Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-potential investment opportunities before they experience significant growth, focusing on asymmetric opportunities with a potential upside of 3-5 times the downside risk [1] Investment Strategy - The investment approach prioritizes leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights to maximize long-term compounding while safeguarding against capital impairment [1] - A strong margin of safety is sought to protect against capital impairment, ensuring that the investment strategy is resilient to market volatility [1] - The investment horizon is set at 2-3 years, allowing the company to endure market fluctuations and emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and intelligent capital allocation for achieving substantial returns over time [1]

Core Insights - GEO Group is a prominent provider of secure facility management and community reentry services, utilizing an integrated approach to meet the needs of government clients seeking comprehensive correctional solutions [1] Financial Performance - As of the latest report, GEO shares were priced at $16.31, reflecting a 42% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which increased by approximately 15% during the same period [2] - The latest quarter showed a reported net income of $173.9 million and earnings of $1.24 per diluted share, a substantial increase from $26.3 million and $0.19 per share, respectively; however, much of this increase was attributed to a $232 million pre-tax gain on asset divestitures, leading to an adjusted net income of $0.25 per share [3] - Third-quarter revenue rose to $682.3 million, up from $603.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA remaining stable at $120.1 million [4] Strategic Moves - Management has increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million while continuing to reduce leverage on the balance sheet [4] - GEO Group has secured over $460 million in newly awarded annualized contract revenue expected to normalize in 2026, primarily related to ICE facilities and electronic monitoring services [4] Market Position and Risks - The company operates in a politically sensitive and contract-dependent environment, with earnings subject to fluctuations based on asset sales, litigation reserves, and policy changes [5] - A significant fund reduced its stake in GEO Group, selling 927,016 shares during the third quarter, which indicates a strategic risk management approach rather than panic [2][5]

For so long, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( AAOI ) was a ticker based on a transition narrative that had nothing to prove itself but was just somewhere in between traditional optics and what itHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spo ...

Core Insights - Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) has been characterized by a transition narrative that lacks concrete evidence of its potential, existing in a space between traditional optics and emerging technologies [1] Company Overview - AAOI has historically been viewed as a company in transition, with no definitive proof of its capabilities or market position [1] Investment Perspective - The investment strategy focuses on identifying high-potential opportunities with a favorable risk-reward ratio, aiming for an upside potential of 3-5 times the downside risk [1]

Chubb Limited (CB) is a leading global insurer, specializing in property and casualty coverage, personal lines, and tailored specialty protection. The company offers commercial and personal insurance policies, reinsurance, and comprehensive risk management solutions, leveraging strong underwriting skills, a diverse product portfolio, and extensive distribution channels for businesses and individuals worldwide. Headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland and with a market capitalization of $122.37 billion, Chubb ...

Talk a little bit about why you think we saw such a surge first in gold and now more recently silver, which is now outpacing gold. Is that all pretty much an issue of what's been going on with the macro side of the economy, all that, what's been going on with interest rates. Well, I think the two components great to be with you, by the way.One is fundamental and one is more human nature. The on the fundamental side, the one aspect I think that's been underreported is that when trade is impeded, when a wrenc ...

Amid a monster year and, more recently, a transformative deal announcement, this move raises a sharper question about how much upside is really left at today’s valuation.Charlotte-based Tikvah Management cut its stake in CompoSecure (CMPO +0.62%) by 280,000 shares and saw its position value reduced by an estimated $9.31 million, according to a November 14 SEC filing.What HappenedAccording to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing dated November 14, Tikvah Management reduced its position in  Compo ...

Hi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities (with at least upside potential of 3-5X outweighing the downside risk). By leveraging market inefficienci ...

Hi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities (with at least upside potential of 3-5X outweighing the downside risk). By leveraging market inefficienci ...

Core Insights - Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) is a prominent global life and health reinsurer, providing reinsurance services to help insurance companies manage risk exposure [1] - Piper Sandler has updated its rating for RGA to "Overweight" and raised the price target from $220 to $230, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance [2][6] - RGA's stock is currently priced at $207.02, with a 0.64% increase, and has shown significant volatility over the past year, ranging from a low of $159.25 to a high of $232.97 [3][6] - The company's market capitalization is approximately $13.62 billion, indicating its substantial size and value in the market [4] - RGA appointed Ryan Krueger as Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, effective January 5, 2026, to enhance communication with the investor community [5][6]