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Options market doesn't show worries about govt. shutdown or a rally pause, says KKM's Jeff Kilburg
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 19:58
Market Volatility & Investor Sentiment - The options market, as indicated by the VIX, suggests a lack of concern regarding potential government shutdowns or a pause in the market rally [2] - KKM Financial anticipates increased market volatility at the end of the month and quarter [1][4] - A significant amount of cash, approximately $8 trillion, is sitting on the sidelines, potentially fueling a market chase at month-end [4] - The melting VIX and underinvested shorts are expected to push the market higher, regardless of high valuations [15] Economic Factors & Fed Policy - The upward revision of GDP is viewed positively [2] - Inflation numbers present a conundrum for the Federal Reserve, which is now shifting its focus more towards unemployment [3] - The market rally can resume, with the S&P 500 having risen nearly 35% from its April 8th low of 4802 [3] - An anticipated easing cycle with one or two more rate cuts by the end of the year is expected to power US equities [14] Sector Rotation & Emerging Technologies - A rotation is occurring within the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, with profit-taking in names like Nvidia and Microsoft, and gains in names like Google [6][7] - Quantum computing, particularly IBM's advancements, is expected to be a significant theme in Q4 and 2026, potentially revolutionizing crypto and electronic transactions [8][9][10] - IBM's quantum computing test case with HSBC has shown a nearly 34% improvement on their bond trading desk [11]
Update On The BITQ ETF
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 18:59
Group 1 - The Hecht Commodity Report is a comprehensive service covering market movements of over 29 different commodities, providing bullish, bearish, and neutral calls along with actionable trading recommendations [1][3] - Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $124,198.52 in August 2025, while Ethereum also hit a record high of $4,953.929, together accounting for over 70% of the cryptocurrency market's total value [2] - The author of the report actively participates in commodities markets through various financial instruments, including futures, options, and ETFs, with positions that can change intraday [4]
Why Stocks Haven't Crashed (Yet?)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 12:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of building robust and diversified investment portfolios to preserve and increase wealth over time [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - The Pragmatic Investor is designed to guide investors of all levels, focusing on global macro, international equities, commodities, tech, and cryptocurrencies [1]. - The platform offers features such as a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in analyzing global markets, leads The Pragmatic Investor [1].
Copper surges on major mine disruption; platinum tightness continues
KITCO· 2025-09-24 21:02
Core Insights - Jeremy Szafron has joined Kitco News as an anchor and producer, bringing a wealth of experience in journalism, particularly in finance and current affairs [1][5] - His career began in 2006 at CTV, where he transitioned from entertainment reporting to business reporting, focusing on mining and small-cap companies [2] - Szafron's notable achievements include coverage of the 2010 Vancouver Olympic Games and the development of an online video news program for PressReader, a digital newsstand with 8,000 editions [3] Industry Contributions - In 2012, Szafron launched The Green Scene Podcast, which gained over 400,000 subscribers, establishing him as a prominent voice in the cannabis industry [4] - He also created Investor Scene and Initiate Research, platforms that provide exclusive market insights and deal-flow opportunities in mining and Canadian small-cap sectors [4] - Szafron has experience as a market strategist and investor relations consultant for publicly traded companies across various industries, including mining, energy, consumer packaged goods (CPG), and technology [5] Educational Background - Szafron holds a BA in Journalism from Concordia University, which has supported his diverse career in media and finance [5]
Lithium Americas Gets The Trump Premium: Is The 70% Rally Justified? (NYSE:LAC)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 16:55
Group 1 - Lithium Americas (NYSE: LAC) is positioned to become the largest lithium miner in the United States, with access to one of the largest lithium deposits globally [1] - The company is part of a broader investment landscape that includes global macro trends, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies [1] - The Pragmatic Investor, led by economist James Foord, focuses on building diversified portfolios aimed at wealth preservation and growth [1]
Lithium Americas Gets The Trump Premium: Is The 70% Rally Justified?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 16:55
Group 1 - Lithium Americas is positioned to become the largest lithium miner in the United States, with access to one of the largest lithium deposits globally [1] - The company is gaining attention in the context of the growing demand for lithium, driven by the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors [1] Group 2 - The Pragmatic Investor provides insights into global macro trends, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies, aimed at guiding investors [1] - The platform includes features such as a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1]
Wheat Mostly Weaker on Monday AM Trade
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-22 12:40
Group 1 - Wheat prices are experiencing a decline across winter wheat contracts, while spring wheat remains higher [1] - The wheat complex saw losses on Friday, with CBT soft red wheat futures down by 1 to 2 cents, and KC HRW futures down by 2 to 3 cents, resulting in a weekly loss of 7.5 cents for December [1] - The US dollar index increased by $0.334 to $97.305, adding pressure to commodity prices [1] Group 2 - The 7-day weather forecast predicts 1-3 inches of rain in the eastern Central Plain, extending to the Appalachian range [2] - The Commitment of Traders report indicated that spec funds reduced their net short position in Chicago wheat futures by 6,569 contracts, totaling 85,825 contracts, and in Kansas City wheat futures by 1,491 contracts, totaling 51,534 contracts as of September 16 [2] Group 3 - The weekly Export Sales report showed accumulated wheat sales at 13.156 million metric tons (MMT), which is 20% larger than last year and a 5-year high for that week, representing 54% of the USDA wheat export projection [3] - Closing prices for various wheat futures on December 25 showed declines, with CBOT Wheat down 1.75 cents to $5.22 1/2 and KCBT Wheat down 2.75 cents to $5.07 1/4 [3]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-17 23:10
Regulatory Updates - SEC (美国证券交易委员会) 批准了三个交易所加速上市持有现货商品(如黄金或比特币)的交易所交易产品 (ETP) 的请求 [1]
Housing Isn't The Problem, It's The Solution
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 17:27
Group 1 - The Pragmatic Investor focuses on global macro, international equities, commodities, tech, and cryptocurrencies, aiming to guide investors of all levels [1] - The platform offers features such as a portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1] - James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in global market analysis, leads The Pragmatic Investor, emphasizing the creation of diversified portfolios to preserve and increase wealth [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-12 12:18
Market Trends - Hedge funds are rapidly increasing their volatility traders due to global conflicts and trade wars [1] - Sharp swings are being observed across commodities, including metals and energy [1]