I know no one wants to hear bullish ideas and everyone is scared and wants to fling poo at each other... but the Road to Valhalla is getting very close.If global liquidity is the single most dominant macro factor then we MUST focus on that.REMEMBER - THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN IS ROLLING $10TRN IN DEBT. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. THIS IS THE GAME OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS.Currently the gov shutdown has forced a sharp tightening of liquidity as the TGA builds up with no where to spend it.This is not offset by the ...

Sequans dumps nearly a third of bitcoin holdings to pay down debt as BTC falls to four-month low https://t.co/NvCOZ8omwF ...

France, the U.K. and Germany have rising budget deficits and debt, while the former crisis hot spots in southern Europe look financially healthier in a role reversal of sorts https://t.co/2QzXjVHypn ...

The costs of helping Israel have risen.First Squawk (@FirstSquawk):ORACLE’S DEBT TIME BOMBCOMPANY’S DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO SOARS TO 500% — NET DEBT-TO-EBITDA FAR EXCEEDS AI PEERS, RAISING SERIOUS LEVERAGE AND RISK CONCERNS! ...

Financial Advisory - A group of banks is hiring FTI Consulting as an advisor [1] - The hiring is due to concerns that Braskem's debt talks will affect payments on a revolver loan [1] Debt & Loan - Braskem recently tapped a revolver loan with the lenders [1] - The debt talks are causing concern among the banks regarding loan payments [1]

Meta is among firms popularizing a way for debt to sit completely off balance sheet, allowing enormous sums to be raised while limiting impact on its financial health. https://t.co/iuxJiij1Ks ...

Private credit firms are in the business of lending, not owning. But as more borrowers start to struggle with their liabilities, lenders are swapping their debt positions for equity stakes to try and stem losses https://t.co/aoXVgRga2O ...

Market Bubbles & Historical Parallels - The discussion highlights the analogous nature of historical financial crises, particularly the parallels between 1929, 2008, and the present day, emphasizing recurring patterns and potential lessons to be learned [2][3][4][5][25][29][89][90] - Easy credit, public excitement, and new technological miracles are identified as key ingredients that contribute to the formation of market bubbles [10][20][23][24][25][26][40][59] - The conversation draws comparisons between historical figures and contemporary counterparts, such as Charlie Mitchell (National City Bank) being likened to Jaime Diamond, Carter Glass to Elizabeth Warren, and John Rascob (General Motors) to Elon Musk, to illustrate recurring character types and roles in financial history [6][7][8][13][14] - The discussion points out that from 1928 to September 1929, the stock market rose by 90%, creating a "free money" environment for those buying stocks on margin [24] Regulatory Environment & Policy - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory guardrails, such as the SEC and bank capital requirements, established post-1929, while expressing concern over the potential risks associated with new market products like SPACs, NFTs, and crypto, especially when private companies enter public markets with less disclosure [70][71][72][73][74][75][84][85] - The discussion highlights the cyclical nature of regulation, with restraints often being perceived as problems until after a crisis occurs, and the tendency to democratize finance by providing public access to opportunities previously limited to elites [75][76][77] - The conversation notes the difference between private and public markets, particularly regarding insider trading and disclosure requirements, raising concerns about the potential risks of public investment in private markets without adequate protections [73][74][84][85] Debt & Monetary Policy - The report identifies the growth of debt relative to money as a key factor in financial crises, with credit (debt) being used to fuel buying power beyond available money [62][63][64][65] - The discussion emphasizes the role of easy money policies as a "cure-all" for economic problems, while also acknowledging the potential for these policies to create new problems and lead to market pops when brakes are applied [39][40][41] - The conversation highlights the shift in debt burden from the private sector to the government sector, noting that while the debt has moved, it still exists and can lead to monetization [44][45] - The report mentions that in 2008, interest rates hit zero for the first time since 1933, leading the Fed to monetize debt, a similar action to 1933, but quicker [35]

Sovereign Debt & Economic Cycles - The U S's debt is approaching unsustainable levels, potentially leading to default if conditions remain unchanged [1] - Historical patterns reveal recurring cycles of debt crises, offering valuable lessons for the present [1] - Understanding these cycles is crucial for navigating potential global economic crises [1] Investment & Solutions - Investing in oceans is highlighted as a potential solution or area of focus [1] - The report suggests exploring strategies to address the collective debt burden [1]

Market Impact - US Treasury repurchased $2 billion of its own debt [1] - The debt repurchase is considered bullish for markets [1]