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Zhang: Consider buying near-term puts if you're concerned about tariff-related risk
CNBC Television· 2025-07-16 11:59
morning. Thank you for joining the show. >> Thank you for having me.>> All right. So when we're talking about options, I want to start off with just your general thesis. You say investors, if they want to hedge some potential volatility they should look at out of the money options.Just explain that strategy. >> Yeah. Right now the markets are quite complacent.The VIX is around 17%. You look at the VIX futures curve. It's quite steep which really means that the front month futures meaning the 30 day VIX expe ...
UnitedHealth Group's Huge Day
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-15 22:34
The Pioneer Of Seeking Alpha's BAD BEAT Investing, Quad 7 Capital is a team of 7 analysts with a wide range of experience sharing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years. They are best known for their February 2020 call to sell everything & go short, & have been on average 95% long 5% short since May 2020. The broader company has expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, & the sciences. They share both long & short trades & invest personally in equities they discuss within the ...
Unity Bancorp: Lock In Profit, Run Some House Money
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-15 19:12
The Pioneer Of Seeking Alpha's BAD BEAT Investing, Quad 7 Capital is a team of 7 analysts with a wide range of experience sharing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years. They are best known for their February 2020 call to sell everything & go short, & have been on average 95% long 5% short since May 2020. The broader company has expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, & the sciences. They share both long & short trades & invest personally in equities they discuss within the ...
Options Bears Piling on United Airlines Stock Ahead of Earnings
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-15 18:53
Core Viewpoint - United Airlines Holdings Inc is set to report its second-quarter earnings, with analysts expecting a decline in earnings per share and a slight increase in revenue [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts project earnings of $3.86 per share, representing a 6.8% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $15.36 billion, up 2.5% from the same quarter last year [1] Stock Performance and Reactions - Historically, United Airlines has had mixed reactions post-earnings, with the stock rising in two of the last four quarterly reports, including a 12.4% increase in October [2] - The options market is anticipating a significant price swing of 10.8%, which is higher than the average 6.5% movement over the past two years [2] Options Trading Activity - There has been increased put trading activity, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.17, indicating heightened bearish sentiment compared to 88% of readings from the past year [3] - The current pricing of options contracts is considered reasonable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 52%, ranking in the low 16th percentile of its annual range [4] Stock Performance Year-to-Date - Year-to-date, United Airlines stock is down 10.6%, but it recently broke out above the $85 level, coinciding with its 160-day moving average, marking its fourth consecutive week of gains [5]
Cybersecurity Stock Could Rebound to Record High
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-14 18:45
Core Insights - Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW) stock is currently trading at $191.11, reflecting a 2% increase and a 13.7% year-over-year gain, following a recent rebound from its lowest level since May 30 [1] - The stock has faced challenges in surpassing its record high of $208.39 from February 19, but recent trends suggest a potential push back toward these highs due to its positioning near a historically bullish trendline [1] Technical Analysis - According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst, PANW is within one standard deviation of its 200-day moving average, having been above this trendline in at least eight of the last ten trading days and spending 80% of the past two months above it [2] - Historical data indicates that similar conditions have led to an 86% success rate for the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 11.7%, suggesting a potential new record of $213.46 could be achieved [2] Market Sentiment - There is a potential for positive momentum as pessimism in the options market appears to be unwinding, indicated by the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.27, which is in the 72nd percentile of readings over the past year [3] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 32%, placing it in the 5th percentile of its annual range, suggesting that options traders are currently pricing in low volatility expectations, making options an affordable route for potential gains [4]
Call Traders Circle Tylenol Parent Amid C-Suite Swap
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-14 14:45
Tylenol parent Kenvue Inc (NASDAQ:KVUE) is up 1.4% to trade at $21.64, after the company fired its CEO Thibaut Mongon amid efforts to revamp performance. Mongon also stepped down from his position on the board, as Kirk Perry was named interim CEO. This marks the second C-suite shakeup for Kenvue this year, after Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Paul Ruh was replaced with Amit Banati in May. The company also said tariffs could create a negative impact of up to $150 million.KVUE is eyeing a fourth-straight win, ...
Cloudflare Stock Has Plenty of Room to Run
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-11 15:00
Cybersecurity stock Cloudflare Inc (NYSE:NET) pulled back and bounced near its earlier all-time high breakout and 20-day moving average. Now the equity is above open interest (OI) balance at the 190-strike and peak call level, and could run call stack towards the 220-strike by July expiration. In other words, this gives NET a decent chance to hit our targets.  Looking toward the options pits, an unwinding of bearish sentiment could trigger tailwinds. NET's 50-day put/call volume ratio at the International S ...
Nebius: Positioning For Massive Moves
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-10 21:07
Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades with a proven track record of success [1] - Quad 7 Capital has maintained an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020, showcasing their strategic approach to market conditions [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, enhancing their research capabilities [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers benefits such as understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms for collaboration [2] - Members receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, which aids in informed decision-making [2] - The platform also provides education on basic options trading and extensive trading tools to enhance investor proficiency [2]
Airline Stocks Cheer Delta's Upbeat Report
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-10 19:56
Group 1: Delta Air Lines Inc - Delta Air Lines Inc's stock increased by 12.4%, trading at $56.99, following a top-line beat for Q2 [1] - CEO Ed Bastian indicated that bookings have stabilized after a period of lower demand in spring, and the profit outlook for 2025 has been reinstated [1] - The positive report has had a significant impact on the airline sector as a whole [1] Group 2: American Airlines Group Inc - American Airlines Group Inc's stock rose by 14%, trading at $13.13, reaching its highest level since early March [2] - Despite being down 25% year-to-date, the stock is now 51% above its multi-year low of $8.50 recorded on April 4 [2] - The 200-day moving average is currently acting as a resistance level for the stock's rally [2] Group 3: Options Activity - American Airlines Group Inc saw a surge in call options trading, with 286,000 contracts changing hands, four times the average intraday volume [3] - The most popular call option was the weekly 7/11 12.50-strike call, along with the July 13 call in the standard expiration series [3] Group 4: United Airlines Holdings Inc - United Airlines Holdings Inc's stock increased by 14.2%, trading at $91.57, approaching its highest close since March 4 [5] - The stock is only down 6.5% in 2025 but has risen 92.4% year-over-year, with today's trading surpassing the 160-day moving average [5] - There were 78,000 UAL calls traded, quadrupling the average intraday volume, with the weekly 7/11 87-strike call being the most popular [5] Group 5: Airline Sector Trends - Airline stocks, including Delta, American, and United, are showing a pattern of movement together, indicating a sector-wide trend [6] - These companies have high Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard readings of 99, 93, and 96 out of 100, suggesting they have exceeded options traders' volatility expectations in the past year [6]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-07-09 14:00
Options Pricing Factors - The Greeks are the four main factors influencing options pricing [1] - The Greeks are used to predict options price movements [1]