Inflation protection
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Taking Social Security at 62 is a hot topic. Experts weigh in.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-29 18:47
Core Argument - The article discusses the growing trend among social media influencers advocating for early Social Security benefits at age 62, contrasting with traditional advice to delay benefits until age 70 for a larger monthly payout [1][2]. Group 1: Early Claiming vs. Delayed Benefits - Social media influencers suggest that claiming Social Security at 62 and investing the funds could yield higher returns than waiting for a larger benefit [1][3]. - Traditional financial advice recommends delaying benefits until age 70 to maximize monthly payouts, which can increase by approximately 8% for each year of delay [2][4]. - Claiming early can result in a reduction of benefits by up to 30% compared to the amount received at Full Retirement Age (FRA) [4]. Group 2: Investment Returns and Risks - The S&P 500 has returned about 14% in the current year, with a decade-long average annual return of over 12%, leading to the argument that investing early benefits could compensate for lower Social Security checks [5]. - However, the article emphasizes that future investment returns are uncertain, while delayed Social Security benefits provide a guaranteed, risk-free income with annual inflation adjustments [5][6]. Group 3: Importance of Inflation Protection - Social Security benefits are highlighted as the primary source of income for most retirees, with annual cost-of-living adjustments serving as a crucial protection against inflation [6].
ETF Edge on signals of a new market cycle and top ideas for 2026
Youtube· 2025-11-25 18:56
Core Viewpoint - The current market environment is characterized by a transition into a new cycle, driven by recent Federal Reserve rate cuts and a shift in market leadership towards emerging markets and real assets, suggesting a need for portfolio evolution away from large-cap tech stocks [1][2]. ETF Market Trends - The ETF industry has experienced record inflows, with $1.2 trillion in inflows this year, while mutual funds have seen $1 trillion in outflows, indicating a significant shift in investor preference towards ETFs [1][2]. - Over 900 new ETFs have been launched this year, reflecting ongoing innovation and growth within the ETF space [1]. Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to diversify their portfolios by including asset classes and sectors that benefit from higher inflation, such as gold, which is up 54% year-to-date, and emerging markets, which are also up 27% [1][2]. - Leveraged ETFs are gaining popularity, but caution is advised due to their complexity and the high costs associated with accessing leverage, which can lead to underperformance compared to benchmarks [1][2]. Market Performance Insights - The S&P 500 has been outperformed by sectors such as industrials and banks, which have seen gains of 16% and 19% respectively, compared to the S&P's 12% increase [1]. - The weakening dollar has been identified as a catalyst for non-U.S. markets outperforming the U.S., with historical trends showing that a weaker dollar typically benefits gold and emerging markets [2]. Future Outlook - The ETF industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with predictions of more crypto-related ETF launches and innovations in share class structures that could further drive flows from mutual funds to ETFs [9][12]. - The complexity of the ETF market is increasing, necessitating more due diligence from investors as new products are introduced [11].
ACV: A Better Option For Inflation Protection Than An Ordinary Bond Fund
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-07 20:45
Core Viewpoint - The company aims to generate a 7%+ income yield by investing in a portfolio of energy stocks while minimizing the risk of principal loss [1] Group 1 - The service offers subscribers access to exclusive investment ideas earlier than they are released to the general public, with many ideas not being released at all [1] - Subscribers receive more in-depth research compared to what is available to the general public [1] - A two-week free trial is currently being offered for the service [1]
Analysis-US government shutdown may prompt first-ever workaround for inflation-protected bonds
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government shutdown is impacting the release of inflation data, which may lead to a workaround by the Treasury for calculating the index that underpins the $2.1 trillion market for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) for the first time since their inception in 1997 [1][2][6] Group 1: Impact of Government Shutdown - The Bureau of Labor Statistics has ceased all data collection and publishing during the shutdown, except for the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) [2] - The ongoing government standoff is now the second-longest on record, with the White House indicating that no inflation data will be published next month, affecting the scheduled release of the October CPI report [2] Group 2: TIPS Market Implications - The value of TIPS is directly linked to the CPI index, which determines the principal amount that adjusts with inflation [3] - Recent increases in TIPS yields, or "real yields," may reflect market uncertainty due to the absence of CPI data, as yields rise when bond prices fall [4][5] - A high risk premium in TIPS is noted, leading to cheaper trading conditions for these securities [5] Group 3: Treasury's Workaround Plan - The Treasury has a contingency plan to produce a fallback index based on the last available 12-month change in the CPI if the October CPI is not reported by the end of November [6] - This would mark the first time the fallback index is utilized since TIPS were launched [6] - Current yields on 10-year TIPS are around 1.7%, with five-year yields slightly higher at 1.249% [7]
Bank of Korea Mulls Gold Purchases After 12-Year Pause
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-28 10:11
gold south korea, gold rally, gold buy,. Photo by BeInCrypto South Korea's central bank is contemplating a return to gold buying for the first time since 2013, signaling a potential shift in its reserve management strategy. The move comes amid growing demand for the precious metal, as investors seek protection from inflation and currency weakness. Bank of Korea Weighs Buying Gold Again According to the latest data by the World Gold Council (WGC), as of October, the Bank of Korea held 104.4 tons of gold, ...
Beyond gold: How to invest in Silver, Platinum and Palladium - the trio that could supercharge your portfolio
The Economic Times· 2025-10-10 19:19
Core Insights - Precious metals, including silver, platinum, and palladium, are gaining traction among investors as valuable portfolio additions alongside traditional gold [1][15][17] - Each metal serves unique industrial and investment purposes, which can help investors set realistic expectations regarding their performance and risks [2][17] Group 1: Silver - Silver is widely used for both investment and industrial applications, including electronics and solar panels, and is purchased in forms such as coins and jewelry [3][17] - The metal is characterized by lower liquidity and higher volatility compared to gold, making it more challenging to liquidate quickly [3][17] - Silver prices tend to rise during periods of increased industrial demand, supply constraints, and economic turmoil, providing inflation protection [3][16][17] Group 2: Platinum - Platinum is rarer than gold and silver, primarily used in jewelry and catalytic converters to reduce vehicle emissions [4][17] - Its value is more volatile due to fluctuations in industrial demand and limited supply, predominantly sourced from South Africa [4][17] - Platinum is viewed as a stabilizing trade with long-term value linked to energy conversion [5][17] Group 3: Palladium - Palladium is even scarcer than platinum and is utilized in jewelry and automotive manufacturing, often in conjunction with platinum in catalytic converters [7][17] - The pricing of palladium is heavily influenced by automotive demand and can react quickly to geopolitical events [7][17] - Due to its low liquidity and high volatility, palladium is considered a short-term investment option [7][14][17] Group 4: Investment Options - Investors can choose between digital and physical formats for investing in precious metals [9][10][11] - Digital options include basket funds and single-metal ETFs, while physical investments involve purchasing bullion, bars, coins, or jewelry [10][11][17] - Mining stocks represent another investment avenue, with companies like Hecla Mining and Sibanye-Stillwater focusing on silver and platinum/palladium, respectively [10][17] Group 5: Investment Strategies - Investment goals dictate how precious metals are approached, whether as long-term hedges or short-term trades [12][17] - Long-term investors can use these metals as a hedge against inflation, with recommendations to allocate 3% to 5% of their portfolio to precious metals [13][17] - For short-term gains, selling metals individually is an option, though it is riskier and more suited for experienced traders [14][17]
Dividend ETF SCHD Draws Buyers as Fed Cuts Spark Rotation
MarketBeat· 2025-09-29 20:21
Core Viewpoint - The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) is positioned to attract more investor interest due to its competitive yield of 3.8% amid a backdrop of falling interest rates, making it an appealing option for those seeking income and inflation protection [2][8]. Group 1: Performance and Yield - Since its launch in 2011, SCHD has returned 211.8%, although it has underperformed the S&P 500, its primary goal remains to provide steady dividend income [2]. - The fund currently pays an annual dividend of $1.03 per share, yielding 3.8%, which is competitive with the U.S. ten-year Treasury yield and sufficient to outpace current inflation rates near 3% [3]. Group 2: Institutional Activity - Recent institutional activity shows mixed signals, with Bank of America and Raymond James reducing their positions in SCHD, likely due to lower interest rates favoring more profitable lending activities [4]. - Conversely, firms like Osaic Holdings and MML Investors Services have increased their stakes in SCHD, indicating a strategy to hedge against inflation while securing dividend income [5]. Group 3: Sector Exposure - SCHD's portfolio includes significant holdings in the energy sector, such as ConocoPhillips and Chevron, which could provide capital appreciation if inflation drives oil prices higher [6][7]. - This combination of income and growth potential makes SCHD an attractive option for investors looking for stability and upside in their portfolios [8].
Avoid Getting Blindsided by Tariff-Fueled Inflation With 2 ETFs
Etftrends· 2025-09-25 19:26
Core Viewpoint - The current macroeconomic environment is characterized by potential inflation risks driven by tariff policies, suggesting that fixed income investors should consider treasury-inflation protected securities (TIPS) ETFs as a defensive strategy [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Analysis - The Vanguard Total Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (VTP) and the Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (VTIP) are highlighted as effective tools for managing inflation risk, especially in light of rising inflation expectations due to tariff policies [2][3]. - VTP aims to provide returns that align closely with realized inflation by investing in TIPS with intermediate and long-term maturities, offering greater yield potential while maintaining inflation protection [3][4]. - VTIP focuses on TIPS with short-term maturities of less than five years, which helps mitigate additional rate risk [3][4]. Group 2: Cost and Transparency - Both VTP and VTIP are cost-effective options for inflation protection, with expense ratios of 0.05% and 0.03% respectively [4]. - The ETFs provide greater transparency compared to holding individual bonds, allowing investors to better track TIPS exposure [5]. Group 3: Price Dynamics - The value of ETFs changes in real-time based on market conditions, unlike individual TIPS, which do not reflect price changes until sold before maturity [6][7]. - This real-time pricing mechanism of ETFs allows for more frequent updates on value, providing a clearer picture of investment performance [6][7].
Core Canadian equity ETFs for your ETF portfolio, on the Sunday Reads.
Cut The Crap Investing· 2025-09-21 13:52
Core Canadian Equity ETFs - The Canadian stock market is heavily influenced by financials and energy sectors, leading to a lack of diversification [1][7] - The TSX Composite Index, which includes 300 of the largest publicly traded companies in Canada, is the most popular index for capturing the Canadian stock market [5] - The TSX 60 Index, which holds 60 of the largest companies, is another significant index, with a similar sector allocation to the TSX Composite [8][18] Performance Analysis - The iShares Core S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF (XIC) rose 4.95% in August, outperforming the average Canadian equity fund which gained 3.61% [16] - Over the past year, XIC increased by 25.77%, compared to the average fund's 21.35% [16] - The iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF (XIU) rose 4.79% in August and has climbed 24.51% over the past year, also outperforming the average fund [17] Sector Exposure and Investment Strategy - XIC is considered more diversified than XIU due to its greater exposure to materials and less reliance on financials [11] - The materials sector, including gold and mining stocks, is seen as inflation-friendly, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty [13] - Canadian banks have historically outperformed many other sectors, but caution is advised against over-concentration in financials [7][18] Additional ETF Options - Vanguard's Canadian High Dividend ETF (VDY) increases financials concentration beyond that of XIU and has outperformed the TSX 60 by about 1% annually [19] - iShares Canadian Quality Dividend ETF (XDIV) focuses on quality stocks and includes defensive utilities, providing a concentrated portfolio of 20 stocks [20] - BMO's Low Volatility ETF (ZLB) is favored for its defensive approach and historical outperformance with less volatility [21]
Gold has had a golden 2025. It might have a golden 2026 too.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 10:00
Core Insights - Gold has emerged as a safe haven asset, doubling in value over the past three years, attracting more investors amid geopolitical turbulence, and experiencing increased analyst price targets as the Federal Reserve prepares for potential rate cuts [1] Price Performance - Gold prices have surged over 40% this year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10% gain and bitcoin's 20% increase, indicating a strong demand for the precious metal [2] Economic Context - The rise in gold prices reflects a negative economic sentiment, as it typically serves as a barometer of financial turmoil, with investors seeking refuge in gold during uncertain times [3] - The current economic landscape features a record high for tech stocks, yet gold's peak is occurring simultaneously, suggesting a complex relationship between different asset classes [4] Interest Rates and Market Dynamics - Anticipation of lower interest rates, potentially as a response to a struggling labor market, has energized markets, making gold more attractive compared to risk-free investments [6] - The post-pandemic political climate has disrupted traditional alliances and increased tensions, prompting investors to hedge against US assets [7] Currency and Inflation - The US dollar has faced significant losses, with the first half of 2025 marking its largest decline since 1973, leading to increased pressure on the currency and enhancing gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation [8]