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Union Pacific (UNP) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Union Pacific (UNP) will report quarterly earnings of $2.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.5%, with revenues expected to reach $6.11 billion, a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 0.2%, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Freight Revenues- Bulk' will reach $1.83 billion, a year-over-year change of +6.1% [5]. - 'Operating Revenues- Other revenues' are expected to be $334.89 million, indicating a -9.2% change from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Freight Revenues- Industrial Products' is projected at $2.18 billion, reflecting a +2.6% change from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Freight Revenues- Premium' is expected to reach $1.73 billion, suggesting a -3.5% year-over-year change [6]. - The 'Operating Ratio' is projected at 59.5%, down from 60.0% in the same quarter last year [6]. - The consensus for 'Average revenue per car - Bulk' stands at $3700.32, slightly up from $3692.00 year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenue Carloads - Bulk' is expected to reach 493.75 thousand, compared to 466.00 thousand last year [7]. - 'Average revenue per car - Industrial Products' is projected at $3891.73, up from $3825.00 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Average revenue per car - Premium' is forecasted to be $1678.52, down from $1766.00 year-over-year [8]. - 'Revenue Carloads - Premium' is expected to reach 1.03 million, slightly up from 1.02 million last year [8]. - The total 'Revenue Carloads' is projected at 2.08 million, compared to 2.04 million in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Union Pacific shares have returned +1.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed +5.4% [10]. - Currently, UNP holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [10].
Moody's (MCO) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Moody's (MCO) will report quarterly earnings of $3.42 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, with anticipated revenues of $1.85 billion, up 1.8% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 1.5%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate that 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's investor services' will reach $977.85 million, down 3.7% year-over-year, while 'Revenue- Total external customers- Moody's Analytics' is projected at $871.28 million, up 8.6% [5]. - 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Decision Solutions' is expected to be $409.35 million, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-over-year. 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Data and Information' is estimated at $222.57 million, up 6%, and 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics- Research and Insights' at $239.93 million, up 6.2% [6]. - The consensus for 'Revenue- Moody's investor services' is $1.03 billion, indicating a 3.1% decrease from the prior year, while 'Revenue- Moody's Analytics' is projected at $875.94 million, up 8.7% [8]. - Specific revenue estimates include 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Recurring' at $336.58 million, up 4.2%, and 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Transaction' at $640.27 million, down 7.5% [7][8]. - 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Public, project and infrastructure finance' is expected to reach $164.17 million, up 6.6%, and 'Revenue- Moody's investor services- Financial institutions' at $197.98 million, up 1.5% [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Moody's shares have returned +6.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change, suggesting that MCO will likely perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [9].
Cameco (CCJ) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 22:50
Company Performance - Cameco (CCJ) closed at $77.91, reflecting a +2.26% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.54% [1] - The stock has risen by 9.36% over the past month, contrasting with the Basic Materials sector's slight loss of 0.05% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.2% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Cameco to report earnings of $0.36 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 260% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $681.82 million, representing a 56% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts anticipate earnings of $1.09 per share and revenue of $2.51 billion, reflecting changes of +122.45% and +10.16% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Forecast Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Cameco are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating confidence in business performance [4] Zacks Rank and Stock Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), shows Cameco currently holds a rank of 3 (Hold) [6] - Over the past month, there has been a 2.42% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [6] Valuation Metrics - Cameco is trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 70.08, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 21.65 [7] - The Mining - Miscellaneous industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, currently ranks in the bottom 41% of all industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank [7]
Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 22:46
Group 1 - Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) closed at $13.99, with a daily gain of +1.01%, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.54% [1] - Over the past month, NU shares increased by 13.15%, significantly surpassing the Finance sector's gain of 2.92% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.2% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Nu Holdings is scheduled for August 14, 2025, with an expected EPS of $0.12, indicating no change from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted at $3.66 billion, reflecting a 28.32% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Group 3 - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $0.54 per share and revenue of $14.9 billion, representing year-over-year increases of +20% and +29.38%, respectively [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest a favorable outlook on the business health and profitability of Nu Holdings [3] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, indicates that NU currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has shifted 1.24% upward over the past month [5] Group 5 - Nu Holdings has a Forward P/E ratio of 25.49, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 9.77 [5] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.79, while the industry average PEG ratio is 0.98 [6] Group 6 - The Banks - Foreign industry, part of the Finance sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 17, placing it in the top 7% of over 250 industries [6] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Analysts Estimate XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 15:06
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock m ...
Analysts Estimate ASGN Inc (ASGN) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 15:06
Core Viewpoint - ASGN Inc is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $1.08 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 20.6% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $991.41 million, down 4.2% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.84% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - A positive Earnings ESP of +1.24% suggests recent bullish sentiment among analysts, despite the stock holding a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, ASGN Inc was expected to post earnings of $0.95 per share but delivered $0.92, resulting in a surprise of -3.16% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While ASGN Inc does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].
Comerica's Q2 Earnings to be Hurt by Higher Expenses & Lower Deposits
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Comerica Incorporated (CMA) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 18, with anticipated revenue growth but a decline in earnings compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.23 per share, reflecting a 19.6% decline from the year-ago quarter [2][9]. - Revenue estimates for the same quarter are projected at $844.7 million, indicating a 2.5% increase year-over-year [2][9]. Loan and Net Interest Income (NII) Insights - The lending environment has been stable, with modest loan demand reported by the Federal Reserve [3]. - Average loans are expected to be higher than the first quarter of 2025, with average earning assets estimated at $70.4 billion, showing a marginal increase [4]. - The consensus estimate for NII is $576.5 million, reflecting a slight rise from the previous quarter's figure of $575 million [5]. Non-Interest Income and Market Activity - Global mergers and acquisitions activity improved in the second quarter, contributing positively to capital market fees, which are estimated at $32.8 million, a 5.9% sequential rise [6][8]. - The IPO market saw a resurgence, leading to increased capital raised and improved market sentiment [7]. Fee Income and Deposit Trends - Overall fee income is expected to grow by 3.7% to $263.5 million, driven by stronger capital markets and card-related revenues [11]. - Average deposits declined by 1% to $61.3 billion, with expectations of further declines impacting service charges on deposits, estimated at $47 million, a 2.1% increase from the prior quarter [10]. Expense and Asset Quality Considerations - Higher expenses are anticipated due to increased compensation costs and lower gains on real estate sales, with non-interest expenses projected to rise slightly from $584 million in the first quarter [12][13]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $308.5 million, indicating a 2.5% rise from the previous quarter [14]. Earnings Prediction Model - The likelihood of Comerica beating earnings estimates is low, with an Earnings ESP of -0.46% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [15].
Marsh & McLennan Q2 Preview: Will Cost Pressures Weigh on Results?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:31
Core Viewpoint - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, 2025, with earnings estimated at $2.67 per share and revenues at $6.91 billion, reflecting nearly 11% year-over-year growth in both metrics [1][6]. Financial Performance Estimates - Second-quarter earnings estimates have been revised upward, indicating a 10.8% increase from the previous year, while revenue estimates suggest an 11.1% year-over-year growth [2]. - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $26.95 billion, representing a 10.2% year-over-year increase, and the earnings per share estimate is $9.58, indicating an 8.9% growth [3]. Historical Performance - MMC has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, having beaten the consensus in each of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.6% [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for MMC, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.86% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4]. Revenue Drivers - The projected revenue growth in Q2 is attributed to strong performances in the Risk and Insurance Services and Consulting segments, with significant contributions from Marsh and Guy Carpenter subdivisions [7]. - The Risk and Insurance Services segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 14.7% year-over-year, while the Consulting segment's revenues are projected to grow by 5.6% [8][9]. Expense Considerations - Total operating expenses are anticipated to rise by 7% year-over-year, primarily due to increased compensation and benefits, which may pressure the net margin [10]. - The adjusted net margin is expected to be 18.6%, down from 19.2% in the previous year [10].
Analysts Estimate NVR (NVR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for NVR, with a consensus outlook indicating lower revenues and earnings per share (EPS) expectations [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - NVR is expected to report quarterly earnings of $106.33 per share, reflecting an 11.9% decrease year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $2.4 billion, which is a 5.8% decline from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.01% over the last 30 days, indicating a slight reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for NVR is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +3.25% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading indicates a potential earnings beat, particularly when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - NVR currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, NVR was expected to post earnings of $107.87 per share but only achieved $94.83, resulting in a surprise of -12.09% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, NVR has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Market Reaction - The stock's movement may depend on how actual results compare to expectations, with potential for upward movement if results exceed estimates, and downward movement if they fall short [2][15]. - Other factors beyond earnings results may also influence stock performance, making it essential to consider a broader context [15][17].
Tesla Q2 Earnings Preview: Will the EV Giant Disappoint Again?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.40 per share and revenues of $22.6 billion, reflecting a decline from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for second-quarter earnings per share has decreased by $0.01 in the past week, indicating a 23% decline year-over-year [2]. - Quarterly revenues are projected to decline by 11.3% compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Vehicle Deliveries and Sales Performance - Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in the second quarter, a 13.5% decrease from the previous year, marking the largest quarterly sales drop in the company's history [3]. - This decline in deliveries is attributed to a demand problem rather than production issues, as the new Model Y has ramped up production [4]. Group 3: Segment Performance - Automotive sales revenues are expected to decline by more than 6%, with gross margins from automotive sales projected at 15%, down 3 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - Conversely, revenues from the Energy Generation/Storage segment are anticipated to rise to $3.03 billion, reflecting growth both sequentially and year-over-year [6]. Group 4: Operating Expenses and Capital Expenditures - Tesla's high operating expenses and capital expenditures are likely to impact profits and cash flows, as the company continues to invest heavily in expanding gigafactory output and enhancing its Supercharger network [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Tesla this earnings season, with an Earnings ESP of +0.82% [8].