Market Volatility & Liquidation - Crypto market experienced meltdowns, with Bitcoin's market cap previously at 1200 billion USD rising to 2200 billion USD, and the overall crypto market cap increasing from 2300 billion USD to 4300 billion USD [1] - Bitcoin liquidations of 6 billion USD represent 60 basis points, and overall crypto liquidations of 19 billion USD represent 44 basis points [1] Decoupling & Market Dynamics - Complete decoupling of crypto markets from macro headwinds is unlikely; panic tends to affect all assets [1] - Crypto markets resemble commodity markets with potentially deep liquidity but concentrated market makers, who may reduce activity during times of fear [1] Institutional Perspective & Tokenization - Institutions are realizing tokenization is a better system for transferring and recording value, with major exchanges exploring tokenized trading systems [1] - Retail exposure to tokenization has largely come through memecoins, which, despite being frivolous, have proven the resiliency of the infrastructure [2] - Memecoins, transferring billions of dollars peer-to-peer, demonstrate the 999999% uptime needed to operate an exchange, proving the infrastructure's resilience [2] Adoption & Infrastructure - Critical infrastructure systems like Bitcoin and blockchain have been tested for almost 10 years, with institutional-scale testing for 3-4 years, leading to serious consideration by CIOs, CTOs, and business leaders [2][3] - Transitioning modern financial markets to this infrastructure is estimated to take a decade, with the process already 30-40% complete [4]

Escalating trade tensions between the US and China are spurring yuan traders to prepare for greater volatility lasting into early 2026 https://t.co/HduvHqIEcH ...

[Music] Hello and welcome to Ask for a Trend. I'm Josh Lipton and for the next half hour, we are breaking down the trends of today that'll move stocks tomorrow. There's a lot to keep track of, so we're focusing on what you need to know to get ahead of the curve. Here's some of the trends we're going to be diving into.Stocks giving back most of their gains Wednesday before ticking up again as volatility continued to engulf Wall Street. At the end of the session, stocks did close the day mixed. Bickering in W ...

Was Friday's air pocket a oneanddone dip or did it open the way for a more choppy phase of this three-year bull market. Let's ask New Edge Wealth Chief Investment Officer Cameron Dawson. Cameron, good to see you here. Good to see you.So, let's do some tape reading, I guess. How are we thinking about this. We had this unusually calm, steady climb toward all-time highs.We finally get barely a 3% pullback. And now the market is kind of trading in that range, indecisive. Yeah, we've been stuck just within that ...

In a way, You know, in some sense, you know, it's also a correction. But insofar as volatility is concerned, without going into levels, are we in the Reserve Bank. We do not.You know, as I mentioned earlier, we do not you know, our stated policy is not to target any price level or any price band and let you know the markets actually in India are quite deep, quite wide and we have a very robust and a mature market. So we believe in you know, the markets are to decide, you know, what the level should be. We d ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is experiencing considerable two-sided trading, with a decent recovery in the S&P and NASDAQ indices, but volatility remains high as indicated by the VIX and volatility futures [2][3][15] - The overall trend in the market is still down, with significant volatility and potential for wild trading conditions [3][15] Group 2: Starbucks - Starbucks has seen a turnaround plan that is gaining traction, with the stock trading down over 8% year-to-date, but there is a bullish sentiment emerging [4][5] - The stock has recently moved from $79 to $83, and there is optimism that this upward trend will continue, especially during the pumpkin spice latte season [5][6] - A call spread strategy is being employed, buying the 90 calls and selling the 95 calls for an 85-cent debit, indicating a favorable risk-reward scenario [6][7] Group 3: Bitcoin ETF (BITO) - Bitcoin is threatening to break below the $110 level, which could lead to significant declines in the crypto market, contrasting with the recovery seen in traditional markets [16][17] - A bearish options strategy is being implemented for the Bitcoin ETF BITO, involving buying the 18 puts and selling the 14 puts for a $1.60 debit, anticipating a substantial break lower [17][18] Group 4: Alphabet (Google) - There is a bearish outlook on Alphabet, with concerns about diminishing returns from its core revenue sources, despite a year-to-date return of 30% driven by AI hype [26][27] - A put spread strategy is being utilized, buying the 230 puts and selling the 220 puts for a $2.90 debit, indicating a belief in a significant decline over the next three months [29][30] - Technical analysis shows a rising wedge pattern and resistance around the $250 level, with a notable low point near $236 [30][31]

Market Overview - The VIX index has climbed back above 20, indicating a return of intraday volatility, with SPY and QQQ experiencing declines of 1.4% and 1.88% respectively before attempting a recovery [1][2] Company Earnings - JPMorgan reported strong earnings with an EPS of $5.07 compared to an estimate of $4.84, and revenue of $46.4 billion versus an estimate of $45.6 billion, driven by solid performance in trading and investment banking [3] - Despite the strong results, JPMorgan's stock fell approximately 2% on the day, reflecting a "sell-the-news" reaction amid heightened defensive sentiment [5] Speculative Trends - A resurgence of speculative trading is noted, particularly in stocks like OKLO, IREN, and APLD, which are gaining traction due to hype surrounding AI, energy, and datacenters, with liquidity driving price increases rather than fundamentals [6][8]

RT hansolar.🕯️ (@hansolar21)Not-so-daily Vol 2025-10-15Black-Friday was difficult day to say the least, but I'm gaining more confidence on where we are now so wanted to organize some of my thoughts here.Pre 10/10 Black FridayGot pretty long before the crashWas L/S 4:1 betting on the Gold/BTC catch up tradeObviously it was the wrong ratio to be in.The CrashPortfolio got pretty rekt on the day of the crash, and would've gotten zero'd if I was ADL'd on my shorts.- Start Capital : $90k- Current : ~$3.4m- Max Dr ...

RT Frank Braun (@thefrankbraun)Gold, Bitcoin, and Zcash are all good monies.What do a lot of gold bugs, Bitcoin maxis, and (the soon to materialize) Zcash zealots miss?These three monies are at different points on the adoption and risk curve. Doing an either/or analysis misses the point and is like comparing apples with oranges.Gold as money has been around for thousands of years and with the current bull run it has outperformed the S&P500 in the last 25 years, which is pretty remarkable.It simply looks goo ...

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 Index has recovered half of its recent losses, indicating some relief for equity bulls despite ongoing trade tensions and market volatility [1][4]. Market Sentiment - The volatility curve has shown signs of inversion, suggesting that near-term uncertainty is currently more pronounced than concerns about the longer term [2][3]. - The S&P 500 is close to its all-time high, indicating that the current market setup differs from previous periods of stress, with the recent trade spat acting as a catalyst for profit-taking rather than a fundamental concern [4]. Derivatives Market Insights - The spike in near-term derivatives pricing may indicate that speculative excess has been temporarily removed from the market, with traders expecting more turbulence ahead [5]. - The inversion of the VIX curve could be interpreted as a positive sign for stock bulls in the absence of unexpected developments [6]. Cautionary Perspectives - Some analysts express caution, interpreting the inversion as a sign of anxiety regarding high equity valuations, economic concerns, and potential selling pressure due to ongoing trade issues and a government shutdown [7].