Strategists, meanwhile, uh rejiggering their year-end S&P targets amid those new record highs and the Fed easing cycle. Uh that is now begun. Uh our next guest is no exception, raising his year-end target to between 66 and 6,800.Also saying though he expects volatility to increase some. Joining us now is Daryl Kron, chief investment officer uh for wealth and investment management at Wells Fargo. Daryl, uh good to see you.Um, obviously the market it kind of got what it both expected and was hoping for, right ...

David Ter was on Squawkbox this morning and laid it out pretty clearly. Take a listen. >> Don't love the multibles, but how do I not earning own it with an easy, you know, I'm not ever fighting this Fed, especially when the markets tell me have I don't know what it is today, but one and 3/4 more cuts, you know, before the end of the year.So, that's that's a tough thing not to own. Josh, that pretty much says it all. I'm not ever fighting this Fed.As he has really maintained from the depths of the financial ...

Well, stocks do typically perform better in the wake of cuts from the Federal Reserve. My next guest has a playbook for how ETF investors can potentially take advantage of any postcut bump. Marissa Anel, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, head of ETF investment strategies, joining me uh now on set for this week's ETF report brought to you by Invesco QQQ.Marissa, thanks for being here. >> Thanks for having me. >> So, I I guess first of all to set the table, we should talk about what the Fed is going to do today ...

A new market leader has snuck into town over the past month as Small Caps have pushed to the top of the leader board. Whether the trend lasts, or not, will depend a lot on what the Fed does, but one thing is certain; after a year of tech-led mega caps setting new highs, investors have clearly shown an increased appetite for risk in the form of smaller, lesser known names.Whether it's withering jobs data, renewed signs of inflation or sluggish consumer spending, there's been no shortage of concerning economi ...

Market Analysis by covering: US Small Cap 2000, SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust, Invesco QQQ Trust, iShares Russell 2000 ETF. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Market Outlook & Fed Policy - The market has priced in many positives, leaving room for the Federal Reserve to disappoint next week [2] - The key focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and the committee's rate guidance for the end of 2026; a convergence with the rates market is needed to avoid disappointment [3][4] - A weakening labor market is a defining macro characteristic, suggesting growth-side risks for the equity market and the need for a bond position [10][11] Investment Strategies - Broadening investment portfolios beyond tech is recommended, considering areas like small caps, energy, and international markets [6][7][8] - Small caps are poised to benefit from declining interest rates due to their floating rate and short-term debt structures, along with less regulation and more M&A activity [7] - Offsetting equity positions with a bond position (duration) is suggested, especially given the potential for a pullback in the second half of September [9] Interest Rate & Bond Market - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut next week [2][3] - The yield curve is positively sloped now, suggesting that rates across the curve should come down as the Fed starts its rate-cutting cycle, unlike the previous year when the yield curve was inverted [16][17] - Expect the 10-year Treasury yield to break below 4%, surprising many due to recency bias related to the bond market's reaction to previous rate cuts [18] Economic Indicators - Despite concerns about the labor market, other data points like GDP growth, company earnings, and consumer strength suggest a continued strong economy [13]

Well, we have been at record highs. Notable today, the 10-year yield near the lowest level since April. So, we're watching all that with the Fed meeting on tap.Will they go 25 or will they go 50. That seems to be the biggest question because the market is convinced nearly 100% you're going to get at least 25. So, Weiss, the question is, what do stocks do.That's question number one for today. JP Morgan's trading desk says this could become a sell the news event. I've heard that from others as well because th ...

Stocks are tracking for yet another record close. Here with her best ideas on positioning at these lofty levels is SoFi's head of investment strategy, Liz Thomas. Nice to see you. Nice to see you, too.Best positioning right now in the market again. We're we're going to have record close, we think, is where. Well, I've been talking about for a while investors needing to diversify their growth and momentum exposure.Obviously, we've had long periods of time where growth stocks, momentum stocks have led the mar ...

Economic Resilience and Inflation - The economy has shown more resilience than expected, with companies reporting stable conditions during the second quarter [2] - Anticipation of the Federal Reserve's actions in September is noted, with a focus on small-cap performance [3] Small-Cap Market Performance - Small caps have outperformed by approximately 400 to 500 basis points since April 8, largely unrecognized in the broader market [4] - Relative valuations for small caps remain cheaper compared to large caps, with small caps yet to reach new highs since November 2021 [5] Earnings Outlook - Small cap earnings turned positive in the second quarter after two years of negative performance, which is crucial for continued outperformance [6] - Expectations are that small cap earnings may outperform large cap earnings in the third quarter [6] Impact of Interest Rates - A lower interest rate environment would benefit small cap companies, particularly those with variable debt [7] - The anticipation of lower rates is already being factored into the small cap market [7] Capital Expenditure Cycle - The recent legislation allowing 100% depreciation on capital expenditures may signal the start of a capex cycle that benefits small cap companies [8] Focus on Industrial Sector - The focus is on economically sensitive areas, particularly industrials, which are expected to benefit from reshoring and re-industrialization in the U.S. [10][11] Historical Context of Small Caps - The Russell 2000's representation as a percentage of the Russell 3000 was 4.2% at the end of the second quarter, a level not seen since the 1980s [12] AI and Market Broadening - The AI narrative is shifting towards beneficiaries of AI, which may drive broader market participation beyond large caps [14]

Market Trends & Sentiment - Tech sector performance is bifurcated, with Alphabet and Apple leading while the rest of the complex lags, indicating potential dispersion in investor sentiment [1][3][4] - Energy and materials sectors have been leading recently, though their impact is limited due to the large size of the tech sector, suggesting a healthy rotation [3] - Large-cap stocks are favored over small-cap stocks [4] Economic Outlook & Jobs Report - The worst of the economy was likely a couple of months prior, coinciding with tariff uncertainties [12] - A jobs report significantly above or below the estimated 75,000 by 10,000 could trigger a market move [11][12] - A much better than expected jobs report might reduce expectations for future Federal Reserve rate cuts [13] - The Federal Reserve is still expected to cut rates in the coming weeks, but potentially not as many times as anticipated over the next 16 months [13] Market Performance & Seasonality - S&P typically pulls back about 2% on average in September based on the last decade's data, indicating seasonality [6] - After the S&P has been up over 25% over 100 days, the average return after one month is 1%, and after three months is approximately 6% [6] - Historically, three months after a similar market condition, the market has been higher 11 out of 11 times, and a year later, up an average of 13% [7] - The strength seen off the lows is inconsistent with a bear market [8] Bond Market & Credit Conditions - The 30-year yield is up around 5%, the highest in a long time, with long-term yields breaking out [9] - Credit markets are showing virtually no signs of stress, with no warnings in high yield or junk bonds, and credit spreads not broadening out [9][10]