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X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-05 11:08
For several decades now, Fed chairs have presided over unanimous or near-unanimous monetary policy decisions. Last week’s rare double dissent may provide a precursor to a more tumultuous period https://t.co/u6sh8TYYRO ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-05 10:12
President Trump’s relentless calls for dramatic reductions in interest rates is drawing more attention to the way monetary policy decisions are made — and the people who make them https://t.co/3CRQ96hCLt ...
Trump going after the Fed chair won't effect decisions: Former Fed president Loretta Mester
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-04 22:54
Federal Reserve Governance - President Trump is expected to appoint a new Federal Reserve governor following Adriana Cougler's resignation, providing an opportunity to influence the Fed's direction [1][2][3] - The appointment allows the president to potentially designate someone as chair or vice chair, further shaping the Fed's composition [3] Fed Independence and Political Pressure - Maintaining the Fed's independence is crucial for effective central banking, leading to lower, more stable inflation and avoiding variable output or employment costs [5][6] - Political pressure on the Fed complicates monetary policy by requiring the Fed to reinforce its focus on fundamentals to the public, legislators, and financial markets [7] - Undermining the Fed's credibility through political interference is detrimental and could lead to higher long-term interest rates, contradicting desired economic outcomes [8][9] Monetary Policy and Economic Analysis - The Fed's monetary policy decisions are based on evaluating economic and financial information, using models and scenario analyses to achieve maximum employment and price stability [7] - The Fed previously cut rates due to weak labor market reports and expectations of declining inflation, but revised data and tariff announcements altered the risk balance [14][15][16] - Future policy decisions will depend on incoming labor market and inflation data, with potential for a 25 basis point cut if service-side prices remain stable or decline [20][21][22]
Wharton's Jeremy Siegel: There would've been a July rate cut had we known about the weak jobs data
CNBC Television· 2025-08-04 12:39
Let's bring in Jeremy Seagull, professor emmeritus of finance uh at University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business and chief economist at Wisdom Wisdom Tree. I think you're Jeremy Professor, your ship's coming in. Uh the economy has been weaker than than people thought, I think.Yeah. Yeah. And first of all, I'm not going to let the BLS off the hook.I mean, you know, you talk about how to fix it. you know, make these questionnaires mandatory and give them a time limit to fill it out. Um, you know, I ...
LIVE: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks on interest rate decision — 7/30/2025
CNBC Television· 2025-07-30 16:12
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivers remarks following the Fed's two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. Investors will parse Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the press conference for insights into the path of monetary policy. President Trump has tried to pressure the central bank leader to bringing down borrowing costs. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/42d859g » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision » Subscribe to CNBC: h ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-30 10:10
Monetary Policy & Market Risk - Monetary policy, specifically the Fed's interest-rate decision, is highlighted as one of the primary risks currently facing the stock market [1]
September is in play for Fed cut, says Paul McCulley
CNBC Television· 2025-07-29 18:37
Federal Reserve Policy & Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady this week, with a potential rate cut in September [1] - Survey data indicates a 27% expectation for a rate cut, despite 100% believing there will be no cut in July [1] - The chance of recession has fallen to 31%, down from 38% in June and 53% in May [2] - Current rate outlook anticipates approximately two rate cuts this year and two more next year [2] - The market is pricing in 100 basis points of cuts, but the 10-year forecast only goes down to 425 basis points, suggesting a steepening of the curve [10][11] - Easing to come will be a recalibration of bringing down the policy rate and in the process resloping the yield curve, potentially another 100 basis points down to 338 basis points [13] Potential Fed Chair Candidates - The race to replace Fed Chair Jay Powell is a three-way tie between Kevin Walsh (24%), Scott Besson (24%), and Hasset (22%) [1][3] - Fed Governor Waller is also a candidate, polling at 14% [3] - Scott Besson suggests a new Fed chair could be picked as early as December [3] - Paul McCaulay advocates for Governor Chris Waller, citing his monetary policy scholarship, experience as a Fed governor, and sound economic principles [5][6][7] Potential Dissent - There is an expectation that Governor Waller and Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Michelle Bowman could dissent with the decision not to cut rates [8] - A double dissent from Fed governors hasn't been seen since 1993 [9]
Jerome Powell And The Fed JUST GOT SUED
You are suing the Federal Reserve because they've been holding closed door meetings and you think that there is a precedent that the government should be required to actually hold these meetings in public so that anyone can hear the conversation, understand what's the Federal Reserve's doing with monetary policy. Explain what your case here is. The case makes clear that the Federal Reserve under the leadership of Jerome Powell is violating the government in the Sunshine Act of 1976.That act stipulates that ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-24 17:12
An investment firm headed by a supporter of Donald Trump sued Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and other Fed officials demanding public access to monetary policy meetings https://t.co/GamwrsViJr ...
How the New Fed Chair Announcement Would Impact Monetary Policy
President Trump is considering announcing and naming Fed Chair Powell's successor as early as this summer. What did you think of that. And what would that mean for monetary policy if that announcement were to be made sooner than expected.>> Well, the first thing I thought is I wish I didn't have to go to the Wall Street Journal podcast and talk about it. No. Um I I don't know what the president will or won't do.Um, you know, I'll just say that, uh, you know, we're in the business as the Federal Reserve of, ...