The Federal Reserve has finally admitted tariffs are not inflationary.The data is overwhelming. https://t.co/V5ZQV9wtKb ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is facing challenges but is not prioritizing investor support, indicating a neutral stance towards market conditions [1] Group 1 - Powell's current situation does not align with the concerns of investors, suggesting a divergence in priorities [1] - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to take immediate actions to support investors, reflecting a cautious approach to monetary policy [1] - Despite not rushing to assist investors, Powell will not obstruct their interests, indicating a balanced perspective [1]

Market Sentiment - Bond markets are not reflecting inflation concerns [1] - The market's reaction persists even as Trump increases influence over the Federal Reserve [1]

Major U.S. equities indexes lost ground Tuesday afternoon, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank faces a "challenging situation" ahead. https://t.co/DGakQfKfSG ...

Market Sentiment & Investment Strategies - Mark Spitznagel's firm, Universal Investments, manages $20 billion in assets under a tail risk hedge fund strategy [4] - Despite his firm's usual pessimism, Spitznagel is currently bullish on stocks, expecting them to surge higher before a correction, drawing parallels to early 1929 [4] - US margin debt is at an all-time high, which is considered a bullish indicator, while retail investors had the highest weekly inflow into the market for 2025 [4] - The bond market is pricing in two more 25 basis point cuts this year and three more 25 basis point cuts next year, potentially bringing the Fed funds rate below 3% [4] Housing Market Analysis - US incomes need to spike 60% to return to pre-pandemic housing affordability levels [4] - Home prices would need to fall 38% to return to pre-pandemic housing affordability levels [4] - Mortgage rates need to fall more than 400 basis points from over 65% down to under 23% to return to pre-pandemic affordability levels [4] Trading & Market Dynamics - Retail volume in derivatives has increased significantly, with options, futures, and options on futures now representing close to 80% of the market, compared to 8% previously [3] - Event-based markets are currently trading with high fees (1% per transaction), making them less attractive compared to traditional markets like Apple (approximately $1 per $100,000 traded) [21][22] - The speaker expresses concern about the frothy stock market, noting the difficulty in finding cheap assets across various sectors, commodities, and countries [5][6] - The speaker is selling a lot of stock and trading a lot also, and is concerned that there are no bears right now [36][37]

Now that we've heard from the president of the UN, let's start on the next big focus for the market and that will be the Fed chair's speech this afternoon that follows the Fed's quarterpoint rate cut just last week. Joining us this morning, chief economics correspondent of the Wall Street Journal, Nick Timos is with us. Nick, good to have you.Welcome back. Thanks for having me, Carl. We always sort of have I don't know when pal speaks expressor kind of low expectations.His remarks might not get to monetary ...

And joining us right now to talk about the Fed's recent quarter rate point rate cut, the central bank's future rate path and much more. We want to bring in Jim Bullard. He is the former St.Louis Fed president who's now dean of the business school at Purdue University. He's also in the running as the next Fed chair and as we heard from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant last week. They had a very good and productive meeting recently.Jim, thanks for being here this morning. Um, good to see you. What did you thi ...

Monetary Policy Stance - The analysis suggests the appropriate Fed funds rate is in the mid 2% area, almost two percentage points lower than current policy [1] - Monetary policy is considered well into restrictive territory [3] - Short term interest rates are roughly two percentage points too tight [3] Risks and Mandates - Leading policy restrictive by such a large degree brings significant risks for the Fed's employment mandate [2] - The Federal Reserve has the goal of promoting price stability [1] - The commitment is to bring inflation sustainably back to 2% [2] Economic Outlook - Overly tight policy risks unnecessary layoffs and higher unemployment [3]

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs surge on Fed optimism but face Monday reality check as liquidations hit $1.7 billion.Read more: https://t.co/6cw3cknCvw ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].