Direct Lending Activity - Wells Fargo 和 Centerbridge Partners 的直接贷款合作关系自今年年初以来已安排了 20 亿美元的交易 [1]

Private Credit Market Overview - The private credit market is evolving and not a monolith, encompassing companies with revenue from $5 million to $1 billion [2][3] - The current private credit market is $1.7 trillion and is projected to reach $2.8 trillion by 2028, driven by a structural shift in lending away from traditional banks [4][6] - Growth is fueled by demand from smaller and mid-sized institutions, high net worth individuals, and private investors [7] Investment Strategies and Risk - Private credit strategies are evolving beyond senior-backed lending to include specialty finance and other specialized strategies [8][9] - Private credit can play a role in portfolios if investors work with competent advisors, but it is a relatively illiquid investment with less readily available information compared to public markets [12][13] - Concerns arise when retail-type strategies do not capture the illiquidity premium, emphasizing the need for prudent underwriting and good advisors [14] Fees and Returns - Retail investors, especially educated ones, prefer lower costs, similar to the trend observed in ETFs where lower expense ratios attract more flows [15][16] - Pricing for more commoditized private credit strategies may decrease over time, while strategies that capture alpha or excess return will command higher expense ratios [17] Market Segmentation - Focus is on direct lending to private companies in the $5 million to $150 million revenue range, noting different return characteristics and company behavior compared to the upper end of the private credit market [3][4] Retail Investor Participation - BlackRock is launching target funds for 401(k)s with a potential allocation of 5% to 20% to private credit [10] - It's crucial to ensure investors are compensated for the risk they take when considering private credit for retail investors and retirement accounts [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has $275 billion in assets under management, with 90% deployed in the U.S. [9] - Spreads have widened back up from their lows by approximately 25 to 50 basis points, indicating a stable pricing environment despite market volatility [20][21] - The company reported strong net inflows even during periods of market panic, demonstrating resilience in retail flows [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has three established flagship products: Diversified Core Income Product, Technology Income, and O Rent, with a newly launched Alternative Credit Interval Fund [42][44] - O Rent is noted as the fastest-growing product, significantly contributing to net capital raising [49] - The company is focused on expanding its distribution footprint, particularly in underpenetrated markets like Japan [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The direct lending market is gaining share as the syndicated loan market experiences volatility, with many borrowers preferring the predictability and partnership offered by direct lending [12][19] - The company is seeing a shift in investor behavior, with retail investors viewing alternative products as a safe haven during market volatility [36][38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on income-oriented products and has a strategic approach to acquisitions, targeting firms that align with its culture and operational model [91][92] - The company is expanding into digital infrastructure and alternative credit markets, recognizing the growing demand for these sectors [66][80] - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining a strong partnership with borrowers, offering predictability and privacy in lending [13][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current economic uncertainty and stickier inflation but views it as a favorable environment for their business model focused on downside protection and stability [4][5] - The company does not anticipate material stress in its portfolio, as it primarily lends to large, durable companies in sectors like software and healthcare [10][11] - Management believes that the private equity market is more resilient due to the availability of capital in the private credit market, which supports ongoing M&A activity [30][31] Other Important Information - The company has integrated its capabilities with Coveris Asset Management to enhance its distribution channels and asset management capabilities [83][85] - The company is exploring opportunities in the retirement market, recognizing its potential for growth in the long term [58][60] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the balance between the syndicated loan market and direct lending tracking? - The company notes that when the syndicated market is active, borrowers may prefer it, but when it closes, they have no choice but to return to private markets, which benefits direct lending [12][19] Question: What is the view on retail flows and redemption trends? - Management reports strong net inflows and a shift in retail investor behavior towards viewing alternative products as a safe haven [36][38] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - While a less active M&A market is a negative, it can also lead to increased market share for direct lending as liquid markets become less favorable [26][29]

Company Overview and Strategy - Runway Growth Finance Corp is focused on venture debt with a fully-scaled platform, emphasizing a disciplined investment process and strong balance sheet [14] - The company aims to deliver comprehensive financing solutions and execute larger deals with the backing of BC Partners [14] - Runway Growth intends to expand origination channels and strengthen sourcing capabilities through BC Partners' investment platform [15] Portfolio Performance and Risk - The company's disciplined investment approach has resulted in a low annualized loss rate of 7 bps [9] - Cumulative net loss rate since inception is 56 bps [9] - As of March 31, 2025, the portfolio at fair value was $1,004 million [24] - 98% of the loan structure is first lien [29] - 96% of the portfolio has a weighted average risk rating of 3 or better [60] Financial Highlights - Total loan commitments amount to $3 billion [29] - The average loan commitment is $34.8 million [29] - As of March 31, 2025, total investment income was $35.398 million [71]

Core Viewpoint - Financial services stocks, including Ares Capital, are facing challenges in 2025 due to tariffs and inflation concerns, despite initial expectations for a favorable environment [1][2] Company Overview - Ares Capital is the largest publicly traded business development company (BDC) with a market cap of approximately $14 billion, focusing on direct lending to middle-market businesses [3] - The direct lending market presents a significant opportunity, valued at $5.4 trillion, with increasing demand for BDCs as companies prefer quicker deal closures [4] Analyst Sentiment - Among 13 analysts surveyed, four rated Ares Capital as a "strong buy," while seven recommended it as a "buy," indicating overall positive sentiment despite some economic concerns [5] - RBC Capital recently reduced its price target for Ares Capital but maintained an "outperform" rating, predicting a potential double-digit percentage increase in share price over the next year [5] Market Position and Strategy - Ares Capital's new CEO, Kort Schnabel, noted a decline in transaction activity in the liquid loan market but emphasized the stability of the direct lending market as businesses seek private financing [7] - The company is well-positioned to capture market share during economic uncertainty, with a conservative balance sheet and financial flexibility to pursue deals [8] Portfolio Health - Ares Capital's portfolio companies exhibit strong EBITDA growth, with debt-to-EBITDA multiples below the five-year average, and are primarily focused on services, which are less affected by high tariffs [9] Dividend Performance - Ares Capital boasts a forward dividend yield exceeding 9.2% and has maintained stable or increasing dividends for 63 consecutive quarters, positioning it as an attractive option for income investors [10] - The management expresses confidence in sustaining the current dividend levels for the foreseeable future [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income per share of $0.56 for Q1 2025, down from $0.76 in Q1 2024 and $0.55 in the previous quarter [19] - Core earnings per share were $0.50, compared to $0.59 a year ago and $0.55 in the prior quarter, primarily due to a decline in portfolio yields [19][20] - The total portfolio at fair value increased to $27.1 billion from $26.7 billion in the previous quarter and $23.1 billion a year ago [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company originated $3.5 billion in new investment commitments during Q1 2025, with approximately 60% coming from existing borrowers [26] - The weighted average yield on debt and other income-producing securities at amortized cost was 11.1% at the end of Q4 2024, down to 10.1% by the end of Q1 2025 [20] - The average debt to EBITDA ratio for portfolio companies was 5.7 times, the lowest since Q1 2020, indicating improved leverage [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - New transaction activity in the liquid loan market dropped significantly as banks became more cautious, while the direct lending market remained stable [10][11] - The company noted increased volatility and widening spreads in secondary loan markets, with banks transitioning to a risk-off position [10][11] - The company has a significant amount of available capital totaling nearly $6.8 billion, positioning it well for new investments [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capitalize on opportunities arising from market volatility, leveraging long-standing relationships to source deals [12][13] - The focus remains on service-oriented businesses that are more insulated from tariff impacts, with proactive engagement with portfolio companies to mitigate risks [15][17] - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, marking the 63rd consecutive quarter of stable or increasing dividends [17][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating future market conditions, citing a strong investment team and a healthy portfolio [12][13] - The company anticipates a slower M&A environment but believes long-term drivers for M&A remain intact [11] - Management highlighted the importance of proactive communication with market participants to ensure readiness for new opportunities [12] Other Important Information - The company has a low non-accrual rate of 1.5% at cost, down from 1.7% in the previous quarter, indicating strong credit quality [29] - The company has a significant taxable income spillover estimated at $883 million or $1.29 per share available for distribution in 2025 [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of private BDCs on pricing and competitive position - Management noted that spreads have already begun to widen, indicating a shift in the market dynamics, and expressed confidence in outperforming competitors [35][36] Question: Analysis of tariff exposure - Management conducted a thorough analysis of portfolio companies' exposure to tariffs, finding a mid-single-digit percentage of companies potentially impacted [39][41] Question: Outlook on M&A deal volume - Management acknowledged the slowdown in M&A activity but emphasized their ability to capture market share in the current environment [45][47] Question: Strategies for managing rising costs of liabilities - Management highlighted their historical ability to maintain consistent ROE and mentioned potential strategies such as leveraging and utilizing spillover income [51][54] Question: Backlog and deal closure uncertainty - Management indicated that while there may be some uncertainty regarding the backlog due to market volatility, they remain optimistic about closing existing deals [75][77]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net investment income for Q4 was $0.32 per share, covering the regular dividend of $0.32 per share paid on December 31 [8] - Net asset value per share declined to $12.55, a decrease of $0.07 or 0.6% from the previous quarter [8][26] - Total investment income for Q4 was $91 million, a 2% decrease year-over-year, while total net expenses decreased by 9% to $57 million [49] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio had over $3 billion of investments at fair value, with total assets of $3.2 billion and total liabilities of $2 billion [47] - Approximately 75% of investments are senior in nature, with second lien positions representing just 7% of the portfolio, down from 8% last quarter [40] - The average yield of NMFC's portfolio increased to 11% for Q4, primarily due to the higher for longer shift in the forward SOFR curve [42] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NMFC loan portfolio is 86% floating rate and 14% fixed rate, while liabilities are 49% floating and 51% fixed rate [36] - The weighted average EBITDA of borrowers decreased slightly to $184 million, with portfolio company leverage coming down slightly [43] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain or increase its heavily senior-oriented asset mix, focusing on first lien and unitranche loans [20] - NMFC seeks to optimize the cost, duration, and quality of its liabilities, targeting a floating rate liability mix of approximately 75% over the next twelve months [23][56] - The company continues to focus on defensive growth sectors, avoiding cyclical and volatile industries [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that direct lending remains an attractive asset class despite a slower start to 2025 [32] - There is an expectation of increased M&A activity in 2025, driven by private equity dry powder and attractive financing markets [34] - Credit selection remains critical in a backdrop of volatility and uncertainty across political and regulatory headlines [35] Other Important Information - The company has never had a bankruptcy or missed an interest payment, managing over $55 billion of assets [12] - NMFC has experienced only 12 basis points of average annualized net realized losses since its IPO [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the enterprise value of UniTek compare to the Q4 mark? - The enterprise value is modestly higher than the Q4 mark [62] Question: How comfortable is the company about UniTek and lowering PIK exposure? - The company feels good about UniTek and expects to show progress in reducing PIK positions [66] Question: Will the mix between senior loans, loan funds, and net lease remain the same? - The expectation is that the mix will stay the same [68] Question: Are market spreads expected to stabilize or recalibrate? - Spreads have stabilized, and the company expects them to pick up if M&A activity increases [71] Question: How much of the portfolio is vulnerable to repricing activity? - The majority of deals that could reprice have already gone through that exercise [73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a fourth quarter net investment income (NII) of $0.47 per share and a full year NII of $1.89 per share, achieving a return on equity (ROE) of 12.4% for the quarter and 12.2% for the full year [6][24] - The net asset value (NAV) per share at quarter end was $15.26, approximately in line with the prior quarter, reflecting the stability of the portfolio [6][24] - The company paid out record dividends totaling $1.72 per share for 2024, marking a nearly 10% increase year over year [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company committed over $27 billion in direct originations in 2024, roughly double from 2023, with approximately $1.2 billion deployed in the fourth quarter [16] - First lien investments increased from 68% to 76% of the portfolio, and when combined with OBDE's portfolio, first lien investments rose to 78% pro forma [16] - The average hold size on new direct lending deals grew from $200 million in 2021 to roughly $350 million in 2024, with total deal sizes nearly doubling from $600 million to over $1 billion [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The non-accrual rate remained low at 40 basis points of the portfolio at fair value, reflecting no new additions this quarter [20] - The median EBITDA of portfolio borrowers was $119 million, with a weighted average EBITDA of $200 million and an average loan-to-value (LTV) of 44% [17] - Interest coverage across the portfolio was approximately 1.8 times, up from a trough of 1.6 times [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its scale and disciplined investment approach to maintain competitive advantages in the direct lending market [9][10] - The merger with OBDE has positioned the company as the second largest publicly traded BDC by total assets, expected to drive lower financing costs and operational synergies [12][13] - The company plans to optimize its portfolio and asset mix for improved yield, potentially increasing investments in strategic equity and joint ventures [33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the portfolio despite macroeconomic uncertainties, noting continued modest growth in revenues and EBITDA across portfolio companies [86] - The company anticipates supportive market conditions in 2025, which may drive a potential pickup in M&A activity [31] - Management highlighted the importance of incumbency relationships, with about 50% of originations in 2024 coming from existing portfolio companies [12][99] Other Important Information - The company established a joint venture across all BDCs to create a more efficient investment structure, winding down OBDC's senior loan fund [29] - Total liquidity at quarter end was $3.2 billion, well in excess of unfunded commitments [28] - The company plans to file a $750 million at-the-market equity issuance program to raise capital under supportive market conditions [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What can OBDC deliver in terms of ROEs in 2025 and beyond? - Management indicated that while headwinds from lower rates and spreads may impact ROE, they expect to generate an additional 50 to 75 basis points of ROE through the merger benefits and portfolio optimization [40][41] Question: How does the evolution of public BDCs play into the growth of the broader direct lending platform? - Management emphasized the continued execution of the OBDC strategy while expanding credit capabilities, which will enhance the origination funnel and relevance to borrowers [45][46] Question: Where is the portfolio in terms of recognizing Fed rate cuts? - Approximately 70% of the portfolio is recognized in terms of resets from Fed rate cuts [54] Question: What proportion of the portfolio is still above legacy assets with higher spreads? - Management estimated that about 10% to 15% of the portfolio could still be at risk of opportunistic refinancing with lower spreads [66] Question: How is the amendment activity trending? - Amendment activity was flat quarter over quarter, with no significant uptick in material amendments [111]