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Incoming Moelis CEO on M&A, Private Capital and Hiring
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-16 17:18
Strategy & Leadership Transition - The firm is in an incredible spot given its talent base, investments in staying cutting edge, and phenomenal culture, signaling a new era under new leadership [1][2] - The core strategy of putting clients first, hiring and developing the best bankers, and creating a supportive culture will remain intact despite a change in leadership style [3][4] Market Dynamics & M&A Outlook - The firm remains optimistic about the return of M&A activity and its steady improvement since April, despite monitoring the fluid situation in the Middle East [6] - There's pent-up energy and a desire among clients, including private equity and corporate clients, to do transactions as they see them as tools for growth, efficiency, and innovation [11][12] - The firm anticipates a potential pickup in announced transaction activity if conditions improve, driven by available capital and a desire to transact [14] Restructuring & Private Capital - The firm has a top franchise in Restructuring, Liability Management, and Capital Solutions, seeing a steady stream of activity, particularly in pushing out maturities for over-levered balance sheets created post-COVID [16][17][18] - The firm welcomes the growth of alternative asset managers with flexible pools of money, viewing it as beneficial for the economy, businesses, and the firm's ability to advise clients [19][20] Talent Acquisition & Expansion - The firm is opportunistic in hiring great talent, even during crises, leveraging opportunities like the Credit Suisse situation and the Silicon Valley Bank demise to build teams [21][22][23][24] - The firm is expanding into primary fundraising for private equity vehicles and servicing them in GP-led and LP-led secondaries, and continuation vehicles [25][26] Sports & Technology - The firm has a major effort and a big franchise in sports, seeing astounding transaction velocity in teams and the broader sports ecosystem [27][28] - The firm views AI as critical for staying on the cutting edge of technology, with massive potential to improve efficiency, present better ideas to clients, and execute those ideas on their behalf [31][32]
The Carlyle Group (CG) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-28 19:30
Summary of The Carlyle Group (CG) FY Conference Call - May 28, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: The Carlyle Group (CG) - **CEO**: Harvey Schwartz - **Date of Conference**: May 28, 2025 Key Takeaways from the Conference Call Strategic Growth Initiatives - Carlyle has focused on implementing strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements over the past two years [4][10] - Key areas identified for growth include: - Secondaries business (Carlyle Alp Invest) with a 25-year history and $90 billion in assets [5] - Capital markets, insurance, and credit platforms [5] - Capital markets revenue reached $150 million in a six-month period, surpassing any previous full-year revenue [6] - Potential peak operating environment could yield over $300 million in capital markets revenue [7] Operational Improvements - Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) increased by nearly 40% since the CEO's tenure began, with operating margins up 900 basis points [8] - A complete overhaul of the compensation strategy has aligned interests among LPs, shareholders, and teams [9] - Share repurchase program is over 50% complete [9] Market and Economic Outlook - Concerns about sticky inflation, higher interest rates, and slowing economic growth were acknowledged [11][12] - Current economic conditions are viewed as unique due to a global policy shift, influenced by tariff policies and geopolitical tensions [12][13] - The uncertainty in policy is causing a chilling effect on business decision-making, leading to delayed capital market activities [20][19] - Carlyle's data indicates that while there is uncertainty, EBITDA is growing, and companies are not drastically adjusting hiring [22] Trade Relations and Global Investments - Carlyle has a long-standing commitment to Asia, particularly Japan and China, with positive discussions regarding trade negotiations [31][36] - The firm has a history of successful investments in China and is optimistic about future opportunities [37][38] Realizations and Capital Deployment - Carlyle's platform currently manages $453 billion in assets, with a significant focus on credit insurance [42] - The firm returned approximately €20 billion in capital over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average [46] - Carlyle's U.S. buyout business is performing well, with the current fund tracking exceptionally [49] Fundraising and Growth Outlook - Carlyle maintains its 2025 guidance of $40 billion in flows and 6% FRE growth, despite recent market volatility [70] - There is a shift in LP conversations towards national security and local investments, with a focus on defense and energy sectors [72][74] Secondaries Business - The secondaries business is growing rapidly, with Carlyle positioned as a dominant player in this space [57][64] - The firm is focusing on providing integrated solutions across various client channels [59][62] Insurance and Reinsurance Opportunities - Carlyle's Fortitude insurance business is seen as a valuable asset, with ongoing opportunities in reinsurance transactions [93][94] - The firm is open to inorganic growth opportunities in the insurance sector, provided they align with strategic goals [98][99] Capital Markets Strategy - Carlyle is restructuring its capital markets team to enhance revenue generation capabilities [102] - The firm aims to leverage its well-developed capital markets team for monetization opportunities [102][104] Additional Insights - Carlyle's competitive advantage lies in its global brand recognition and established track record in various markets [84] - The firm is actively exploring new product offerings and partnerships to meet evolving client needs [90][91] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Carlyle's strategic initiatives, market outlook, and operational improvements.
Carlyle(CG) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record fee-related earnings (FRE) of $311 million, up 17% year-over-year [6][20] - The FRE margin reached 48%, the highest level in several years [6][19] - Distributable earnings (DE) were at a record $455 million [6][19] - Assets under management (AUM) increased to $453 billion, a 6% year-over-year growth [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Carlyle AlpInvest generated record FRE in Q1, nearly double from the previous year, with AUM growing 12% to $89 billion [12] - Global Credit's quarterly FRE surpassed $100 million for the first time, a nearly 50% increase from last year [13] - Global Private Equity results were in line with expectations, with significant capital returned to investors [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong inflows of $50 billion over the past year, including $14 billion in Q1 alone [20] - European private credit deployment increased by 150% year-over-year, reflecting strong demand for private credit solutions [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on new investment opportunities due to its long-term investment horizon and capital-light model [10] - Carlyle is focusing on diversifying its client solutions and enhancing its global wealth strategy [15][24] - The company aims to leverage its brand and platform to drive growth in key areas, particularly in private equity and credit [56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding the macro environment, noting that while there are uncertainties, the long-term trends driving demand for private capital remain strong [10][11] - The company is actively engaging with limited partners (LPs) and remains open for business despite market volatility [34][36] Other Important Information - The company has $84 billion of dry powder available for investment [10] - Carlyle's diversified platform allows it to mobilize resources effectively during market volatility [17][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of trade policy and tariffs on investment activity - Management discussed the cautious optimism among LPs and the need for thoughtful capital deployment in light of trade policy changes [30][34] Question: Corporate private equity franchise outlook - Management indicated no major adjustments to the timing of CP9, driven by deployment pace [38][39] Question: Insurance wins and fundraising guidance - Management clarified that the $40 billion flow guidance includes the recent insurance wins and strong performance in wealth products [46][48] Question: FRE margin and expense outlook - Management expressed satisfaction with the 48% FRE margin and indicated that expenses are well-planned for the year [51][52] Question: Fundraising for AlpInvest and future growth - Management highlighted the strong performance of AlpInvest and the expected continuation of fundraising efforts [55][60] Question: Endowment sector stress and its implications - Management downplayed the potential impact of endowment shifts on private capital allocation, viewing it as isolated [62][64] Question: Inorganic growth opportunities in insurance - Management expressed a preference for organic growth but remains open to accretive acquisitions if they make sense [68][70] Question: Opportunities in Japan - Management noted the dynamic nature of the Japanese market and the company's strong position there [76][78] Question: Capital markets and deployment strategy - Management emphasized a capital-light approach while focusing on execution activity levels across the platform [84][86] Question: Real estate fund updates - Management confirmed that the activation of fees on the real estate fund would lead to growth in management fees in Q2 [90]