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Lamb Weston(LW) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-03 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 FY 2025, net sales increased by 4% year-over-year, with volume growth of 9% as the company rebuilt after transitioning to a new ERP system [12][26] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 6%, reaching $364 million, primarily due to higher sales volumes and lower manufacturing costs [31][32] - Price mix declined by 5% compared to the prior year quarter due to planned investments in pricing to remain competitive [27][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America net sales grew by 4%, with volume improving by 8%, driven by replacing lost volume from the previous year and new customer contracts [28][29] - International segment sales increased by 5%, with volume up by 12%, despite soft restaurant traffic in key markets [30] - Adjusted EBITDA for North America increased by $15 million to $301 million, while the international segment saw a decline of $8.5 million to $93 million [34] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - QSR traffic in North America declined by 2% year-over-year, with hamburger chains experiencing a 6% drop in February [28][29] - The company anticipates a mid-single-digit percent decline in potato prices for the 2025 crop in North America, while prices in Europe are expected to remain flat [19][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a value creation plan with the help of Alex Partners to optimize operations and drive growth [9][10] - Efforts include restructuring plans aimed at delivering at least $55 million in pre-tax savings for FY 2025 and $85 million for FY 2026 [12][51] - The company is committed to improving customer relations and expanding its product offerings to meet evolving customer needs [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer uncertainty has increased, impacting restaurant traffic and overall demand [13][18] - The company expects continued pressure on pricing and margins due to competitive dynamics and inflationary costs [44][45] - Despite challenges, management remains optimistic about achieving full-year guidance and is focused on cost reduction and operational efficiency [46][47] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with approximately $1.1 billion in liquidity and a net debt of $4.2 billion, maintaining a leverage ratio of 3.4 times [35][36] - Capital expenditures for FY 2025 are targeted at $750 million, down from the previous year, with a focus on modernization and environmental investments [38][39] - The company returned $151 million to shareholders in the quarter, including $100 million in share repurchases [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of crop prices on QSR contract negotiations - Management indicated that customer contract negotiations will begin in the summer, and while potato prices are expected to decline, other inflationary impacts will also be considered [57][58] Question: Opportunities from Alex Partners agreement - The focus is on cost savings, productivity, and a data-driven approach to identify growth opportunities across the entire P&L [61][63] Question: Q4 gross margin expectations - Management explained that higher fixed cost absorption and other input costs will impact gross margins, with a forecasted decline of around 700 basis points [69][72] Question: Connell plant future plans - The company has decided not to sell the Connell plant and is conducting a strategic review of other options [100][101] Question: Weakness in QSR traffic - Management attributed the decline in QSR traffic to consumer uncertainty and macroeconomic factors, while noting that French fry attachment rates remain strong [108][119] Question: Changes in capital expenditures - Maintenance capital expenditures are about 3% of sales, with additional spending for modernization and environmental initiatives [136] Question: Competitive landscape in QSR contracts - The company is adjusting its contract schedule and is open to new ideas and innovations to drive traffic for QSRs [138][139]