Fibonacci retracement
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Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Slips to $3,315 as Triangle Support Comes Into View
FX Empire· 2025-08-19 21:02
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently at a critical juncture, with potential bearish signals if it breaks below key support levels, while also holding the possibility for bullish reversals if certain resistance levels are breached [1][2][3][4] Price Levels and Technical Analysis - A decisive break below the triangle's lower boundary would trigger a bearish signal, requiring further weakness through the higher swing low at $3,268 for confirmation [1] - If the price closes below $3,268, it would set up a test of the May swing low at $3,121, which also coincides with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,149 from April's record high of $3,500 [1] - Should $3,121 fail to hold, increased volatility is expected, as failed consolidation patterns can lead to extended moves, with the 200-Day moving average at $3,043 being the next major downside target [2] Market Sentiment and Potential Scenarios - While bearish risks are prevalent in the short term, traders should be cautious of potential false breakdowns, which could lead to renewed bullish momentum if the price reverses back into the triangle [3] - A breakout above the $3,439 swing high would confirm a reversal and signal a return to the longer-term uptrend [3] Overall Market Outlook - Until gold decisively breaks beyond the symmetrical triangle boundaries, momentum is likely to remain muted, with bears currently controlling the short-term picture [4] - Key levels to watch for the next decisive move are $3,268 on the downside and $3,439 on the upside [4]
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Bear Flag Trigger Awaits Further Confirmation
FX Empire· 2025-07-15 20:54
Group 1 - The 20-Day moving average has recently turned down, indicating potential resistance around the 200-Day MA and the 20-Day MA, consistent with a bearish flag formation and a bull channel breakdown [1] - A significant support zone is identified between $65.74 and $64.50, which includes the 50-Day MA and other technical levels, suggesting that a decline below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement will confirm a continuation of the bear flag breakdown [2] - A rally above today's high of $67.41 could lead to testing resistance around the 20-Day MA at $68.47, while a decline below today's low of $66.50 would trigger further bearish movement [3] Group 2 - The current market conditions reflect a narrow trading range, which is not typical for a solid breakdown, indicating caution among traders [3]
Analyst sets date when Tesla stock will hit $600 after Trump v. Musk feud
Finbold· 2025-06-07 12:02
Core Viewpoint - A trading analyst maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla, setting a price target of $600 despite recent tensions between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump [1][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction and Stock Performance - Tesla's market cap decreased by $150 billion on June 5, but the stock rebounded over 3% to close at $295 on June 6 [2]. - The recent dip in Tesla's stock is viewed as a short-term pullback within a broader bullish trend [4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Tesla is currently within a long-term upward channel that began after the stock's low in January 2023, with a significant support level identified at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement [5]. - The current downturn is interpreted as the early stage of a bull flag, suggesting a potential breakout in the near future [6]. - A price target of $600 aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and the 1.0 Fibonacci extension, which could be reached by early November 2025 if the bullish trend persists [7]. Group 3: Upcoming Events and Strategic Focus - Attention is shifting towards Tesla's upcoming robotaxi unveiling on June 12, which is considered crucial for the company's push for unsupervised autonomous driving approval [8]. - The public feud between Musk and Trump is expected to diminish as the robotaxi launch approaches, with analysts expressing optimism about Tesla's stock prospects [10]. Group 4: Broader Market Sentiment - Wall Street remains optimistic about Tesla, with Morgan Stanley reaffirming a long-term price target of $1,000, contingent on successful expansion into drones and urban air mobility [10][11].
Palantir Stock Stalls at Resistance as Bearish Setup Emerges
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-15 15:30
Group 1 - Palantir Technologies Inc stock is experiencing resistance at peak call open interest levels and February highs following the recent first-quarter results [1] - The stock's post-earnings rebound has stalled around the 50% year-to-date level and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential for lower highs [1] - Short interest constitutes only 2.3% of the equity's available float, the lowest level since March, allowing room for short sellers to increase their positions [4] Group 2 - The peak call open interest at the 125-strike is acting as resistance, and a decline below $115 could attract shares towards the 100-strike [4] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 83 out of 100, indicating it has surpassed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [5] - A recommended June put option has a leverage ratio of 5.5, which would double with a 15.8% drop in the underlying security [5]
Technical analyst maps out the ‘massive buy' opportunity for AMD stock
Finbold· 2025-03-07 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has faced a challenging start to 2024, with an 18% decline in stock price year-to-date, despite reporting strong earnings and revenue growth in Q4 and FY 2024 [1][2] Financial Performance - AMD's data center revenue increased by 69% year-over-year to $3.86 billion, but it significantly lags behind Nvidia, which reported a 93% growth to $35.6 billion in the same segment [2] - Client revenue rose by 58% year-over-year, driven by demand for AMD Ryzen processors, while gaming revenue fell by 59% and embedded processor sales decreased by 13% [3] Market Sentiment - Despite the recent stock pullback, Wall Street analysts remain optimistic, viewing the current dip as a potential buying opportunity [4] - Technical analysts have identified a bullish setup for AMD, projecting a rebound towards $320 in the next uptrend [5] Technical Analysis - AMD's stock has been in a downtrend for one year, trading below its 200-week moving average, indicating a strong long-term buying opportunity [6][7] - The stock is currently hovering just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, with the 0.786 level slightly lower, suggesting potential for a price rebound [8] - The one-week RSI is nearing oversold levels, which historically aligns with significant reversal points, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward setup for investors [9]