This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month. The Ivy Portfolio The Ivy Portfolio is based on the asset allocation strategy used by endowment funds from Harvard and Yale. ...

SILVER DOWN 27% TODAY✅ January 27 - Ivan warns that it will dump to moving averages✅January 28 - Ivan warns that it will dump to moving averages✅January 30 - Silver dumps around 30% in a single candlemeanwhile, silver bros where saying that the US dollar will hyperinflate any second... I have heard that story before, normally it is a top signalRT if you didnt get rekt!!!Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰 (@IvanOnTech):Retail plebs gonna get mega rekt on SilverWe are bullish Silver until trend turns bearishBut the plebe that ...

Core Viewpoint - Disney is expected to report earnings soon, with mixed sentiments about its performance in the streaming sector and overall business operations. Group 1: Company Performance - Disney has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 and the broader communication sector, down approximately 1.6% year-to-date [3]. - The company has been trending lower, failing to break above a resistance level around 125, and has retreated to support near 109, with further support at 102 [4][5]. - Moving averages are clustered around 110 to 111, indicating a lack of clear trend direction [5]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The volume profile indicates that the 111-112 level is a key trading area, with significant trading activity noted [6]. - The expected move for the upcoming February 20th expiration shows higher volatility compared to subsequent expirations, making it an interesting target for trading strategies [7]. - A proposed trade setup involves a short put vertical at a $1 credit, with significant support near the 105-100 level, reflecting a neutral to bullish outlook [8]. Group 3: Risk and Reward - The risk-reward ratio for the proposed trade is less favorable than typical, with a maximum profit of $100 and a maximum loss of $400, indicating a more high-probability trade [8][9]. - The break-even point for the trade is at 104, which represents a 6.3% downside from the current levels, with an expected move of 9.8% during the same time frame [9].

Moving Averages Signal Solid Foundation for Extended RallyTechnically, this move is being fueled by breakouts above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, making both support at $58.61 and $60.57, respectively. Furthermore, with the market spending so much time under these moving averages, a strong base has been built, giving the market solid support for an intermediate and long-term rally.Real Buying Power or Just Another Short-Covering Spike?But is this the start of a long-term rally, given the well-supp ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent market activity indicates a strong bullish trend for gold, confirmed by a breakout and subsequent pullbacks that have found support at key moving averages [1][3]. Group 1: Trend Confirmation - The first pullback after a breakout above $4,381 found support near the 20-day average, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend [1]. - A sustained rally above the previous high of $4,550 confirms the strength of the current trend, with new daily closing highs being established [1]. Group 2: Resistance Levels - A potential resistance zone is identified between $4,664 and $4,713, which may act as a barrier to further price increases [2]. - If the price exceeds the upper limit of this resistance zone, it would signal further strength, with a target projection of $4,766 based on measured moves [2]. Group 3: Support Indicators - Key dynamic support levels for gold are indicated by the 10-day moving average at $4,485 and the 20-day average at $4,439, with the latter being a significant support area during recent retracements [4]. - The 10-day moving average has recently been confirmed as support over three days, marking it as an important trend indicator moving forward [4]. - Additional price levels to monitor for support during pullbacks include recent swing highs at $4,550 and $4,381 [4].

Core Insights - The article provides an update on the monthly moving averages for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the last business day of the month [1] Group 1: S&P 500 - Monthly moving averages for the S&P 500 are tracked to assess market trends and performance [1] Group 2: Ivy Portfolio - The Ivy Portfolio is based on the asset allocation strategy utilized by endowment funds from prestigious institutions such as Harvard and Yale [1]

Core Insights - The article provides an update on the monthly moving averages for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio, which is based on the asset allocation strategy of prestigious endowment funds from Harvard and Yale [1] Group 1 - The S&P 500 moving averages are tracked to assess market trends and performance [1] - The Ivy Portfolio serves as a benchmark for investment strategies, reflecting the asset allocation used by elite endowment funds [1]

Core Viewpoint - Crowdstrike has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 and the overall tech sector, with a 47% increase over the past year compared to the S&P's 13% rise [2][12]. Company Performance - Crowdstrike is highlighted as a standout in the cybersecurity sector, outperforming peers like Zcaler, Checkpoint, Palo Alto, Fortinet, and Sentinel [2][3]. - The stock has shown a notable price activity pattern, breaking an upward trend line and entering a downward sloping channel, with resistance observed around the $512 level [4][5]. Technical Analysis - The moving averages indicate a stagnation in price momentum, clustered between $500 and $518, suggesting slowing momentum [7]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken its trend line and is nearing a bullish crossover above the 50 midline, which could indicate a potential upward movement if confirmed [8]. - Heavy trading volume is concentrated between $570 and $510, with a significant support level around $430 if the stock moves lower [9]. Expected Market Movements - The expected price movement for the end of the week is approximately 7.7%, while for December, it is about 10.7%, aligning with notable price levels [10][11]. Trading Strategy - A proposed trading strategy involves a short-term unbalanced put butterfly option, allowing for profitability if the stock remains above a key break-even point of $485.50, with a cushion of about 4% to the downside [12][15][16].

Core Viewpoint - Oracle has experienced a significant decline, down over 40% from its all-time highs in September, but is still up approximately 3.5% year-to-date, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1][9]. Market Performance - The tech sector has risen about 19.5%, with Oracle lagging behind its competitors such as Salesforce, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, which have shown a more favorable trajectory [2]. - Oracle's recent performance stands out negatively among its peers, highlighting its struggles in the current market [2]. Technical Analysis - A falling wedge pattern is observed in Oracle's chart, with two downward-trending lines converging, suggesting potential support at current levels [3]. - The stock has bounced from a notable support area, with previous highs around 241 serving as a critical resistance point [4]. - Moving averages indicate a bearish trend, with the 5-day EMA drifting below longer-term indicators, and the RSI is in an oversold condition at 25, below the 30 threshold [5]. Trading Volume and Activity - The point of control for trading activity is near 233, where the stock faced rejection, but it is stabilizing at this level, indicating a potential for recovery [6]. - A significant volume node is identified around the 215 level, which may act as further resistance [7]. Options Strategy - Upcoming options indicate an expected move of under 15% by December 19 and about 18.9% by January 16, aligning closely with the resistance level of 241 [7]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is suggested, involving buying a 200 strike call and selling a 240 strike call, which could provide a risk-managed approach to capitalize on potential upside [11][12]. - The break-even point for this strategy is set at 214, slightly above the current share price, indicating a need for upward movement to realize gains [13].

“Correction risk has increased slightly relative to August and September, with the range-bound price action causing short-term traders to grow cautious from a period of an optimistic extreme. But the bulls remain in control with the VIX experiencing a weekly close below important levels, and the SPX closing the week back above its 30-day moving average, without violating its 50-day moving average, which will also be necessary for a correction to unfold.”          -Monday Morning Outlook, October 20, 2025 “U ...