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金属与矿业-整合、稀缺性与区域化-European Metals and Mining-Consolidation, Scarcity, and Regionalisation
2025-12-24 02:32
December 23, 2025 01:25 PM GMT European Metals and Mining 23 December 2025 Consolidation, Scarcity, and Regionalisation M O R G A N S T A N L E Y R E S E A R C H Europe Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+ Ferdinand Huber RESEARCH ASSOCIATE Ferdinand.Huber@morganstanley.com +44 20 7677-2702 European Equity Research Alain Gabriel, CFA EQUITY ANALYST Alain.Gabriel@morganstanley.com +44 (0)20 7425 8959 Ioannis Masvoulas, CFA EQUITY ANALYST Ioannis.Masvoulas@morganstanley.com +44 (0)20 7425 0427 Adahna Ekoku ...
Q&A with: Oliver Wyman
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-22 16:27
“To support organic growth, the sector should industrialise this strategy. Historically, only about one-third of assets under management growth came from net new money. Firms who embed next best action analytics, straight-through-onboarding, pricing guardrails and incentives for sticky inflows have tended to outperform.”“Additionally, firms should look to build an ecosystem that supports private markets investments. These include educating advisors and clients, curating product shelfs as well as introducing ...
2026年展望:应对代理浪潮的安全挑战-2026 Year Ahead Outlook
2025-12-20 09:54
Summary of the 2026 Year Ahead Outlook: Securing The Agentic Wave Industry Overview - **Industry**: Security Software - **Key Analysts**: Brian Essex, CFA; John Lee; Alex Isaac from J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Core Insights 1. **Favorable Outlook for Security Software in 2026** - The demand backdrop is healthy with reasonable expectations and attractive setups for better-than-expected execution - Top picks include PANW, CLBT, NTSK, and ZS, while FTNT is moved to Underweight due to competitive disadvantages [13][25] 2. **Market Dynamics in 2025** - 2025 was marked by macro uncertainty, leading to a slight contraction in average multiples across the coverage - Security software benefitted from a rotation towards stronger thematic names, particularly those with AI tailwinds [14][22] 3. **Budget Pressures and Spending Trends** - IT Security budgets are expected to grow at a slower pace compared to previous years, with a lower percentage of IT spending allocated to Security - Most budget pressure will impact headcount-related spending, while software spending remains healthy [22][62] 4. **AI's Impact on Security** - AI has increased the volume and sophistication of threats, necessitating a focus on Network Security, Endpoint, and Identity - Demand for SASE (Secure Access Service Edge) remains elevated, driven by AI adoption [23][24] 5. **Platformization and Vendor Performance** - Spending is expected to favor platform vendors that can consolidate across multiple high-priority categories - Established platforms are well-positioned for margin expansion and free cash flow growth [24][27] Key Company Insights 1. **Top Picks for 2026** - **PANW**: Comprehensive end-to-end platform with strong share consolidation capabilities; expected FCF margin expansion to 40% or better [27] - **CLBT**: Positioned for reacceleration driven by government demand; attractive valuation for potential 20%+ y/y growth [28] - **NTSK**: High-growth vendor with improving market traction; well-positioned for demand in Network, Data, and AI security [29] - **ZS**: Benefitting from a shift in Network Security spending; expected to gain from an expanding attack surface [30] 2. **Underweight Ratings** - **FTNT**: Facing challenges as a platform consolidator; current market conditions are unfavorable for stock performance [25] Additional Insights 1. **Consolidation Trends** - M&A activity is expected to accelerate, with private companies driving innovation in the security software space - Notable acquisitions include CyberArk by PANW and several others across the industry [105] 2. **Emerging Threats and Security Needs** - Cyber risks remain a top concern for C-suite executives, with a growing need for solutions to secure AI and machine identities - The market for securing AI is fragmented but expected to grow as larger players invest in this area [145][148] 3. **Growth Projections** - Security software is projected to remain a high-growth sector, with significant opportunities in Cloud Security, Data Privacy, and Endpoint Security - Expected CAGRs from 2024-2029 include Cloud Security at 24% and Data/Privacy at 13% [83] 4. **Valuation and Fundamentals** - Average multiples have contracted, but high-growth vendors are beginning to see multiple appreciation as interest rates stabilize - Companies that can reaccelerate growth while improving profitability will be favored in the market [111][116] This summary encapsulates the key points from the 2026 Year Ahead Outlook for the Security Software industry, highlighting the anticipated trends, company performances, and market dynamics.
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-12-13 01:00
American states have a long history of antitrust enforcement. But consolidation across industries and the growth of anti-monopolist politics among leftists and MAGA economic populists have put the issue centre-stage https://t.co/4EeRoxTwjG ...
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-12-12 09:45
$STBL is nicely consolidating here, and has one primary objective:Breaking through the 20-Day MA in the coming weeks.It's creating a higher low; however, with the current price action, likely, this won't hold, and we'll test the lows again.However, I remain bullish on trading this one actively, and I think we'll see a break above the 20-Day MA, which will trigger a strong rally towards the previous resistance/support areas. ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-12-11 16:37
Still consolidating. https://t.co/72vMSyqk5YMayne (@Tradermayne):I look the look of the weekly chart on the US500 I think the daily needs a correction before legging into the 7000 region.Pullback or time based consolidation (sideways) before the next move higher. https://t.co/9upOVJtVBG ...
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-12-10 13:00
Market Trends - NEAR price has hit the lowest point since October 10th [1] - NEAR intents are growing with triple digits every month [1] Technical Analysis - Consolidation and accumulation around the current area could imply a breakout above the 20-Day Moving Average [1] - A breakout above $1.95 would bring NEAR back into the range, potentially leading to a range-to-range play towards $3 [1]
What the sale of Warner Bros. Discovery could mean for the future of Hollywood
NBC News· 2025-12-08 21:59
H how could this merger on either end change the calculus inside Hollywood. Yeah, when you when you talk to people who work in film and television right now, the vibes are pretty bleak because regardless of which one of these companies emerges victorious, there's going to be consolidation and contraction in Hollywood and that may lead to layoffs and it will certainly mean that there is one fewer buyer in this industry for television and film content. It's worth noting 10 years ago there were six major legac ...
Paramount’s Ellison Gets Middle East Backing for WBD Bid
Bloomberg Technology· 2025-12-08 21:06
Simple question for you to start, Rich. What happens next. You know, it is really anyone's guess.You know, we've now got this hostile offer, tender offer from the Olsens and from Paramount. Obviously, shareholders are going to have to, you know, really look at this. I mean, you've got you know, the offers are very different, right.Because one is for just the streaming and studios and you're going to end up with a resulting sort of equity that is the cable network piece. And, you know, depending on how that' ...
Comcast (NasdaqGS:CMCSA) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-12-08 15:47
Summary of Comcast's 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Comcast (NasdaqGS:CMCSA) - **Date**: December 08, 2025 - **Key Segment**: NBCUniversal Key Points and Arguments NBCUniversal Performance and Strategy - NBCUniversal achieved significant accomplishments in 2025, executing its planned initiatives effectively [2][4] - The Versant spin-off is highlighted as a strategic decision aimed at benefiting shareholders, allowing NBCUniversal to focus on its core assets [2][3] - The remaining linear assets include NBC, Telemundo, and Bravo, which are integral to the strategy for Peacock [3][4] - The media segment generated $40 billion in global revenues, with a focus on leveraging content for streaming and parks [5][19] Streaming and Peacock - Peacock is positioned as a domestic-focused streaming service, leveraging NBC's legacy and content [14][22] - The service has seen a significant increase in subscribers, reaching 41 million, and improved EBITDA by $900 million over the last 12 months [18][19] - Upcoming major sports events, including the Super Bowl and NBA All-Star Game, are expected to drive engagement and subscriber growth [15][19] - Peacock's strategy includes partnerships with platforms like Amazon and Apple to enhance distribution [18] Warner Bros. Acquisition Attempt - Comcast explored a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. but ultimately decided against pursuing a deal that would stress its balance sheet [10][11] - The proposal included a significant equity stake in a combined entertainment company, which would have changed Comcast's streaming aspirations [11][12] - The management team felt reassured about their current strategies after evaluating the Warner Bros. opportunity [12] Connectivity Business - New leadership under Steve Crone aims to enhance competitiveness and operational efficiency in the connectivity segment [30][31] - The competitive environment remains intense, with aggressive promotions and a focus on a new go-to-market strategy that simplifies pricing [34][35] - Comcast will not implement a price increase in the first half of 2026, which may impact RPU growth and EBITDA [34][35] Wireless Strategy - The wireless business has become profitable, with a focus on retention and customer acquisition through bundled services [38][39] - Comcast aims to increase awareness and market penetration of its wireless offerings, leveraging its broadband services [40][42] Business Market and MVNO Strategy - The business services segment has grown to over $10 billion in revenue, with a focus on small to mid-sized enterprises [46] - The partnership with T-Mobile for MVNO services is expected to enhance offerings in the business market [46] Financial Outlook - Comcast anticipates returning to revenue and EBITDA growth in the second half of 2026, driven by the media segment and improved profitability from Peacock [49][51] - The company maintains a strong balance sheet and continues to prioritize capital allocation towards growth segments [54][55] Dividend Policy - Comcast plans to maintain its dividend policy, with a projected increase for shareholders in 2026, reflecting a commitment to returning capital [55] Additional Important Insights - The consolidation in the media industry is viewed positively, as it may lead to market healing and better long-term strategies [24][25] - The company is focused on investing in its leadership teams and growth segments, including parks, studios, and connectivity [54][55]