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CEA Chair Stephen Miran: We're going to get Pres. Trump's tax bill over the line
CNBC Television· 2025-07-01 13:22
Tax and Spending Bill & Economic Impact - The alternative to passing the bill is a $4 trillion tax hike on American workers and businesses, potentially leading to recession and increased debt [3] - Passing the bill is expected to stimulate the economy through investment incentives like full expensing on new factories and equipment, potentially leading to reshoring and manufacturing resurgence [4] - The bill is projected to reduce the deficit by approximately 85% to 11 trillion over time [5] - The CBO's deficit calculations are considered incomplete as they do not fully account for economic growth, tariff revenue, and administrative reductions resulting from the bill [5] Revenue Generation - The bill is expected to generate approximately $4 trillion in increased revenue over a decade from improved economic growth due to tax incentives, deregulation, and increased investment [8] - Tariff revenue is projected to contribute $3 trillion over a decade towards deficit reduction [6][9] - Spending reductions from government efficiency efforts are estimated at $15 trillion over a decade [9] - Reduced interest expenses due to decreased borrowing are expected to contribute $15 trillion over a decade [9] Tariff Policy & Trade - The US has various tariff programs in place, each with different justifications, including national security, anti-dumping measures, and addressing trade deficits, all of which generate revenue [12] - Current tariff levels are close to the President's campaign trail proposals of 10% on the whole world and 50% on China [14] - The US anticipates framework announcements by July 9th, with countries potentially offering concessions to maintain lower tariff rates and increase access to US goods [15] China Trade Relations - The future of China tariffs depends on concessions made by the Chinese government [19] - The Phase One trade deal in 2019 included chapters on intellectual property and market access, but the Chinese walked away from it [18][19]
Rep. Jason Smith on tax bill: I strongly oppose the argument that this bill adds to the deficit
CNBC Television· 2025-07-01 12:53
The House of Representatives waiting to see if the Senate signs off on President Trump's sweeping tax and cut spending cut and spending bill. Joining us right now with where things stand at the moment is Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith. And chairman, thank you for being with us today.It's always great to be with you. So, Congressman, let's talk through what's happening. The House sent a bill to the Senate, told them, "Don't touch much of this because we have very thin margins in the House. If ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 04:05
US Debt/Deficit - US "deficit/debt bomb"问题需要两党合作才能可持续解决 [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 00:46
There is no way that the US “deficit/debt bomb” problem can be sustainably dealt with unless there is a bipartisan approach, Ray Dalio wrote in a post on X https://t.co/Be8fGxPDeS ...
David Friedberg on Zohran Mamdani's Win in NYC: The College Debt Crisis Has Led People to Socialism
All-In Podcast· 2025-06-28 17:25
Economic Concerns & Political Implications - The increasing national debt and deficit are perceived as potential drivers towards socialism [1] - The failure of the "American dream" promise, specifically regarding college education leading to income and stability, is fueling discontent [2] - Unrestricted access to capital inflated education costs, leaving many young Americans with substantial debt and limited job prospects [3] - 32 million young Americans struggle to afford their bills and are trapped in a debt cycle [4] - This situation leads individuals to seek government intervention and redistribution of wealth [5][6] - A majority of voters in a deeply indebted situation could lead to a tipping point, favoring socialist policies [6] - Historically, embracing socialism to escape debt cycles has not proven successful in various countries [7] Generational & Demographic Trends - Young, college-educated white individuals are identified as a key demographic supporting candidates with socialist leanings [8] - Zoran won 61 to 39 with college educated [8] - This trend is viewed as the beginning of a wave with potentially concerning implications for the future of America [9]
House GOP tax bill would add $2.8 trillion to U.S. deficit, CBO says: What it means for the economy
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 19:09
[Music] The problem we have is we're on an unsustainable path in terms of the deficit and the debt and the bill that's working its way through Congress makes it much worse. Um, you know, you can have a debate as to whether you're adding three or$6 trillion dollars to the debt. Whichever end you're at, it's too much.I don't think that the notion that was done in 2017 should be in place for all time is correct. I understand the concern people have that this wouldn't be a great time to raise taxes. It's not a ...
The $11,000,000,000,000 gap between Trump and economists on the "big, beautiful" bill, explained:
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-19 11:45
Experts say Trump's signature legislation, his big beautiful bill, will cost America around $3 trillion over the next decade. This bill is going to contribute significantly to the debt. And some of our members of Congress are very concerned about adding $3.8% trillion.One group that adamantly disagrees with this assessment is the White House. This bill does not add to the deficit. It cuts your deficits. It cuts, you know, it's a huge cutting.They say that the bill will make money as much as $8 trillion. Tha ...