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What’s next for rates as investors digest inflation data
CNBC Television· 2025-08-13 21:37
Interest Rate Trends & Analysis - The global rates market influences domestic rates, with the German 30-year yield reaching its highest since 2011 [1] - Sideways to higher movement is expected for long-term rates, influenced by debt and deficits across various regions including the UK, EU, Japan, and the US [3] - Technical analysis of 10-year yields suggests a midpoint range of 416 to 420 basis points as a key level [4] - A close below 415 basis points could reverse the case for higher rates [4] Spread Analysis - The 30-year minus 10-year spread is the widest it has been since 2021, indicating potentially higher rates on the long end [5] - The 10-year minus 5-year spread is also at its widest in four years, at 47 basis points [5][6] - Curve steepening is anticipated, with two-year yields potentially decreasing while 10, 20, and 30-year yields remain stable [6] Economic Outlook - The economy is expected to perform better than anticipated, supporting a steeper yield curve and higher long-end rates [9] - Inflation may not be the primary driver of long-end rates [8] - Stagflation is not considered a major concern, with a more positive economic outlook prevailing [8][9]
X @Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru· 2025-08-13 05:22
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Congressman Thomas Massie says "thanks to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, the debt just officially passed the $37 trillion mark." https://t.co/uYjG2QlwPQ ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-13 02:00
Why are so many Chinese people drowning in debt? Find out on our latest “Drum Tower” podcast https://t.co/zH9lkn3zd9 ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-12 16:50
“Me and both of my business partners got divorced—all because of debt.”“Drum Tower” meets middle-class Chinese whose lives are being destroyed by debt https://t.co/C8DlaWmoog ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-12 14:11
Brightline Florida — the struggling private rail line connecting Orlando to Miami — is rolling over $985 million of debt with a 14.89% yield and a 10% coupon, according to data compiled by Bloomberg https://t.co/rzBocfHs7b ...
X @Bitcoin Archive
Bitcoin Archive· 2025-08-12 13:29
LARRY FINK: “If the U.S. doesn’t get its debt under control, America risks losing world reserve status to digital assets like Bitcoin.”It's happening 🚀 https://t.co/c9BQve4Zyn ...
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-08-12 01:00
Student Loan Plan Analysis - A group warns that Trump's new student loan plan is a debt trap [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-11 15:22
Global funds are piling into Argentine bonds after a peso slump sent local debt yields soaring https://t.co/JSjWKoxSWN ...
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-08-11 14:50
Student Loan Plan Analysis - A group warns that Trump's new student loan plan is a debt trap [1]
Why Claire's Keeps Filing For Bankruptcy
CNBC· 2025-08-10 15:00
America's quintessential mall retailer. Claire's has filed for bankruptcy again. Claire's, which is known for its endless aisles of accessories and having pierced over 100 million years, first filed for bankruptcy in 2018.That was because it couldn't repay the $1.9% billion at owed at the time. And after years of trying to turn around its business, it's been met with the same fate yet again. You're just not seeing your tweens and teens looking to storefronts to see what the trends are.They're looking online ...