Amazon informed staffers via a text-email combo. Target asked workers to stay home. Does any of that make job cuts less painful?https://t.co/Ar5pdlgZA3 ...

Layoff Strategies - Amazon 使用短信和邮件通知员工裁员消息 [1] - Target 要求员工居家办公 [1] Employee Impact - 裁员是否减轻痛苦，行业对此表示疑问 [1]

Layoff Strategies - Amazon 通过短信和电子邮件通知员工裁员消息 [1] - Target 要求员工居家办公，可能与裁员有关 [1] Impact of Communication - 行业关注裁员通知方式是否能减轻员工痛苦 [1]

Public Perception of AI in America - AI is becoming unpopular in America, particularly due to concerns about job displacement and rising electric bills [1] - Republican politicians are reportedly hesitant to publicly support AI due to declining popularity ratings [1] - The industry believes pushing back against AI is a losing proposition for America [2] Geopolitical Implications - China is not expected to slow down its AI development [3] - The industry suggests that slowing down AI development in America would be an "own goal" with negative consequences for national security and economic growth [3]

Macro Economic Overview - The government shutdown has led to a significant impact on the economy, with fears of a sobering surprise once jobs data resumes [3][6] - Challenger Grey and Christmas reported over 150,000 job cuts in October, marking an increase of more than 180% from September and about 175% from October 2024 [3][4] - Year-to-date job cuts have reached 1.1 million, already 44% higher than the total for all of 2024 [4] Job Market Trends - The job cuts are attributed to a correction from the pandemic hiring boom, structural changes due to AI adoption, and cyclical softening in consumer and corporate spending [5] - The ongoing government shutdown is exacerbating economic concerns, affecting consumer spending, particularly in programs like SNAP [7][8] AI Sector Earnings and Market Sentiment - Recent earnings reports from AI companies show signs of investor sentiment weakening, with Palantir's stock dropping 8% despite beating expectations [11][12] - Concerns about valuation are prevalent, as stocks like AMD and Nvidia also experienced declines after reporting better-than-expected earnings [13][15] - Investors are increasingly cautious, seeking strong execution from AI companies to justify high valuations [14][18] Valuation Concerns in Tech Stocks - The market is witnessing a "show me" situation where investors demand tangible results from AI spending amid a murky economic outlook [20] - Companies like Uber and DoorDash have faced stock price declines due to cautious guidance and significant spending plans for the future [19][20] Bitcoin's Volatility and Speculative Investments - Bitcoin has dropped below $100,000 for the first time since May, down about 20% from its high, reflecting a shift in speculative sentiment [21][22] - Bitcoin's performance is seen as a proxy for speculative investment trends, often the first asset to be trimmed when investors seek safety [22] Upcoming Earnings and Economic Indicators - Upcoming earnings to watch include CoreWeave, Disney, Alibaba, and Tyson Foods, which may provide insights into consumer behavior and economic conditions [23][24][25]

Labor Market Trends - Initial jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 229,000, remaining within the recent range [1] - Continuing claims are edging higher, potentially indicating future weakening in the labor market [2] - Continuing claims by federal workers surged, topping 23,000, the highest since 2019, possibly due to the shutdown and laid-off workers applying for benefits [3] - Alternative jobs reports suggest a cooling labor market, but without runaway signals in either direction [3] Employment Data - ADP preliminary data indicated an average of 14,000 weekly job gains [4] - The national report showed an increase from -29,000 to 42,000 [4] - The Chicago Fed's estimate of the unemployment rate remained relatively unchanged around 43% [4] - Challenger job cuts report indicated a gain of 153,000 [4] Indicators of Weakness - The Indeed jobs posting, while above the standard of 100, has been continuously decreasing [5] - ISM manufacturing and service employment indices both ticked up but remain below 50, subjectively categorized as weakness [5] Data Analysis & Future Outlook - The Fed is likely analyzing this data, potentially possessing more comprehensive information [6] - Good alternative data on prices is currently lacking, with plans to release some next week [6]

US companies announced the most job cuts for any October in two decades this morning.153,074 layoffs last month → 175.3% higher than expected.1M total job cuts this year, the most since 2020. https://t.co/pW3IXjljM0 ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones index falling over 450 points, down 0.98% to 46,848.97, NASDAQ down 1.82% to 23,073.21, and S&P 500 down 1.13% to 6,719.65 [1] - Energy shares increased by 0.9%, while consumer discretionary stocks fell by 2.4% [1] Company Earnings - ConocoPhillips reported third-quarter FY25 earnings of $1.7 billion, or $1.38 per share, down from $2.1 billion, or $1.76 per share, year-over-year. Adjusted EPS was $1.61, beating the consensus estimate of $1.44. The company also raised its fourth-quarter regular dividend by 8% to $0.84 per share [2] Commodities - Oil prices decreased by 1.1% to $58.96, gold fell by 0.4% to $3,977.70, silver dropped 1.2% to $47.450, and copper declined by 0.6% to $4.9580 [5] Stock Movements - Golden Entertainment, Inc. shares surged 35% to $28.69 following an acquisition announcement at $30/share [8] - Forge Global Holdings, Inc. shares increased by 68% to $44.00 after an acquisition agreement with Charles Schwab [8] - Stagwell Inc. shares rose 20% to $5.75 after reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and issuing positive FY25 sales guidance [8] - American Superconductor Corporation shares fell 36% to $38.01 despite beating second-quarter earnings but missing revenue estimates [8] - ACV Auctions Inc. shares dropped 38% to $5.03 after cutting full-year sales guidance and receiving a downgrade from B of A Securities [8] - Aspen Aerogels, Inc. shares decreased by 44% to $4.1850 after lowering full-year earnings and sales guidance [8] Employment Data - U.S.-based employers announced 153,074 job cuts in October, a significant increase from 54,064 in the previous month [10]

Job Market Trends - Over 1 million jobs have been cut this year [1]

Job Cuts Analysis - October job cut announcements reached 153,074, the highest since 2003 [1] - Job cuts increased by 183% compared to September [1] - Job cuts increased by 175% year-over-year [1] - Year-to-date job cuts are the highest since June 2020 (COVID period) [2] - Job cut data is compiled from companies' announced plans, not actual realized cuts [2][3] Hiring Trends - Announced seasonal hiring plans are the lowest since tracking began in 2012 [4] Considerations - Job cut announcements may not always translate into actual job losses due to attrition [3] - Job cuts can take months to materialize, as seen with Amazon's 90-day notice [3] - Job cut figures are worldwide, not limited to the U S [3]