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Is The LYFT Finally Heading To The Penthouse? Bullish Momentum Ahead?
Benzinga· 2025-09-18 11:10
Core Insights - Lyft has entered Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, breaking out of its Cakra formation, which often indicates the beginning of a bullish trend [1][4] - The stock has gained approximately 20% since entering Phase 9, suggesting strong upward momentum [4][8] - The current phase is expected to run until May 2026, with further potential for rallies leading into Phase 10, which typically marks the peak of the bullish trend [6][8] Summary of Lyft's Cycle - In Phase 2, Lyft experienced sluggish trading during its Sankhya period but rallied by about 228% during the Buddhi period, aligning with Adhishthana expectations [2] - During Phase 3, Lyft formed the Yajya formation, followed by a consolidation phase (Phases 4-8) within its Cakra, setting the stage for a breakout [4] - The breakout from the Cakra on September 15, 2025, has initiated a rally, with the stock already up 20% in Phase 9 [4][8] Future Outlook - Phase 9 is associated with strong rallies, and the current momentum indicates more upside potential for Lyft [6] - The stock is entering its Buddhi period on the monthly chart, reinforcing the bullish signals observed in the weekly cycle [8]
Is RH Stock Likely To Underperform Through 2026?
Benzinga· 2025-09-15 09:44
Core Insights - RH is currently in Phase 18 of its Adhishthana cycle, which is the final stage, and has been range-bound for over 1,000 days, leading to investor uncertainty about its prolonged slump [1][8] - The stock's performance has been analyzed through the Adhishthana Principles, which combine behavioral archetypes and quantitative signals to predict market movements [2] Phase Analysis - The outlook for RH began to change when it entered Phase 14, where Phases 14, 15, and 16 form the Guna Triads that determine the potential for achieving Nirvana in Phase 18 [3] - For a successful Nirvana move, the Guna Triads must exhibit Satoguna, indicating a clear and sustainable bullish trend [3] Performance Issues - RH has not demonstrated any clean bullish runs across its Guna Triads, with brief rallies being sold off consistently, indicating a lack of Satoguna [6] - Since entering Phase 18, RH's stock price has declined from approximately $450 to around $150, currently hovering near the $200 range, with expectations of continued consolidation until Phase 18 concludes in March 2026 [7][8] Investor Outlook - Given the weak Guna Triad performance, RH is completing Phase 18 without achieving Nirvana, and the stock is anticipated to remain range-bound through March 2026 [8] - Long-term investors should consider the extended timeline of underperformance before viewing RH as a value opportunity, while options traders may explore range-bound credit spreads due to increasing open interest in deep OTM calls and puts [11]
Why Toro Stock Isn't Breaking Out Anytime Soon
Benzinga· 2025-09-10 15:20
Core Insights - Toro stock (TTC) is currently in Phase 18, the final stage of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, and has been in a consolidation range for over 700 days, with this trend expected to persist through August 2026 [1][5]. Guna Triads Analysis - The Guna Triads, consisting of Phases 14, 15, and 16, are critical for determining whether Toro can achieve Nirvana in Phase 18. For Nirvana to be reached, these triads must exhibit Satoguna, indicating a sustainable bullish structure [2][4]. - Toro has shown no signs of bullishness during Phases 14 to 16, leading to structural weakness that prevents the stock from attempting to reach Nirvana in its current Phase 18 [4]. Investor Outlook - Given the weak Guna Triads, Toro is expected to remain range-bound until August 2026, when Phase 18 concludes. Traders may consider using range-bound credit spreads, although limited options liquidity may pose challenges [5]. - Long-term investors are advised to avoid Toro until the next Adhishthana cycle begins, which may present new investment opportunities [5].
Fiserv At A Crossroads: Clarity Expected By Late December
Benzinga· 2025-07-28 09:46
Core Viewpoint - Fiserv is at a critical juncture, with conflicting signals from its weekly and monthly charts regarding future performance [1][12]. Weekly Chart Outlook - Fiserv has entered Phase 18, the final phase of the 18-Phase Adhishthana Cycle, which began in July 2013 and will conclude on December 20, 2026 [4]. - Phases 14 to 16, known as the Guna Triads, are essential for determining if Fiserv can achieve Nirvana in Phase 18, requiring a bullish trend (Satoguna) [4][5]. Monthly Chart Outlook - Currently, Fiserv is in Phase 11 on the monthly chart, which presents a different narrative [8]. - The stock experienced a significant rally of approximately 96% in Phase 9 and another 113% in Phase 10, but Phase 10 ended without forming a peak [9][10]. - Following a peak around $238, Fiserv has corrected by 40-45%, indicating a potential peak formation and descent in its Himalayan formation [10][11]. Investor Outlook - The weekly chart suggests a potential Nirvana move, while the monthly chart indicates a possible peak has already been established, creating a mixed signal for investors [12]. - A recent investigation into potential federal securities law violations adds to the uncertainty surrounding the stock [12]. - The $125.05 level is critical; if it holds or breaks decisively, it could confirm whether the current movement is a correction or the start of a larger trend [13].
Cars.com Stock: Structural Recovery Lacks Confirmation
Benzinga· 2025-07-25 10:46
Core Viewpoint - CARS is currently in Phase 11 of its 18-Phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a need for patience despite its attractive value proposition [1] Group 1: Adhishthana Framework - The stock formed a structure known as the Adhishthana Cakra between Phases 4 and 8, typically indicating an arc or consolidation zone [2] - Instead of breaking out in Phase 9, CARS experienced a significant breakdown, leading to a sharp decline from the $20 zone to as low as $9 [4] - Currently in Phase 11, the structure suggests continued consolidation until the Guna Triads begin in Phase 14, which is necessary for a confirmed upward trend [4] Group 2: Monthly and Weekly Analysis - The monthly chart shows CARS in the latter part of Phase 2, known as the Buddhi Move, which is often bullish if the prior Sankhya period was formed correctly [7] - CARS did not collapse during its Sankhya period but traded within a wide range, allowing for the possibility of a Buddhi rally [8] - There is a timing mismatch as Phase 2 ends in March 2027, while the Guna Triads begin in May 2027, raising questions about the potential for a rally before the Guna Triads confirm long-term potential [8] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The stock is currently bouncing between the $9 to $10 range, appearing to be a value buy, but the unclear weekly structure and unconfirmed Buddhi move complicate the investment decision [8] - Existing investors are advised to hold, especially those with long-term patience, while new investors should wait for structural confirmation likely after Phase 14 begins [9] - CARS is described as a car stuck in neutral, promising on paper but awaiting the right conditions to initiate a rally [9]
Is Costco Stock Topping Out? Key Price Levels To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-07-18 11:43
Core Viewpoint - Costco is currently in Phase 11 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, suggesting a potential peak formation after a strong rally, with the stock declining approximately 11% from its all-time high of $1078.23 [1][6]. Weekly Chart Analysis - Costco confirmed a breakout from its Cakra formation in Phase 9, leading to a rally of approximately 23% [4]. - In Phase 10, the stock surged an additional 66%, indicating continued upward momentum without forming a peak [4]. - Phase 11 saw the stock reach an all-time high of $1078.23, but it has since failed to reclaim that level, suggesting a possible peak has been formed [6][5]. Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Costco is in Phase 12, having also broken out of its Cakra in Phase 9 and rallied through Phases 10 and 11 [9]. - Uniquely, the stock did not form a peak in either Phase 10 or 11, which is rare according to the Adhishthana framework [9]. - The last bar of Phase 11 is critical; if it confirms the peak at $1078.23, it would indicate a potential end to the rally [10]. Investor Outlook - Investors should monitor the $893.62 level, which is the Phase 10 high; breaking this level could confirm the beginning of a descent [11]. - If the stock breaches $1078.23, it would indicate that the rally continues, potentially entering a more powerful phase [12].
ON Semiconductor Stock: Short-Term Consolidation Likely, But Long-Term Setup Remains Intact
Benzinga· 2025-07-07 14:54
Core Insights - ON Semiconductor is currently in the 17th phase of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a potential lack of a major high in the near future [1] - The monthly chart shows ON in Phase 7, with a significant decline pausing just above the Nirvana level, suggesting a key support zone [10] Weekly Chart Analysis - The Guna Triads in phases 14, 15, and 16 are critical for determining the potential for achieving Nirvana, but ON shows no clear signs of a bullish move [4][5] - The absence of a bullish structure indicates that Phase 18, starting August 25, 2025, is unlikely to deliver a euphoric top [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - ON is in Phase 7, marked by a decline characterized by three strong red bars followed by sideways movement and additional red bars [8][9] - The decline halted at $31.04, just above the Nirvana level of $27.23, indicating a gravitational support level during downturns [9] Conclusion and Recommendations - The weekly chart suggests ON is unlikely to reach a new major high, while the monthly chart indicates a more optimistic outlook due to the stock's alignment with key support levels [10] - Existing investors can hold, as the long-term structure remains intact, while new entrants may consider waiting until the completion of Phase 18 to avoid stagnation [11]
Alnylam Pharma Stock Outlook: Is ALNY Topping Out?
Benzinga· 2025-07-01 13:06
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) is currently in Phase 10 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with expectations for a peak formation in Phase 11, scheduled to end in September 2025 [1][5][6] Phase Analysis - The stock experienced a significant gap-up of over 30% on June 24 after positive results from its drug Vutrisiran for treating transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, aligning with the principles of the Adhishthana framework [4][5] - Phase 9 was characterized by powerful structural shifts, leading to the current bullish stance in Phase 10, which is still building without signs of a peak [5][6] - Peak formation in Phase 10 typically occurs between the 18th and 23rd bars, but ALNY has not yet shown signs of this peak [6] Monthly Chart Insights - On the monthly chart, ALNY is in Phase 6, associated with the creation of a Nirvana level, projected to emerge around $240 by September 30, 2025 [9][10] - The stock has been forming its monthly Adhishthana Cakra since Phase 4 and is currently near the upper arc of this structure, indicating potential exhaustion as Phase 10 matures [10] Investor Outlook - Existing investors are advised to hold while monitoring for signs of structural breakdown, which would indicate a descent phase, referred to as the "Wrath of Ganga" [11] - New entrants are cautioned against entering during Phase 10 due to poor risk-reward dynamics, as the stock is trading near the higher arc of the monthly Adhishthana Cakra [12]
HLT Stock: A Breakdown Likely Before It Hits All-Time Highs
Benzinga· 2025-06-26 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is currently in the 17th phase of the 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a potential bearish move before a final rally occurs [1] Guna Triads and Their Implications - Phases 14, 15, and 16 form the Guna Triads, which are critical in determining the nature of Phase 18 [2] - Phases 14 and 15 exhibited mild bullish strength (Satoguna) with rallies of approximately 23% and 26% respectively, while Phase 16 experienced a severe bearish energy (Tamoguna), resulting in a decline of nearly 28% [4] - A strong Tamoguna in Phase 16 suggests that Phase 18 will likely start with a significant bearish "death move" [4] Outlook for Phase 18 - HLT is in Phase 17, characterized as a no-action phase with low conviction, lasting until November 9, 2025 [5] - Following the transition to Phase 18 on November 10, 2025, a bearish "death move" is anticipated to occur between November 10, 2025, and May 10, 2026, potentially leading to a sharp correction [6] Investor Takeaway - Despite a long-term bullish structure, the near-term outlook for HLT remains weak due to the strong Tamoguna and the inertia of Phase 17, suggesting a breakdown is more likely than a breakout in the coming months [8] - Investors are advised to remain on the sidelines until the completion of the death move in Phase 18, with a more favorable risk-reward setup expected after May 2026 [8]
Becton Dickinson Stock (BDX): Why It's Best To Avoid For Now
Benzinga· 2025-06-25 12:33
Core Viewpoint - Becton Dickinson and Company (BDX) is currently in the 17th phase of the 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating continued underperformance and consolidation until early June 2027 [1] Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - BDX started its Adhishthana Cycle positively but experienced a critical shift entering Phase 8, where the expected bullish Cakra formation broke down [2][4] - The breakdown of the Cakra in Phase 8 led to over 1,400 days of sideways consolidation, confirming the structural weakness [6] - The Guna Triads, which assess the potential for reaching the highest price point in Phase 18, showed BDX's triads to be among the weakest compared to peers, lacking the necessary bullish momentum [9][10] Group 2: Monthly Chart and Future Outlook - On the monthly chart, BDX is in the Sankhya Period of Phase 2, characterized by bearish pressure and range-bound behavior, expected to last until August 2, 2027 [13] - The combination of the structural breakdown, weak Guna Triads, and bearish monthly trends suggests that BDX is not positioned for recovery in the near term [14][15]