Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
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How you can value the WBC share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-15 03:08
Core Viewpoint - Westpac Banking Corp (WBC) is a significant player in the Australian banking sector, with a focus on lending and a strong emphasis on workplace culture, profitability metrics, and dividend valuation methods to assess its share price amidst market volatility [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Westpac is the second-largest of the Big Four Australian banks, primarily involved in financing homeowners, investors, and individuals, as well as servicing business customers [2]. - The bank's workplace culture rating is 3.4 out of 5, which is above the ASX banking sector average of 3.1, indicating a relatively positive employee environment [4]. Group 2: Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for Westpac is 1.93%, which is higher than the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, suggesting better profitability from lending activities [6]. - Westpac earned 87% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of lending in its revenue generation [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) for Westpac stands at 9.7%, surpassing the sector average of 9.35%, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits [8]. Group 3: Capital Structure - Westpac's common equity tier one (CET1) ratio is 12.5%, which is above the sector average, providing a strong capital buffer against financial instability [9]. Group 4: Dividends and Valuation - The total dividend for the last year was $1.66, with projected growth rates between 2% and 4%, leading to various share price valuations based on different risk rates [11][12]. - The average valuation of WBC shares using a basic dividend discount model (DDM) is estimated at $35.10, while an adjusted valuation based on forecast dividends is $34.05, compared to the current share price of $38.54 [12]. - Considering franking credits, the 'fair value' of WBC shares could be as high as $48.64, suggesting that the shares may appear expensive under basic models but reasonable when accounting for tax benefits [12][13].
How you can value the BOQ share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) is facing challenges in its share price valuation amidst current market volatility, with key metrics indicating lower performance compared to sector averages. Group 1: Company Overview - BOQ is one of Australia's largest regional banks, operating nearly 200 branches, many of which are managed by owner-managers, effectively making them small business owners [2] - The majority of BOQ's loans are comprised of mortgages, which is a critical aspect of its lending strategy [2] Group 2: Financial Metrics - BOQ's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.56%, which is below the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating a lower return from lending compared to peers [6] - The bank earned 93% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of NIM in assessing profitability [7] - Return on equity (ROE) for BOQ was 4.7%, significantly lower than the sector average of 9.35%, suggesting less efficient use of shareholder equity [8] - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for BOQ was 10.7%, which is also below the sector average, indicating a weaker capital buffer [9] Group 3: Dividend and Valuation - The total dividend for BOQ last year was $0.34, with projections suggesting a growth rate between 2% and 4% [11] - Using a dividend discount model (DDM), the estimated average valuation of BOQ shares is $7.19, with an adjusted valuation based on forecast dividends rising to $7.40 [12] - The fair value calculation, considering fully franked dividends, suggests a potential valuation of $10.57, indicating that the current share price of $7.08 may appear expensive [12][13]
BOQ share price at $7: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 03:07
Group 1: Valuation of Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) - The current share price of BOQ is approximately $7.09, with a calculated PE ratio of 17.3x based on FY24 earnings per share of $0.41, compared to the banking sector average PE of 19x, leading to a sector-adjusted PE valuation of $7.97 [6][11] - A Dividend Discount Model (DDM) suggests a valuation of BOQ shares at $7.19, using a blended growth and risk rate, while an adjusted dividend payment of $0.35 per share increases the valuation to $7.40 [11][12] - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a forecast gross dividend payment of $0.50 results in a share price valuation of $10.57 [12] Group 2: Investment Appeal of Banking Sector - The financial/banking industry is favored by Australian investors, particularly for dividend income, with major banks operating in an oligopoly [2][3] - Despite attempts by large international banks like HSBC to penetrate the Australian market, their success has been limited, reinforcing the appeal of local bank shares [3] - Investors are particularly attracted to bank shares for their potential franking credits, which enhance the value of dividends received [3]
2 tools to value the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-10 08:47
Core Insights - Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) is Australia's largest bank with significant market shares in mortgages (20%+), credit cards (25%+), and personal loans, serving over 15 million customers primarily in Australia [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - CBA's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.99%, outperforming the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating better profitability from lending activities [5] - The bank earned 85% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of lending in its revenue generation [6] - CBA's return on equity (ROE) stands at 13.1%, exceeding the sector average of 9.35%, which reflects strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [7] Group 2: Capital and Risk Management - CBA's common equity tier one (CET1) ratio is 12.3%, which is above the sector average, indicating a solid capital buffer to protect against financial instability [8] Group 3: Dividend Valuation - The total dividend for CBA last year was $4.65, with projected growth rates between 2% and 4%, leading to various share price valuations based on a dividend discount model (DDM) [10][11] - The average valuation of CBA shares using a simple DDM model is estimated at $98.33, while an adjusted valuation based on expected future dividends is $100.66, compared to the current share price of $168.54 [11][12] - A valuation based on gross dividend payments, including franking credits, suggests a 'fair value' forecast of $143.80 [12]