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How you can value the ANZ share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-20 03:08
Core Viewpoint - ANZ Banking Group is a significant player in the Australian and New Zealand banking sectors, with a focus on mortgages, personal loans, and credit, and its share price evaluation is influenced by various financial metrics and market conditions [2][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - ANZ is one of the Big Four banks in Australia and a leader in the New Zealand banking market [2]. - The bank derives a substantial portion of its revenue from lending activities, with 78% of its total income coming from this source [7]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for ANZ is 1.57%, which is below the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating a lower return from lending compared to peers [6]. - ANZ's return on equity (ROE) stands at 9.3%, slightly below the sector average of 9.35% [8]. - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for ANZ is 12.2%, which exceeds the sector average, providing a strong capital buffer [9]. Group 3: Valuation and Dividends - The total dividend for ANZ last year was $1.66, with projected growth rates between 2% and 4% leading to an estimated average valuation of $35.10 per share using a dividend discount model (DDM) [11][12]. - An adjusted dividend payment of $1.69 per share raises the valuation to $35.74, compared to the current share price of $33.05, suggesting that the shares may appear expensive based on this model [12][13].
Are BOQ shares worth considering in September?
Rask Media· 2025-09-20 03:07
Group 1 - The share price of Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) is currently under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a rough valuation for the company [1][2] - Australia's major banks constitute approximately 30% of the share market by market capitalization, highlighting their significance in the financial landscape [2] - The PE ratio is a key metric for valuing BOQ shares, with the current PE ratio calculated at 17.3x compared to the banking sector average of 19x [5] Group 2 - A Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is suggested as a more robust method for valuing banks like BOQ, which involves forecasting dividends and discounting them back to present value [6][7] - The DDM valuation for BOQ shares, using a blended growth and risk rate, yields a valuation of $7.19, while an adjusted dividend payment increases this to $7.40 [10] - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $0.50 results in a share price valuation of $10.57 [11] Group 3 - Different growth and risk rate scenarios indicate a range of valuations for BOQ shares, with a 2% growth rate and a 6% risk rate suggesting a valuation of $8.75, while an 11% risk rate drops it to $3.89 [12] - Additional considerations for evaluating BOQ include net interest margins, regulatory challenges, and the assessment of the management team's culture [13]
BEN share price: 4 key metrics to consider
Rask Media· 2025-09-19 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The valuation of Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (BEN) shares is a complex process that combines both qualitative and quantitative analysis, which is essential for successful investing. Group 1: Company Overview - Bendigo & Adelaide Bank, commonly known as Bendigo Bank, was established through the merger of Bendigo and Adelaide Banks in November 2007, during a peak in credit markets [2] - The bank primarily operates in the retail banking sector with over 500 community branches and agencies, mainly located along the East Coast and South Australia [2] Group 2: Workplace Culture - A positive workplace culture is crucial for long-term financial success, as it aids in retaining high-quality personnel [3] - Bendigo Bank's overall workplace culture rating is 2.9 out of 5, which is below the sector average of 3.1 [4] Group 3: Financial Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) is a key profitability measure for banks, with Bendigo Bank's NIM at 1.9%, outperforming the ASX major banks' average of 1.78% [6] - Lending accounted for 87% of Bendigo Bank's total income last year, highlighting the importance of its lending operations [7] - The return on equity (ROE) for Bendigo Bank was 7.9%, which is below the sector average of 9.35% [8] - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for Bendigo Bank was 11.3%, also below the sector average, indicating a lower capital buffer [10] Group 4: Share Price Valuation - A dividend discount model (DDM) estimates the share price based on dividends, with the last full year dividend at $0.63 and projected growth rates between 2% and 4% [11] - The average valuation of BEN shares using the DDM is estimated at $13.32, with an adjusted valuation based on forecast dividends at $13.75, compared to the current share price of $12.84 [12] - Considering franking credits, the 'fair value' prediction for BEN shares rises to $19.64 [12]
Can BOQ shares beat the ASX 200 (XJO) in 2025?
Rask Media· 2025-09-18 03:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) shares, emphasizing the importance of using multiple valuation methods, particularly the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for a comprehensive analysis of bank shares [1][3][6]. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio for BOQ is calculated at 17.3x based on a share price of $7.09 and earnings per share of $0.41, which is below the banking sector average PE of 19x [5]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for BOQ is derived at $7.94 using the average PE ratio of the banking sector [5]. - The DDM is highlighted as a more robust method for valuing bank shares, taking into account consistent dividend payments [6][7]. Dividend Analysis - The DDM valuation formula is presented as Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with last year's dividend of $0.34 assumed to grow consistently [8]. - The valuation of BOQ shares using the DDM yields $7.19, which increases to $7.40 when using an adjusted dividend payment of $0.35 [10]. - A further adjustment for fully franked dividends results in a valuation of $10.57 based on a forecast gross dividend payment of $0.50 [11]. Growth and Risk Factors - The article provides a table showing various growth and risk rate scenarios, indicating that a 2% growth rate with a 6% risk rate results in a valuation of $8.75, while a 4% growth rate with an 11% risk rate results in a valuation of $5.00 [12]. - The analysis suggests that understanding BOQ's growth strategy, such as its focus on lending versus non-interest income, is crucial for investment considerations [12][13]. Economic Indicators - The importance of monitoring economic indicators like unemployment, house prices, and consumer sentiment is emphasized as they can impact the bank's performance [13]. - An assessment of the management team's effectiveness and company culture is also deemed important for evaluating BOQ's investment potential [13].
4 quick ways to assess the BEN share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-16 03:08
Core Viewpoint - Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (BEN) operates primarily in the retail banking sector with a focus on community branches, and its financial performance is assessed through key metrics such as net interest margin (NIM), return on equity (ROE), and common equity tier one (CET1) ratio, which are critical for evaluating its profitability and stability [2][5][9]. Financial Performance Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd is 1.9%, which is above the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating a better-than-average return from lending activities [6][7]. - The return on equity (ROE) for the bank is 7.9%, which is below the sector average of 9.35%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability relative to shareholder equity [8]. - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio stands at 11.3%, which is also below the sector average, highlighting potential concerns regarding the bank's capital buffer [9]. Dividend Valuation - The total dividend for the last full year was $0.63, with projections for future growth rates between 2% and 4%. Using a dividend discount model (DDM), the estimated average valuation of BEN shares is $13.32, with an adjusted valuation based on expected future dividends rising to $13.75 [11][12]. - When considering gross dividend payments, which include franking credits, the fair value estimate for BEN shares increases to $19.64, indicating that the current share price of $12.84 may appear undervalued [12][13]. Workplace Culture - The overall workplace culture rating for Bendigo & Adelaide Bank is 2.9/5, which is below the sector average of 3.1, suggesting potential challenges in employee satisfaction and retention [4]. Summary - Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd shows strong lending performance through its NIM but faces challenges in ROE and CET1 ratios compared to sector averages. The bank's dividend valuation indicates potential undervaluation when considering franking credits, while workplace culture may impact long-term employee retention and performance [6][8][12].
How you can value the WBC share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-15 03:08
Core Viewpoint - Westpac Banking Corp (WBC) is a significant player in the Australian banking sector, with a focus on lending and a strong emphasis on workplace culture, profitability metrics, and dividend valuation methods to assess its share price amidst market volatility [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Westpac is the second-largest of the Big Four Australian banks, primarily involved in financing homeowners, investors, and individuals, as well as servicing business customers [2]. - The bank's workplace culture rating is 3.4 out of 5, which is above the ASX banking sector average of 3.1, indicating a relatively positive employee environment [4]. Group 2: Profitability Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for Westpac is 1.93%, which is higher than the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, suggesting better profitability from lending activities [6]. - Westpac earned 87% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of lending in its revenue generation [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) for Westpac stands at 9.7%, surpassing the sector average of 9.35%, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits [8]. Group 3: Capital Structure - Westpac's common equity tier one (CET1) ratio is 12.5%, which is above the sector average, providing a strong capital buffer against financial instability [9]. Group 4: Dividends and Valuation - The total dividend for the last year was $1.66, with projected growth rates between 2% and 4%, leading to various share price valuations based on different risk rates [11][12]. - The average valuation of WBC shares using a basic dividend discount model (DDM) is estimated at $35.10, while an adjusted valuation based on forecast dividends is $34.05, compared to the current share price of $38.54 [12]. - Considering franking credits, the 'fair value' of WBC shares could be as high as $48.64, suggesting that the shares may appear expensive under basic models but reasonable when accounting for tax benefits [12][13].
How you can value the BOQ share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) is facing challenges in its share price valuation amidst current market volatility, with key metrics indicating lower performance compared to sector averages. Group 1: Company Overview - BOQ is one of Australia's largest regional banks, operating nearly 200 branches, many of which are managed by owner-managers, effectively making them small business owners [2] - The majority of BOQ's loans are comprised of mortgages, which is a critical aspect of its lending strategy [2] Group 2: Financial Metrics - BOQ's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.56%, which is below the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating a lower return from lending compared to peers [6] - The bank earned 93% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of NIM in assessing profitability [7] - Return on equity (ROE) for BOQ was 4.7%, significantly lower than the sector average of 9.35%, suggesting less efficient use of shareholder equity [8] - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for BOQ was 10.7%, which is also below the sector average, indicating a weaker capital buffer [9] Group 3: Dividend and Valuation - The total dividend for BOQ last year was $0.34, with projections suggesting a growth rate between 2% and 4% [11] - Using a dividend discount model (DDM), the estimated average valuation of BOQ shares is $7.19, with an adjusted valuation based on forecast dividends rising to $7.40 [12] - The fair value calculation, considering fully franked dividends, suggests a potential valuation of $10.57, indicating that the current share price of $7.08 may appear expensive [12][13]
BOQ share price at $7: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 03:07
Group 1: Valuation of Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) - The current share price of BOQ is approximately $7.09, with a calculated PE ratio of 17.3x based on FY24 earnings per share of $0.41, compared to the banking sector average PE of 19x, leading to a sector-adjusted PE valuation of $7.97 [6][11] - A Dividend Discount Model (DDM) suggests a valuation of BOQ shares at $7.19, using a blended growth and risk rate, while an adjusted dividend payment of $0.35 per share increases the valuation to $7.40 [11][12] - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a forecast gross dividend payment of $0.50 results in a share price valuation of $10.57 [12] Group 2: Investment Appeal of Banking Sector - The financial/banking industry is favored by Australian investors, particularly for dividend income, with major banks operating in an oligopoly [2][3] - Despite attempts by large international banks like HSBC to penetrate the Australian market, their success has been limited, reinforcing the appeal of local bank shares [3] - Investors are particularly attracted to bank shares for their potential franking credits, which enhance the value of dividends received [3]
2 tools to value the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-10 08:47
Core Insights - Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) is Australia's largest bank with significant market shares in mortgages (20%+), credit cards (25%+), and personal loans, serving over 15 million customers primarily in Australia [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - CBA's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.99%, outperforming the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating better profitability from lending activities [5] - The bank earned 85% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of lending in its revenue generation [6] - CBA's return on equity (ROE) stands at 13.1%, exceeding the sector average of 9.35%, which reflects strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [7] Group 2: Capital and Risk Management - CBA's common equity tier one (CET1) ratio is 12.3%, which is above the sector average, indicating a solid capital buffer to protect against financial instability [8] Group 3: Dividend Valuation - The total dividend for CBA last year was $4.65, with projected growth rates between 2% and 4%, leading to various share price valuations based on a dividend discount model (DDM) [10][11] - The average valuation of CBA shares using a simple DDM model is estimated at $98.33, while an adjusted valuation based on expected future dividends is $100.66, compared to the current share price of $168.54 [11][12] - A valuation based on gross dividend payments, including franking credits, suggests a 'fair value' forecast of $143.80 [12]