] - The stock is currently trading at a forward earnings multiple of 9.82X, lower than its five-year median of 10.89X and the industry average of 29.16X, indicating it is attractively valued [12] Market Challenges - Allstate faces challenges from intense competition in the insurance market, which may affect its pricing strategy and customer retention [13] - As of December 31, 2024, Allstate's debt was $8.1 billion, with a cash balance of $704 million, leading to increased interest expenses and financial pressure [14] - Recent wildfires in Los Angeles have resulted in estimated pre-tax losses of approximately $1.1 billion for Allstate, highlighting the impact of external events on its financial performance [18]