Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica Inc. shares are experiencing a selloff that began on June 5, but the stock may be nearing a rebound due to being oversold and at a support level [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Lululemon shares have continued to trade lower, indicating a lack of demand with more shares available for sale than buyers [2] - The stock has reached a support level at approximately $227, where it previously found support, suggesting a potential for recovery [3][5] - Remorseful sellers from August who sold around the $227 level are likely placing buy orders now, contributing to the current support [4][5] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The stock is currently in an oversold condition, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being below the horizontal line [6] - The Fisher Transform indicator also shows oversold conditions, and a potential reversal could occur if the red line crosses above the black line [7]

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) stock is currently trading at deep value levels, presenting a generational buying opportunity, as confirmed by Q1 results which indicate that market fears were overreactions [1][5] Financial Performance - UPS reported a -0.9% revenue decline in Q1, primarily due to a nearly 15% contraction in Supply Chain Solutions linked to a divestiture, although core businesses are growing [8] - The U.S. segment grew by 1.4%, while the international segment saw a 2.7% increase driven by a 7.1% rise in average daily volume [9] - Adjusted earnings increased by 4.2% year-over-year to $1.49, significantly exceeding analysts' forecasts by nearly 800 basis points [11] Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook - Analyst sentiment has shifted from Moderate Buy to Hold, with a consensus price target forecasting a 30% upside from the current trading price near $97 [5] - The stock is trading at a nearly 50% discount to the broader market and under 8X its 2023 EPS forecast, indicating potential undervaluation [6] Institutional Activity - Institutional activity reached a multi-year high in Q1, contributing to market volatility but remained net bullish by the end of the quarter, providing substantial support with ownership above 60% [7] Capital Return and Dividends - UPS has a significant capital return strategy, including dividends and share repurchases, with a reliable annual yield of over 6% and a payout ratio of approximately 60% [12] - Share repurchases reduced the share count by roughly 0.8% year-over-year in Q1, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [12] Margin Improvement - The company has seen steady improvement in operating margins due to transformation efforts, with a 20 basis points improvement in Q1 despite macroeconomic challenges [10] - CFO Brian Dykes anticipates reaching a $3.5 billion target for margin improvement by year-end [11] Balance Sheet Health - Despite the impact of the divestiture, UPS maintains a healthy balance sheet with low leverage relative to equity and assets, suggesting potential for future distribution increases [13]

Core Viewpoint - Starbucks is expected to report its fiscal Q2 results on April 29, with investors hoping for a rebound in stock performance despite a year-to-date decline of 10% and a 28% drop from its 52-week high of $117 per share [1][4]. Financial Expectations - Q2 sales are projected to reach $8.79 billion, reflecting a 2% increase from $8.56 billion in the same quarter last year [4]. - International revenue is anticipated to rise by 5% to $1.84 billion compared to $1.75 billion in the prior period [4]. - Q2 EPS is expected to decrease to $0.49 from $0.68 per share a year ago, indicating a significant decline [5]. Earnings Performance - Starbucks recently exceeded Q1 EPS expectations by 4%, but has shown an average earnings surprise of -2.34% over the last four quarters [5][6]. - The reported earnings history shows fluctuations, with an average surprise of -2.34% across the last four quarters [6]. Stock Performance - Over the last two years, Starbucks stock has decreased by 24%, and it has only gained 11% over the last three years, underperforming the broader index which has returned over 30% [7]. - The stock is currently trading at 28.6X forward earnings, which aligns with its decade-long median and is below the peak of 95.8X during this period [8]. Valuation Insights - Starbucks' valuation is not excessively high compared to the S&P 500's forward earnings multiple of 21.2X and the Zacks Retail-Restaurants Industry average of 26.2X [8]. Future Outlook - Currently, Starbucks holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with expectations for a resurgence in profitability next year, but it may be premature to consider it a buy for a sustained rebound [9]. - The potential for meaningful upside is contingent on Starbucks meeting or exceeding Q2 expectations and providing guidance that indicates a return to growth [9].