The CBO now expects higher inflation and unemployment this year and slower economic growth, after taking into account Trump’s tax law, tariffs and lower net immigration https://t.co/fgp8YwEKhh ...

India’s inflation accelerated for the first time in ten months in August, though low enough for the central bank to keep the door open for rate cuts if economic growth takes a knock https://t.co/WLd5GwrfgR ...

Recent report from Moody's states that 33% of states in the US they are already in recession territory. It looks like Texas, California, Florida, New York, and North Carolina are responsible for majority of the economic growth happening right now. It makes sense the economic growth happening in these areas because of the tech sector.But the fact that we're not seeing growth in other states, that's less than ideal. So, add in the fact that the S&P 500's price to book value is now higher than it was in the 20 ...

Investors appear poised to shift their focus, worrying about economic growth, rather than whether inflation will allow the Fed to cut borrowing costs. ...

The governing council today decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. Inflation is currently at around our 2% medium-term target and our assessment of the inflation outlook is broadly unchanged. The new ECB staff projections present a picture of inflation similar to that projected in June.They see headline inflation averaging 2.1% in 25, 1.7% in 26, and 1.9% in 27. For inflation, excluding energy and food, they expect an average of 2.4% in 25, 1.9% in 26, and 1.8% in 27. The economy is pro ...

Fitch Ratings may downgrade Poland’s sovereign score if the country fails to stabilize its government debt level or maintain economic growth momentum https://t.co/htmvVBv69D ...

Summary of European Central Bank Update / Briefing September 11, 2025 Key Points on the ECB and Economic Outlook ECB Interest Rates and Inflation Projections - The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep the three key interest rates unchanged, with inflation currently around the 2% medium-term target [2][11] - Headline inflation is projected to average 2.1% in 2025, 1.7% in 2026, and 1.9% in 2027, while inflation excluding energy and food is expected to average 2.4% in 2025, 1.9% in 2026, and 1.8% in 2027 [2][7] - The economy is projected to grow by 1.2% in 2025, revised up from 0.9% expected in June, with a slight decrease in growth projection for 2026 to 1% [2][4] Economic Resilience and Consumer Spending - The economy grew by 0.7% in cumulative terms over the first half of the year, driven by strong domestic demand [4] - The unemployment rate was reported at 6.2% in July, which is expected to boost consumer spending as people save less of their income [4][6] - Investment is expected to be supported by substantial government spending on infrastructure and defense [5] Risks and Challenges - Risks to economic growth are now considered more balanced, with recent trade agreements reducing uncertainty [8] - Geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East, remain significant sources of uncertainty [8] - The outlook for inflation is uncertain due to the volatile global trade policy environment, with potential for both lower and higher inflation depending on various factors [9] Financial and Monetary Conditions - Short-term market rates have increased, while longer-term rates have remained stable [10] - The average interest rate on new loans to firms decreased to 3.5% in July, with corporate borrowing costs continuing to decline [10] - Growth in loans to firms was reported at 2.8%, and corporate bond issuance rose to 4.1% [10] ECB's Approach to Monetary Policy - The ECB will follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine monetary policy stance, without pre-committing to a specific rate path [3][11] - The Governing Council emphasizes the importance of assessing incoming economic and financial data to inform interest rate decisions [3][11] Additional Insights - The ECB is focused on ensuring that inflation stabilizes at the 2% target in the medium term, with a commitment to adjust instruments as necessary [11] - The introduction of a digital euro and the completion of the Savings and Investment Union are highlighted as critical for future economic stability [6] Conclusion - The ECB remains vigilant in monitoring economic conditions and is prepared to adjust its monetary policy as needed to maintain stability and support growth in the euro area [11]

FRANKFURT, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday as expected but offered no clues about its next move, even as investors continue to bet that more support will be needed as inflation dips below target next year. Following are highlights of ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments at a news conference after the policy meeting. MORE ON THE BALANCE OF RISKS "If you walk back to June, we had a highly uncertain situation. It was post April 19, sure, but it ...

Indonesia’s new finance minister unveiled a roughly $12 billion cash injection to stimulate lending, proving his commitment to President Prabowo Subianto’s growth agenda barely two days into the job. https://t.co/615NBFSUQg ...

[Music] Producer prices fell a tenth of a percent in August while expectations were that inflation would increase. We're still awaiting of course Thursday's CPI data to see how consumer prices fared in the month. But a positive signal to investors who are anticipating the Fed will cut rates next week. Ed Yardi, our Denny Research president, joining me now to talk more through all of this. Ed, it's great to see you. So, does this wholesale inflation number sort of confirm what we're going to get from the Fed ...