Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)
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Earnings Preview: Qiagen (QGEN) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 16:06
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Qiagen (QGEN) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on February 4, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations ...
Will Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 18:10
Looking for a stock that has been consistently beating earnings estimates and might be well positioned to keep the streak alive in its next quarterly report? Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) , which belongs to the Zacks Building Products - Heavy Construction industry, could be a great candidate to consider.This provider of dredging and dock-contracting services has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. The average surprise for the last two qua ...
Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 16:01
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on January 20, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than ex ...
Why Chipotle (CMG) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 18:11
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having a history of surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 3.35% [1][2] Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Chipotle achieved earnings of $0.29 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share, resulting in a surprise of 3.57% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $0.32 per share but delivered $0.33 per share, yielding a surprise of 3.13% [2] Earnings Estimates - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Chipotle, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Chipotle is +0.18%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] Upcoming Earnings Report - Chipotle's next earnings report is expected to be released on February 3, 2026 [8]
Idexx Laboratories (IDXX) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Idexx Laboratories (IDXX) due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Idexx is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.14 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +12.1%, with revenues projected at $1.07 billion, up 9.8% from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for release on November 3, and better-than-expected results could lead to a stock price increase, while disappointing results may cause a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.46% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Idexx is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.23%, suggesting a bullish outlook on earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Idexx holds a Zacks Rank of 2, enhancing the likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - Idexx has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates, achieving this in the last four quarters, including a +9.67% surprise in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Industry Context - In comparison, Edwards Lifesciences (EW) is expected to report earnings of $0.59 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of -11.9%, with revenues projected at $1.5 billion, up 11.1% from the previous year [18]. - Edwards Lifesciences has a lower Earnings ESP of -1.22% and a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [19].
Why Hanover Insurance (THG) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 17:10
Core Insights - Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report [1] - The company has a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 24.90% over the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, Hanover Insurance reported earnings of $4.35 per share, surpassing the expected $3.07 per share, resulting in a surprise of 41.69% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $3.87 per share against an expectation of $3.58 per share, leading to a surprise of 8.10% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Hanover Insurance have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +2.51%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [8] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] Upcoming Events - Hanover Insurance is expected to release its next earnings report on October 29, 2025 [8]
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) Overview and Analyst Insights
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-17 15:00
Core Viewpoint - American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is positioned positively in the financial services industry, with strong financial performance and optimistic analyst sentiment regarding its stock potential [2][6]. Company Overview - American Express, founded in 1850, operates through three main segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services, serving a diverse clientele [1]. Price Target and Analyst Sentiment - The consensus price target for AXP has fluctuated, currently at $339.6, down from $349.71 but up from last year's $328.67, indicating general optimism among analysts [2][6]. - Barclays analyst Mark DeVries has set a price target of $145, reflecting expectations for the company's financial performance [3][5]. Upcoming Earnings Expectations - Analysts anticipate revenue growth of 8.5% year-over-year, reaching $18 billion, with earnings per share expected to rise by 6.5% to $3.28 in the upcoming earnings report [3][6]. - Despite some concerns about the optimal combination of factors for an earnings beat, the company's robust rewards program and strong consumer sentiment provide a competitive edge [4][6]. Investment Considerations - American Express is highlighted as a stock with potential to exceed quarterly earnings estimates, making it a stock worth considering for investors [5][6].
Why Seagate (STX) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-03 17:11
Core Insights - Seagate (STX) is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in upcoming reports, particularly within the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry [1] Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Seagate reported earnings of $2.46 per share, missing the expected $2.59 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.28%. In the previous quarter, the company exceeded expectations by reporting $1.90 per share against a consensus estimate of $1.76 per share, achieving a surprise of 7.95% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Seagate have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises. The stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +2.75%, indicating a bullish outlook from analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat in the near future [8] Earnings ESP Methodology - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions. This method aims to provide a more accurate prediction of earnings outcomes [7] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]
Waters (WAT) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Waters (WAT) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with earnings expected at $2.93 per share, reflecting an 11.4% increase, and revenues projected at $744.33 million, a 5.1% rise [1][3][18]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for August 4, and the stock may rise if the reported figures exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4][19]. Earnings Surprise Potential - The Most Accurate Estimate for Waters is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.04%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12][19]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [10][12]. Historical Performance - Waters has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a recent surprise of +1.35% in the last reported quarter [13][14][19]. Industry Context - Waters operates within the Zacks Medical - Instruments industry, which is characterized by ongoing developments in drug discovery and development [3][18].
Garrett Motion (GTX) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Garrett Motion (GTX) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +32.1%, while revenues are projected to be $918 million, up 3.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 6.06% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Garrett Motion exceeded the expected earnings of $0.29 per share by delivering $0.30, resulting in a surprise of +3.45%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While Garrett Motion does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].