This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month. The Ivy Portfolio The Ivy Portfolio is based on the asset allocation strategy used by endowment funds from Harvard and Yale. ...

Time now for Options Corner. Joining us now to take a deeper look at this chart is Rick Dukat, lead market technician here on Schwab Network. All right, this has been an outperformer year today compared to the S&P 500.What trends do you notice, Rick. >> Yes, two pretty solid price target hikes here and as you said, uh up 47% or so during the past year versus the S&P up about 13% also strongly outperforming the overall tech sector. But when you look at the other cyber security companies as well, Crowdstrike ...

Core Viewpoint - Oracle has experienced a significant decline, down over 40% from its all-time highs in September, but is still up approximately 3.5% year-to-date, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1][9]. Market Performance - The tech sector has risen about 19.5%, with Oracle lagging behind its competitors such as Salesforce, Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, which have shown a more favorable trajectory [2]. - Oracle's recent performance stands out negatively among its peers, highlighting its struggles in the current market [2]. Technical Analysis - A falling wedge pattern is observed in Oracle's chart, with two downward-trending lines converging, suggesting potential support at current levels [3]. - The stock has bounced from a notable support area, with previous highs around 241 serving as a critical resistance point [4]. - Moving averages indicate a bearish trend, with the 5-day EMA drifting below longer-term indicators, and the RSI is in an oversold condition at 25, below the 30 threshold [5]. Trading Volume and Activity - The point of control for trading activity is near 233, where the stock faced rejection, but it is stabilizing at this level, indicating a potential for recovery [6]. - A significant volume node is identified around the 215 level, which may act as further resistance [7]. Options Strategy - Upcoming options indicate an expected move of under 15% by December 19 and about 18.9% by January 16, aligning closely with the resistance level of 241 [7]. - A bullish call vertical strategy is suggested, involving buying a 200 strike call and selling a 240 strike call, which could provide a risk-managed approach to capitalize on potential upside [11][12]. - The break-even point for this strategy is set at 214, slightly above the current share price, indicating a need for upward movement to realize gains [13].

“Correction risk has increased slightly relative to August and September, with the range-bound price action causing short-term traders to grow cautious from a period of an optimistic extreme. But the bulls remain in control with the VIX experiencing a weekly close below important levels, and the SPX closing the week back above its 30-day moving average, without violating its 50-day moving average, which will also be necessary for a correction to unfold.”          -Monday Morning Outlook, October 20, 2025 “U ...

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Core Insights - The article provides an update on the performance of the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio, highlighting that all five ETFs in the Ivy Portfolio remain in an "invest" position as of the end of October [5][7][14]. Ivy Portfolio Overview - The Ivy Portfolio is constructed using an asset allocation strategy similar to that of Harvard and Yale endowment funds, consisting of five ETFs that cover various asset classes [2]. - The strategy involves creating a diversified portfolio with equal weight across asset classes, calculating a 10-month moving average for each fund, and making buy/sell decisions based on whether the fund closes above or below this average [3]. Ivy Portfolio Performance - At the end of October, none of the five ETFs in the Ivy Portfolio closed below their 10-month or 12-month simple moving averages, indicating a continued "invest" position [5][7]. - The percentage above or below the moving average for each fund is tracked, with funds within 2% of the signal highlighted for potential position reversals [6]. S&P 500 Performance - The S&P 500 closed October with a monthly gain of 2.3%, marking the sixth consecutive month of gains, and closed 11.0% above its 10-month simple moving average [8][10]. - The index also closed 11.6% above its 12-month simple moving average, maintaining an "invest" position for six straight months [12]. Moving Averages Strategy - Utilizing a moving average strategy can effectively manage risks associated with bear markets, where holding the index is advised when it closes above the moving average and moving to cash when it closes below [9]. - The article illustrates that a 10- or 12-month simple moving average strategy would have allowed participation in most upside movements since 1995 while significantly reducing losses [10][15]. Psychological Factors - The article discusses the psychology behind momentum signals, noting that human behavior often leads to buying during market uptrends and selling during downturns, which can create cycles of buying and selling momentum [16]. Implementation Considerations - The moving average strategy is most effective when applied to specific investments rather than broad indices, as signals may differ due to factors like dividend reinvestment [17]. - The strategy is recommended for use in tax-advantaged accounts with low-cost brokerage services to maximize gains [18].

Core Viewpoint - Exxon Mobil Corp is expected to report strong third-quarter earnings, with analysts projecting earnings of $1.81 per share and revenues of $84.87 billion, driven by favorable market conditions and strategic expansions [2][3]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Analysts anticipate a robust quarter for Exxon, with consensus estimates of $1.81 earnings per share and $84.87 billion in revenues [2]. - A conference call with executives is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET following the earnings release [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The stock has recently benefited from a sector-wide rally due to U.S. sanctions against Russian oil producers, which have increased crude prices and enhanced Exxon's profitability [2]. - Wall Street sentiment remains positive, with firms like Wells Fargo and UBS maintaining bullish ratings on Exxon [3]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - Exxon has expanded its global footprint by securing its first sale of Guyanese crude oil to refiners in India, marking a significant growth opportunity [3]. Group 4: Stock Performance - As of Thursday, Exxon shares were down 1.57% at $114.69, trading within a 52-week range of $97.80 to $123.21, but showing a year-to-date performance increase of 7.7% [5]. - The stock is trading approximately 2.3% above its 50-day moving average of $112.96 and about 5% above its 200-day moving average of $110.01, indicating a bullish trend [6]. - The relative strength index (RSI) is at 61.31, suggesting a neutral position for the stock [6]. Group 5: Investment Options - Investors can purchase Exxon shares directly or through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that include Exxon, providing exposure to the energy sector [7][8].

Once you see these patterns, you’ll start noticing something else — how traders react around them.That’s where indicators help:RSI measures momentum.Moving Averages show long-term bias.Bollinger Bands tell you when price is getting tense.Use them to confirm, not to predict. ...

Core Insights - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence before making any financial decisions [1] Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - Users are encouraged to consult competent advisors and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1] Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It advises users to carefully consider their understanding of these instruments and their ability to afford potential losses [1] - The content highlights the necessity of performing independent research before investing in any financial instruments [1]

Core Insights - Texas Instruments (TXN) has underperformed in the semiconductor sector, with a decline of approximately 8.2% this year, while the semiconductor ETF (SMH) has increased by about 37% [1][2] - TXN focuses on stable, reliable chips for industrial and automotive markets, differentiating it from high-end computer chip companies like Nvidia and Intel [2][3] Market Trends - The semiconductor sector shows varied performance, indicating that not all companies are equally positioned within the industry [3] - A falling wedge pattern has been observed in TXN's price action since reaching highs near 221, with key support levels identified between 172 and 175 [3][4] Technical Analysis - The price has recently bounced back to the middle of the trading range, with resistance noted around 187 and a significant trading area near 185 [4][6] - The RSI is nearing a bullish crossover, which could indicate a shift in momentum [5][6] Trading Strategy - An example trade strategy involves buying a call option at the 180 strike price and selling a call option at the 190 strike price, creating a bullish $10 wide call diagonal [9][10] - The trade anticipates a rebound, with a break-even point above 182, which is slightly over 1% above the current share price [12][13] - The strategy leverages implied volatility differences, with the October 31st weekly 180 call at 59% and the October 24th 190 call at 82% [10][12]