I'm Ruth Carson, and this is what's important in FX and rates markets right now. We're going to talk about the Indian rupee, which has fallen against a dollar to an all-time low. It's weakened more than 5% this year, making it the worst-performing Asian currency.The Indian rupee has been in a free fall over the past month, coming under pressure from delays in clinching a trade deal with the US and with foreigners pulling out money from the stock market. Indian importers as well have been looking to beef up ...

Japan’s chief currency official sent a warning on recent foreign exchange moves, after the yen weakened against the dollar following Friday’s Bank of Japan decision https://t.co/3JaLYzWSp9 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the macroeconomic outlook, focusing on global rates, commodities, currencies, and emerging markets, with insights from J.P. Morgan Securities. Core Insights and Arguments US Rates - Hawkish developments across developed market (DM) central banks have led to underperformance in the intermediate sector, aligning with a forecast for modestly higher yields in 2026 as easing cycles wind down [3][14] - The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to ease rates in January 2026, with the effective funds rate projected to be 3.40% by mid-2026 [11][12] - Treasury yields are forecasted to reach 3.60% for 2-year and 4.25% for 10-year by mid-2026, with slight increases expected by year-end [9][11] International Rates - DM rates have generally sold off due to a hawkish shift in central bank tones and strong data momentum, leading to a lightening of risk in portfolios [4][39] - The Fed's recent actions have not met more hawkish market expectations, contributing to a bearish outlook for the USD [6][80] Commodities - Cocoa's re-inclusion in the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) is expected to drive significant buying, accounting for 22% of total open interest, overshadowing more modest buying in other commodities like corn and wheat [6] - Natural gas storage withdrawals in North West Europe (NWE) have exceeded forecasts, despite weaker demand trends [6] Currencies - The USD is under pressure due to a dovish Fed stance compared to hawkish developments in other G10 countries [75][79] - Event risks are elevated with upcoming US payroll releases, and a bearish outlook for the USD is contingent on data performance [79][80] Emerging Markets - The outlook for emerging markets (EM) in 2026 is positive, with lower macro volatility expected to support local markets. The recommendation is to stay overweight (OW) on EM FX and rates [6][11] - Growth and inflation are projected to remain stable, with limited central bank easing anticipated [6] Additional Important Insights - The Fed's policy path is now more aligned with J.P. Morgan's forecasts, indicating limited scope for further bearish impulses in the near term [14] - A significant funding gap is expected to emerge in 2027, with coupon size increases anticipated starting in November 2026 [22] - The demand for Treasuries is expected to remain stable, with mutual funds and ETFs likely absorbing 50% of net T-bill supply [32] - The anticipated cuts from the Fed and other central banks are expected to create a more favorable environment for high-yield currencies [68] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the macroeconomic landscape and its implications for various asset classes.

Key focus and themes Global Markets Research Foreign Exchange - Asia ex-Japan/Euro Area/Europe 2026 top trades and HK/SG client FX views Besides the widely expected 25bp hike at the December BOJ meeting, what is your expectation on Governor Ueda's messaging and the impact on USD/JPY (1 session after)? | Fig. 1: Top five top-conviction strategy trades in order (scale 1-5) | | --- | | | ★★★★★ | | Top 5 FX and Rates Trades | | | ★★★★★ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Countries | Trade ...

BMW has started using a blockchain-based system to automate some of its foreign exchange transactions https://t.co/7BhrPKNt9S ...

South Korea has more than tripled its annual cap on foreign exchange stabilization bond purchases from its original plans, as concerns over its trade and investment deal with the US raise expectations of stronger dollar demand https://t.co/sJW9VPj73x ...

Market Overview - The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange showed mixed results with the Tel Aviv 35 Index increasing by 0.11% to 3,429.69 points, while the Tel Aviv 125 Index decreased by 0.07% to 3,477.29 points and the BlueTech Global Index fell by 0.22% to 597.24 points [1] - The All Bond corporate bond index declined by 0.16% to 418.77 points, with total turnover reaching NIS 3.30 billion in equities and NIS 3.77 billion in bonds [1] Foreign Exchange Market - The shekel-dollar rate was set 0.031% higher at NIS 3.264/$, and the shekel-euro rate increased by 0.586% to NIS 3.796/€ [2] Notable Stock Movements - Bank Leumi led the market with a rise of 0.67% and the highest trading turnover, while Mizrahi Tefahot Bank and Israel Discount Bank saw increases of 1.84% and 1.38%, respectively [2] - Shufersal Ltd. experienced the largest gain on the Tel Aviv 35 Index, rising by 2.37%, followed by Tower Semiconductor Ltd. with a 2.02% increase, Nice with a 0.84% rise, and Bezeq Israel Telecommunications Company Ltd. up by 0.99% [3] - Clal Insurance Enterprise Holdings recorded the largest decline on the Tel Aviv 35 Index, falling by 2.89%, with Elbit Systems Ltd. down by 1.66% and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. decreasing by 0.78% [3] - Outside the Tel Aviv 35 Index, El Al Israel Airlines Ltd. fell by 3.66% [4]

Trading of futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange was halted by a data-center fault, causing hours of disruption to markets across equities, foreign exchange, bonds and commodities: Here is your Evening Briefing. https://t.co/tYts1iyjN3 ...

Product Launch - Circle launches StableFX, an institutional-grade stablecoin FX engine combining RFQ execution with onchain settlement [1] - Circle introduces Circle Partner Stablecoins, a program supporting select regional issuers to expand stablecoin currencies available in StableFX [2] StableFX Features - StableFX aims to deliver seamless execution, a wide range of assets, and instant settlement [2] - StableFX is designed for competitive RFQ pricing across liquidity providers, instant onchain settlement, and 24/7 capital-efficient design [3] Partner Stablecoins - Initial participants in Circle Partner Stablecoins include AUDF, BRLA, JPYC, KRW1, MXNB, PHPC, QCAD, and ZARU [4] Technology and Access - StableFX is currently live on @Arc Testnet [2]

New Product Launch - Circle 发布 StableFX，一个机构级别的稳定币外汇引擎，结合了询价执行（RFQ execution）与链上结算 [1] - Circle 推出 Circle Partner Stablecoins 计划，支持特定的区域发行方，扩大 StableFX 中可用的稳定币种类 [2] Technology and Design - StableFX 目前在 @Arc Testnet 上线 [2] - StableFX、Circle Partner Stablecoins 和 Arc 旨在提供无缝执行、广泛的资产范围和即时结算 [2] - StableFX 提供有竞争力的询价（RFQ）定价，覆盖多个流动性提供商 [3] - StableFX 支持即时链上结算 [3] - StableFX 采用 24/7 全天候资本高效设计 [3] Partner Stablecoins - 初始参与者包括 AUDF by @ForteAUD, BRLA by @aveniaio, JPYC by @jpy_coin, KRW1 by @BDACSKorea, MXNB by Juno (a @Bitso company), PHPC by @coinsph, QCAD by @stablecorp, ZARU by the @ZARUniversal [4] Market Focus - 外汇市场是世界上最大的市场，但也是现代化程度最低的市场之一 [1] - 旨在加速向全球互联金融系统（运行在稳定币轨道上）的转变 [2]