Market Overview & Economic Factors - Late August is expected to have low liquidity, and September is traditionally the worst month for the S&P 500 [2] - Earnings are expected to grow over 10% year-over-year, about double the consensus [2] - Weak payrolls data (around 73,000) and ISM data raise concerns about the economy [3] - Uncertainty surrounding the next Fed chair is making markets nervous [3] NASDAQ & Tech Sector - The NASDAQ is considered a favorable investment area due to the AI trend, moderating 10-year Treasury yields, and its appeal during economic slowdowns [5] - The AI boom is still active, with companies continuing to invest tens or even hundreds of billions in AI [6] Interest Rates & Fed Policy - A weak August payrolls report could lead to a 25 basis point rate cut, and a 50 basis point cut should be considered [7] - A 4% to 4.5% range is expected for the 10-year Treasury yield for the rest of the year, assuming the economy shows signs of slowing [8] - The Fed is closely watching employment markets, balancing this with the impact of tariffs on inflation [10] - The base case is a 25 basis point rate cut in September, unless August payrolls are significantly weaker [11] - A one-time bump in inflation is expected due to tariffs, but core inflation is trending towards the Fed's target [12] Investment Opportunities - Infrastructure is favored, driven by increased investment in the US on both public and private sides [13][14] - AI data centers and upgrading electrical grids are key areas within infrastructure [14] - Utilities are a strong play for infrastructure, needed to fund electricity for AI and upgrade grids for renewable energy [16]

This gets back to our overall thesis, Matt, which is that we believe we've been in sort of a three year rolling recession and that the end of that recession ended in April with the tariffs. That was the final capitulation. So we think that's a new bull market, right.We think the bear market ended in basically April. It was a pretty nasty one. There were several, you know, along the way.And that that was the final the final flush. And now we're in a new bull market and capital markets activity is just anothe ...

So, Door Dash beating on the top and bottom lines with those shares about two and a half% higher right now in the after hours. The company posting earnings of 65 cents per share, well above the 44 cents expected and revenue of 3.28% billion. Also came in ahead of estimates.One key metric we were watching for is marketplace gross order value. That's a total dollar amount of all orders placed on the platform. It came in at 24.2% billion, which is stronger than expected.Door Dash called out notable strength in ...

U.S. equities were higher at midday as the market reacted to the latest corporate earnings news. https://t.co/3rIwwGW9lI ...

Market Overview & Trends - Asian and European markets are showing positive movement, influenced by earnings reports and tariff developments [1][3] - US market performance is under scrutiny following a disappointing previous day [2] - Earnings and tariffs are expected to be major focal points during the trading day [4] - A weakening economy is indicated by labor revisions, with the bond market pricing in potential Fed cuts [28] - Market sentiment is influenced by the "buy the dip" mentality (FOMO) and the performance of tech and AI sectors [29][30] Company Specific News - **Glencore:** Abandoned plans to move its primary listing to New York, citing no added value for shareholders, and reported a net loss of $655 million in the first half of 2025, nearly triple the $233 million loss from the previous year [5] - **Glencore:** Launched a $1 billion cost-cutting program in response to lower coal prices, copper production issues, and tariff uncertainties [6] - **Nova Nordisk:** Weight loss drug Wegovy sees sales soar, but US sales disappoint [1][39] - **Disney:** Adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations at $161 versus an expected $146, while Q3 revenue aligned with expectations at $237 billion, shares are down by over 15% in pre-market [16] - **McDonald's:** Earnings per share slightly missed expectations at $314 versus an expected $315, but revenue exceeded expectations at $684 billion versus an expected $67 billion, shares are up around 3% in pre-market [17][18] - **Uber:** Revenue came in at $1265 billion versus an expected $1248 billion, and earnings per share met expectations at 63 cents, shares are down 14%-16% in pre-market [19] - **AMD:** Analyst suggests the upside is unlimited, expecting to regain $15 billion lost due to China sanctions over the last two quarters [23] - **Honda:** Raised its annual profit guidance despite a 50% year-over-year fall in operating profits in the first quarter, citing a smaller-than-expected impact from tariffs [45] - **Open Door:** Shares are down over 20% in pre-market after offering disappointing guidance, citing a challenging macro environment and persistent housing market weakness [46] - **Super Micro Computer:** Shares are plunging in pre-market after cutting its annual sales forecast, with fourth-quarter results falling below expectations due to order delays from economic uncertainty [47] - **Snap:** Analyst says numbers are better than feared, but results are not encouraging compared to the rest of the ad complex, stock is down another quick 15% after hours [49][51] Tariffs & Trade - Countries are pushing for last-minute trade deals as the tariff deadline approaches [7] - Switzerland is attempting to avoid 39% tariffs [9] - India is facing potential increases in tariffs due to its consumption of Russian oil [9] - A 90-day pause on tariffs is expected to be extended, potentially paving the way for a Trump-Xi meeting [13] Federal Reserve (The Fed) - There is speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with some suggesting a possible 50 basis point cut [31][32]

You can catch Trader Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts. Is this bull market stronger than Wall Street thinks? On this episode of Trader Talk, Kenny Polcari and Bullseye Brief founder Adam Johnson explain why artificial intelligence (AI)–driven capital spending, strong earnings, and resilient consumer demand could push stocks even higher. They reveal how savvy investors are reading earnings reports for future signals and why the Federal Reserve may not need to cut ra ...

European stocks posted modest gains as investors tackled another busy day of earnings and studied the latest news on tariffs https://t.co/v20oSmo173 ...

So, I'm back with another earnings allstars video. You think it's over, right. Just because six out of the seven MAG7s have now reported earnings.But no, of course, it's not. This is a very busy week for earnings, even though no MAG7s. There's about a 100 S&P 500 companies still to report this week.Plus, we're starting to get a lot of these smaller and midcap companies that are pouring in. A lot of consumer names. I'm going to be watching.and I brought several of them with me here today. It was hard to pick ...

Market Sentiment & Strategy - Dips in high-quality stocks should be bought, anticipating institutional investors' interest if prices drop by 10-15% [2] - The market's valuation is not currently a problem, with expectations of higher earnings trajectories for the next few years [3] - The risk is skewed to the positive for year-end, with any material weakness expected to be bought due to positive earnings outlook [11] - US equities are favored due to US companies' overexposure to themes expected to grow above global GDP [13] Economic Indicators & Consumer Behavior - Consumer spending remains strong, suggesting no immediate recession concerns [5] - The aggregate consumer is in good shape, although potentially eroding from highs [7] - The Fed is unlikely to cut rates unless data deteriorates significantly, as they tend to lag market indicators [17][19] Sector-Specific Insights - Semi-conductors performance is crucial for market momentum, particularly concerning tariff issues [7] - Bank earnings were strong, but the stocks' limited reaction may be a tactical concern [8] - US companies in tech, communication services, and financials are well-positioned for earnings growth, representing 58% of the S&P [13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew by 21% in the quarter, with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 41% to $2.69 and adjusted EBITDA rising by 35% to $126 million [7][8] - Gross profit margin expanded by 400 basis points to 23.3%, and operating cash flow was strong at $85 million [9] - Backlog at the end of the quarter totaled $2 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Infrastructure Solutions revenue grew by 29% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income increasing by 57% and operating margins reaching 28% [11][12] - Transportation Solutions revenue increased by 24%, with adjusted operating profit growing by 78% [13] - Building Solutions segment revenue declined by 1%, with adjusted operating income down by 28% due to challenges in the housing market [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The data center market was a primary growth driver, with revenue from this market more than doubling year-over-year [12] - E-commerce distribution backlog saw a significant increase of nearly 700% in the quarter [32] - Transportation Solutions backlog was $715 million, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase but a 17% sequential decline [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its geographic footprint and enhancing service offerings through the acquisition of CEC Facilities Group [10][11] - The strategy emphasizes building upon existing strengths in high-margin markets and pursuing attractive growth opportunities [9][10] - The company aims to capture more value across the full life cycle of facilities by integrating services [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains positive about future growth, particularly in e-infrastructure solutions, anticipating continued demand in data centers [20][22] - The company expects to deliver e-infrastructure revenue growth of 18% to 20% and adjusted operating profit margins in the mid to high 20% range for 2025 [22] - Building Solutions is expected to face challenges in the near term, with a forecasted mid to high single-digit decline in revenue [25] Other Important Information - The company has a strong liquidity position with $699.4 million in cash and a net cash balance of $401.2 million after debt [18] - The guidance for 2025 has been increased, projecting revenue of $2.1 billion to $2.15 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $9.21 to $9.47 [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Will significant data center projects land in core markets? - Management believes they are well-positioned for a large percentage of the upcoming data center capital projects [30] Question: Will additional acquisitions be needed for expansion into Texas and the Northwest? - The company plans to pursue both organic growth and potential acquisitions to establish a presence in these markets [34] Question: What is the status of e-commerce opportunities? - Several e-commerce projects are expected to start in the back half of the year, with larger warehouse projects anticipated to provide significant revenue [46] Question: How does the competitive environment look? - The company faces competition primarily from local contractors, but believes its integrated services will provide a competitive edge [61][62] Question: When is the CEC acquisition expected to close? - The acquisition is progressing well, with most licensing and permitting processes underway, but timing is dependent on state agencies [68]