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Qorvo Stock: Long-Term Outlook Remains Unconvincing
Benzinga· 2026-01-29 15:29
Core Viewpoint - Qorvo's stock is currently in Phase 16 of its Adhishthana cycle, showing a weak triad formation that suggests a negative risk-reward profile for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Triad Formation Analysis - Qorvo is in Phase 16, part of the Guna Triads, which includes Phases 14, 15, and 16, essential for determining the potential for a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [2]. - The absence of Satoguna, a necessary condition for a bullish structure, indicates that a Nirvana move in Phase 18 is unlikely [3]. - Since entering Phase 14 on December 30, 2024, Qorvo's price structure has not shown any clear bullish signals, further diminishing the prospects for a positive outcome [3]. Group 2: Current Phase and Future Outlook - Phase 16 is expected to continue until May 2026, but it has not demonstrated any constructive strength, limiting the potential for improvement [4]. - The longer-term outlook for Qorvo remains unconvincing due to the weak triad formation, despite the possibility of short-term rallies in Phase 17 [5]. - The final phase, Phase 18, is anticipated to bring disappointment rather than significant upside, as the stock has been underperforming since August 2021 [6].
Southwest Airlines: The Kind of LUV Investors Should Avoid
Benzinga· 2026-01-14 13:59
Core Viewpoint - Southwest Airlines is in the final stage of its Adhishthana cycle, and despite a recent rally, the overall outlook remains uninspiring, suggesting that investors should avoid chasing the stock [1]. Group 1: Triad Formation and Market Dynamics - The stock's triad formation, consisting of Phases 14, 15, and 16, is critical in determining the potential for a Nirvana move, which signifies the peak of the cycle [2]. - For a Nirvana move to occur, the triads must demonstrate Satoguna, characterized by strong momentum and institutional participation; without this, a significant breakout is unlikely [3]. - In the case of Southwest Airlines, the triad formation has not shown sustained bullish momentum, leading to a lack of probability for a powerful late-stage breakout [5]. Group 2: Recent Rally Analysis - The recent short-term upside in LUV is occurring within the upper boundary of a broader consolidation range, lacking the structural support necessary for a lasting trend [6]. - The weak foundation of the triad indicates that the stock does not possess the internal strength to break higher convincingly, often resulting in range-bound trading or false breakouts [7]. Group 3: Investor Outlook - Given the unfavorable triad formation, Southwest Airlines does not currently offer a compelling opportunity for bullish investors, and chasing the recent rally carries significant risk [8]. - Long-term investors are advised to reconsider the stock only after a complete cycle reset and if a new structure begins to favor bullish development [8]. - For traders, the current environment may be more suitable for range-bound strategies rather than pursuing directional momentum [9].
Why Adobe's Downtrend Isn't Something You Can 'Edit' Away
Benzinga· 2025-12-05 13:17
Core Viewpoint - Adobe is currently in Phase 18 of its Adhishthana cycle, which began in May 2025, and has experienced a decline of approximately 25% since then, leading to divided investor sentiment ahead of earnings on December 10 [1][6]. Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - The Guna Triads, consisting of Phases 14, 15, and 16, are crucial for determining if Adobe can achieve a Nirvana move in Phase 18, which requires a sustained bullish structure known as Satoguna [2][4]. - Adobe entered Phase 14 in June 2023, but throughout its triads until October 2024, it exhibited consolidation and inconsistent rallies, indicating a lack of meaningful bullish structure [4][5]. - The absence of Satoguna in the triads has confirmed that Adobe would not achieve a Nirvana move in Phase 18, leading to consistent underperformance since entering this phase [5][6]. Group 2: Investor Outlook - With earnings approaching, volatility is expected to increase; however, the weak triad foundation suggests that Phase 18 will not yield a Nirvana move, and any potential rallies are unlikely to be sustained [6][7]. - The monthly charts indicate that Adobe is still in a descending phase of its Himalayan formation, suggesting that aggressive buying is not advisable at this time [7]. - The options market reflects this sentiment, with heavy call-writing open interest indicating expectations of capped upside and multiple resistance levels [7].
Entegris Stock's Recent Slide Signals A Tougher Road Ahead
Benzinga· 2025-11-21 13:47
Core Insights - Entegris Inc. has entered the final phase of its Adhishthana Cycle, specifically Phase 18, and has experienced a significant drop of approximately 23% immediately after this transition [1][6] Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - The Guna Triads, consisting of Phases 14, 15, and 16, are critical in determining if a stock can achieve a Nirvana move in Phase 18, which signifies a peak in the cycle [2] - Entegris' stock has shown a decisively bearish structure throughout Phases 14 to 16, resulting in a nearly 58% decline, thereby eliminating the possibility of a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [4] - The expected behavior of the stock in Phase 18 aligns with the Adhishthana framework, indicating sluggishness and structural weakness rather than bullish momentum [4] Group 2: Investor Outlook - The long-term outlook for Entegris remains muted due to the weak triad formation, with market participants positioning for continued sluggishness rather than recovery [5] - The stock is anticipated to remain in a consolidation phase throughout Phase 18, with limited upside potential and elevated downside risks [5] - Investors are advised to wait before initiating long positions, while existing holders should consider hedging strategies due to the prolonged consolidation path [5]
Nebius Group Shares: Why The Rally May Not Hold Up
Benzinga· 2025-11-13 11:50
Core Insights - Nebius Group's stock has experienced a significant rally from $18 to $140 since April 2023, but this may not indicate long-term value based on the Adhishthana Principles [1] Group 1: Adhishthana Cycle Analysis - Nebius Group is currently in Phase 17 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with Phases 14, 15, and 16 forming the Guna Triads that are critical for determining the potential for a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [2] - The stock has shown sharp bearishness and consolidation during its triad phases, declining nearly 83%, indicating that a Nirvana move in Phase 18 is unlikely [5] - Phase 17 is identified as a no-trade phase, suggesting that any rallies should not be pursued [6] Group 2: Future Projections - The transition to Phase 18 is expected in December 2025, which historically leads to sluggish or range-bound trading for such triad structures [6] - Recent stock retracement from $140 to $94 indicates potential exhaustion in the rally [6] - The company's recent earnings report shows a 153% widening of losses, further suggesting that the rally may be losing momentum [7] Group 3: Investor Outlook - The poor triad formation implies that the recent surge lacks structural strength, and the stock is likely to trade with a bearish bias and extended consolidation until at least mid-2027 [8] - While new deals with Meta could enhance business fundamentals, a cyclical cooling off is anticipated before any significant upside can be realized [9] - Investors are advised to wait for the rally to stabilize and seek value opportunities once the cycle resets [9]