As AI reshapes the global balance of power, the infrastructure behind it—chips, data centers, power, and supply chains—has become a new arena for geopolitical competition. This talk explores how nations are racing to secure critical AI hardware, control compute capacity, and assert influence over the technologies and talent that define the future. About Dylan Patel Dylan is the founder, CEO, and Chief Analyst for SemiAnalysis, the preeminent authority on all things AI and semiconductors. Through Dylan’s unw ...

Interest Rate and Monetary Policy - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve (Fed) to closely monitor the path of interest rates, with discussions potentially shifting towards rate cuts [1] - Rising oil prices and existing tariffs may deter the Fed from implementing rate cuts in the immediate term [4][5] - Dovish signals from the Fed, particularly indications of rate cuts towards the end of the year, could positively influence market sentiment [4] - The industry suggests that delaying rate cuts could lead to an economic slowdown, emphasizing the need for timely intervention [6] Geopolitical Risks and Economic Impact - Geopolitical events, specifically conflicts in Israel and Iran, pose significant risks to the economy [4] - Increased oil prices, influenced by geopolitical tensions, present challenges for the Fed's monetary policy [3][5] Defense Sector Analysis - RTX (Raytheon Technologies) is highlighted as a potentially favorable stock pick due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, trading at a 17 PE multiple and offering a 2% dividend [7] - RTX's focus on aerospace, defense, and missiles positions it as a key player in the current environment, with the ability to sell to countries outside the US [8] - Global defense spending reached $27 trillion last year, marking a 10% increase, the largest since the Cold War [9] - The defense sector, including names like Northrup Grumman and Halliburton, is generally experiencing growth, but investors should carefully assess multiples to avoid overpaying [10][11]

All right, joining us right now to talk more about Israel and Iran, specifically the impact for China and the energy markets, is Shazad Kazzy, the COO of the China Beige Book. And Shazad, this is a little different than what we usually bring you on to talk about. Geopolitics obviously flaring up in a big way.You're here to tell us what that means for for China, the other big superpower in the world. Yeah, I think the the key thing for China is first of all, they've already come out and said that they are op ...

All right, let's talk markets. Ahead of a big week, investors paying close attention to fighting between Israel and Iran as well as the Fed. The central bank's going to be issuing its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday.And right now, we want to bring in Lori Calvacina. She is head of US equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. And Lori, we thought we had a little bit of idea of how the markets were headed.We've been looking at inflation coming down. We thought maybe that was going to help the Fed get ...

Iranian missiles kill at least eight people and hit the key Haifa oil refinery as Israel targets command centers of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. Photo: Atef Safadi/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock ...

of staff. That was during President Trump's first term, co-chair of ACTUM. Now, Mick, uh, your thoughts, please, on look, a lot of people were saying that the president kind of intentionally like he knew about this days ago, didn't say anything to the Iranians.We've seen now the what that has meant. What more do you expect of the Iranian response. Um, a bunch of different questions there.What to expect of the Iranian response. It's hard to say. It's hard to know what they still have available to them.I gues ...

Bring in show music, please. Hi, I'm CNBC producer Katie Kramer on today's superersized squawk pod. Israel's strikes in Iran. Questions about who knew and how because you had to get Well, they knew, but doesn't mean we were involved. Reaction in Washington with Megan Cassella. The White House was emphasizing as these attacks were unfolding overnight that the US was not involved and that it was not providing assistance. And the impact on oil markets with RBC's Hale Croft. What do the Iranians do? Do they try ...

Closer look at the markets here and reaction to the geopolitical news overnight. S&P's down 610 of 1%. Scott Croner joins us, Cityroup US equity strategist.He's here at Post 9. He raised his year-end S&P target to 6,300 this week from 5800. So kind of catching up with the market here, I guess, as we continue to make new highs, although a step back today.Does this how do you think that what happened overnight impacts the US equity market if at all. Yeah, Sarah. So, I I the way we've been talking about it is ...

Joining us right now to talk more about all of this is Sevita Subramanion. She is the head of US equity and quantitative strategy at Bank of America Securities. And Sevita, it has felt recently like the markets were really in a pretty good momentum, good mood on all of these things that we've seen, these huge moves.How does this change the situation. Look, I mean, I think this this uh geopolitics are a bigger deal than what may be discounted into equities today. And I think it's interesting that crude ralli ...

Welcome to very special conversation with uh Ray Dalio who has agreed to share with this audience thoughts that led him to publish his most recent book. Today we face a future in which growth is slow and that is very high. To me reading this book uh was a great um professional enjoyment because it is about a complicated topic.What a gift you are giving us uh with your time and your wisdom. I learned through my experience that many important things that uh came at me never happened in my life before but happ ...