Earnings ESP
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Can Occidental (OXY) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Insights - Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has consistently beaten earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings surprises [1][2]. Earnings Performance - The company has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 29.23% over the last two quarters [2]. - For the last reported quarter, Occidental's earnings were $0.39 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share, resulting in a surprise of 39.29% [3]. - In the previous quarter, Occidental reported earnings of $0.87 per share against an expected $0.73 per share, delivering a surprise of 19.18% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Occidental have been increasing, indicating a positive outlook for future earnings [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Occidental is currently +4.66%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's near-term earnings potential [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high probability of another earnings beat [9]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - The Earnings ESP metric compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]. Upcoming Earnings Report - Occidental's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on November 10, 2025 [9].
Why Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a solid history of exceeding expectations [1]. Earnings Performance - Louisiana-Pacific has a strong track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 7.23% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved earnings of $0.99 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.97 per share by 2.06%. In the previous quarter, it reported earnings of $1.27 per share against an expectation of $1.13 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.39% [3]. Earnings Estimates - Recent estimates for Louisiana-Pacific have been trending upward, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for Louisiana-Pacific stands at +4.05%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding the company's earnings prospects [8]. Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time, suggesting a high probability of beating consensus estimates [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [7].
Why Hasbro (HAS) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Hasbro is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak, having achieved significant surprises in its recent earnings reports, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 60.95% [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hasbro's earnings were $1.3 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.78 per share, resulting in a surprise of 66.67% [2]. - For the previous quarter, Hasbro was expected to report earnings of $0.67 per share but delivered $1.04 per share, achieving a surprise of 55.22% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Hasbro have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises, and it currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.21%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may provide a more accurate prediction of earnings [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce the predictive power of the metric, but it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Many companies may beat consensus EPS estimates, but this alone may not drive stock prices higher; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10].
Why Amgen (AMGN) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Insights - Amgen (AMGN) has a strong history of beating earnings estimates and is well-positioned for continued success in its upcoming quarterly report [1][2] Earnings Performance - Amgen has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, with an average surprise of 16.12% over the last two quarters [2] - In the most recent quarter, Amgen reported earnings of $6.02 per share, surpassing the expected $5.26 by 14.45% [2] - For the previous quarter, the company reported $4.90 per share against an estimate of $4.16, resulting in a surprise of 17.79% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Amgen have been revised upward, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [5] - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Amgen is currently +2.44%, suggesting bullish expectations for near-term earnings [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [5][8] Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] Upcoming Events - Amgen's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on November 4, 2025 [8]
Why California Resources (CRC) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Insights - California Resources Corporation (CRC) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report [1] - The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 24.90% over the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, California Resources reported earnings of $1.1 per share, exceeding the expected $0.91 per share, resulting in a surprise of 20.88% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $1.07 per share against an expectation of $0.83 per share, achieving a surprise of 28.92% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for California Resources have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +3.87%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) suggests a strong likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Earnings ESP Insights - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]
Why Carriage Services (CSV) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Carriage Services (CSV) is a strong candidate for investors due to its consistent performance in surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the funeral services industry [1]. Earnings Performance - Carriage Services has recorded a strong streak of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 11.39% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved earnings of $0.74 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.72 per share by 2.78% [3]. - In the previous quarter, Carriage Services reported earnings of $0.96 per share against an expected $0.80 per share, resulting in a significant surprise of 20.00% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Carriage Services have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [6]. - The company currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +7.96%, indicating that analysts are optimistic about its earnings prospects [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [9]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8].
Will SPX Technologies (SPXC) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 17:11
Core Insights - SPX Technologies has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 16.38% [1] - The company reported earnings of $1.65 per share in the last quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.45 per share by 13.79% [2] - SPX Technologies has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.62%, indicating analysts' bullish sentiment regarding its near-term earnings potential [7] Earnings Performance - In the previous quarter, SPX Technologies was expected to earn $1.16 per share but delivered $1.38 per share, resulting in an 18.97% surprise [2] - The favorable changes in earnings estimates for SPX Technologies suggest a strong likelihood of continued earnings beats [4] Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high probability of an earnings surprise, with historical data showing nearly 70% success in such cases [5][6] - The next earnings report for SPX Technologies is anticipated on October 30, 2025 [7]
Marsh & McLennan Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Key Estimates to Note
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 15:40
Core Insights - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 16, with earnings estimated at $1.80 per share and revenues at $6.3 billion [1] - The earnings estimate has slightly decreased by one cent over the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year increase of 10.4%, while revenues are projected to grow by 11.1% year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - For the current year, the revenue estimate for MMC stands at $27 billion, reflecting a year-over-year rise of 10.4%, and the EPS consensus is $9.57, suggesting an 8.8% increase year-over-year [3] - MMC has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.9% [3] Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for MMC, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.74% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a higher Zacks Rank typically increases the likelihood of an earnings beat, which is not applicable in this case [4] Revenue Growth Drivers - Revenue growth in Q3 is anticipated to be driven by strong performances in the Risk and Insurance services and Consulting segments, with significant contributions from Marsh and Guy Carpenter subdivisions [5] - The Risk and Insurance Services segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 14.9% year-over-year, while Marsh's revenues are projected to grow by 17.8% from $2.9 billion a year ago [6] Segment Performance - The Consulting segment's revenues are estimated to grow by 4.9% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income expected to reach $498.2 million, indicating a 4.2% increase from the previous year [8] - Organic revenue growth for the Risk and Insurance Services unit is projected at 5%, while Guy Carpenter's revenues are expected to grow by 5.2% [7] Expense Considerations - Increased operating expenses are anticipated, with a projected rise of 9.5% due to higher compensation, benefits, and other operating costs, alongside a significant increase in interest expenses by 55.9% year-over-year [9]
Loan Growth, Rise in NII to Support Regions Financial's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 15:21
Core Insights - Regions Financial Corporation (RF) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 17, with anticipated year-over-year growth in earnings and revenues [1][10] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, surpassing estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 6.96% [2] Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter earnings is 60 cents per share, reflecting a 5.3% increase from the previous year [3] - Revenue estimates are set at $1.92 billion, indicating a 7.1% rise from the prior year [3] Key Factors Influencing Performance - Net interest income (NII) is expected to be stable to modestly higher, with a consensus estimate of $1.27 billion, a 1% increase sequentially [5] - Loan demand has been strong, particularly for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans, contributing positively to NII [5] - Average interest-earning assets are estimated to increase by 1.1% sequentially to $1.41 billion [6] Non-Interest Income Insights - Capital markets revenues are projected between $85 million and $95 million, with a consensus estimate of $90.6 million, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the prior quarter [8] - Mortgage banking fees are expected to decline, with estimates for mortgage income at $44.6 million, a 7.1% decrease from the previous quarter [11] - Total non-interest income is estimated at $645.7 million, indicating a slight sequential decline [12] Expense and Asset Quality Considerations - Expenses are anticipated to be high due to increased salaries and technology investments, despite ongoing expense management efforts [13] - Non-performing assets are expected to rise to $853.9 million, a 5.7% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting concerns over potential bad loans [14] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for Regions Financial, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.32% [15] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position [16]
Higher NII & Non-Interest Income to Aid U.S. Bancorp's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 15:16
Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is anticipated to report year-over-year growth in both revenues and earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with a strong performance driven by net interest income (NII) and non-interest income [1][8] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - U.S. Bancorp is scheduled to report Q3 2025 results on October 16, 2025, before market opening [1] - Management expects NII for Q3 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, supported by stable funding costs and strong loan demand [2][8] - The consensus estimate for NII is $4.13 billion, reflecting a 2% increase from the previous quarter [3] - Total revenues for Q3 2025 are estimated at $7.16 billion, indicating a 4.7% rise from the year-ago figure [13] Group 2: Non-Interest Income and Expenses - Total non-interest income is projected to be approximately $3 billion in Q3 2025, representing a sequential increase of 1.9% [9][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for capital markets revenues is $396.7 million, showing a 1.7% increase from the prior quarter [5] - Mortgage banking revenues are estimated at $167.1 million, indicating a 3.1% increase from the previous quarter [6] - Adjusted total non-interest expenses are expected to be $4.2 billion or lower, with a focus on prudent expense management [10] Group 3: Asset Quality and Market Conditions - The company is likely to have set aside funds for potential bad loans, anticipating two rate cuts this year [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.70 billion, reflecting a 4% increase from the prior quarter [11] - Market volatility and client activity have increased due to uncertainties surrounding tariff policies, impacting trading volumes positively [4][5] Group 4: Earnings Surprise Potential - U.S. Bancorp has a history of earnings surprises, with an average surprise of 2.93% over the last four quarters [1] - The company has an Earnings ESP of +1.22%, indicating a high likelihood of beating earnings estimates [12]