国家统计局：尽管中国经济增速有所回落，但经济稳中有进发展态势没有变。中国实现全年目标仍有较多有利条件。 ...

New Zealand’s main opposition Labour Party has unveiled its first key policy ahead of the 2026 general election — a new government fund that will aim to drive investment and economic growth https://t.co/L5q38L8wB3 ...

Economic Growth - China's GDP growth is expected to slow to 4.8% in Q3 2025, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter [1] - Analysts predict that fixed-asset investment will only expand by 0.1% in the first nine months of the year [2] Retail and Industrial Performance - Retail sales are anticipated to slow to 3% year-on-year in September [2] - Industrial production is likely to ease to 5% [2] Inflation Trends - The core consumer price index rose at its fastest pace since February 2024, indicating some inflationary pressure [3] - However, headline inflation fell by 0.3%, reflecting ongoing deflationary pressures [3] Export Resilience - Despite ongoing trade tensions with the U.S., China's exports have shown continued resilience [2]

US-China Relations - Trump 政府对与中国的关系持乐观态度，可能与中国国家主席习近平在韩国会晤 [1][2] - 美国财政部长 Scott Besson 宣布了一系列会谈，为两国领导人会晤做准备 [3] - 虽然 Trump 政府并未取消对中国稀土矿物加征 100% 关税的可能性，但整体信息偏向积极 [4] Russian Oil & Diplomacy - Trump 宣称印度将停止购买俄罗斯石油，以此向俄罗斯施压以结束乌克兰战争，但印度官方未证实 [7][8][32][33] - 印度官员正在与美国讨论取消对俄罗斯石油的 25% 关税 [10][37] Government Shutdown - 美国政府部分关闭已持续 17 天，成为历时最长的完整政府关闭 [11][12] - 预计政府关闭可能会持续到 11 月，因为两党在 ACA 补贴问题上立场坚定 [15][19] - 政府关闭可能导致机场中断，类似于 2018-2019 年的政府关闭 [17] - 经济影响可能包括消费者支出变化和 GDP 下降，如果持续到 11 月，GDP 可能会下降一个百分点 [22][24] - 政府关闭导致数据收集和发布中断，这可能会使美联储的决策变得更加困难 [25] - 法院初步裁决暂停了 Trump 政府在政府关闭期间的裁员计划 [39][40] Economic Outlook - 经济学家普遍上调了今年的增长预期，经通胀调整后的 GDP 预计为 18%，高于 6 月份的 13% [56] - 关税可能会推高消费者价格，从而降低收入，并可能导致美国和全球经济增长放缓 [49][47] - 经济学家认为，即使经济面临压力，美国经济也具有弹性，增长预测也随之提高 [58]

China’s economy probably grew at the slowest in a year last quarter despite a boom in exports, in a disconnect the Communist Party may move to rectify at a key meeting this week https://t.co/zmLFZhqI8c ...

Britain’s decision to leave the European Union will continue to weigh on UK growth for several years, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said. https://t.co/36Lbaf2BJ7 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) compressed by about 8 basis points due to front-loading of interest rate cuts on the asset side of the balance sheet [6] - The capital adequacy ratio remained stable at around 19.9% to 20% with a slight change of 10 basis points [31] - The bank's return on assets (ROA) has been operating between 1.8% to 1.95% over the last eight quarters [56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Loan growth has accelerated across segments, with a focus on disciplined pricing and market share gains in deposits [6][8] - The bank's contingent provisions increased by about INR 1,600 crore, enhancing resilience [11][65] - Fee income grew by approximately 9%, indicating consistent growth across various products [41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) started the year at about 96 and is expected to decrease below 90 as part of the strategic objectives [20] - Retail deposits accounted for about 83% of total deposits, with a slight increase in the proportion of retail deposits during the quarter [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The bank continues to invest in technology and distribution to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency [7][49] - The strategy includes maintaining credit standards while participating in growth opportunities in unsecured loans and mortgages [71] - The bank aims to grow faster than the market in FY 2027, with a focus on sustainable growth and capital consumption [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The domestic economy is showing signs of strength, supported by fiscal and monetary measures, which is expected to boost loan growth [5] - Management expressed optimism about the economic cycle and its sustainability beyond the festive period [28] - The bank is focused on maintaining asset quality and managing expenses tightly to create operating leverage [6][8] Other Important Information - The bank is exploring opportunities for cross-border transactions following recent regulatory relaxations [90] - The bank's home loan segment has seen improvements in turnaround times, now at two days for individual loans and three days for self-employed [50] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recovery in NPL movement - Management indicated that recoveries were boosted by a one-off upgrade contributing approximately 10 basis points to the NPL ratio [11][14] Question: Guidance on margins - The bank expects exit margins to improve, with stable rates anticipated to positively impact margins over the next few quarters [19] Question: Deposit growth and LDR - The bank's strategic objective is to reduce LDR below 90 while growing in line with the market [20][21] Question: Capital adequacy and growth - Management confirmed that the bank has sufficient capital for three to four years of growth, with a focus on maintaining higher capital levels for unforeseen risks [29][31] Question: Personal loans and risk appetite - The bank maintains strict credit standards and is cautiously optimistic about growth in unsecured loans [71] Question: Home loans and market share - The bank aims to grow its home loan segment without compromising on margins, focusing on long-term customer relationships [74] Question: Gold loans and yields - Yields on gold loans remain attractive, and the bank is cautious about maintaining clarity in terms with clients [76] Question: Credit card growth - The bank has seen a tepid addition to net receivables due to selective participation in spending during festive periods [82] Question: SME loan opportunities - There is a positive outlook for SME loans, with actual credit demand increasing in that segment [89]

Economic Growth & Savings - Faster expected economic growth leads to a decrease in savings, as individuals anticipate future wealth [1] - The effect of faster growth on savings is global [1] Economic Models - Frank Ramsey's canonical model of economic growth explains the inverse relationship between expected growth and savings [1]

Demographic Trends - Australia recorded its lowest ever birth rates [1] - Record levels of immigrants continue to enter Australia [1] - Immigration is correlated with declining birth rates [1] Economic Impact - Immigration contributes to unaffordable housing [2] - Immigration leads to stagnant wage growth [2] - Immigration results in decreased productivity [2] - Immigration makes Australians poorer [1] Social Concerns - Australians have not been consulted on immigration increases [3] - Australians are against large immigration increases [3] Proposed Solution - Ease the economic pressures preventing people from having children [4] - Immigration replaces the existing population for economic growth [4]

New technology is hardly the only driver of economic growth. Just ask the banks, which reported impressive quarterly earnings. ...