Core Insights - TPG RE Finance Trust reported a revenue of $37.03 million for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 4.9% and an EPS of $0.24, down from $0.30 a year ago [1] - The reported revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $37.24 million, resulting in a surprise of -0.56%, while the EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $0.26 by -7.69% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Net Interest Income was $24.90 million, below the average estimate of $26.08 million from two analysts [4] - Other income, net, was reported at $1.85 million, compared to the average estimate of $2.45 million from two analysts [4] - Total other revenue reached $12.13 million, exceeding the average estimate of $10.59 million from two analysts [4] - Revenue from real estate owned operations was $10.28 million, surpassing the estimated $8.14 million from two analysts [4] Stock Performance - TPG RE Finance Trust shares have returned -9.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.8% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results, with earnings exceeding expectations while revenues fell short, reflecting ongoing demand softness in key markets [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2025 were 24 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate of 23 cents by 4.3%, and up from 23 cents in the same quarter last year [4]. - Net trade sales totaled $1.022 billion, missing the consensus mark of $1.028 billion by 0.5%, and representing a 7% decline from $1.097 billion in the prior-year quarter [4]. - Adjusted EBIT increased 4.6% to $66.6 million from $63.7 million year-over-year, driven by restructuring benefits and operational efficiency improvements [5]. - Adjusted EBIT margin expanded 70 basis points to 6.5% from 5.8% in the year-ago quarter, while adjusted EBITDA margin grew 80 basis points to 9.6% [5]. Segment Performance - Bedding Products segment saw a 13% decline in net trade sales to $390.7 million, with a volume drop of 10% attributed to demand softness in U.S. and European markets [6]. - Specialized Products segment's trade sales decreased 5% to $300.1 million, with a volume decline of 4% due to reduced demand in Automotive and Hydraulic Cylinders [8]. - Furniture, Flooring & Textile Products segment reported a 1% decline in trade sales to $331.3 million, with a volume increase of 2% driven by growth in Textiles [10]. Guidance and Outlook - The company maintained its full-year sales guidance of $4-$4.3 billion, indicating a 2-9% decline year-over-year, with updated expectations for volume declines in key segments [14][15]. - Adjusted EPS is anticipated to be between $1 and $1.20, reflecting an increase at the midpoint compared to 2024, driven by restructuring benefits [16]. - The company expects adjusted EBIT margin to be in the range of 6.4-6.8% for the year [16]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, the company had $817 million in liquidity, with cash and equivalents of $412.6 million, up from $350.2 million at the end of 2024 [12]. - Long-term debt increased to $1.94 billion from $1.86 billion at the end of 2024, with a trailing 12-month net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.77x [12].

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is slated to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, before market open.In the last reported quarter, the company’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but net sales missed the same. On a year-over-year basis, both the top and bottom lines tumbled 8% and 34.9%, respectively.BLDR’s earnings topped the consensus mark in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on the remaining occasion, with the average surprise being 5.9%.Trend ...

Core Viewpoint - Mastercard is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 1, 2025, with earnings estimated at $7.57 per share and revenues of $7.13 billion, reflecting a year-over-year earnings increase of 7.9% and revenue growth of 12.3% [1][2] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mastercard's total revenues in 2025 is $31.59 billion, indicating a year-over-year rise of 12.2% [2] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share is $15.89, suggesting an increase of approximately 8.8% year-over-year [2] Earnings Performance History - Mastercard has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten the consensus in each of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 3.3% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - Current indicators do not strongly predict an earnings beat for the upcoming quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -0.05% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4] Key Growth Drivers - The Gross Dollar Volume (GDV) for Mastercard is projected to rise by 8.1% year-over-year, with domestic operations expected to grow by nearly 7% and international operations by 8% [6] - Switched transactions are anticipated to increase by 9.9% year-over-year, driven by resilient consumer spending and enhanced contactless payment initiatives [7] - Cross-border volumes are expected to grow by 14%, with domestic assessments and transaction processing assessments projected to rise by 8.4% and 8.9%, respectively [8] Value-added Services - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for net revenues from Value-added Services and Solutions indicates a 17% year-over-year growth, supported by demand for consulting, marketing services, and loyalty solutions [9] Expense Considerations - Rising expenses, including a projected 13.7% increase in adjusted operating costs and a 10.6% rise in payments network rebates and incentives, may offset growth potential [11] Stock Performance - Mastercard's stock has gained 1.5% year-to-date, outperforming the industry decline of 0.9%, while Visa has increased by 6.8% and American Express has decreased by 10.7% [12] Valuation Metrics - Mastercard is currently trading at a forward P/E of 31.85X, above its five-year median of 31.82X and the industry average of 22.31X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] - In comparison, Visa and American Express are trading at forward P/Es of 27.84X and 16.63X, respectively [17] Strategic Outlook - Despite strong fundamentals and growth potential, the high valuation relative to industry averages raises concerns, particularly in light of rising macroeconomic risks and competitive pressures in the digital payments landscape [18][19]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in TopBuild's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - TopBuild is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7.9% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $1.24 billion, which is a 3% decline from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.96% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. - The current Earnings ESP for TopBuild is -1.03%, suggesting that the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate [11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - However, TopBuild currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TopBuild exceeded the expected earnings of $5.08 per share by delivering $5.13, resulting in a surprise of +0.98% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - TopBuild does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Ducommun's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to these estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Ducommun is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 15.7% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $190.8 million, indicating no change from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.69% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Ducommun is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +23.73% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - Ducommun currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ducommun exceeded the expected earnings of $0.70 per share by delivering $0.75, resulting in a surprise of +7.14% [12]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in all of the last four quarters [13]. Conclusion - While Ducommun may not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [16].

Company Overview - Ovintiv (OVV) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1 per share, reflecting a -30.6% change [1][3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $2.34 billion, down 0.7% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 10.06% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Ovintiv is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.51% [10][11] Earnings Surprise History - Ovintiv has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having surpassed expectations in the last four quarters [12][13] - In the last reported quarter, Ovintiv was expected to post earnings of $1.11 per share but delivered $1.35, resulting in a surprise of +21.62% [12] Industry Comparison - In the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - Canadian industry, Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is expected to post earnings of $0.73 per share for the quarter ended March 2025, indicating a year-over-year change of +43.1% [17] - CNQ's revenue is projected to be $6.8 billion, up 11.2% from the previous year [17] - The consensus EPS estimate for CNQ has been revised 12.9% lower over the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [18]

Company Overview - ESS Tech, Inc. (GWH) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with a projected loss of $1.66 per share, reflecting a -10.7% change, and revenues of $2.4 million, down 12.4% from the previous year [3][12]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 28.11% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for ESS Tech matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8]. - ESS Tech currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, making it challenging to predict a definitive earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - Over the last four quarters, ESS Tech has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times, but in the last reported quarter, it missed expectations by delivering a loss of $1.97 per share against an expected loss of $1.51, resulting in a surprise of -30.46% [12][13]. Industry Comparison - In the same industry, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) is expected to post earnings of $0.09 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of +12.5%, with revenues expected to be $213 million, up 0.2% from the previous year [17].

Core Viewpoint - Knife River (KNF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a potential impact on the stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate suggests a quarterly loss of $0.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -6%, while revenues are projected to be $340.9 million, representing a 3.4% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections during this period [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Knife River is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +2.83%, suggesting a more optimistic outlook from analysts [10]. Zacks Rank and Predictive Power - Despite the positive Earnings ESP, Knife River currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Knife River exceeded the consensus EPS estimate by delivering earnings of $0.41 per share against an expectation of $0.40, resulting in a surprise of +2.50%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [12][13]. Conclusion - While Knife River does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, it is essential for investors to consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].

Bowman Consulting (BWMN) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 6, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than e ...