Group 1 - Waste Management Inc. (NYSE: WM) shares reached an all-time high of $242.58 in June [1]

Core Insights - Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is a leading provider of waste management services in North America, offering collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services [1] - Oppenheimer has set a price target of $264 for WM, indicating a potential price increase of 18.32% from its current price of $223.13 [1][5] - AlphaQuest LLC has increased its investment in WM by 131.8%, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future performance [2][5] Market Performance - WM's current stock price is $223.13, which represents a decrease of 3.66% or $8.47, with fluctuations during the trading day ranging from a low of $220.84 to a high of $231.67 [3] - Over the past year, WM's stock has reached a high of $242.58 and a low of $194.11, indicating volatility in the stock market [3] - WM's market capitalization is approximately $89.89 billion, showcasing its significant presence in the waste management industry [4][5] Investor Interest - The trading volume on the NYSE for WM is 3,670,753 shares, indicating active investor interest [4] - Other investment firms, such as Cornercap Investment Counsel Inc. and Wealthfront Advisers LLC, have also adjusted their positions in WM, reflecting broader interest in the company's potential [2]

Market Overview - The Solid Control Drilling Waste Management Market was valued at USD 1.50 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 3.23 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 8.06% from 2026 to 2035 [1][5]. Market Drivers - The increase in global oil and gas drilling activities is driving the demand for effective solid control and waste management systems due to the significant amount of drilling waste produced [1]. - Companies are focusing on implementing advanced separation technology and treatment solutions to manage contaminated drilling fluids and materials safely [1]. - Environmental protection regulations are encouraging operators to adopt eco-friendly disposal methods, further boosting market demand [1]. Key Market Segmentation By Waste Type - Contaminated Oil Based Muds held a dominant market share of approximately 58% in 2025, attributed to the large volume of hazardous muds generated from oil and gas drilling operations [6]. - The Waste Lubricants segment is expected to grow at the fastest CAGR from 2026 to 2035 due to increasing drilling operations and stricter environmental regulations [6]. By Application - The Onshore segment dominated the market with around 61% share in 2025, driven by the high number of land-based drilling projects [7]. - The Offshore segment is anticipated to grow at the fastest CAGR from 2026 to 2035, fueled by increasing deepwater and offshore oil and gas exploration activities [7]. By End-Use - The Oil & Gas sector accounted for approximately 69% of the market share in 2025, due to extensive use of drilling fluids and high-volume waste generation [8]. - The Geothermal Energy segment is projected to grow at the fastest CAGR from 2026 to 2035, driven by a rising focus on renewable energy and increasing geothermal drilling projects [8]. By Service Type - Solid Control services represented about 41% of the market in 2025, as they are essential for separating solids from drilling fluids [9]. - The Waste Treatment & Disposal segment is expected to experience the fastest growth from 2026 to 2035, driven by increasing environmental regulations and sustainability initiatives [9]. Regional Insights - North America led the market with a revenue share of approximately 38% in 2025, due to extensive oil and gas drilling activities in the U.S. and Canada [11]. - The Asia Pacific region is expected to grow at the fastest CAGR of about 9.39% from 2026 to 2035, driven by rising oil and gas exploration activities and growing investments in drilling infrastructure [11]. Competitive Landscape - Key players in the market include Schlumberger, Halliburton, Baker Hughes, Weatherford International, and others [4]. - Recent developments include TWMA securing a $15 million drilling waste management contract for BP's Mediterranean project and Schlumberger partnering with Cactus Drilling to optimize drilling operations [15].

Key Takeaways WM reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.93, missing estimates by 1%, though earnings rose 13.5% y/y.WM generated $6.3B in revenues, as Collection and Renewable Energy gains balanced recycling declines.WM generated $823M in free cash flow and guided 2026 revenues below estimates despite a higher EBITDA outlook.WM (WM) reported dismal fourth-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate.WM’s quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.93 per share missed the consensus mar ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record performance in operating expenses as a percentage of revenue, with Operating EBITDA margin increasing by 150 basis points in the legacy business [8] - Full-year cash flow from operations grew by double digits, and free cash flow increased by nearly 27% [8][12] - Operating EBITDA margin expanded by 40 basis points to 30.1% for the full year, overcoming a 140 basis point margin headwind from the acquisition of the Healthcare Solutions business [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The collection and disposal business saw Operating EBITDA growth of more than 8% in Q4, with a margin expansion of 160 basis points [15] - The Healthcare Solutions business improved service delivery metrics and customer service scores, with SG&A expenses for this segment decreasing to 20.8% of revenue in Q4, a 350 basis point improvement from the prior year [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced notable growth in special waste, renewable energy, and recycling, while residential collection volume showed signs of improvement [21] - The pricing environment remained healthy, with core price growth of 6.2% in Q4 [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to focus on growing its core business, maximizing returns from recycling and renewable energy investments, and driving growth in healthcare solutions [13] - A new $3 billion share repurchase program was authorized, alongside a 14.5% increase in the planned quarterly dividend rate for 2026 [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment, noting signs of recovery in the industrial line of business and expectations for steady residential volume improvement [31][35] - The company anticipates Operating EBITDA growth of 6.2% at the midpoint for 2026, with free cash flow expected to grow nearly 30% [12][27] Other Important Information - The company completed automation upgrades at five recycling facilities and added facilities in four new markets, enhancing the performance of its recycling network [11] - The company expects to return about $3.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2026, representing over 90% of expected free cash flow [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide perspective on the top-line guidance and the macro backdrop? - Management remains cautiously optimistic about the macroeconomy, noting a recovery in the industrial line of business and signs of improvement in residential volumes [31][32] Question: Can you discuss the integration of the Healthcare Solutions business and pricing initiatives? - Significant progress has been made in customer service metrics, with expectations for better price realization in 2026 as the integration continues [37][39] Question: What is the outlook for 2026 in terms of healthcare solutions and cost synergies? - The company expects 4.2% price growth and 3% top-line growth in healthcare solutions, with ongoing efforts to reduce SG&A expenses [39][85] Question: Can you clarify the decision regarding 2027 financial targets? - Management indicated that detailed guidance for 2027 will be provided a year from now, emphasizing the difficulty of predicting long-term performance [46][47] Question: What is the expected margin expansion in the collection and disposal business for 2026? - The target for margin improvement across the portfolio is approximately 50 basis points on a same-store sales basis [49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record performance in operating expenses as a percentage of revenue, with Operating EBITDA margin increasing by 150 basis points in the legacy business [8][12] - Full-year Operating EBITDA margin reached 30.1%, despite a 140 basis point headwind from the acquisition of the Healthcare Solutions business and the expiration of alternative fuel tax credits [22][24] - Cash flow from operations grew more than 12% to $6.04 billion, and free cash flow increased by nearly 27% to $2.94 billion [24][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Collection and Disposal business saw Operating EBITDA growth of over 8% in Q4, with a margin expansion of 160 basis points [15][21] - The Recycling segment delivered over 22% Operating EBITDA growth, despite nearly 20% lower commodity prices [11][24] - The Healthcare Solutions business improved its SG&A expenses to 20.8% of revenue in Q4, a notable improvement of 350 basis points from the prior year [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company observed a bounce back in the industrial line of business, which had been down 3% to 4% in volume for several quarters, now nearing flat [31][32] - Residential collection volume is expected to improve steadily as the company moves through 2026 [21][32] - The landfill line of business has been a source of strength, with special waste performing well [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to focus on growing the core business by leveraging customer lifetime value, operational excellence, and network advantages [13] - There is a commitment to capturing returns from investments in Recycling and Renewable Energy businesses, as well as driving growth in healthcare solutions [13][28] - The company has authorized a new $3 billion share repurchase program and plans to return about $3.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2026 [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment, indicating a firm footing for the economy [31][35] - The company expects continued strong growth in 2026, with guidance for Operating EBITDA growth of 6.2% at the midpoint [12][26] - The company anticipates free cash flow growth of nearly 30% in 2026, reflecting structural earnings strength [12][27] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in integrating the Healthcare Solutions business, with improved customer service metrics now exceeding those of the legacy business [10][37] - The company is focused on reducing SG&A expenses across all business lines, aiming to bring total company SG&A below 10% [24][56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on top-line guidance and industrial activity - Management remains cautiously optimistic about the macroeconomic environment, noting a bounce back in the industrial line of business [31][32] Question: Pricing and cost refinement in Healthcare Solutions - Management highlighted significant progress in customer service and expects better price realization in 2026, with a projected 4.2% price increase [39][41] Question: Discussion on 2027 financial targets - Management clarified that 2027 estimates were not detailed guidance and emphasized the difficulty in predicting long-term performance [46][47] Question: Margin expansion expectations for Collection and Disposal - Management targets a 50 basis point margin improvement on a same-store sales basis across the portfolio [49] Question: Outlook for Healthcare Solutions EBITDA and cost synergies - Management reported exceeding synergy goals for 2025 and expects continued benefits in 2026 [53][54]

Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 29, 2026 10:00 AM ET Speaker12Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the WM fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your que ...

Core Insights - Waste Management (WM) reported revenue of $6.31 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.93, up from $1.70 in the same quarter last year [1] - Revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.39 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.21% [1] - The EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $1.95, with a surprise of -1.03% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Internal Revenue Growth for the total company was 7.1%, compared to an average estimate of 8.1% from six analysts [4] - Volume growth as a percentage of total company revenue was 0.7%, exceeding the four-analyst average estimate of 0.1% [4] - Internal revenue growth was reported at 3.1%, surpassing the four-analyst average estimate of 2.5% [4] - Growth from acquisitions was 4.3%, below the average estimate of 6.1% from three analysts [4] - Divestitures showed a change of -0.3%, compared to an average estimate of 0% [4] - Total average yield was 2.3%, higher than the three-analyst average estimate of 1.8% [4] Segment Performance - WM Healthcare Solutions reported net operating revenues of $615 million, slightly below the four-analyst average estimate of $615.55 million [4] - WM Renewable Energy achieved net operating revenues of $157 million, exceeding the average estimate of $149.45 million and representing a significant year-over-year increase of 68.8% [4] - Recycling Processing and Sales generated net operating revenues of $355 million, falling short of the average estimate of $360.11 million and reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.8% [4] - Corporate and Other segments reported net operating revenues of $6 million, surpassing the average estimate of $5.18 million and showing a year-over-year increase of 20% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Waste Management have returned +4.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.8% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - Waste Management reported quarterly earnings of $1.93 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -1.03% [1]. Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $6.31 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.21%, compared to year-ago revenues of $5.89 billion [2]. - Over the last four quarters, Waste Management has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [2]. Stock Performance - Waste Management shares have increased by approximately 5.3% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.9% [3]. - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.79 on revenues of $6.31 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $8.27 on revenues of $26.59 billion [7]. Industry Outlook - The Waste Removal Services industry is currently ranked in the bottom 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8]. - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Waste Management's stock performance [5].

Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was $6,313 million, representing a 7.1% increase year-over-year, while full-year revenue reached $25,204 million, up 14.2% from the previous year[5] - Operating revenues for Q4 2025 reached $6,313 million, a 7.1% increase from $5,893 million in Q4 2024[29] - Consolidated net income for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $2,709 million, slightly down from $2,745 million in 2024[33] - Basic earnings per share for Q4 2025 were $1.84, compared to $1.49 in Q4 2024, reflecting a 23.5% increase[29] - Operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, were reported at $25,204 million, an increase from $22,063 million in 2024, representing a growth of approximately 9.7%[53] - Income from operations for 2025 was reported at $4,308 million, down from $4,063 million in 2024, indicating a decrease of approximately 6.0%[53] - The company reported a net income attributable to Waste Management, Inc. for the year ended December 31, 2025, was reported at $2,708 million, with a diluted earnings per share of $6.70[51] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures - Free cash flow in 2025 was $2.94 billion, an increase of 26.8% compared to the prior year, with net cash provided by operating activities at $6.04 billion, up 12.1%[11] - Cash flows from operating activities for the year were $6,043 million, up from $5,390 million in 2024, indicating a 12.1% increase[33] - Capital expenditures for the year were $3,227 million, consistent with $3,231 million in 2024[33] - Projected free cash flow for 2026 is estimated to be between $3,750 million and $3,850 million, depending on different scenarios[61] EBITDA and Margins - Operating EBITDA for the total company grew 13.3% in 2025, with an adjusted operating EBITDA margin exceeding 30% for the first time, reaching 30.1% for the full year[4] - Adjusted operating EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $7,582 million, with an adjusted operating EBITDA margin of 30.1%[51] - The adjusted operating EBITDA margin for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was 31.3%, up from 28.9% in the same period of 2024[45] - Adjusted operating EBITDA for 2026 is projected to be between $8,150 million and $8,250 million, indicating a growth of 6.2% on a comparable basis[13] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to return approximately $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2026 through dividends and share repurchases[2] Business Segments and Growth - The Healthcare Solutions business achieved an operating EBITDA margin of 13.5% in 2025, up from 1.0% in 2024, with further improvements expected in 2026[8] - The company invested approximately $400 million in acquisitions in 2025, focusing on solid waste and recycling businesses[11] - Acquisitions during the year resulted in gross annualized revenue of $2,622 million, with total consideration net of cash acquired amounting to $6,720 million[40] Sustainability and Future Projects - WM anticipates completing six additional renewable natural gas plants and four recycling projects in 2026 as part of its sustainability growth strategy[15] - The company anticipates capital spending of about $85 million in 2026 for renewable natural gas facilities and a new recycling growth project, expected to contribute to operating EBITDA by 2028[10] Pricing and Market Conditions - The company reported a blended average price for single-stream recycled commodities of approximately $62 per ton in the quarter, down from $87 per ton in the prior year period[7] - The average price for renewable natural gas sold in 2025 was about $31 per MMBtu, with expectations to generate between 21 and 22 million MMBtu of renewable natural gas in 2026[21] - The company has contracted 60% of its renewable natural gas at a blended average price of about $27 per MMBtu for 2026[21] - The 2026 financial outlook includes a blended average single-stream recycled commodity price of approximately $70 per ton, with a $10 per ton change impacting operating EBITDA by approximately $27 million[21] Debt and Liabilities - Long-term debt decreased to $22,196 million in 2025 from $22,541 million in 2024, a reduction of 1.5%[31] - The total liabilities decreased to $35,844 million in 2025 from $36,313 million in 2024, a decline of 1.3%[31] Operational Efficiency - Operating expenses as a percentage of revenue for the Legacy Business improved by 150 basis points in 2025, reflecting effective cost management strategies[7] - Operating expenses as a percentage of revenues for 2025 were 59.6%, a slight decrease from 60.7% in 2024[57] - Adjusted SG&A expenses for 2025 were $14,996 million, compared to $13,382 million in 2024, indicating an increase of approximately 12.1%[57] Conference Call - The company will host a conference call on January 29, 2026, to discuss the fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results[18]