英国首相斯塔默：英国对伊朗核计划表达关切。 ...

克里姆林宫：关于伊朗核计划的问题没有军事解决方案。 ...

Group 1 - Israeli President Isaac Herzog stated that Israel does not seek regime change in Iran, but aims to eliminate its nuclear capabilities [1] - Herzog emphasized that the true goal is to destroy Iran's nuclear program, accusing Iran of deceiving the international community and rushing to develop nuclear weapons [1][2] - The Israeli airstrikes have reportedly had a substantial impact on Iran's nuclear program, with Herzog claiming that sometimes strong measures are necessary to eliminate imminent threats [2] Group 2 - The G7 has expressed support for Israel, condemning Iran as a major source of regional instability and terrorism, while China condemned Israel's actions [3] - Herzog revealed that Israel has been planning the recent attacks for months and shared intelligence with the U.S. regarding Iran's nuclear advancements [3] - The airstrikes have established Israeli dominance in areas housing major Iranian nuclear facilities, with significant damage reported at sites like Natanz [4] Group 3 - Herzog suggested that the conflict could significantly weaken the Iranian regime, potentially leading to its collapse, which might alter the regional landscape and end the ongoing war in Gaza [5] - Analysts have warned that U.S. intervention could escalate the conflict and provoke Iranian attacks on U.S. military bases and oil infrastructure in the Gulf, potentially impacting global markets [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses former President Trump's skepticism regarding the effectiveness of using massive bunker-buster bombs to destroy Iran's heavily fortified nuclear facilities, particularly the Fordow facility, amid considerations of potential military action in the Middle East [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections Military Strategy - Trump is weighing the necessity and potential outcomes of military action against Iran, specifically questioning whether such strikes would effectively dismantle Iran's nuclear program [1]. - There is a particular focus on the capability of massive bunker-buster bombs to penetrate and destroy the Fordow nuclear facility, which is considered one of Iran's most secure sites [1]. Decision-Making Factors - Trump seeks confirmation on three critical points: the necessity of the strike, the risk of entanglement in a prolonged Middle Eastern conflict, and the likelihood of achieving the goal of destroying Iran's nuclear capabilities [1]. - Despite assurances from Pentagon officials regarding the bomb's effectiveness, Trump remains unconvinced, highlighting a cautious approach to military engagement [1]. Historical Context - The article notes that while the bunker-buster bomb has undergone multiple tests, it has never been used in actual combat situations, raising questions about its reliability in a real-world scenario [1].

央视记者当地时间18日获悉，三位知情人士称，美国总统特朗普在6月17日晚已告诉他的高级助手，称 他已批准了对伊朗的攻击计划，但暂不下达最终命令，以观察伊朗是否会放弃其核计划。据知情人士透 露，特朗普希望通过威胁手段迫使伊朗满足其要求。知情人士还透露，伊朗重兵防守的福尔多核设施可 能成为美国的打击目标——这处核设施深藏山体内部，军事专家普遍认为只有最具威力的巨型钻地炸弹 才能将其摧毁。(央视新闻) ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that efforts may be needed to prevent Iran's nuclear program, emphasizing a pursuit of comprehensive victory and the non-acceptance of nuclear weapons existence [1]

Core Points - The article discusses the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, focusing on the differing assessments of Iran's nuclear capabilities and the potential for U.S. military intervention under President Trump [1][2][4][5][9]. Group 1: U.S. Intelligence and Military Assessment - U.S. intelligence reports indicate that Iran is not actively seeking nuclear weapons and could take up to three years to develop the capability to produce and launch them [1]. - Contrarily, some U.S. officials believe Iran is close to the final stages of nuclear weapon development, suggesting a significant divide in intelligence assessments [1][4]. - The U.S. Central Command has expressed greater urgency regarding Iran's nuclear ambitions compared to the intelligence community, indicating a potential for faster nuclear development than previously anticipated [9]. Group 2: Trump's Position and Strategic Implications - Trump is weighing the option of supporting Israel in bombing Iranian nuclear facilities, viewing it as an opportunity to restore U.S. deterrence following perceived failures in Afghanistan under Biden [2][5]. - The article suggests that if Trump assists Israel in destroying Iran's nuclear program, it could help rebuild U.S. credibility and deterrence in the region [2][8]. - Trump's administration acknowledges that Israel may require U.S. military support to effectively dismantle Iran's nuclear capabilities, particularly the fortified Fordow facility [5][11]. Group 3: Regional and Global Reactions - The article highlights concerns that U.S. support for Israel could provoke Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces, potentially escalating the conflict [5][10]. - There is a fear that failure to act against Iran could embolden them to pursue nuclear weapons more aggressively, especially if key facilities remain intact [12][14]. - The geopolitical landscape is complicated by the involvement of other nations, with Russia and China closely monitoring U.S. actions and responses to the crisis [8][15].

Group 1: Israel-Iran Conflict - Israel's ambassador to Washington anticipates "surprises" in upcoming attacks on Iran, aiming to destroy its nuclear facilities before negotiations [1] - Israeli officials state that Trump did not pressure Israel to halt military actions against Iran [1] - Israel claims to have weakened the command chain of Iran's armed forces [1] Group 2: U.S. Position - Trump indicates he will not take action to remove Iran's supreme leader for now, seeking more proactive solutions beyond a ceasefire [2] - U.S. officials assert that the U.S. will not proactively join Israel's military actions [4] - U.S. Vice President Pence suggests Trump may take further actions to prevent Iran's nuclear program [4] Group 3: Iranian Response - Iran's military has launched new attacks, targeting strategic locations [4] - Iranian Revolutionary Guard has attacked Israeli military intelligence and Mossad centers [4] - Iran has reportedly launched at least 400 missiles and hundreds of drones towards Israeli territory [4] Group 4: International Reactions - The G7 has reiterated that Iran must not possess nuclear weapons and confirmed Israel's right to self-defense [4] - The EU's foreign policy chief emphasizes that diplomatic solutions are the best long-term approach to Iran's nuclear program [4] - Qatar warns against attacks on Middle Eastern energy and nuclear facilities [4]

此外，伊朗通信管理局当天发布声明称，禁止所有政府部门、安全部门人员使用连接到开放通信网络的移动设 备。 综合自：央视新闻 责编：李丹 校对：高源 当地时间6月17日，据当地消息人士的话称，伊朗已经准备好在领导人遇刺的情况下管理敏感部 门的计划。 稍早之前，以色列国防部长卡茨发表声明称，以军已摧毁了伊朗纳坦兹核设施的中心区域，并计划摧毁伊朗核 计划的所有基础设施。以方将继续针对伊朗军事领导人、核计划和导弹系统。 国际原子能机构就伊朗纳坦兹核设施遭袭情况发表声明称，纳坦兹反应堆下部遭受"直接破坏"，目前伊朗官方 尚未就此表态。 以军计划17日晚袭击德黑兰的"重要目标"，"以方将对任何重启伊朗核计划的企图作出回应"。 值得一提的是，在当地时间6月16日播出的美国广播公司的采访节目中，当被主持人问及以色列是否将目标继 续对准伊朗最高领导人哈梅内伊时，以色列总理内塔尼亚胡称，"我们会做需要做的事，我不打算谈论相关细 节"。 在谈到有媒体报道美国总统特朗普否决以色列刺杀哈梅内伊计划，主持人问这是否是因为特朗普担忧局势升 级？对此，内塔尼亚胡宣称，"这样不会升级冲突，这会结束冲突"。 END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度 ...

埃及外交部：埃及外长在与美国中东事务特使和伊朗外长的两次电话中，敦促立即停火以应对伊朗-以 色列危机。埃及外长强调回到谈判是达成关于伊朗核计划可持续协议的唯一途径。 ...