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The market is a forecasting machine, business is all about anticipation, says Jim Cramer
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:51
Federal Reserve & Market Impact - The market is a forecasting machine, anticipating future economic conditions and reacting immediately to new data that changes the perception of the future [3][4][5] - Federal Reserve policy, particularly interest rate decisions, significantly impacts the stock market, with the market reacting rapidly to perceived changes [2][14] - When the Federal Reserve is perceived as supportive (rate cuts on the table), the stock market tends to perform well, and vice versa [12][13] - The stock market's performance is heavily influenced by anticipation of the Federal Reserve's actions, not necessarily the present economic conditions [4][9][11] Investment Strategy & Risk - Macro forces, such as Federal Reserve policy and trade policy, can override individual company fundamentals [2] - High-growth stocks are particularly vulnerable to Federal Reserve rate hikes [8] - Market declines can occur rapidly when investors anticipate economic slowdowns, leading to sudden bear markets [6][16]
Jim Cramer talks signals he looks for when making sense of the market
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:50
Monetary Policy Impact - The Federal Reserve's actions, whether tightening or easing, significantly influence the economy and investment landscape [1][2] - Interest rate hikes by the Fed can lead to economic slowdown, stock market declines, and reduced business investment [1][3] - Conversely, interest rate cuts can stimulate economic activity by lowering borrowing costs and encouraging spending and investment [4][5] Economic Cycle - Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for companies and individuals, leading to project cancellations and layoffs [3][4] - Lower interest rates decrease the incentive to save, prompting increased spending and investment in riskier assets [5] - A cycle of increased consumer spending and business expansion can be triggered by Fed easing, leading to job creation and further economic growth [6][7] Sector Analysis - Financials typically benefit from higher interest rates, but not as much from lower rates [6]
I prefer to focus on fundamentals of companies vs. the Fed, says Jim Cramer
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:45
There are times when if you tune in to the show, it's all about the Federal Reserve and trade policy all the time. I prefer to focus on the fundamentals of individual companies. You know that trying to help you identify winning stocks.But there are moments when these big picture macro forces trump what's going on at the companies themselves. No, no pun intended. We just went over the Federal Reserve at what they really do, why they feel compelled to raise interest rates in a strong economy, why those higher ...
Jim Cramer breaks down all things Federal Reserve before Wednesday's rate decision
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:44
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer.Other people want to make friends. I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate you.So call me at 1800743 CNNBC or tweet me at Jim Kramer. If you spend much time watching this network, you've heard endless chatter about the Federal Reserve, the business cycle, tariffs and trade, and of course all the ways our trading partners try to get over on us by breaking the rules of the Great Arbor, the World Trade ...
Jim Cramer on why the Federal Reserve matters to investors
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 23:42
If you spend much time watching this network, you've heard endless chatter about the Federal Reserve, the business cycle, tariffs and trade, and of course, all the ways our trading partners try to get over on us by breaking the rules of the Great Arbor, the World Trade Organization, or at least breaking them in spirit. But for all the relentless focus on the Fed or trade policy or the inherent boom and bust nature of the economy, we don't always do a great job of putting this stuff into context and explaini ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-06-17 22:30
Interest Rate Policy - Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady [1] - All eyes are on policymakers' projections about the future [1]
Why you should avoid the TINA trade (for now)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-17 20:30
Joining me now is Matt Stucky. He's the chief portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management. And Matt, you know, markets seem to be taking a breather today after yesterday's bounceback.How do you think investors are processing the latest risks here. Not just tariffs and inflation, but now that escalating geopolitical headwinds are on the table, that's another risk that we're going to have to deal with. Well, good morning, Ally.Thanks for having me back. Um yeah, there is no shortag ...
Housing market is not good as buyers take pause amid uncertainty, says UBS' John Lovallo
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 18:31
So, where does the industry go from here amid a mixed economic picture and no near-term resolution on these tariff pressures. Let's ask John Lvalo. He's US home building analyst at UBS here with me on set, which I appreciate.It's good to see you. I mean, the number this morning was awful. It was absolutely awful.And the builders had enjoyed a little bit of a a period of outperformance because of these buy downs and so forth. Now, that doesn't seem to be working as well. It's it's not dead.So, we're not quit ...
Middle East and geopolitical conflicts will create 'short term chaos which is an opportunity'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-17 14:46
It's time now for today's strategy session. Riskoff sentiment gripping today's trading action as stocks open in the red, but market momentum holding up some stocks trading near record highs. Can the market continue its rally despite a growing wall of worry for investors.Joining us now, we've got Kenny Pulkari, who is the Slate Stone Wealth chief market strategist. Kenny, one of the things that you and I were talking about in the break and and perhaps is within that wall of worry to a certain extent is the r ...
CNBC Fed Survey: Respondents continue to forecast weaker growth and higher inflation
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 11:40
All right, the Fed's two-day policy meeting kicks off today. Senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us right now. He's got the CNBC latest Fed survey. Steve, what's it show? Well, Becky, despite and good morning. Despite improvement in the economic outlook, respondents to the Fed survey continue to forecast weaker growth and higher inflation than they did at the beginning of the year and still elevated tariff uncertainty. 100% say the Fed will keep rates unchanged at this meeting. Uh the recession pro ...