Financial Performance - Adjusted sales were $1848 million, a 6% year-over-year increase[9] - Adjusted gross profit margin was 19.5%, up 232 bps year-over-year[9] - Adjusted EPS was $0.40, a 71% year-over-year increase[9] - The company generated approximately $290 million in free cash flow in Q2[52] Segment Performance - Off-Road Vehicle (ORV) North America retail sales increased by 1% year-over-year[33] - On Road North America Indian Motorcycle retail sales increased by low-double digits % year-over-year[40] - Marine sales increased by 16% year-over-year[42] Tariff Impact - The updated estimate for the 2025 tariff impact is $120-$130 million[19] - The company aims to reduce China spending to the U S by approximately 35% by year-end[22] Inventory and Outlook - Dealer inventory is down 13% year-over-year and down 16% excluding Snow and Youth[12] - Third quarter sales are expected to be between $16 billion to $18 billion[53]

Trade Agreement Overview - The United States and Japan have reached a new trade agreement, establishing a 15% tariff rate on Japanese imports into the U.S., significantly lower than the previously scheduled 27.5% rate [1][2] - The market reacted positively, particularly benefiting Japanese car manufacturers, whose stocks surged following the announcement [7] Impact on U.S. Automakers - U.S. automakers, represented by the American Automotive Policy Council, expressed dissatisfaction with the deal, arguing it disadvantages American-made vehicles by imposing higher tariffs on them compared to Japanese imports [3][4] - The deal is perceived as unfavorable for U.S. manufacturers, especially those with significant production in Canada and Mexico, as they may face higher import levies [4][5] Japanese Automakers' Performance - Japanese automakers have seen a significant rise in stock prices, with some companies experiencing increases of over 10% following the trade deal announcement [7] - Honda Motor Co. is highlighted as a strong performer, with shares up nearly 16% year-to-date, benefiting from its manufacturing presence in the U.S. and Japan [9] - Subaru Corp. received an upgrade from analysts at Goldman Sachs, reflecting its proactive tariff mitigation strategies and strong brand loyalty [11][12] - Toyota Motor Corp. also experienced a stock rally of more than 10%, as the company avoided the worst-case tariff scenario, with expectations of improved operating income [15][16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported $6 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, with core operating earnings of $292 million and an operating margin of 4.8% [5][25] - Adjusted earnings per share were $3.47, slightly down from $3.60 a year ago, while operating cash flow increased to $296 million from $291 million [5][26] - Full year net performance outlook was increased by approximately $25 million to over $150 million, reflecting strong operating performance [7][38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Seating segment, sales were $4.5 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, while adjusted earnings were $299 million, down 1% [26][27] - The E Systems segment reported sales of $1.6 billion, a 1% decrease year-over-year, with adjusted earnings of $76 million, down from $82 million [27][28] - The company won multiple awards in both segments, including significant contracts with major automakers like BMW and Ford [10][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global vehicle production increased by 3% year-over-year, but was flat on a Lear sales-weighted basis due to declines in North America and Europe [24] - Production volumes in North America and Europe declined by 3% and 2%, respectively, while volumes in China increased by 9% [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to extend its leadership in Seating, expand margins in E Systems, and support sustainable value creation through disciplined capital allocation [6] - Investments in automation and restructuring are expected to drive efficiency and cost savings, with an estimated $90 million in additional savings anticipated in the second half of the year [21][38] - The partnership with Palantir is focused on enhancing digital and operational capabilities, contributing to efficiency gains [8][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the business despite macroeconomic uncertainties, restoring full year guidance based on strong performance [7][43] - The company is cautious about customer production schedules, embedding a 2% discount in their guidance due to potential headwinds from tariffs and model changeovers [72][73] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relationships with customers to offset tariff impacts and drive margin improvements [43][44] Other Important Information - The company has reduced its global hourly headcount by nearly 20,000 or 11% since the end of 2023, contributing to cost savings [13][14] - The refinancing of a $2 billion revolver was completed, extending its maturity and strengthening liquidity [7][40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook on margin deceleration in the second half - Management acknowledged a meaningful deceleration in margins due to weaker volumes but emphasized confidence in generating margin expansion through efficiency programs and cost reductions [47][48] Question: Details on awards from Ford - The component business won with Ford is for the next generation F-150 and F-250, with ongoing quoting for just-in-time business [54][66] Question: Volume and sales outlook - Management noted a cautious approach to customer production schedules, embedding a 2% discount in guidance due to anticipated headwinds from tariffs and model changeovers [72][73] Question: Revenue from conquest award with EV OEM - The conquest award is expected to generate about $50 million in additional revenue starting late this year, with full effects seen in 2026 and 2027 [78] Question: Clarification on cash flow outlook - The lower cash flow outlook is primarily due to earnings and tariff recovery timing, with potential improvements expected from finalized credit programs [89][90]

Financial Performance - Net sales increased to $444 billion in Q2 2025, a 45% increase compared to $425 billion in Q2 2024[14] - Comparable sales increased by 15% in Q2 2025, compared to a decrease of 05% in Q2 2024[14] - Gross margin expanded by 31 basis points to 369% in Q2 2025, compared to 366% in Q2 2024[18] - SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales deleveraged by 51 basis points to 239% in Q2 2025, compared to 234% in Q2 2024[18] - Net income increased by 11% to $430 million in Q2 2025, compared to $4252 million in Q2 2024[22] - Diluted earnings per share increased by 28% to $081 in Q2 2025, compared to $079 in Q2 2024[22] Operational Highlights - Customer retention is at all-time highs[25] - The company now has over 650 garden centers operational[28] - The company achieved its most efficient Q2 in distribution center network history[30] Strategic Initiatives and Outlook - The company is confident in its tariff mitigation strategy and resilient business model[39] - The company has stood up 145 final mile hubs, covering an additional 220 spoke stores, with 15% of stores covered at the halfway point of the year, and an average order value of approximately $400[44] - The company reconfirmed its fiscal year 2025 guidance, including net sales growth of +4% to +8%, comparable store sales growth of +0% to +4%, operating margin rate of 95% to 99%, net income of $107 billion to $117 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $200 to $218[47]

Core Insights - Autoliv reported record net sales of $2.7 billion in Q2, a 4% year-over-year increase, with adjusted operating income rising 14% to $251 million and adjusted operating margin improving by 80 basis points to 9.3% [1] - The company increased its quarterly dividend to $0.85 per share and reaffirmed its annual stock repurchase plans of $300 million to $500 million [1] Financial Performance - The company estimates its tariff exposure will double to around $200 million, with 80% of tariff costs recovered in Q2, limiting the operating margin impact to 35 basis points [2][3] - Adjusted operating margin reached 9.3%, up 80 basis points year over year, with gross margin improving by 30 basis points to 18.5% due to efficiency gains from a reduction of 3,200 direct production staff and investments in automation [4][5] Market Position and Growth - Autoliv achieved 16% growth in sales to domestic OEMs in China and maintained a 60% market share in India, contributing an additional $100 million to sales in 2025 [6][8] - The company expects continued positive sales trends in China as mix effects improve, despite challenges in North America and Western Europe [7][8] Future Outlook - Management projects 2025 organic sales growth of around 3%, an adjusted operating margin of approximately 10% to 10.5%, and operating cash flow of around $1.2 billion, despite anticipated declines in global light vehicle production [9]

Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is facing significant macroeconomic challenges, particularly a 50% U.S. tariff on Brazilian coffee imports effective August 1, which could increase the cost of goods sold by up to 3.5% and result in a 0.6% headwind to earnings [1][8] Group 1: Company Strategy and Response - In response to tariff pressures, Starbucks has established a cross-functional tariff mitigation team and is accelerating nearshoring efforts to move production out of high-tariff regions [2][8] - The company is utilizing its global procurement capabilities and a long-standing hedging program to manage commodity price volatility [2] - Starbucks has decided to maintain its pricing strategy through fiscal 2025 as part of its "Back to Starbucks" initiative, aiming to enhance customer loyalty and operational efficiency [3][8] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Unlike Starbucks, competitors such as The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) have opted to increase prices to counteract rising input costs, which may introduce volume risks in a price-sensitive market [4][5] - Keurig Dr Pepper's U.S. Coffee segment reported a 12.5% decline in operating income due to green coffee inflation, while J.M. Smucker experienced a margin compression of approximately 50 basis points in its retail coffee division [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Starbucks shares have increased by 13.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average rise of 4.5% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.71, which is below the industry average of 4.02 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected decline of 25.1% in fiscal 2025 EPS, with a subsequent rise of 19.5% in 2026 [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales decreased by 10.8% in Q1, with organic net sales declining by 17.3% excluding Olive and June [39][40] - Gross profit margin decreased by 160 basis points to 47.1%, primarily due to a shift towards lower price alternatives and elevated retail trade expenses [43] - GAAP operating loss for the quarter was $407 million, primarily due to noncash impairment charges [45] - Non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $0.41 compared to $0.99 in the same period last year [46] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home and Outdoor segment net sales declined by 10.3%, with approximately 6.7 percentage points of the decline driven by tariff-related disruption [41] - Beauty and Wellness segment net sales declined by 11.3%, with approximately 9.7 percentage points of the decline driven by tariff-related disruption [42] - OXO brand gained share and extended its leadership in kitchen utensils, while Hydro Flask saw growth driven by expanded distribution [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. point of sale unit growth was seen in eight out of eleven key brands in Q1 [19] - Average price compression of 3% to 4% was noted in the U.S. business, indicating a trend of consumers trading down [18] - Strong category growth was observed in prestige hair liquids, air purifiers, and thermometry, with DTC revenue growth of 9% year over year [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on five key priorities: restoring confidence, improving go-to-market effectiveness, refocusing on innovation, leveraging brand strengths, and reinvigorating company culture [11][12][15] - A strategic shift towards supply chain diversification and dual sourcing is being implemented to mitigate tariff impacts [35][53] - The company plans to implement average price increases across its portfolio in the range of 7% to 10% [60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that Q1 results were below expectations due to greater-than-expected tariff-related disruptions [17] - The macro environment remains uncertain with geopolitical friction and shifting consumer behavior impacting demand [16] - The company expects continued tariff-related disruptions into Q2 but believes these impacts are largely transitory [30] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 with total debt of $871 million, a decrease of $46 million compared to the previous quarter [47] - Free cash flow for Q1 was strong at $45 million compared to $16 million in the same period last year [20] - The company is not providing a full-year outlook due to ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer demand [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: Pricing plans and elasticity considerations - The company plans to implement price increases of 7% to 10% across its portfolio, with individual items seeing increases up to 15% [60] - Conservative elasticity assumptions are being made due to the challenging environment [62] Question: Gross margins and SG&A interplay for Q2 - Gross margins are expected to be slightly worse than Q1, but year-over-year improvement is anticipated [66] - SG&A ratio is expected to normalize to approximately 37% to 38% for the remaining three quarters of the fiscal year [51] Question: Long-term earnings power and headwinds - The company acknowledges significant impacts from direct import business and tariff changes, affecting Q1 and Q2 results [75] - The cadence of results is expected to improve in the second half of the year due to pricing actions and stabilization of retail inventory [76] Question: Retail distribution gains and self-base consolidation - The company is expanding distribution in Walmart, particularly for blood pressure monitors, and expects benefits in the second half [93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales decreased by 10.8% in Q1, with organic net sales declining by 17.3% excluding Olive and June [38][39] - Consolidated gross profit margin decreased by 160 basis points to 47.1%, primarily due to a shift towards lower price alternatives and elevated retail trade expenses [43] - GAAP operating loss for the quarter was $407 million, primarily due to noncash impairment charges [44] - Non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $0.41 compared to $0.99 in the same period last year, reflecting lower adjusted operating income and higher interest expense [45] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home and Outdoor segment net sales declined by 10.3%, with approximately 6.7 percentage points driven by tariff-related disruption [40] - Beauty and Wellness segment net sales declined by 11.3%, with approximately 9.7 percentage points driven by tariff-related disruption [41] - Olive and June contributed incremental revenue of $26.8 million, helping to partially offset declines in other segments [42] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. point of sale unit growth was observed in eight out of eleven key brands in Q1 [20] - Average price compression of 3% to 4% was noted in the U.S. business, indicating a trend of consumers trading down [19] - Strong category growth was reported in prestige hair liquids, air purifiers, and thermometry, with DTC revenue growth of 9% year over year [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on five key priorities: restoring confidence, improving go-to-market effectiveness, refocusing on innovation, leveraging brand strengths, and reinvigorating company culture [11][12][15] - A strategic shift towards dual sourcing and supplier diversification is being implemented to mitigate tariff impacts [35][52] - The company plans to implement average price increases across its portfolio in the range of 7% to 10% [59] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that Q1 results were below expectations due to greater-than-anticipated tariff-related disruptions [17] - The macro environment remains uncertain with geopolitical friction, economic uncertainty, and shifting consumer behavior [16] - Management expects continued tariff-related disruptions into Q2 but believes these impacts are largely transitory [29] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 with total debt of $871 million, a decrease of $46 million compared to the previous quarter [46] - Inventory levels are expected to increase to approximately $510 million to $520 million by the end of Q2, driven by seasonal inventory builds and the Olive and June acquisition [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: Pricing Plans and Elasticity - The company plans to implement average price increases of 7% to 10% across its portfolio, with individual items seeing increases up to 15% [59] - Conservative elasticity assumptions are being made due to the challenging environment [62] Question: Gross Margins and SG&A for Q2 - SG&A ratio is expected to decrease from around 45% in Q1 to approximately 39% in the latter half of the year [69] Question: Long-term Earnings Power - The company believes existing consensus estimates for the full year are reasonable, but the cadence of results has shifted due to tariff changes [75] - The majority of net mitigated unmitigated tariff impact will fall into Q2, with expectations for improvement in the second half of the year [76]

Financial Performance & Outlook - Q1 Fiscal 2026 net sales revenue was $371.7 million, a decrease of 10.8% compared to $416.8 million in Q1 FY25[37] - Adjusted diluted EPS declined 58.6% to $0.41, compared to $0.99 in Q1 FY25[37] - The company expects Q2 Fiscal 2026 net sales to be in the range of $408 million to $432 million, a decline of 14.0% to 8.9%[57] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q2 Fiscal 2026 is projected to be $0.45 to $0.60, a decline of 62.8% to 50.4%[57] Tariff Impact & Mitigation - Tariff-related impacts accounted for approximately 8 percentage points of the 10.8% consolidated revenue decline in Q1[32] - The company now believes it can reduce its FY26 net tariff impact on operating income to less than $15 million based on tariffs currently in place[34] - The company plans to diversify its supply chain outside of China to mitigate tariff risks, aiming for approximately 25% of consolidated Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) by the end of Fiscal 2026[53] Business Segment Performance - Beauty & Wellness FY25 net sales were $1,001.3 million[20] - Home & Outdoor FY25 net sales were $906.3 million[20] - Excluding Olive & June, net sales decreased by 17.3% with ~45% of the organic revenue decline driven by tariff-related trade disruptions[37]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiscal third quarter sales were $971 million, a decline of 0.8% year over year, with lower volumes offset by price benefits of 80 basis points and acquisitions contributing 60 basis points [21][22] - Average daily sales improved 7% quarter over quarter, exceeding historical sequential averages [21][22] - Reported operating margin for the quarter was 8.5%, down from 10.9% in the prior year, while adjusted operating margin was 9%, declining 240 basis points year over year [26][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core customer daily sales declined 0.8% year over year, while public sector sales improved 2.4% [22][24] - Average daily sales through vending increased approximately 8% year over year, representing about 19% of total company net sales [24] - Sales to customers with an implant program grew 10% year over year, also representing approximately 19% of total company net sales [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Conditions in primary end markets remain subdued, particularly in automotive and fabricated metals, while aerospace shows continued growth [12][13] - Customer sentiment readings returned to negative numbers in April and May, reflecting caution around tariffs and general uncertainty [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three critical areas: reenergizing the core customer, maintaining momentum in high-touch solutions, and optimizing cost to serve [6][8] - The company is implementing a sales optimization initiative and productivity efforts to lower costs [5][15] - The company aims to deliver $10 million to $15 million in annualized savings by fiscal year 2026 through network optimization initiatives [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the opportunity ahead despite macroeconomic challenges, noting an improvement in performance against the overall IP index [13] - The outlook for the fiscal fourth quarter anticipates average daily sales to be down 0.5% to up 1.5% compared to the prior year, reflecting cautious demand as tariff deadlines approach [28][29] Other Important Information - The company added a new Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer to enhance its technology leadership team [10] - Free cash flow conversion for the fiscal third quarter was approximately 134% [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Price outlook for Q4 and next year - Management indicated that recent price increases would likely lead to a low single-digit increase in pricing, with ongoing inflationary pressures from suppliers [36][37] Question: Fourth quarter margin outlook - Management noted expectations for a flat to down 50 basis points sequential decline in operating margins, driven by better gross margin performance [42][44] Question: Supplier price increases - Discussions with suppliers are ongoing and fluid, with general inflationary pressures being observed [52][54] Question: Average daily sales trends - Management attributed recent sales improvements to macro factors and ongoing initiatives, with pricing not being a major variable in recent months [68][70] Question: Core accounts marketing efforts - Marketing efforts are in full swing, with a focus on enhancing customer experience and increasing traffic to the website [71][72] Question: Trends through June - Sales trends in June were described as fairly consistent throughout the month [93]