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Market Analysis - Technical Analysis (TA) and free education are emphasized, prioritizing price action over on-chain analysis [1] - On-chain analysis is considered wildly misleading due to its reliance on numerous assumptions [1] - Price action is considered the most important factor, with other information deemed "infotainment" [1] - The market outlook is bearish, with a potential Bitcoin recovery not expected for the next 3-6 months [1] - A real bull rally is anticipated to begin next year when liquidity returns [1] Liquidity - Macro liquidity is more important than the on-chain cycle [2] - Dollar liquidity is a key factor [2]
Rocket Lab: The Neutron Delay Is Not A Major Hit
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-21 14:20
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is employed to determine optimal entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares following a sell-off, ensuring due diligence [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
Oil and Natural Gas Technical Analysis: Bearish Crude Signals and Bullish Gas Momentum
FX Empire· 2025-11-20 02:05
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for any financial actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1].
BONK Extends Slide as Key Support Break Raises Prospect of Further Downside
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 16:29
Core Insights - BONK has experienced a decline to $0.00001006, continuing a downtrend after failing to maintain the $0.00001090 level [1] - A significant increase in trading activity was noted, with total volume reaching 1.06 trillion tokens, over 113% above the recent average [2] - The technical analysis indicates a series of lower highs and lower lows, with resistance at $0.00001032 being crucial for any potential recovery [3] Price Action - The price action confirmed a break below the $0.00001032 support level, which previously supported short-term consolidation [1] - Support near $0.00001017 is critical for assessing whether the current decline can stabilize; a sustained move below this level could lead to further declines [4] Trading Volume - The trading volume saw spikes of 28.6 trillion and 32.1 trillion tokens during late-session moves as BONK approached intraday lows near $0.00001017 [2] - The increase in trading activity aligns with the moment BONK slipped below its prior support band, indicating heightened market interest [2] Technical Indicators - Hourly charts reveal momentum indicators nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential for short-term bounces despite the prevailing downtrend [3] - Resistance at $0.00001032 is identified as the first threshold BONK needs to reclaim to improve its outlook [3]
APA Corporation Looks Bullish (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-19 13:09
Core Thesis - The article presents a thesis for buying APA Corporation, focusing on stock valuation, dividend analysis, and technical review of price action, momentum, volume, and relative strength [1] Investment Strategy - The investor aims to build financial assets for retirement, employing both long and short trading strategies, including the use of inverse ETFs to capitalize on market declines [1] Trading Goals - The primary goals include proper execution of trading plans and achieving absolute investing results, with the articles serving as a tool for maintaining focus on developing successful trades [1]
Warning: S&P 500 flashes start of bear cycle
Finbold· 2025-11-18 16:50
Market Overview - The S&P 500 index has fallen below its 50-day moving average, indicating a potential broader market downturn, closing at 6,630.21 with a 0.6% drop in the past day [1] - Technical signals suggest that the current pullback could develop into a more significant decline if conditions persist [2] Technical Analysis - A bearish divergence is forming on the weekly RSI, with the index printing higher highs while the RSI trends lower, reminiscent of the setup seen in mid-November 2021 [3] - The 100-day moving average has been a key support level over the past five months, and a weekly close below this level could indicate a structural breakdown, transitioning from bullish to bearish cycles [4][5] Price Projections - If a breakdown is confirmed, the S&P 500 could retrace towards the 200-week moving average, which marked the bottom of the 2022 bear cycle after a decline of approximately 27.6% [5] - The next major accumulation zone is estimated between 5,300 and 5,000, assuming the recent peak holds [6] Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish signals, some analysts on Wall Street remain optimistic, projecting that the S&P 500 could still reach 7,000 next year [7]
Option Data Is Very Bullish For Technology And AI Stocks
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-18 16:33
Core Viewpoint - Michael James McDonald emphasizes the importance of contrary opinion and investor sentiment in stock market forecasting, suggesting that emotional factors like fear and greed significantly influence stock prices [1] Group 1: Background and Publications - McDonald is a former Senior Vice President of Investments at Morgan Stanley and has authored multiple books on stock market strategies, including "A Strategic Guide to the Coming Roller Coaster Market" published in July 2000, which predicted the end of the 18-year bull market [1] - His second book, "Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis," was published in 2002, further establishing his expertise in market analysis [1] Group 2: Market Predictions - In 2010, McDonald declared the end of a ten-year trading range market and the beginning of a new long-term bull market, which subsequently occurred [1] - He notes that when a majority of investors have the same expectation about a stock's price movement, it often leads to the opposite outcome, highlighting the significance of measuring investor expectations [1] Group 3: Sentiment Analysis - McDonald has developed metrics to gauge when too many investors are expecting a particular market movement, which he refers to as the work of the "Sentiment King" [1] - His ongoing research through his company, the Sentiment King, focuses on understanding investor psychology to forecast major stock trends effectively [1]
Investing.com Launches AI Tool That Generates Precise Trading Indicators
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 16:26
Investing.com launched an AI-powered chart analysis feature on Nov. 18 that the company characterized as using Vision AI to interpret charts visually. Testing of the tool revealed output precision that usually requires calculated numerical data rather than image processing. The tool generates complete trading plans with specific technical indicators, according to the announcement. The platform serves more than 60 million investors monthly and covers cryptocurrencies, stocks, forex, and other assets. CTO ...
Stocks Are Sliding for Fourth Straight Session. Here's the Level to Watch.
Barrons· 2025-11-18 14:33
Market Overview - The stock market is experiencing its fourth consecutive day of decline, with the S&P 500 nearing a critical support level as investor confidence wanes [1] - The S&P 500 opened down 0.6% at 6,630.11, while the Dow opened 1% lower and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.9% [1] Technical Analysis - The target range for the S&P 500 to watch is between 6,630 and 6,650; a drop below 6,630 could trigger a further decline to a target of 6,360, representing an approximate 8.2% decrease from the index's last record [1] - This potential drop would mark the largest drawdown in the current market movement, according to technical analysis firm CappThesis [1]
Merck Has Many Bullish Attributes (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-18 09:18
Core Thesis - The article presents a bullish thesis for Merck (MRK), highlighting its strong product portfolio including Keytruda, Gardasil, and Noxafil [1]. Company Attributes - Merck is characterized by several bullish attributes that position it favorably in the pharmaceutical industry [1]. Investment Strategy - The article reflects an interest in both long and short trading strategies, indicating a focus on building financial assets for retirement [1].